The Zeitgeist List · coaching

Brent Venables

Followed Bob Stoops. Brent Venables inherited a Power Program I Oklahoma and won with it.

32–20
2022–now · 1 stint
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In his own words

It’s exciting. Another one of the long teams that talks about the depth of the SEC
Every game is big. You have to be ready every week
Saturday Down South
You only get 12 opportunities
Saturday Down South
Because I’m good at it
Saturday Down South
I’m incredibly excited about the addition of two fantastic football coaches, great men, great leaders
Saturday Down South
Oklahoma made an impression on me from the beginning because Coach (Brent) Venables was the first coach to offer me
Witten · On3
Oklahoma made an impression on me from the beginning because Coach (Brent) Venables was the first coach to offer me
Witten · On3
Since I arrived at Oklahoma, I’ve had the opportunity to spend a lot of time with Coach Venables, his staff and our student-athletes
Denny · FOX Sports

Career arc

His real stature score, season by season, across every program he’s coached — so a stretch that stays in one tier the whole way can still climb or sink on the line, not just flatten out. Node color marks the tier reached. Which program a stretch belongs to is carried by the shaded lane behind it.

Stature score reached, by season of his head-coaching careerOKLAHOMADynastythe sport's summitBlue Bloodpermanent top tierPower Programperennial contenderOklahoma, 2022: 6-7, Power Program I2022Oklahoma, 2023: 10-3, Power Program I2023Oklahoma, 2024: 6-7, Power Program I2024Oklahoma, 2025: 10-3, Power Program I2025Oklahoma, 2026: in progress, Power Program I2026-9.6One point per coached season, in career order; dashed segments are program changes — spacing is not proportional to calendar time

Reached Power Program in his 1st career season — faster than 57% of the 395 FBS coaches who have ever reached Power Program (rank #1 of 395 by seasons-to-arrival).

Oklahoma, 5 seasons (active)
−9.6
Power Program I → Power Program I.

Style position and drift

Where each stint’s offense sat between run-first and pass-first, and how far it moved from one season to the next. The band is that stint’s real season-to-season range, not a fixed-width box.

40%50%Oklahoma2022–2026▲ 2.1pt
Pass rate — share of offensive plays that were pass attemptsfirst covered seasonmost recent covered seasonfull season-to-season range (3+ covered seasons)
How much that is, against every other stint

Season-to-season pass-rate range for all 258 FBS coaching stints with at least three covered seasons, 2014–2025.

Typical stint7.010.2 median13.9middle half of all stints
Oklahoma8.6pt#159 of 258 · a typical amount

The big-game ledger

How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.

2–4 against his rivals. Just 1–3 against Steve Sarkisian.

Rivalry record
2–4
33.3% · 2 rivals
One-score games
6–10
37.5% · margin ≤8
vs. Blue Blood or better
2–3
40.0%
Buyout owed
$36,158,333
bigger than 85% of FBS buyouts
Rivalry ledger
Texas1–325%
The toughest matchup
4 meetings, 2022–2025
’22 L’23 W · erased a 4-pt deficit’24 L · blew a 3-pt lead’25 L · blew a 6-pt lead
25% win rate across a real, 4-meeting series — short of the bar this site uses before badging a series “Nemesis.” Shown here as the toughest matchup on record, not an algorithmic crown.
Performance by opponent class
Blue Blood
2–3 40.0%
Power Program
7–12 36.8%
National Program
8–3 72.7%
Regional Program
8–2 80.0%

His own effect, isolated

A statistical estimate of this coach’s contribution to team performance, separated from that season’s roster talent, returning production, and his coordinators — pooled across his whole head-coaching career.

Offense marginal impact
-0.12
#204 of 319 · a typical amount
Defense marginal impact
+0.32
#31 of 325 · more than most

Model fit as of 2026-09-04.

What fans are saying

Fan claims · every quote verified verbatim

job securityLimited signal that season

fans believe Brent Venables is underperforming and should be replaced

Hi Joel! Could you please let us know your opinion of the pressure on Brett Venables at Oklahoma University? I don't live in OK anymore, but I've got to think that the fans there are putting him in the "it's time" category. What do you think?

Venables at # 8 is an absolute disgrace!!!! Oklahoma had arguably the hardest schedule in college football last year and they made the playoffs!!!! What an absolute joke. He's definitely not at the top, but 8 is just stupid!!!

Based on 2 comments from 2 posters across 2 threads · Jul 16, 2026–Jul 27, 2026 · via Josh Pate's College Football Show, The Joel Klatt Show: A College Football Podcast

Show all 3
coaching decisionOne fan's take that season

One fan argues Brent Venables has underperformed expectations

I really don't understand how to look at Brent Venables coaching tenure here so far. Half of me wants him fired for some of the horse shit presented in this game and the season, but then you see the moments of excellence that shines through the shit.

Based on 1 comment from 1 poster across 1 thread · Nov 2, 2025 · via CFB

scheme identityOne fan's take that season

One fan believes Brent Venables excels at designing defensive schemes

Love seeing Venables calling the defense. He's so good at it.

Based on 1 comment from 1 poster across 1 thread · Aug 31, 2025 · via CFB

Coaching career

2022–now
Oklahomainheritor
Power Program I → Power Program I
Brent Venables inherited a Power Program I Oklahoma and won with it.

10th-best Oklahoma tenure of 15 by the numbers.

Recruiter or developer?

Underperforms his recruiting talent on offense and performs about as expected for his recruiting talent on defense.

Offense vs. talent
-16.5 pts
#165 of 208 · less than most
Defense vs. talent
+7.3 pts
#73 of 208 · a typical amount
Recruiting talent is team-wide (no offense/defense split exists in the source data) -- both sides are scored against the same talent input, only the outcome is side-specific.

Followed Bob Stoops (1999–2021).

Season20222023202420252026Trend
Record & result
Record6–710–36–710–30–0
PostseasonL bowlL bowlL bowlCFP loss
Recruiting rank#8#4#8#17#15
Style — pass rate
Pass rate41.246.541.949.943.3
Coordinators
OCJeff LebbyJeff LebbyJoe Jon Finley / Kevin Johns / Seth LittrellBen ArbuckleBen Arbuckle
DCTed Roof / Todd Bates / Jay ValaiTed Roof / Todd Bates / Jay ValaiTodd Bates / Zac Alley / Jay ValaiTodd Bates / Jay ValaiTodd Bates
Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile
Offense6492291463
Defense1488909791
Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script (2021+ only)
1st-down pass%45.649.439.139.930.2
Red-zone pass%38.941.436.529.830.0
4th-down go%opp. territory43.639.430.617.9
Roster construction · portal era

A typical amount of portal roster-building.

Portal arrivals
86
3.3★ avg rating
Portal departures
133
left via the portal
Net portal flow
-47
#56 of 187 FBS stints
Notable portal arrivals with a modeled NIL value
Isaiah Sategna On3 modeled · $1,000,000John Mateer On3 modeled · $1,500,000
On3’s modeled estimate (social reach / exposure), not money actually paid — shown per player, never totaled.
Who they bring in

Brings in bigger-than-position-typical players than most.

Recruits older, more experienced transfers than most.

Avg. size (raw)
6′2″, 249 lbs
across 71 of 86 arrivals — unadjusted for position mix
Size vs. position-typical
+8.6 lbs
#26 of 255 · more than most
Avg. class year
Jr
#51 of 255 · more than most
Top states: TX (17), OK (7), GA (6), CA (5), MI (4)
Who won the portal our read
Talent added
63.6
position-weighted
Talent lost
67.6
position-weighted
Net
-4.0
arrivals minus departures
Best addition: John Mateer (QB) from Washington State
Biggest loss: Caleb Williams (QB) to USC
Position-value-weighted (QB/CB weighted highest, depth-decayed within each position) — the same scoring engine as the Portal Heat feed, not a separate grade.
Does the system survive a coordinator change?
DC: Ted Roof / co-Todd Bates / co-Jay Valai → co-Todd Bates / Zac Alley / co-Jay Valai · 2024
88th pct90th pct0th100th
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
DC: co-Todd Bates / Zac Alley / co-Jay Valai → co-Todd Bates / co-Jay Valai · 2025
90th pct97th pct0th100th
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
DC: co-Todd Bates / co-Jay Valai → Todd Bates · 2026
97th pct91st pct0th100th
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
Roster size, by position
Skill positions · usage-weighted (real participation)
Quarterback
213 lbs
6′1″ avg · #364 of 767 · a typical amount
Running back
214 lbs
5′11″ avg · #165 of 791 · more than most
Wide receiver
194 lbs
6′0″ avg · #370 of 791 · a typical amount
Tight end
243 lbs
6′4″ avg · #442 of 731 · a typical amount
Trench & secondary · recruited roster, not confirmed starters
Interior line
318 lbs
6′5″ avg · #80 of 779 · more than most
D-line
281 lbs
6′3″ avg · #438 of 753 · a typical amount
Linebacker
232 lbs
6′2″ avg · #218 of 772 · a typical amount
Cornerback
195 lbs
6′0″ avg · #126 of 771 · more than most
Offensive-line size is one undifferentiated bucket — the source data almost never distinguishes tackle from guard from center, so we can't split them out.
Where the roster comes from, by position
Buys P via the portal
100%
#1 of 29 stints
Buys Tight end via the portal
69%
#22 of 188 stints
Grows Running back from high school
77%
#176 of 208 stints
Grows Safety from high school
92%
#199 of 218 stints
Postseason detail2022: Lost to Florida State 32–35 Cheez-It Bowl2023: Lost to Arizona 24–38 Valero Alamo Bowl2024: Lost to Navy 20–21 Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl2025: Lost to Alabama 24–34 College Football Playoff First Round Game

24 NFL Draft picks: Nik Bonitto (2022), Brian Asamoah (2022), Perrion Winfrey (2022), Delarrin Turner-Yell (2022), Michael Woods II (2022), Isaiah Thomas (2022), Marquis Hayes (2022), Anton Harrison (2023) + 16 more

5 player-seasons honored (All-America / national award): Billy Bowman Jr. (2023), Danny Stutsman (2024), Tate Sandell (2025), David Stone (2026), Tate Sandell (2026)

32–20