CFB Zeitgeist Score
13
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rush tds at the 26th percentile.
Sesi Vailahi
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
152 RUSH YDS · 2 RUSH TD · 42 CARRIES
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to Utah State
RB · OKLAHOMA STATE · BIG 12
CFB Zeitgeist Score
13
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rush tds at the 26th percentile.
Heisman Heat
#2317
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterStarter. A locked-in starting role.
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2023–2025Up 463% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3-star | 0.8211 | No. 2041 recruit | HighSchool | Oklahoma State |
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Oklahoma State -> Utah State | 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate |
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Selector Grid · 2025
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Oklahoma State
Composite
0.8211
#2041 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
To hit 750-yard season (currently 152): needs 149.5/game over remaining 4.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 152): needs 212/game over remaining 4.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 152): needs 337/game over remaining 4.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 2/game over remaining 4.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 3.2/game over remaining 4.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 4.5/game over remaining 4.
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Sesi Vailahi's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Oklahoma State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
2025 season snapshot | final
30-second read
Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
Receiving
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 9 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 27-7vs UT Martin | 9 | 32 | 3.6 | 1 | 10 | |
| Wk 4 | L 12-19vs Tulsa | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 7 | L 17-39vs Houston | 7 | 27 | 3.9 | 0 | 7 | |
| Wk 8 | L 17-49vs Cincinnati | 7 | 38 | 5.4 | 0 | 14 | Season-high 38 yds |
| Wk 9 | L 0-42@ Texas Tech | 6 | 16 | 2.7 | 0 | 4 | |
| Wk 10 | L 21-38@ Kansas | 5 | 7 | 1.4 | 1 | 4 | |
| Wk 12 | L 6-14vs Kansas State | 2 | 11 | 5.5 | 0 | 8 | |
| Wk 13 | L 14-17@ UCF | 5 | 19 | 3.8 | 0 | 7 | |
| Wk 14 | L 13-20vs Iowa State | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Total | 42 | 152 | 3.5 | 2 | 14 |
Traditional history
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Oklahoma State | 42 | 152 | 3.6 | 2 | -- |
| 2023 | Oklahoma State | 6 | 27 | 4.5 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 48 | 179 | 3.7 | 2 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Oklahoma State | 8 | 54 | 6.8 | 0 | -- |
| 2023 | Oklahoma State | 2 | 12 | 6.0 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 10 | 66 | 6.6 | 0 | -- |
Advanced metrics second
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 152 | #373/735 | 49th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 2 | #247/739 | 67th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 3.6 | #561/735 | 24th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 8 | #248/552 | 55th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 54 | #267/548 | 51st pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 9.1% | #351/738 | 53rd pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 42 | #338/739 | 54th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 14 | #488/733 | 34th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 16 | #277/540 | 49th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 6.8 | #287/548 | 48th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #169/552 | 70th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 14.8% | #355/738 | 52nd pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 11.6% | #282/738 | 62nd pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 9.8% | #208/738 | 72nd pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 9.4% | #229/738 | 69th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 8.9% | #384/738 | 48th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 7.0% | #457/738 | 38th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 3.3% | #280/738 | 62nd pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 2 | #205/256 | 20th pct | Turnoversvs FBS RB |
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 9 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 18.3 | 4.1 | 0.2 |
| Road3g | 14.0 | 2.6 | 0.3 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins1g | 32.0 | 3.6 | 1.0 |
| Losses8g | 15.0 | 3.5 | 0.1 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-73g | 19.7 | 3.8 | 0.3 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 15.5 | 3.5 | 0.2 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
Concern: long run (2nd).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Will Jones’s 2021 season.
Will Jones
Sedrick Alexander
Juma Otoviano
Jordan Lovett
Jaquari Lewis
Matches Will on
Differs from Will on
Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Julien Gums’s path through Nicholls.
Julien Gums
Jonathan DeBique
Jason Collins Jr.
Fredderick Graves
Kennieth Lacy
Matches Julien on
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Jordan Lovett's junior season at Troy (2025).
Jordan Lovett
Alexander Diggs
Parker Jenkins
Brian Smith
Isaiah Johnson
Matches Jordan on
Differs from Jordan on
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Mike Gundy
Pass share
47.5%
365 pass / 403 run
Plays / game
64.0
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
9.9%
223 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
1 coachPlayed his entire career under Mike Gundy.
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Oklahoma State | RB2 | #2317 | #2380 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Big 12 |
| 2023 | Oklahoma State | RB2 | #1773 | #1697 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Big 12 |
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | RB | 2 | No. 3 | 5-9 | 206 lb | Salt Lake City, UT |
| 2024 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | RB | 2 | No. 3 | 5-9 | 206 lb | Salt Lake City, UT |
| 2023 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | RB | 2 | No. 3 | 5-9 | 206 lb | Salt Lake City, UT |