Jay Kastantin

#17 · QB · Fr. · Bowling Green6′4″ · 235 lb · Needham, MA · East Coast Prep

ZPR26107th of 119 QBs Last gameL 10–23at Western Michigan · Oct 31

Nextvs Kent StateTue Nov 10 · 7 pm ET

via bgsufalcons.com ↗

Bowling Green has lost three straight in the games played. A short-game passer.

Weakest: an interception on 3.7% of throws, 24th highest of 158 starters.

Plays most like Jenkins, UCF.

Passing yards

1,567

150 of 225, 67%

TD–INT

11–8

7.0 per throw

NCAA rating

134.2

76th of 119

ZPR

107th of 119

How ZPR works

Shaky or worse in 6 of 8 graded games.

Best by our grade: at Buffalo. Lowest: South Florida, sacked 3 times. Best play: Completion for 6 yards, touchdown, against Ball State, Q4 1:12. Win chance 38% to 74%.

Tap a game for its plays

Q1Q2Q3Q4

Tarleton State

L 13–20·FCS

Shaky

262 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT · Rush 9 for 17 · Sacked 0

None of the quarterback’s own plays moved the team's chance of winning by more than a few points.

Full game page

at Nebraska

L 7–56·Unranked

Few throws

84 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT · Rush 4 for 12 · The interception cost about 5 points of win chance · Lost a fumble · Sacked 0

None of the quarterback’s own plays moved the team's chance of winning by more than a few points.

Full game page

at Iowa State

L 7–55·Unranked

Shaky

97 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT · Rush 1 for 0 · Lost a fumble · Sacked 0

Biggest swing: a Q1 completion added 24 points of win chance. Win chance: 26% to 49%.

Full game page

South Florida

L 6–14·Unranked

Rough

122 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT · Rush 7 for -7 · Sacked 3

Biggest swing: a Q4 completion added 15 points of win chance. Win chance: 8% to 23%.

Full game page

at Miami (OH)

W 24–20·Unranked

Solid

305 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT · Rush 5 for 13 · Sacked 1

Biggest swing: a Q2 completion added 29 points of win chance. It flipped the game for the team: 31% to 60%.

Full game page

Sacramento State

W 38–10·Unranked

Shaky

Slow start, strong finish · 116 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT · Rush 7 for 50, 1 TD · The interception cost about 14 points of win chance · Sacked 1

Biggest swing: a Q1 interception cost the team 14 points of win chance. It flipped the game against the team: 64% to 50%.

Full game page

Ball State

L 31–32·Unranked

Shaky

215 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT · Rush 9 for 7 · The interception cost about 9 points of win chance · Sacked 4

Biggest swing: a Q4 completion added 37 points of win chance. It flipped the game for the team: 31% to 68%.

Full game page

at Buffalo

L 24–31·Unranked

Solid

Strong start, faded late · 217 yds, 3 TD, 2 INT · Rush 14 for 34 · Interceptions cost about 14 points of win chance · Sacked 2

Biggest swing: a Q3 completion added 26 points of win chance. Win chance: 57% to 83%.

Full game page

at Western Michigan

L 10–23·Unranked

Rough

149 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT · Rush 10 for 41 · Interceptions cost about 12 points of win chance · Sacked 3

Biggest swing: a Q1 completion added 12 points of win chance. Win chance: 55% to 68%.

Full game page

Season

Gets better after halftime

How to read this

Each column is a quarter. Blue and up is a good stretch for the quarterback, red and down a bad one, hatched means the game was already decided. A red cross is a turnover and a black dot a touchdown. The word on the right grades the whole game. A gold line means the r/CFB game thread kept naming the quarterback. Tap a game to open its plays: each bar is one of the quarterback’s plays, up helped the team’s chance of winning and down hurt it, and the grey line is that chance.

The word grades the game against every FBS quarterback start, from Rough to Great, using the same throws as the season Zeitgeist Passer Rating and adjusting for the defense faced. Bars are points added per throw in that quarter. The Season row leaves out quarters after a game was decided.

Style of play

Short-game passer

Why this word

Runs4.7 a gameRarelyA lot

Throws6.5 yards past the lineShortDeep

Completes67%FewerMore

Takes sacks6% of dropbacksRarelyOften

The dot is this quarterback, among this season’s starters; the tick is the middle.

Throws shorter than most and runs some. 4.7 carries a game. Closest matches: Jenkins, Dickens, Kohl, Boley ’25.

Where the throws go

Behind the line20%typical 17%

Short50%typical 47%

Middle23%typical 22%

Deep7%typical 14%

Runs 4.7 times a game; 56% of starters run less.

Closest in style

Nearer the middle means more alike.

Jenkins UCF · Short-game passer
1,181 yards, 11 TD, 4 INT so far. Both complete a lot and throw short.
Dickens Northern Illinois · Short-game passer
1,617 yards, 8 TD, 6 INT so far. Both hit few big plays and are less efficient.
Kohl Florida International · Balanced
1,801 yards, 11 TD, 9 INT so far. Both throw interceptions and are less efficient.
Boley ’25 Kentucky 2025 · Short-game passer
2,160 yards, 15 TD, 12 INT. Both hit few big plays and complete a lot.

Compared with the 158 FBS starters this season for throws and running, and with 219 quarterbacks across 2 seasons for the matches, on how they play and how they have done.

This week

RecordBowling Green is 2-7.
Last gameOct. 31 · a loss to Western Michigan, 149 passing yards.
Next gamevs Kent State · Tue Nov 10

Worth knowing

Jay Kastantin has 16.8 rushing yards a game at home, 20 on the road.

His most important play this season

Q1, 7:00 · Bowling Green tiedJay Kastantin finds Kentrell White for a 7-yard touchdownBowling Green at Western Michigan, week 9Q1, 7:00 · Bowling Green 7, Western Michigan 0Bowling Green opened the scoringBowling Green opened the scoringJ.Kastantin pass complete short right to K.White caught at WMU00, for 7 yards to the WMU00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick goodWatch from this play CBS Sports College Football

All 2 of his plays on video

Jay Kastantin

QB · Bowling Green · Fr · #17

Filling the Shoesas of Nov 4

Jay Kastantin takes over from Drew Pyne at Bowling Green.

1,567passing yards11passing TD167rushing yards

PRODUCES ABOVE PERCEPTION · PCTL GAP

+26

perception vs production percentile · 2026

The production (39th) is outrunning the reputation (13th). The recognition is the thing lagging behind.

Read the story so far

Jay Kastantin lines up at QB for Bowling Green.

On the field, the headline is 1,567 pass yds, with 11 pass td.

Jay Kastantin inherited the QB job from Drew Pyne (4-star).

The number to watch: +26 — produces above perception · pctl gap.

QB successionleap of faith

Inherited fromDrew Pyne 4★
Pushed byAustin Novosad 4★
How many games until Austin Novosad (4★) takes the job from Jay Kastantin?

AI-generated narrative · may contain errors · not journalism · updated 2026-11-04

Career stats

Swipe the table sideways for more columns.

Season	Team
2026	Bowling Green	150	225	66.7%	1,567	7.0	11	8	134.2	26
Career		150	225	66.7%	1,567	7.0	11	8	134.2	26

Season	Team
2026	Bowling Green	66	167	2.5	1	22
Career		66	167	2.5	1	22

Last game (Wk 9): 149 passing yards, 1 passing TD, 2 interceptions.

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2026 season · 9 games

Box score · CFBD

Swipe the table sideways for more columns.

Wk	Opp	Grade	CMP/ATT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA	QBR	SK	RUSH	Note
Wk 1	L 13-20vs Tarleton State	Shaky	24/30	262	0	0	8.7	—	0	17
Wk 2	L 7-56@ Nebraska		10/16	84	1	1	5.3	8.4	0	12
Wk 3	L 7-55@ Iowa State	Shaky	8/17	97	1	1	5.7	4.7	0	0
Wk 4	L 6-14vs South Florida	Rough	16/28	122	0	0	4.4	24.5	3	-7
Wk 5	W 24-20@ Miami (OH)	Solid	25/37	305	2	0	8.2	66.2	1	13	Season-high 305 yds
Wk 6	W 38-10vs Sacramento State	Shaky	11/15	116	1	1	7.7	54.8	1	50
Wk 7	L 31-32vs Ball State	Shaky	17/24	215	2	1	9.0	18.6	4	7
Wk 8	L 24-31@ Buffalo	Solid	19/27	217	3	2	8.0	63.3	2	34	3 TD passes
Wk 9	L 10-23@ Western Michigan	Rough	20/31	149	1	2	4.8	42.3	3	41
Total			150/225	1567	11	8	7.0	—	14	167

The latest game

Oct. 31 · L 10-23 at Western Michigan

20 of 31 for 149 yards, a touchdown and 2 interceptions.

His season, game by game

The season, game by game

L 10-23 at Western MichiganOct. 31149 yds20 of 31, 1 TD, 2 INTPlay by play just above

L 24-31 at BuffaloOct. 24217 yds19 of 27, 3 TD, 2 INT

Play by playOn the field

19 of 27 for 217 yards, 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. He ran 12 times for 48 yards, after 34 runs in his other 8 games combined.

4 of 11 of his drives scored
7 of 13 on 3rd and 4th down
sacked twice
12 runs for 48 yds

First quarterbegan tied 0-0
Punt1 of 2, 4 yds1
TD4 of 4, 28 yds
Second quarterbegan tied 7-7
TD3 of 3, 66 yds2
Punt3 of 4, 10 yds
Third quarterbegan tied 14-14
Int1 of 4, 27 yds3
TD1 of 2, 13 yds
Punt1 of 1, 5 yds
Fourth quarterbegan tied 21-21
Punt—
Int0 of 2, 0 yds4
FG3 of 3, 48 yds
End2 of 2, 16 yds
FinalL 24-31

a drive that ended in a touchdown or a field goala drive he didn’t playa completion, by its yardshis runincompleteinterceptedsacked, by the yards lost

completea touchdownincompleteinterceptedhis runsacked

1
4-yard completion to Nakai Amachree on 3rd and 5. First quarter, tied 0-0.
2
40-yard touchdown pass to Trey Johnson on 3rd and 4. Second quarter, made it 14-7.
3
Intercepted on 3rd and 4. Third quarter, tied 14-14. Picked off by Buffalo’s Sedrick Vessah.
4
Intercepted on 3rd and 6. Fourth quarter, down 31-21. Picked off by Buffalo’s Miles Greer.

1020304040

leftmiddlerightno spot

a completionincompleteinterceptedsacked, below the line

Each pass sits where it was caught or thrown to, in yards past the line. The play text only says left, middle or right, so inside a lane marks are sorted, not placed.

7 more games, with the play by play

L 31-32 vs Ball StateOct. 17215 yds17 of 24, 2 TD, 1 INTBox score only

17 of 24 for 215 yards, 2 touchdowns and an interception.