Nebraska routs Bowling Green 56-7

Bowling Green0-27
Nebraska2-056Final
Sat, Sep 12 · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE), Lincoln, Neb. · Crowd 86,193FS1

Nebraska routed Bowling Green 56-7.

We had Nebraska favored. It won.

Top comment in the game thread

The big ten changing there review coverage to save face is hilarious

Q1 14:41 · r/CFB game thread · Sat, Sep 12

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Nebraska a 91% chance, and the closing betting line (Nebraska was a 30.5-point favorite) put it at 99%.

Nebraska led by 14 after the first quarter and by 35 at the half.

Q1Q2Q3Q40+49+49
FinalNebraska 56-7 Bowling GreenNebraska wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4NebraskaWon56-7ScoresChatter8 comments a minute10 comments a minute6 comments a minute5 comments a minute6 comments a minute10 comments a minute4 comments a minute7 comments a minute4 comments a minute8 comments a minute9 comments a minute6 comments a minute8 comments a minute5 comments a minute4 comments a minute3 comments a minute0 comments a minute6 comments a minute4 comments a minute3 comments a minute5 comments a minute3 comments a minute5 comments a minute6 comments a minute5 comments a minute7 comments a minute4 comments a minute5 comments a minute7 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute3 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute3 comments a minute6 comments a minute3 comments a minute4 comments a minute2 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute2 comments a minute5 comments a minute1 comments a minute4 comments a minute2 comments a minute4 comments a minute2 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4NebraskaWon56-7ScoresChatter8 comments a minute10 comments a minute6 comments a minute5 comments a minute6 comments a minute10 comments a minute4 comments a minute7 comments a minute4 comments a minute8 comments a minute9 comments a minute6 comments a minute8 comments a minute5 comments a minute4 comments a minute3 comments a minute0 comments a minute6 comments a minute4 comments a minute3 comments a minute5 comments a minute3 comments a minute5 comments a minute6 comments a minute5 comments a minute7 comments a minute4 comments a minute5 comments a minute7 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute3 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute3 comments a minute6 comments a minute3 comments a minute4 comments a minute2 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute2 comments a minute5 comments a minute1 comments a minute4 comments a minute2 comments a minute4 comments a minute2 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4NebraskaLowest 0%Lost7-56ScoresChatter8 comments a minute10 comments a minute6 comments a minute5 comments a minute6 comments a minute10 comments a minute4 comments a minute7 comments a minute4 comments a minute8 comments a minute9 comments a minute6 comments a minute8 comments a minute5 comments a minute4 comments a minute3 comments a minute0 comments a minute6 comments a minute4 comments a minute3 comments a minute5 comments a minute3 comments a minute5 comments a minute6 comments a minute5 comments a minute7 comments a minute4 comments a minute5 comments a minute7 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute3 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute3 comments a minute6 comments a minute3 comments a minute4 comments a minute2 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute2 comments a minute5 comments a minute1 comments a minute4 comments a minute2 comments a minute4 comments a minute2 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4NebraskaLowest 0%Lost7-56ScoresChatter8 comments a minute10 comments a minute6 comments a minute5 comments a minute6 comments a minute10 comments a minute4 comments a minute7 comments a minute4 comments a minute8 comments a minute9 comments a minute6 comments a minute8 comments a minute5 comments a minute4 comments a minute3 comments a minute0 comments a minute6 comments a minute4 comments a minute3 comments a minute5 comments a minute3 comments a minute5 comments a minute6 comments a minute5 comments a minute7 comments a minute4 comments a minute5 comments a minute7 comments a minute0 comments a minute0 comments a minute3 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute3 comments a minute6 comments a minute3 comments a minute4 comments a minute2 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute2 comments a minute5 comments a minute1 comments a minute4 comments a minute2 comments a minute4 comments a minute2 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute2 comments a minute0 comments a minute1 comments a minute1 comments a minute

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

What fans said, play by play

The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.

  1. Q1 14:41Nebraska fans argue a questionable interception call on Colandrea pass to GilmerQuoted at the top of the page.Am I on crack or does Nebraska have it and is just down? Refs never even thought about thatr/CFB game thread
  2. Q1 7:34Colandrea throws deep touchdown pass to Barney for NebraskaThank you for being the our only receiver that didn’t eat popcorn before the game, Barneyr/CFB game threadDarn Apple Watch buzzed me as the ball was being thrown so I knew it was gonna be a score 😅r/CFB game thread
  3. Q1 3:36Nebraska fans celebrate Colandrea's touchdown pass to Gilmer, making it 14-0I frickin love Colandrea man. This team has been missing that kind of competitive fire.r/CFB game threadColandrea is like a lot better than I expectedr/CFB game thread
  4. Q2 6:28Nebraska fans mock broadcast audio after holding penalty gives Bowling Green favorable field positionHaven't yelled Barney at my TV that much in like 30 years lolr/CFB game thread
  5. Q2 0:50Nebraska fans mock the clock not stopping for the halfClock doesn't stop if the player goes backwards out of boundsr/CFB game threadPUT A SECOND ON THE CLOCK COWARDSr/CFB game thread
Nebraska’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Nebraska -30.5), at 97% for Nebraska (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. The gray band is r/CFB game-thread activity, its loudest stretches in gold. A gold diamond marks a play fans were reacting to.

Every drive

Nebraska scored on 7 of its 10 drives; Bowling Green on 1 of its 11.

Nebraska’s drives are teal, Bowling Green’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Nebraska: Interception, from 75 yards out to 62InterceptionBowling Green: Punt, from 54 yards out to 56PuntNebraska: Touchdown, from 59 yards out to 0TouchdownBowling Green: Interception, from 75 yards out to 56InterceptionNebraska: Touchdown, from 38 yards out to 0TouchdownBowling Green: Punt, from 75 yards out to 69PuntQ2Nebraska: Touchdown, from 77 yards out to 0TouchdownBowling Green: Punt, from 83 yards out to 79PuntNebraska: Touchdown, from 73 yards out to 0TouchdownBowling Green: Punt, from 85 yards out to 80PuntNebraska: Touchdown, from 79 yards out to 0TouchdownBowling Green: Punt, from 75 yards out to 67PuntNebraska: End of half, from 87 yards out to 48End of halfQ3Bowling Green: Punt, from 75 yards out to 44PuntNebraska: Missed field goal, from 45 yards out to 37Missed FGBowling Green: Touchdown, from 63 yards out to 0TouchdownQ4Nebraska: Touchdown, from 60 yards out to 0TouchdownBowling Green: Fumble returned for a touchdown, from 75 yards out to 75Fumble TDBowling Green: Punt, from 75 yards out to 72PuntNebraska: Touchdown, from 79 yards out to 0TouchdownBowling Green: Uncategorized, from 75 yards out to 69Uncategorized
“last year we had a weird INT like this as well right?”
A Nebraska fan

When fans got loud

Busy

Fans peaked in the opening quarter.

Jump to the loudest stretch

The jump was busy; the crowd was quiet.

FirstSecondThirdFourthNebraska fansBowling Green fansusual

Box score

Nebraska 56, Bowling Green 7

Nebraska covered −30.5 by 18.5. The total, 63, went over 48.5.

Bowling GreenNebraskaTotal yardsBowling Green 169Nebraska 546169546Passing yardsBowling Green 84Nebraska 28284282Rushing yardsBowling Green 85Nebraska 26485264First downsBowling Green 9Nebraska 28928TurnoversBowling Green 2Nebraska 121Time of possessionBowling Green 28:19Nebraska 31:4128:1931:41
Team totalsBowling GreenNebraska
Total yards169546
Passing10 of 16, 84 yds26 of 32, 282 yds
Rushing32 for 85 yds34 for 264 yds
First downs928
Third down2 of 125 of 8
Fourth down1 of 12 of 2
Turnovers21
Penalties8 for 49 yds7 for 65 yds
Time of possession28:1931:41

Bowling Green leaders

  • Passing Jay Kastantin 10 of 16, 84 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT
  • Rushing Nakai Amachree 13 for 53 yds; Austyn Dendy 11 for 29 yds
  • Receiving Leo Kemp 1 for 19 yds, 1 TD; Jeremiah Scoby 2 for 19 yds

Nebraska leaders

  • Passing Anthony Colandrea 20 of 24, 222 yds, 4 TD, 1 INT
  • Rushing Jamal Rule 8 for 88 yds, 1 TD; Isaiah Mozee 8 for 55 yds, 1 TD
  • Receiving Jacory Barney Jr. 8 for 115 yds, 2 TD; Kwazi Gilmer 6 for 39 yds, 2 TD

No rain through the game

72° at kickoff · no rain recorded

The usual here around this date is 73°, with about 7 in 10 games between 63° and 87°.

September game-day temperatures at Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)

Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Nebraska favoredBowling Green favored100%Win chanceNebraskaRaininches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWindmph, average and gusts20 mph40 mphHourly wind only at this airport
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Nebraska favoredBowling Green favoredRain · inches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWind · miles per hour2040Hourly wind only at this airport

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 14:41 left6:06 p.m.
Bowling Green 0, Nebraska 0 · Nebraska 97% to win
no rain · 72°
Colandrea 13-yd pass to Gilmer
Where this weather comes fromMeasured at Lincoln airport, 3.1 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games · 2025 season

Bowling Green · 4-8

Rated 117th in our preseason ratings, 121st now.

1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

W 45-14 @ Massachusetts #270 of 667

won by 31 as a 14.5-point favorite

Bowling Green won 45-14 at Massachusetts. Chance to win started at 79%, low 79%, high better than 99%.

L 16-19 vs Akron #160 of 667

lost by 3 as a 2.5-point favorite

Bowling Green lost 16-19 vs Akron. Chance to win started at 67%, low 6%, high 82%.

L 21-27 @ Eastern Michigan #156 of 667

lost by 6 as a 3.5-point underdog

Bowling Green lost 21-27 at Eastern Michigan. Chance to win started at 32%, low under 1%, high 62%.

L 3-28 vs Buffalo #127 of 667

lost by 25 as a 2.5-point favorite

Bowling Green lost 3-28 vs Buffalo. Chance to win started at 64%, low under 1%, high 64%.

L 21-24 @ Kent State #217 of 667

lost by 3 as a 7.5-point favorite

Bowling Green lost 21-24 at Kent State. Chance to win started at 62%, low under 1%, high 97%.

L 6-27 vs Central Michigan #132 of 667

lost by 21 as a 3.5-point favorite

Bowling Green lost 6-27 vs Central Michigan. Chance to win started at 73%, low under 1%, high 76%.

W 28-23 vs Toledo #50 of 667

won by 5 as a 10.5-point underdog

Bowling Green won 28-23 vs Toledo. Chance to win started at 23%, low 1%, high better than 99%.

L 20-35 @ Ohio #74 of 667

lost by 15 as a 7.5-point underdog

Bowling Green lost 20-35 at Ohio. Chance to win started at 29%, low under 1%, high 29%.

L 17-40 @ LouisvilleTop 25 #32 of 667

lost by 23 as a 25.5-point underdog

Bowling Green lost 17-40 at Louisville. Chance to win started at 4%, low under 1%, high 7%.

W 23-13 vs Liberty #91 of 667

won by 10 as a 6.5-point underdog

Bowling Green won 23-13 vs Liberty. Chance to win started at 36%, low 34%, high better than 99%.

L 20-34 @ CincinnatiTop 25 #51 of 667

lost by 14 as a 21.5-point underdog

Bowling Green lost 20-34 at Cincinnati. Chance to win started at 7%, low under 1%, high 9%.

W 26-7 vs Lafayette #186 of 667

won by 19 as a 21.5-point favorite

Bowling Green won 26-7 vs Lafayette. Chance to win started at 97%, low 96%, high better than 99%.

Last three games · 2025 season

Nebraska · 7-6

Rated 40th in our preseason ratings, 37th now.

Three straight losses, each by 20 or more.

L 22-44 @ UtahTop 25 #12 of 667

lost by 22 as a 13.5-point underdog

Nebraska lost 22-44 vs Utah. Chance to win started at 14%, low under 1%, high 47%.

L 16-40 vs IowaTop 25 #27 of 667

lost by 24 as a 5.5-point underdog

Nebraska lost 16-40 vs Iowa. Chance to win started at 42%, low under 1%, high 56%.

L 10-37 @ Penn StateTop 25 #13 of 667

lost by 27 as a 7.5-point underdog

Nebraska lost 10-37 at Penn State. Chance to win started at 23%, low under 1%, high 31%.

W 28-21 @ UCLA #62 of 667

won by 7 as a 2.5-point underdog

Nebraska won 28-21 at UCLA. Chance to win started at 35%, low 35%, high 96%.

L 17-21 vs USCTop 25 #14 of 667

lost by 4 as a 4.5-point underdog

Nebraska lost 17-21 vs USC. Chance to win started at 44%, low 12%, high 83%.

W 28-21 vs Northwestern #61 of 667

won by 7 as a 7.5-point favorite

Nebraska won 28-21 vs Northwestern. Chance to win started at 76%, low 53%, high better than 99%.

L 6-24 @ Minnesota #53 of 667

lost by 18 as a 6.5-point favorite

Nebraska lost 6-24 at Minnesota. Chance to win started at 59%, low under 1%, high 71%.

W 34-31 @ Maryland #52 of 667

won by 3 as a 6.5-point favorite

Nebraska won 34-31 at Maryland. Chance to win started at 63%, low 16%, high 98%.

W 38-27 vs Michigan State #70 of 667

won by 11 as a 12.5-point favorite

Nebraska won 38-27 vs Michigan State. Chance to win started at 85%, low 42%, high better than 99%.

L 27-30 vs MichiganTop 25 #15 of 667

lost by 3 as a 1.5-point underdog

Nebraska lost 27-30 vs Michigan. Chance to win started at 58%, low 1%, high 65%.

W 59-7 vs Houston Christian #206 of 667

won by 52 as a 46.5-point favorite

Nebraska won 59-7 vs Houston Christian. Never in doubt.

W 68-0 vs Akron #158 of 667

won by 68 as a 33.5-point favorite

Nebraska won 68-0 vs Akron. Chance to win started at 99%, low 98%, high better than 99%.

W 20-17 @ CincinnatiTop 25 #51 of 667

won by 3 as a 5.5-point favorite

Nebraska won 20-17 vs Cincinnati. Chance to win started at 57%, low 41%, high 97%.

Week by week

Nebraska

  • Wk 1Wvs Ohio49-21

Bowling Green

  • Wk 1Lvs Tarleton State13-20

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Nebraska’s rushing EPA against Bowling Green, 83 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

  1. Nebraska’s rushing EPA against Bowling Green’s defense

    83 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Nebraska offense, 95th percentile · Bowling Green defense, 12th

  2. Bowling Green’s EPA/play against Nebraska’s defense

    65 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Bowling Green offense, 13th percentile · Nebraska defense, 78th

  3. Nebraska’s explosive plays against Bowling Green’s defense

    38 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Nebraska offense, 93rd percentile · Bowling Green defense, 55th

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

Bowling GreenNebraska
EPA/play, offense
Bowling Green ·…Nebraska · 83
EPA/play, defense
Bowling Green · 20Nebraska · 78
Success rate, offense
Bowling Green · 16Nebraska · 63
Success rate, defense
Bowling Green · 9Nebraska · 86
Explosive-play rate, offense
Bowling Green · 7Nebraska · 93
Explosive-play rate, defense
Bowling Green · 55Nebraska · 22
Rush EPA, offense
Bowling Green · 7Nebraska · 95
Rush EPA, defense
Bowling Green · 12Nebraska · 48
Pass EPA, offense
Bowling Green · 30Nebraska · 65
Pass EPA, defense
Bowling Green · 47Nebraska · 92

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Nebraska fans are feeling it more than most fanbases this week (61st among FBS fanbases), in line with the numbers.

  • Model · 91%
  • Line · 99%
  • Nebraska fans · 61st
  • Bowling Green fans · 50th

Nebraska favored by 30.5 · Total 48.5

How games like this usually go

Nebraska by 30.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.

The market

The spread moved 5 points toward Nebraska.

opened −25.5now −30.5

Spread: −25.5 → −30.5

The books’ cut: 2.7%, the margin built into the odds

Weather at kickoff

Mild and dry. Feels like 68° at kickoff.

Bowling Green at Nebraska · Saturday, Sept. 12, 2026 · Memorial Stadium, Lincoln

  • 68°feels like at kickoff
  • Dryno rain at kickoff
  • 100weather score, Ideal

Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.

Kickoff times that Saturday

Games in this time zone used 5 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game is ringed. At Memorial Stadium that day, a 11 am kickoff would have scored 98, against 100 at 6 pm.

  • 11 am: 98, Comfortable
  • 2:30 pm: 99, Comfortable
  • 3:15 pm: 99, Comfortable
  • 6 pm: 100, Ideal (this game)
  • 6:45 pm: 100, Ideal

Weather score at each kickoff time.

Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.

Home field

Nebraska is worth +5.2 points (±3.9) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top third of FBS, 69th percentile.

47% at home, 28% on the road against FBS opponents (24-27 home, 11-29 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -0.2 at home vs. away over 97 games — inside the ±5.9 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 682 miles to get here.

Where next