cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Nick Evers /UConn

Nick Evers

QB · UConn · Jr · #3

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

105 PASS YDS · 1 PASS TD · -2 RUSH YDS

2026 TRANSFERTransferred UConn → Missouri for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Missouri

2025UConn
2026Missouri

QB · UCONN · FBS INDEPENDENTS

Nick Evers

  • 3
  • #3
  • 6-3 | 195 lb
  • Flower Mound, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

41

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by completion % at the 82nd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#207

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2022–2025
0.02022
9182024
1052025

+0%

Modest growth (0%) across the multi-season window.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#172 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class3
Jersey3
Measurements6-3 | 195 lb
HometownFlower Mound, TX
Primary teamUConn

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 172 recruit
Composite rating 0.9312 HighSchool
Signed with Oklahoma 2022
Origin Flower Mound Flower Mound, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 4-star | 0.9312 No. 172 recruit | HighSchool | Oklahoma

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 3 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Missouri 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 13, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 UConn -> Missouri 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate
2024 Wisconsin -> UConn 3-star | 0.8700 | Immediate
2023 Oklahoma -> Wisconsin 3-star | 0.8900 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#207Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#216Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Oklahoma

Composite

0.9312

#172 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Nick Evers

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 2 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "Mizzou Film Room: Nick Evers &nbsp;&nbsp; On3"Own fansNational: 4 mentions · belief -50 · "The cumulative link to the preseason rankings can be found [here]( https://www.r"National
  • Own fans · n=2
  • National · n=4

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Nick Evers

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the passing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 2g
105Pass yards
1Pass TDs
0INT
Per game
52.5Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT
Projected (13g)
682.5Pass yards
6Pass TDs
0INT

To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 105): needs 263.2/game over remaining 11.

To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 105): needs 354.1/game over remaining 11.

To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 1): needs 2.2/game over remaining 11.

To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 1): needs 2.6/game over remaining 11.

To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 1): needs 3.1/game over remaining 11.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Nick Evers's story is about how role and output meet each other. For UConn, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #207 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 11.6% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 172 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 105 1 TD | 0 INT | #266/382 (31st pct)
Completion rate 66.7% 10/15 completions | #98/383 (75th pct)
Yards/attempt 7.0 Explosiveness through the air | #175/382 (54th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Efficient | Pocket-leaning against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

EfficientPocket-leaning

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
10 31st
ATT
15 33rd
CMP%
66.7% 75th
Y/A
7.0 54th

Passing Production

YDS
105 31st
TD
1 44th
INT
0 100th

Rushing

CAR
1 10th
YDS
-2 16th
YPC
-2.0 7th
TD
0 44th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 2 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 1W 59-13vs Central Connecticut8/1183107.572.9Season-high 83 yds
Wk 6W 51-10vs Florida International2/422005.517.7
Total10/15105106.545.3
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Oklahoma6-7HC: Brent Venables · Run-leaning, fast tempo
2024UConn9-4HC: Jim Mora · Run-leaning
2025UConn9-4HC: Jim Mora · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025UConn101566.7%1057.010147.5----
2024UConn9718053.9%9185.155100.3----
2022Oklahoma--10.0%--0.0000.0----
Career3 loaded seasons10719654.6%1,0235.265103.4----
SeasonTeam
2025UConn1-2-2.00--
2024UConn802453.13--
2022Oklahoma----------
Career3 loaded seasons812433.03--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact -2 0 rush TD | #342/408 (16th pct)
Usage 11.6% 20.3% pass share | 1.6% rush share | #260/428 (39th pct)
Passing WEPA +0.19 Opponent-adjusted passing value | #152/200 (24th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 105 #266/382 31st pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 1 #228/407 44th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 10 #265/383 31st pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 66.7% #98/383 75th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 7.0 #175/382 54th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards -2 #342/408 16th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Value Passing WEPA +0.19 #152/200 24th pct Opponent-adjusted passing value | 192 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Usage Role share 11.6% #260/428 39th pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 15 #275/407 33rd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 0 #1/407 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 1 #369/408 10th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 0 #230/408 44th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry -2.0 #379/407 7th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 20.3% #257/428 40th pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 13.3% #281/428 35th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 11.8% #247/428 43rd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 11.4% #261/428 39th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 11.1% #246/428 43rd pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 11.1% #292/428 32nd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 1.6% #377/428 12th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.15 #115/140 19th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 72 weighted playsvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 2 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Home2g52.50.56.50.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Wins2g52.50.56.50.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-72g52.50.56.50.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

41Mid-pack
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: interceptions (99th). Strength: completion % (81st). Concern: pass yards (0th).

Interceptions#1 / 183 · 99th pct
0pass
Completion %#34 / 183 · 82nd pct
66.7%pass
Yards / att#98 / 183 · 46th pct
7.0pass
Rush yards#146 / 183 · 21st pct
-2rush
Rush TDs#150 / 183 · 9th pct
0rush
Pass TDs#180 / 183 · 1st pct
1pass
Pass yards#184 / 183 · 0th pct
105pass

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Nick EversUConnNick VattiatoMiddle Tennessee· 56% simDrake LindseyMinnesota· 54% simCade KlubnikClemson· 53% sim
Interceptions
99
Evers
44
Vattiato
56
Lindsey
56
Klubnik
Completion %
82
Evers
41
Vattiato
56
Lindsey
73
Klubnik
Yards / att
46
Evers
13
Vattiato
16
Lindsey
63
Klubnik
Rush yards
21
Evers
27
Vattiato
1
Lindsey
42
Klubnik
Rush TDs
9
Evers
39
Vattiato
59
Lindsey
59
Klubnik
Pass TDs
1
Evers
64
Vattiato
72
Lindsey
64
Klubnik
Pass yards
0
Evers
57
Vattiato
61
Lindsey
78
Klubnik

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jim Mora

Pass share

53.5%

451 pass / 392 run

Plays / game

64.8

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.5%

314 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

1 coach
2022
Jim Mora
UConn
2024
Jim Mora
UConn
2025
Jim Mora
UConn

Played his entire career under Jim Mora.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownFlower Mound, TX
Height6'3"
Weight195 lb
Class3
PositionQB
Jersey3

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 UConn QB3 #207 #216 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | FBS Independents
2023 Wisconsin QB3 #1256 #1060 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big Ten
2022 Oklahoma QB3 #1210 #1035 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 UConn FBS Independents QB 3 No. 3 | 6-3 | 195 lb | Flower Mound, TX
2024 UConn FBS Independents QB 3 No. 3 | 6-3 | 195 lb | Flower Mound, TX
2023 Wisconsin Big Ten QB 3 No. 3 | 6-3 | 195 lb | Flower Mound, TX
2022 Oklahoma Big 12 QB 3 No. 3 | 6-3 | 195 lb | Flower Mound, TX