CFB Zeitgeist Score
66
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 93rd percentile.
AJ Wilson
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
523 REC YDS · 30 REC · 4 REC TD
2026 Outlook
Returning to UTSA for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Wide receiver · UTSA
Returning around him
- 96% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
- Transfer portal: -2 net (21 in / 23 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
UTSA · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #65 · 2026 recruiting class #107
WR · UTSA · AMERICAN ATHLETIC
AJ Wilson
- 3
- #84
- 6-2 | 190 lb
- Huntsville, TX
Heisman Heat
Awaiting
Not on the live Heisman board this week.
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
—
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
UTSA
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Houston Christian -> UTSA | 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens
Where the model places this player relative to the rest of the Heisman field.
Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on AJ Wilson
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
—
Awaiting per-cohort signal
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- National · n=2
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about AJ Wilson
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Yards per reception
17.4
yds
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
National rank #31 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 94th
Why it matters
#31 of 531 All FBS WRs at 17.4 yards per reception (30 catches).
Vs cohort
This player 17.4 (94th)
HIGH · n=30 cohort 531
- Also strong
- Receiving yards (total)#195 / 531
- Receiving TDs#161 / 531
Signature Moment
Week 3 vs Incarnate Word — 99 ypr
Result W 48-20
The week the volume broke through — put up 99 yds vs Incarnate Word.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 11g
523Rec yards
30Receptions
4Rec TDs
Per game
47.5Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
618.1Rec yards
35Receptions
5Rec TDs
To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 523): needs 88.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 523): needs 238.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 60-catch season (currently 30): needs 15/game over remaining 2.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 30): needs 25/game over remaining 2.
To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 4): needs 2/game over remaining 2.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 4): needs 3/game over remaining 2.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
AJ Wilson's story is about how role and output meet each other. For UTSA, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
WR season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
30 75th
YDS
523 82nd
YPR
17.4 88th
TD
4 86th
Rushing
CAR
1 35th
YDS
5 35th
YPC
5.0 57th
TD
0 81st
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 11 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 24-42@ Texas A&M | 1 | 34 | 34.0 | 1 | 34 | |
| Wk 2 | L 36-43vs Texas State | 1 | 18 | 18.0 | 0 | 18 | |
| Wk 3 | W 48-20vs Incarnate Word | 4 | 99 | 24.8 | 1 | 77 | Season-high 99 yds |
| Wk 6 | L 21-27@ Temple | 3 | 67 | 22.3 | 0 | 36 | |
| Wk 7 | W 61-13vs Rice | 2 | 77 | 38.5 | 1 | 57 | |
| Wk 8 | L 17-55@ North Texas | 4 | 35 | 8.8 | 0 | 13 | |
| Wk 11 | L 23-55@ South Florida | 2 | 26 | 13.0 | 0 | 14 | |
| Wk 12 | W 28-7@ Charlotte | 5 | 87 | 17.4 | 0 | 43 | |
| Wk 13 | W 58-24vs East Carolina | 2 | 18 | 9.0 | 1 | 11 | |
| Wk 14 | L 24-27vs Army | 3 | 38 | 12.7 | 0 | 26 | |
| Bowl | W 57-20vs Florida International | 3 | 24 | 8.0 | 0 | 9 | |
| Total | 30 | 523 | 18.8 | 4 | 77 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 30 | #282/1110 | 75th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 523 | #200/1107 | 82nd pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 4 | #152/1111 | 86th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 17.4 | #129/1106 | 88th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 12.1% | #374/1137 | 67th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 5 | #261/346 | 25th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 5 | #259/397 | 35th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 5.0 | #170/393 | 57th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Carries | 1 | #264/407 | 35th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #81/411 | 81st pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 77 | #39/1105 | 97th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 7.1% | #211/1137 | 82nd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 6.6% | #269/1137 | 76th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 6.6% | #338/1137 | 70th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 6.4% | #324/1137 | 72nd pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 5.6% | #581/1137 | 49th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 4.8% | #728/1137 | 36th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.3% | #332/1137 | 71st pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 11 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 2.5 | 45.7 | 18.5 | 0.5 |
| Road5g | 3.0 | 49.8 | 19.1 | 0.2 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins5g | 3.2 | 61.0 | 19.5 | 0.6 |
| Losses6g | 2.3 | 36.3 | 18.1 | 0.2 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 2.3 | 53.2 | 24.3 | 0.5 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 3.2 | 40.8 | 12.2 | 0.2 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
66Solid starter
Elite: long catch (93rd). Strength: yards / catch (92nd).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2025
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
AJ WilsonUTSAChris Dawn Jr.Texas State· 77% simHarrison Wallace IIIOle Miss· 77% simChase HendricksOhio· 74% sim
Long catch
Yards / catch
Rec TDs
Rec yards
Receptions
Rush TDs
Rush yards
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Possession Receiver
Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.
WR
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Keontez Lewis’s 2022 season.
Keontez Lewis
85%match
#2
Keontra Smith
83%
#3
Ramel Keyton
83%
#4
Donte Lee Jr
82%
#5
Malik Knowles
82%
Matches Keontez on
Height
TD rate
Weight
Differs from Keontez on
EPA / play (adj) (lower)
Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Ayden Greene’s path through Virginia Tech.
Ayden Greene
99%match
#2
Zane Pope
97%
#3
Brennan Eagles
96%
#4
Marcus Rosemy
95%
#5
Antonio Nunn
All-MAC
92%
Matches Ayden on
Height
Weight
Yards per reception
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Donte Lee Jr's sophomore season at Liberty (2025).
Donte Lee Jr
85%match
#2
Stephon Johnson Jr.
84%
#3
Jamari Thrash
All-Sun BeltNFL Rd 5
81%
#4
Duece Watts
81%
#5
Brady Kluse
79%
Matches Donte on
Total EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception
Weight
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Jeff Traylor
Pass share
50.7%
446 pass / 434 run
Plays / game
67.7
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.0%
281 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2025
1 coach2025
Jeff Traylor
UTSA
Played his entire career under Jeff Traylor.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownHuntsville, TX
Height6'2"
Weight190 lb
Class3
PositionWR
Jersey84
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamUTSA
ConferenceAmerican Athletic
Joined2025
Career arc1 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This player hasn’t appeared on a Heisman ballot tracked by the model. | |||||||||
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | UTSA | American Athletic | WR | 3 | No. 84 | 6-2 | 190 lb | Huntsville, TX |