The Zeitgeist List · coaching

Eli Drinkwitz

Followed Barry Odom. Eli Drinkwitz moved Missouri from National Program I to Power Program III in 7 seasons.

The empire-builder
58–30
2019–now · 2 stints
← all coaches

In his own words

[I was] very disappointed in the third quarter from an overall intensity standpoint… That is a hallmark of what we do not do in our program
Themaneater · · the day after Missouri's 2026 opener
I’m not going to give a medical report on it
Themaneater4 days before the opener
He’s had plenty of reps
Themaneater4 days before the opener
It’s really going to be about guys who can get by acting as one, who can communicate, who can play through the nerves and go out and execute at a high level
Themaneater4 days before the opener
I think he’ll be one of the top four or five snap hitters at the wide receiver position
Themaneater4 days before the opener
We anticipate that he will make a recovery
Rockmnation
I am for expanded opportunities for schools in the playoffs
Saturday Down South
I am not for giving the committee more opportunities to put people in the playoffs
Saturday Down South
It’s just being explosive
Saturday Down South
Throwing those away so you can get a bad matchup between 24 and 18 doesn't make sense to me
FOX Sports
Not criticizing the police or the right to bear arms, which is a Second Amendment right
FOX Sports
But just saying there is no place for gun violence, especially for our youth in society.
FOX Sports
My anticipation of what I’ve seen, the way he’s attacked his rehab: He’s going to be a better Ahmad Hardy than when he was before
FOX Sports
Josh had a setback with his injury
Saturday Down South
He’s [Atkins] still attacking it, but we’ll see how that goes
Saturday Down South
There’s some internal healing that has to occur before we get to any type of strenuous activities which would then dictate a timeline on his return
Saturday Down South
I can tell you Ahmad Hardy has been discharged from the hospital. He’s back in (Missouri Orthopedic Institute) and he’s working on a recovery
Saturday Down South
When you’re dealing with elite athletes, getting back healthy and getting back to elite status is always a little bit tricky in some of these situations
Saturday Down South
We’re thrilled to add Alex, Chop, John and Garrett to our coaching staff
Saturday Down South
This place has been nothing but great to me. So I just felt like we weren’t done yet
Saturday Down Souththe day after the 31–17 game
We were on the wrong end of the flags
Lockedonpodcaststhe day after the 10–17 game

Career arc

His real stature score, season by season, across every program he’s coached — so a stretch that stays in one tier the whole way can still climb or sink on the line, not just flatten out. Node color marks the tier reached. Which program a stretch belongs to is carried by the shaded lane behind it.

Stature score reached, by season of his head-coaching careerAPP STMISSOURIPower Programperennial contenderNational Programrespectable, streakyApp State, 2019: 12-1, National Program II2019+3.6Missouri, 2020: 5-5, National Program I2020Missouri, 2021: 6-7, National Program I2021Missouri, 2022: 6-7, National Program II2022Missouri, 2023: 11-2, Power Program III2023Missouri, 2024: 10-3, Power Program III2024Missouri, 2025: 8-5, Power Program III2025Missouri, 2026: in progress, Power Program III2026+3.6One point per coached season, in career order; dashed segments are program changes — spacing is not proportional to calendar time

Reached Power Program in his 5th career season — faster than 30% of the 395 FBS coaches who have ever reached Power Program (rank #251 of 395 by seasons-to-arrival).

Missouri, 7 seasons (active)
+3.6
National Program I → Power Program III.

Style position and drift

Where each stint’s offense sat between run-first and pass-first, and how far it moved from one season to the next. The band is that stint’s real season-to-season range, not a fixed-width box.

40%50%App State2019–2019– 0.0ptMissouri2020–2026▼ 8.6pt
Pass rate — share of offensive plays that were pass attemptsfirst covered seasonmost recent covered seasonfull season-to-season range (3+ covered seasons)
How much that is, against every other stint

Season-to-season pass-rate range for all 258 FBS coaching stints with at least three covered seasons, 2014–2025.

Typical stint7.010.2 median13.9middle half of all stints
Missouri11.5pt#98 of 258 · a typical amount

The big-game ledger

How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.

10–2 against his rivals. Winless in 4 tries against Kirby Smart.

Rivalry record
10–2
83.3% · 3 rivals
One-score games
15–10
60.0% · margin ≤8
vs. Blue Blood or better
0–3
0.0%
Buyout owed
$28,875,685
bigger than 78% of FBS buyouts
Rivalry ledger
Arkansas4–180%
Vanderbilt4–180%
Kansas2–0100%
The toughest matchup
vs. Kirby Smart0–4
4 meetings, 2020–2023
’20 L’21 L · blew a 3-pt lead’22 L · blew a 13-pt lead’23 L · blew a 4-pt lead
0% win rate across a real, 4-meeting series — short of the bar this site uses before badging a series “Nemesis.” Shown here as the toughest matchup on record, not an algorithmic crown.
Performance by opponent class
Dynasty
0–3 0.0%
Blue Blood
2–4 33.3%
Power Program
7–13 35.0%
National Program
12–6 66.7%
Regional Program
14–2 87.5%

His own effect, isolated

A statistical estimate of this coach’s contribution to team performance, separated from that season’s roster talent, returning production, and his coordinators — pooled across his whole head-coaching career.

Offense marginal impact
+0.03
#136 of 319 · a typical amount
Defense marginal impact
+0.09
#98 of 325 · a typical amount

Model fit as of 2026-09-04.

What fans are saying

Fan claims · every quote verified verbatim

schedule expectationOne fan's take that season

One fan thinks his team underperforms against ranked opponents

Hot take: Drinkwitz is overhyped. He beats unranked teams and teams that are barely ranked, but he can’t do anything against the actual good teams

Based on 1 comment from 1 poster across 1 thread · Nov 8, 2025 · via CFB

Coaching career

2020–now
Missouricaretaker
National Program I → Power Program III
Eli Drinkwitz moved Missouri from National Program I to Power Program III in 7 seasons.

5th-best Missouri tenure of 12 by the numbers.

Recruiter or developer?

Performs about as expected for his recruiting talent, on both sides of the ball.

Offense vs. talent
-4.0 pts
#130 of 208 · a typical amount
Defense vs. talent
-1.4 pts
#110 of 208 · a typical amount
Recruiting talent is team-wide (no offense/defense split exists in the source data) -- both sides are scored against the same talent input, only the outcome is side-specific.

Followed Barry Odom (2016–2019).

Season2020202120222023202420252026Trend
Record & result
Record5–56–76–711–210–38–50–0
PostseasonL bowlL bowlW bowlW bowlL bowl
Recruiting rank#50#27#15#34#20#20#34
Style — pass rate
Pass rate50.949.544.243.143.939.442.3
Coordinators
OCKirby MooreKirby MooreKirby MooreChip Lindsey
DCRyan WaltersSteve WilksBlake Baker / D. J. SmithBlake Baker / D. J. SmithCorey Batoon / D. J. SmithCorey BatoonCorey Batoon
Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile
Offense53504885513957
Defense11136193719048
Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script (2021+ only)
1st-down pass%41.344.438.040.045.637.135.6
Red-zone pass%22.740.027.430.327.132.217.4
4th-down go%opp. territory35.523.729.822.520.939.5
Roster construction · portal era

A typical amount of portal roster-building.

Portal arrivals
92
3.2★ avg rating
Portal departures
128
left via the portal
Net portal flow
-36
#70 of 187 FBS stints
Notable portal arrivals with a modeled NIL value
Ahmad Hardy On3 modeled · $1,000,000Beau Pribula On3 modeled · $1,500,000Austin Simmons On3 modeled · $2,000,000Cayden Lee On3 modeled · $1,000,000Cayden Green On3 modeled · $1,000,000Damon Wilson II On3 modeled · $2,000,000
On3’s modeled estimate (social reach / exposure), not money actually paid — shown per player, never totaled.
Who they bring in

Typical size for position, once adjusted for position mix.

Recruits older, more experienced transfers than most.

Avg. size (raw)
6′2″, 240 lbs
across 76 of 92 arrivals — unadjusted for position mix
Size vs. position-typical
+3.1 lbs
#144 of 255 · a typical amount
Avg. class year
Sr
#46 of 255 · more than most
Top states: FL (13), GA (12), TX (11), MO (9), CA (4)
Who won the portal our read
Talent added
63.0
position-weighted
Talent lost
62.4
position-weighted
Net
+0.5
arrivals minus departures
Best addition: Austin Simmons (QB) from Ole Miss
Biggest loss: Tyler Macon (QB) to Alcorn State
Position-value-weighted (QB/CB weighted highest, depth-decayed within each position) — the same scoring engine as the Portal Heat feed, not a separate grade.
Does the system survive a coordinator change?
OC: Kirby Moore → Chip Lindsey · 2026
39th pct57th pct0th100th
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
1st-down pass rate: 37.1% → 35.6% (-1.5 pts)
Confound, shown not hidden: only 42% of offensive production returned the year the coordinator changed — the roster turned over at the same time, not just the play-caller.
DC: co-Ryan Walters → Steve Wilks · 2021
11th pct13th pct0th100th
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
DC: Steve Wilks → Blake Baker / co-D. J. Smith · 2022
13th pct61st pct0th100th
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
DC: Blake Baker / co-D. J. Smith → Corey Batoon / co-D. J. Smith · 2024
93rd pct71st pct0th100th
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
DC: Corey Batoon / co-D. J. Smith → Corey Batoon · 2025
71st pct90th pct0th100th
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
Roster size, by position
Skill positions · usage-weighted (real participation)
Quarterback
212 lbs
6′2″ avg · #412 of 767 · a typical amount
Running back
206 lbs
5′10″ avg · #443 of 791 · a typical amount
Wide receiver
195 lbs
6′0″ avg · #301 of 791 · a typical amount
Tight end
252 lbs
6′5″ avg · #140 of 731 · more than most
Trench & secondary · recruited roster, not confirmed starters
Interior line
315 lbs
6′5″ avg · #167 of 779 · more than most
D-line
293 lbs
6′3″ avg · #195 of 753 · a typical amount
Linebacker
228 lbs
6′1″ avg · #410 of 772 · a typical amount
Cornerback
187 lbs
6′1″ avg · #552 of 771 · a typical amount
Safety
202 lbs
6′0″ avg · #62 of 346 · more than most
Offensive-line size is one undifferentiated bucket — the source data almost never distinguishes tackle from guard from center, so we can't split them out.
Where the roster comes from, by position
Grows Wide receiver from high school
70%
#194 of 243 stints
Postseason detail2021: Lost to Army 22–24 Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl2022: Lost to Wake Forest 17–27 Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl2023: Beat Ohio State 14–3 Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic2024: Beat Iowa 27–24 TransPerfect Music City Bowl2025: Lost to Virginia 7–13 TaxSlayer Gator Bowl

25 NFL Draft picks: Jordan Elliott (2020), Albert Okwuegbunam (2020), Nick Bolton (2021), Tyree Gillespie (2021), Larry Borom (2021), Joshuah Bledsoe (2021), Larry Rountree III (2021), Akayleb Evans (2022) + 17 more

6 player-seasons honored (All-America / national award): Harrison Mevis (2021), Kris Abrams-Draine (2023), Cody Schrader (2023), Ahmad Hardy (2025), Ahmad Hardy (2026), Cayden Green (2026)

AI Narratives — “Missouri's inconsistent 2025 season” and 2 more on the team page.

46–29
2019–2019
App Statecaretaker
National Program II → National Program II
Eli Drinkwitz held App State at National Program II for 1 season.

2nd-best App State tenure of 7 by the numbers.

Recruiter or developer?

Outperforms his recruiting talent, on both sides of the ball.

Offense vs. talent
+43.4 pts
#4 of 208 · more than most
Defense vs. talent
+42.7 pts
#2 of 208 · more than most
Recruiting talent is team-wide (no offense/defense split exists in the source data) -- both sides are scored against the same talent input, only the outcome is side-specific.

Followed Scott Satterfield (2014–2018).

Where the roster comes from, by position
Grows Tackle from high school
100%
#198 of 223 stints
Grows Cornerback from high school
100%
#225 of 236 stints
Postseason detail2019: Beat UAB 31–17 R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl

2 NFL Draft picks: Darrynton Evans (2020), Akeem Davis-Gaither (2020)

12–1
How to read this. Bands and archetypes come from the Zeitgeist List’s season-by-season stature model, and only apply once a stint clears 3 coached seasons in our ledger — a newer stint shows its real record with no stature judgment yet.