Bowling Green at Nebraska
Fan take
Bowling Green fans
Nebraska fans
How they got here
Last three games · 2025 season
Bowling Green · 4-8
Picked #118 in the preseason · now #118 — about right.
1-2 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
W 45–14 @ Massachusetts #274 of 668
won by 31 as a 14.5-point favorite
L 16–19 vs Akron #161 of 668
lost by 3 as a 2-point favorite
L 21–27 @ Eastern Michigan #160 of 668
lost by 6 as a 3-point underdog
L 3–28 vs Buffalo #110 of 668
lost by 25 as a 2.5-point favorite
L 21–24 @ Kent State #230 of 668
lost by 3 as a 7.5-point favorite
L 6–27 vs Central Michigan #112 of 668
lost by 21 as a 3.5-point favorite
W 28–23 vs Toledo #42 of 668
won by 5 as a 10.5-point underdog
L 20–35 @ Ohio #65 of 668
lost by 15 as a 7.5-point underdog
L 17–40 @ LouisvilleTop 25 #32 of 668
lost by 23 as a 25.5-point underdog
W 23–13 vs Liberty #51 of 668
won by 10 as a 6.5-point underdog
L 20–34 @ CincinnatiTop 25 #52 of 668
lost by 14 as a 22.5-point underdog
W 26–7 vs Lafayette #182 of 668
won by 19 as a 21.5-point favorite
Last three games · 2025 season
Nebraska · 7-6
Picked #40 in the preseason · now #31 — about right.
Three straight losses, each by 20 or more.
L 22–44 @ UtahTop 25 #13 of 668
lost by 22 as a 13.5-point underdog
L 16–40 vs IowaTop 25 #23 of 668
lost by 24 as a 5.5-point underdog
L 10–37 @ Penn StateTop 25 #10 of 668
lost by 27 as a 7-point underdog
W 28–21 @ UCLA #74 of 668
won by 7 as a 2.5-point underdog
L 17–21 vs USCTop 25 #15 of 668
lost by 4 as a 4.5-point underdog
W 28–21 vs Northwestern #54 of 668
won by 7 as a 7-point favorite
L 6–24 @ Minnesota #47 of 668
lost by 18 as a 7-point favorite
W 34–31 @ Maryland #73 of 668
won by 3 as a 6.5-point favorite
W 38–27 vs Michigan State #78 of 668
won by 11 as a 12.5-point favorite
L 27–30 vs MichiganTop 25 #10 of 668
lost by 3 as a 1-point favorite
W 59–7 vs Houston Christian #165 of 668
won by 52 as a 48.5-point favorite
W 68–0 vs Akron #152 of 668
won by 68 as a 33.5-point favorite
W 20–17 @ CincinnatiTop 25 #39 of 668
won by 3 as a 6-point favorite
What’s at stake
Bowling Green
- Bowling Green is still shaking off a 49-point loss.
Nebraska
- Nebraska sits at 4% to make the CFP field — 4% with a win here, 2% with a loss.
- Nebraska hasn’t beaten a ranked opponent since 2016.
The series
Nebraska leads the series 1-0
1 meeting since 2026 · Nebraska won the last meeting
- 2026Nebraska 56–7
Best players
Bowling Green
- Dorian Pringle (LB) · 23 tackles
- Kal-El Pascal (S) · 22 tackles
- Preston EstoEsta (S) · 13 tackles
Nebraska
- Jacory Barney Jr. (WR) · 175 receiving yards
- Jamal Rule (RB) · 210 rushing yards
- Anthony Colandrea (QB) · 497 passing yards — Heisman odds: 41st (+10000)
The line, and the room
Bowling Green fans are feeling better about their season (60th percentile) than Nebraska fans are (50th) — even with Nebraska favored here.
- Model · 91%
- Market · 99%
- Nebraska fans · 50th
- Bowling Green fans · 60th
Home −30.5 · O/U 48.5
Conditions
79°F · 9 mph wind · Fair
Nebraska is worth +5.4 points (±4.0) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top third of FBS, 70th percentile.
47% at home, 26% on the road against FBS opponents (23–26 home, 10–28 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -0.1 at home vs. away over 70 games — inside the ±7.4 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. The visitors travel about 682 miles to get here.
Bowling Green 7 – Nebraska 56
Called it — picked Nebraska to win.
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- BoxThe line
Kal-El Pascal (Bowling Green): 13 tackles
Top 1% tackles game since 2021.
Win-probability model: CollegeFootballData.
Recent games
Nebraska
- Wk 1Wvs Ohio49-21
Bowling Green
- Wk 1Lvs Tarleton State13-20
Trajectory
Nebraska handled Bowling Green 56-7, matching the pregame favorite.