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OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Chidera Otutu /UTSA

Chidera Otutu

DL · UTSA · So · #90

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

28 TACKLES · 2.5 SACKS

2026 TRANSFERTransferred UTSA → Cincinnati for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Cincinnati

2025UTSA
2026Cincinnati

DL · UTSA · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Chidera Otutu

  • 2
  • #90
  • 6-1 | 305 lb
  • Pflugerville, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

48

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 85th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#11565

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1700 national
CFB
College
UTSA
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDL
Class2
Jersey90
Measurements6-1 | 305 lb
HometownPflugerville, TX
Primary teamUTSA

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1700 recruit
Composite rating 0.8453 HighSchool
Signed with UTSA 2024
Origin Weiss Pflugerville, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 3-star | 0.8453 No. 1700 recruit | HighSchool | UTSA

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Cincinnati 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 4, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 UTSA -> Cincinnati 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#11565Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#11907Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to UTSA

Composite

0.8453

#1700 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Chidera Otutu

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Chidera Otutu

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
28Tackles
2.5Tackles for loss
2.5Sacks
Per game
3Tackles
0.2Tackles for loss
0.2Sacks
Projected (13g)
33Tackles
3.0Tackles for loss
3.0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 28): needs 26/game over remaining 2.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 28): needs 36/game over remaining 2.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 2.5): needs 1.8/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 2.5): needs 3.8/game over remaining 2.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Chidera Otutu is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on UTSA's defense, with 2.5 sacks, 2.5 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #11565 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 2.5 sacks | 2.5 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 28 11 solo | #1469/4942 (70th pct)
TFL 2.5 Backfield disruption | #1236/4972 (75th pct)
Sacks 2.5 Pass-rush finish | #393/4972 (92nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defender

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
28 70th
SOLO
11 60th
TFL
2.5 75th
SACK
2.5 92nd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1L 24-42@ Texas A&M210.00.00
Wk 2L 36-43vs Texas State420.00.00Season-high 4 tackles
Wk 3W 48-20vs Incarnate Word300.50.50
Wk 4W 17-16@ Colorado State400.00.00
Wk 6L 21-27@ Temple100.00.00
Wk 7W 61-13vs Rice320.00.00
Wk 8L 17-55@ North Texas310.00.00
Wk 11L 23-55@ South Florida110.00.00
Wk 12W 28-7@ Charlotte100.00.00
Wk 13W 58-24vs East Carolina321.01.00
Wk 14L 24-27vs Army321.01.00
Total28112.52.50
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024UTSA7-6HC: Jeff Traylor · Balanced, fast tempo
2025UTSA7-6HC: Jeff Traylor · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025UTSA28112.52.5------
2024UTSA832.00.0------
Career2 loaded seasons36144.52.5------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 0 Coverage disruption
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 28 #1469/4942 70th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 2.5 #1236/4972 75th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 2.5 #393/4972 92nd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 11 #1855/4584 60th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home5g3.20.50.50.0
Road6g2.00.00.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins5g2.80.30.30.0
Losses6g2.30.20.20.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g2.80.10.10.0
Weeks 8+5g2.20.40.40.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DL cohort

48Mid-pack
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: sacks (85th). Concern: passes defended (17th).

Sacks#389 / 2975 · 85th pct
2.5defe
Tackles for loss#1222 / 2975 · 56th pct
2.5defe
Tackles#1469 / 2975 · 49th pct
28defe
Solo tackles#1855 / 2975 · 35th pct
11defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe
Passes defended#1916 / 2975 · 18th pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DL · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Chidera OtutuUTSAMichael MontgomerySouthern Miss· 64% simJonJon VaughnsUCLA· 63% simJackson KuwatchMiami (OH)· 60% sim
Sacks
85
Otutu
89
Montgomery
63
Vaughns
96
Kuwatch
Tackles for loss
56
Otutu
85
Montgomery
85
Vaughns
96
Kuwatch
Tackles
49
Otutu
99
Montgomery
99
Vaughns
98
Kuwatch
Solo tackles
35
Otutu
82
Montgomery
96
Vaughns
95
Kuwatch
QB hurries
22
Otutu
22
Montgomery
22
Vaughns
55
Kuwatch
Passes defended
18
Otutu
67
Montgomery
48
Vaughns
48
Kuwatch

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Two-Gap Base

Stout at the point of attack; controls his gap and stacks blocks.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Kyle Mosley’s 2025 season.

Kyle Mosley

84%match

UAB · 2025

#2

Reggie Jean

Northern Illinois · 2025

82%
#3

Luis Medina

Troy · 2021

81%
#4

Marcus Calvin

Kansas · 2025

81%
#5

Jaylon Hutchings

Texas Tech · 2021

78%

Matches Kyle on

Height
TFL rate
Sack rate

Differs from Kyle on

Class year (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Marcus Calvin's sophomore season at Kansas (2025).

Marcus Calvin

83%match

Kansas · 2025

#2

Maraad Watson

Texas · 2025

79%
#3

Jonathan Allen

UAB · 2025

76%
#4

Demeco Kennedy

Purdue · 2025

76%
#5

Jer'Zhan Newton

Illinois · 2021

NFL Rd 2 · Pk 4
76%

Matches Marcus on

Class year
Weight
TFL rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jeff Traylor

Pass share

50.7%

446 pass / 434 run

Plays / game

67.7

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.0%

281 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
Jeff Traylor
UTSA
2025
Jeff Traylor
UTSA

Played his entire career under Jeff Traylor.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownPflugerville, TX
Height6'1"
Weight305 lb
Class2
PositionDL
Jersey90

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 UTSA DL2 #11565 #11907 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 UTSA American Athletic DL 2 No. 90 | 6-1 | 305 lb | Pflugerville, TX
2024 UTSA American Athletic DL 2 No. 90 | 6-1 | 305 lb | Pflugerville, TX