cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Marcellus Wilkerson /UTSA

Marcellus Wilkerson

LB · UTSA · Jr · #12

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

27 TACKLES · 1 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to UTSA for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to UTSA for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Linebacker · UTSA

Returning around him

  • 96% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: -2 net (21 in / 23 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

UTSA · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #65 · 2026 recruiting class #107

LB · UTSA · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Marcellus Wilkerson

  • 3
  • #12
  • 6-1 | 210 lb
  • Fort Worth, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

54

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 63rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#10675

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP LB AWARD

Butkus

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#110 national
CFB
College
UTSA
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionLB
Class3
Jersey12
Measurements6-1 | 210 lb
HometownFort Worth, TX
Primary teamUTSA

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 110 recruit
Composite rating 0.8442 JUCO
Signed with UTSA 2023
Origin Garden City C.C. Fort Worth, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8442 No. 110 recruit | JUCO | UTSA

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#10675Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#11038Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to UTSA

Composite

0.8442

#110 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Marcellus Wilkerson

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Marcellus Wilkerson

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
27Tackles
2.5Tackles for loss
1Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0.2Tackles for loss
0.1Sacks
Projected (13g)
32Tackles
3.0Tackles for loss
1.2Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 27): needs 26.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 27): needs 36.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 1): needs 2.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 1): needs 4.5/game over remaining 2.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Marcellus Wilkerson is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on UTSA's defense, with 1.0 sacks, 2.5 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #10675 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 1.0 sacks | 2.5 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 27 15 solo | #1543/4942 (69th pct)
TFL 2.5 Backfield disruption | #1236/4972 (75th pct)
Sacks 1.0 Pass-rush finish | #872/4972 (82nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Defensive contributor against FBS defenders.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
27 69th
SOLO
15 69th
TFL
2.5 75th
SACK
1.0 82nd
QBH
1 44th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
1 43rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1L 24-42@ Texas A&M210.00.00
Wk 2L 36-43vs Texas State431.00.00
Wk 3W 48-20vs Incarnate Word220.00.01
Wk 6L 21-27@ Temple110.00.00
Wk 7W 61-13vs Rice221.01.00
Wk 8L 17-55@ North Texas310.00.00
Wk 11L 23-55@ South Florida210.50.00
Wk 12W 28-7@ Charlotte200.00.00
Wk 13W 58-24vs East Carolina200.00.00
Wk 14L 24-27vs Army640.00.00Season-high 6 tackles
BowlW 57-20vs Florida International100.00.00
Total27152.51.01
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023UTSA9-4HC: Jeff Traylor · Run-leaning
2024UTSA7-6HC: Jeff Traylor · Balanced, fast tempo
2025UTSA7-6HC: Jeff Traylor · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025UTSA27152.51.01----
2024UTSA1083.00.0------
2023UTSA1591.00.01----
Career3 loaded seasons52326.51.02----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 1 Coverage disruption | #1241/2184 (43rd pct)
QB pressures 1 Quarterback hurries | #1051/1878 (44th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 27 #1543/4942 69th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 2.5 #1236/4972 75th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 1.0 #872/4972 82nd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 1 #1241/2184 43rd pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 1 #1051/1878 44th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 15 #1434/4584 69th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g2.80.30.20.2
Road5g2.00.10.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins5g1.80.20.20.2
Losses6g3.00.20.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g2.00.30.20.2
Weeks 8+5g3.00.10.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort

54Mid-pack
6 metrics · season cumulative

Production sits in the middle of the position cohort across the board.

Sacks#847 / 2975 · 63rd pct
1.0defe
Tackles for loss#1222 / 2975 · 56th pct
2.5defe
QB hurries#1007 / 2975 · 55th pct
1defe
Solo tackles#1434 / 2975 · 50th pct
15defe
Passes defended#1191 / 2975 · 48th pct
1defe
Tackles#1543 / 2975 · 47th pct
27defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · LB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Marcellus WilkersonUTSATJ DotteryOle Miss· 68% simDaniel WingateMaryland· 67% simMichael MontgomerySouthern Miss· 67% sim
Sacks
63
Wilkerson
74
Dottery
74
Wingate
89
Montgomery
Tackles for loss
56
Wilkerson
83
Dottery
87
Wingate
85
Montgomery
QB hurries
55
Wilkerson
55
Dottery
72
Wingate
22
Montgomery
Solo tackles
50
Wilkerson
97
Dottery
99
Wingate
82
Montgomery
Passes defended
48
Wilkerson
67
Dottery
48
Wingate
67
Montgomery
Tackles
47
Wilkerson
98
Dottery
98
Wingate
99
Montgomery

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Balanced Linebacker

Solid in every phase without a signature dimension.

LB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Trey Cobb’s 2022 season.

Trey Cobb

80%match

App State · 2022

All-Sun Belt
#2

Oscar McWood

Miami (OH) · 2025

77%
#3

Kenneth McShan

Navy · 2025

76%
#4

Nate Betts

Kansas · 2021

76%
#5

Grant Sawyer

Tulsa · 2021

75%

Matches Trey on

PD rate
Weight
Class year

Differs from Trey on

Height (lower)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Jalen Woods's junior season at UCLA (2024).

Jalen Woods

87%match

UCLA · 2024

#2

Keon Wylie

Penn State · 2025

86%
#3

Julien Davis

East Carolina · 2025

84%
#4

Bryce Grays

UTSA · 2025

84%
#5

Kyle Kelly

Ohio · 2022

84%

Matches Jalen on

TFL rate
PD rate
Sack rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jeff Traylor

Pass share

50.7%

446 pass / 434 run

Plays / game

67.7

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.0%

281 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Jeff Traylor
UTSA
2024
Jeff Traylor
UTSA
2025
Jeff Traylor
UTSA

Played his entire career under Jeff Traylor.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownFort Worth, TX
Height6'1"
Weight210 lb
Class3
PositionLB
Jersey12

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 UTSA LB3 #10675 #11038 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic
2023 UTSA LB3 #10418 #10228 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | American Athletic

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 UTSA American Athletic LB 3 No. 12 | 6-1 | 210 lb | Fort Worth, TX
2024 UTSA American Athletic LB 3 No. 12 | 6-1 | 210 lb | Fort Worth, TX
2023 UTSA American Athletic LB 3 No. 12 | 6-1 | 210 lb | Fort Worth, TX