Ohio

1-1

Mid-American · John Hauser, year 2 (2-1) · Peden Stadium · 24,000 · 21,037 avg in 2026

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The model#54 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #124 (-16.4) · FPI #110
The marketSouth Alabama by 4.5at South Alabama · our model 37% Ohio · a number, not a pick

LastW 29–27 vs Jacksonville State · Sat Sep 12 · Matt Vezza 80 pass yds, 1 TD, 67 rush yds

Nextat South Alabama · Sat Sep 19 · 7 pm ET · Hancock Whitney Stadium · South Alabama by 4.5 · series 1-0 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Ohio · 2026 schedule & results1-1
WkDateUsOppLineOpponentResultRecordConf
1Sep 5#50#40+24@NebraskaL 21–49 1390-10-0
2Sep 12#47#70-1.5Jacksonville StateW 29–27 1381-10-0
3Sep 19#54#64+4.5@South Alabama
4Sep 26#54#238Stonehill
5Oct 3@Kent State
6Oct 10Central Michigan
7Oct 17@Sacramento State
8Oct 24Eastern Michigan
10Nov 4@Akron
11Nov 11@Miami (OH)
12Nov 18Ball State
13Nov 27Toledo
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)
DateOppResultYdsTOTOPEPA/playSuccess%Explosive%Note
Sep 12Jacksonville StateW 29–27262031:35+0.02839.4%97.6%
Sep 5@NebraskaL 21–49303129:21+0.12835.3%132.9%
Season average (2 games)2820.5+0.07837.4%115.3%
Verdict Begins·Live

Ohio just won its seventh straight bowl game — the second-longest active streak in the country — under its third head coach in three years, a quietly relentless program that loses its coaches to bigger jobs and keeps winning anyway.

Title DroughtSince 2024 · 2 yrs

Athens doesn't carry a grudge so much as a quiet pride: the Bobcats keep getting their coaches stolen by bigger programs, and they keep reloading and winning bowls. The fanbase has stopped apologizing…

low signal
Read the full program story ↓

The season in chapters

What fans said

Real posts from the day of the game, chosen by community score · usernames not shown

What it is like to watch them2025 · 9-4 · last season

Game feel50shootoutscombined pts / game3rd highest-scoring of 13 in the Mid-American
Heart rate5-3white-knucklein one-score games (8 of 13)1st most one-score games of 13 in the Mid-American
Margin+5.8comfortableavg scoring margin3rd best margin of 13 in the Mid-American
Tempo67uptempooffensive plays / game3rd fastest of 13 in the Mid-American
Big plays1.22some popexplosiveness (IsoPPP)6th most explosive of 13 in the Mid-American
Home crowd21,007avg attendance2nd biggest crowds of 13 in the Mid-American

✓ measured from 13 games · ranks are among Mid-American teams the same season

Recent form · last 10 games · incl. 2025

Ohio has won four of its last five.

Warming. 7-3 over the last 10, and won the last one.

Streak W1Last 5 · 4-1Last 10 · 7-3
The offensive staff saw the look they wanted, and Riley (Neer) did a great job running the route
Hauser · The Post (Athens)3 days after Ohio's 2026 opener
The forecast

Next Sep 19

vs South Alabama · away

StrongRun-heavy, ground-controlMethodical, ball-control

~ our read on style

Market outlook

Season expectations

CFP championship#81 in field+100000
MAC title#4 in market+600

Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-09-14

Ohio · the story right now 7 storylines developing

What Ohio's coaching hire is really about

the open questioncan a new staff change the trajectory?

coachingthis cycle~readnew

John Hauser inherits a 9-4 program with 65% production returning, but the 126th talent rank and 97% QB continuity demand he prove historic Southeast Ohio football can thrive beyond legacy names.

what happenedJohn Hauser took over as Ohio's head coach, replacing Brian Smith. ✓ fact
the contextreplaces 4-year head coach Tim Albin (34-19)

our readdeveloping

program_outlookthis cycle~readnew

Ohio dropped 21 spots in SP+ — the 9-4 record and 126th talent rank create a split screen between recent success and the challenge of sustaining it under first-year coach Brian Smith.

what happenedOhio enters 2026 rated No. 84 in 2025 SP+ (-4.0), down 21 spots from 2024. ✓ fact

our readbackground

coordinators2025 cycle~readnew

John Hauser inherits a 9-4 winning record and a coordinator-driven reshaping of units as Ohio seeks to redefine its historic-southeast-Ohio identity in the MAC.

what happenedOhio: coordinator change reshaping a unit. ✓ fact

our readfront page

identitythis cycle~readnew

Brian Smith begins his tenure at Ohio with a 9-4 record anchoring a program defined by its historic identity and shifting fanbase expectations.

what happenedOhio: the fanbase's identity shifting. ✓ fact

our readfront page

deep threat2025 cycle~attributednew

Chase Hendricks is a real deep-ball threat -- a high share of his targets come on throws past the sticks.

our readbackground

short yardage2025 cycle~attributednew

Sieh Bangura converts 3rd/4th-and-short at an elite rate.

our readbackground

coaching2025 cycle~readnew

Brian Smith inherits Tim Albin's 9-4 foundation with 65% production returning and Peden Stadium's historic expectations weighing on his first season.

what happenedBrian Smith took over as Ohio's head coach, replacing Tim Albin. ✓ fact
the contextreplaces 4-year head coach Tim Albin (34-19)

our readfront page

How past storylines here turned out

ReplacedOhio moved on from that hire — a new coaching change began the following season. See who's next →
ReplacedOhio's defensive coordinator spot turned over again the following season. See who's next →
Died downOhio's offensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.

Outcome band · Ohio · 2026

Ohio's most likely season is 7-6 — a bowl game. The floor is 4-8; the ceiling is 9-4.

Floor4-8No postseason.
Base7-6A bowl game.
Ceiling9-4A bowl game, 2 more wins.

Floor, base and ceiling come from the season-path projection, which plays out conference title games and the CFP — so a ceiling can run past 12 games.

How the room reactedreal evidence · tap rooms to explore
Following now · Ohio · Season outlook Confidence

Ohio enters the season in the middle of the pack. That's the whole tension.

Ohio enters 2026 rated No. 84 in 2025 SP+ (-4.0), down 21 spots from 2024. SP+ reflects three years of tape; a drop this steep is structural, not noise. The recovery window is open but the room knows it. Preview coverage is split — believers and skeptics are reading the same data differently.

bullish — but with real dissent where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Skeptics1 doubt take
Believers4 bull takes
🎪 drama: simmering💬 fans: 10% volume · mostly neutral
The saga so far3 weeks old
last weekOhio releases initial depth chart — Reported
3 weeks agoNick Poulos named Ohio QB1 — Official
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Ohio dropped 21 spots in SP+ — the 9-4 record and 126th talent rank create a split screen between recent success and the challenge of sustaining it under first-year coach Brian Smith.
Source of record: Ohio enters 2026 rated No. 84 in 2025 SP+ (-4.0), down 21 spots from 2024.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
The Circus dramaBelievers bullishSkeptics dissentThe Boards quiet
🎪The circus“Ohio completes comeback, usurps Jacksonville State in 4OT thrill” — the saga that won't quit.

The off-field storyline driving the noise right now. Not analysis — the soap opera, and that's the point.

“Ohio completes comeback, usurps Jacksonville State in 4OT thriller”
The Athens Messenger · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
📣Believers4 bullish items -- the case it's working.

The 'the projection is underselling us' read -- fans betting the season beats the preview number.

“Football: Ohio’s resiliency key to winning quadruple overtime thriller over Jacksonville State”
thepostathens.com · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
“Ohio Football wins 4OT thriller in comeback win over Jacksonville State - WOUB Public Media -”
news · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
“Ohio Football Wins a Four-Overtime Thriller Against Jacksonville State”
ohiobobcats.com · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
🧐Skeptics“Week 2 truths: Ohio State's big game problem; Oregon, Oklahoma s” — the real counter.

The 'the model has seen the tape' counter -- efficiency ratings reward what a program has actually done, not hope.

“Week 2 truths: Ohio State's big game problem; Oregon, Oklahoma still haven't fixed things”
Espn CFB · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
💬The boards10% of recent board volume — quieter than the headlines. Board mood this week: mostly neutral · anger notable (77%).

This event was in 53 of 515 board posts (10%) over the last 60 days — engaged but not consumed. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.

"Meanwhile Ohio would let blacks in the state, but they had to pay a $500 bond and have a white man vouch for their character."
r/CFB ~ fan take
"Hi everyone! I'm a college student conducting a short survey for my Behavioral Sciences Statistics class. My research question is: **Do fantasy football participants watch more NFL"
r/ohiouniversity ~ fan take

Board health this week (95 posts): 25% positive · 39% neutral · 36% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.

Following now · Ohio · Coaching Confidence

The John Hauser story at Ohio won't sit still.

John Hauser took over as Ohio's head coach, replacing Brian Smith. It is replaces 4-year head coach Tim Albin (34-19). It's not the hire that's the story anymore — it's everything it set in motion. The coverage is thin so far; the story is still writing itself.

The saga so far4 weeks old
last weekNOTEBOOK: Takeaways from Ohio football head coach John Hauser’s Week Two Press Conference — woub.org
last weekOhio releases initial depth chart — Reported
2 weeks agoFootball: Takeaways from John Hauser’s week one press conference — thepostathens.com
3 weeks agoNick Poulos named Ohio QB1 — Official
3 weeks agoThe John Hauser Coaches' Show Returns Monday, August 31 — ohiobobcats.com
The cast who's driving the story · latest headline on each, attributed
John Hauser Head coach
“NOTEBOOK: Takeaways from Ohio football head coach John Hauser’s Week Two Press Conference” — woub.org · 2026-09-07
Brian Smith Out
“Ohio Football Head Coach Brian Smith on leave, John Hauser named interim - WOUB Public Media -” — news · 2025-12-01
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
John Hauser inherits a 9-4 program with 65% production returning, but the 126th talent rank and 97% QB continuity demand he prove historic Southeast Ohio football can thrive beyond legacy names.
Source of record: John Hauser took over as Ohio's head coach, replacing Brian Smith — replaces 4-year head coach Tim Albin (34-19).
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
The Circus dramaBelievers bullishSkeptics no dissentThe Boards thinThe Dominoes active
🎪The circus“John Hauser officially introduced as Ohio head football coach” — the saga that won't quit.

The off-field storyline driving the noise right now. Not analysis — the soap opera, and that's the point.

“John Hauser officially introduced as Ohio head football coach”
The Athens Messenger · 2026-01-09 · read ↗
📣Believers0 bullish/hire items -- the case it's working.

The 'this hire changes everything' takes -- new-era believers making the case early.

“NOTEBOOK: Takeaways from Ohio football head coach John Hauser’s Week Two Press Conference”
woub.org · 2026-09-07 · read ↗
“Football: Takeaways from John Hauser’s week one press conference”
thepostathens.com · 2026-09-01 · read ↗
“The John Hauser Coaches' Show Returns Monday, August 31”
ohiobobcats.com · 2026-08-19 · read ↗
🧐SkepticsNo prominent dissent — the coverage runs one way.

The 'show me the body of work' counter -- resume gaps, scheme fits, and 'not that guy' reads.

Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.

💬The boards2 board mentions — too thin to call a stance. Board mood this week: mostly neutral · anger notable (77%).

Only 2 of 515 board posts mention it — below our floor to call a community stance. Shown as texture, not a verdict.

"Hey all. I spent the offseason building a full 2026 preseason preview for every FBS team, each with its own writeup. Here's the Ohio one ["
r/ohiouniversity ~ fan take
"Great season for the Bobcats! - Should have been in the Mac Championship - Beat our neighbor WVU in Athens (after their fans bought out most of our tickets lol) - Lost 2x close gam"
r/CFB ~ fan take

Board health this week (95 posts): 25% positive · 39% neutral · 36% negative. Team-level weekly mood — not specific to this event. The boards ≠ the fanbase: a self-selected vocal slice.

🔗The dominoes11 downstream moves — the hire's knock-on effects.

The second-order trail: commits, decommits, portal and staff knock-on from the hire.

“Ohio high school football coordinators love the game, and the grind”
The Columbus Dispatch · 2026-09-09 · read ↗
“Three predictions for Ohio State recruiting for September”
On3 · 2026-09-04 · read ↗

Rival pulse

Miami (OH)
Hopeful
+15
Battle of the Bricks

Fan mood index · most recent r/cfb data

More in this tab

Game dayWhat a Saturday in this stadium actually feels like.
The experience

Ohio is the MAC program whose Frank Solich tenure (2005-2020) + the Tim Albin years that followed (2021-2024) + Peden Stadium hill setting define what historic-southeast-Ohio football looks like.

Offense: StrongRun/Pass: Run-heavy, ground-controlTempo: Methodical, ball-control
Open questionsThe unresolved questions this season keeps asking.
Program ledgerEvery dated move on this program's record, newest first.

The program ledger

since 2025
  • 2025Brian Smith departs8-4
  • 2025Hired John Hauser
  • 2025Hired Brian Smith
RosterWho's gone, who's back, who replaces them.

Roster Reload - Ohio

2026 snapshot - 2026-09-15
Returning Production62%Moderate continuity
Talent Composite#129 nationally247 composite 522.8
Portal Additions19Primary repair: CB
Portal Losses16Primary pressure: WR
Draft Loss0No NFL Draft departures recorded
Recruiting Reload#107Depth class
EDGEin 3 - Cody Raymond3.49out 3 - Danny Novickas3.49Even
current room: 240 lbs avg (2025 roster)
WRin 2 - Preston Bowman3.50out 3 - Chase Hendricks4.38Downgrade
current room: 200 lbs avg (2025 roster)
TEin 2 - Jake Furtney3.49out 2 - Mason Williams3.50Even
current room: 253 lbs avg (2025 roster)
OTin 2 - Sandro Malicevic3.40out 2 - Ibrahim Kebe3.40Even
CBin 3 - KJ Sejour3.40out 0Need Filled
current room: 186 lbs avg (2025 roster)
IOLin 2 - CJ Dawson3.50out 1 - Davion Weatherspoon3.60Even
current room: 301 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Full roster (156 players)
Offseason movesEvery addition and subtraction since the last snap.

The Offseason Ledger · Ohio

4 verified updates · portal · recruiting · staff · news
  1. News

    Nick Poulos named Ohio QB1

    Hauser hands Poulos the keys in a MAC rebuild that's leaning harder on the portal than recruiting — ranked #107 nationally, the Bobcats need a steady hand at QB while the WR room gets sorted out around him.

    Aug 24Official
  2. News

    Ohio releases initial depth chart

    Initial depth chart out in Athens and the WR room is the story — a #107 class doesn't paper over thin outside depth, and Hauser's offense needs more than bodies at the position.

  3. News

    '5-to-play-5' rule applied to Ohio State players

    The '5-to-play-5' rule means Ohio gets bodies from Columbus that wouldn't have looked at Athens twice — for a WR room ranked 121st nationally, that pipeline matters more than any portal bid.

  4. Recruiting

    Jett Harrison commits to Ohio State

    Smith's first full class at Ohio sits at #121 nationally — Harrison fills a WR room under genuine pressure, but the MAC rebuild needs volume, not just one piece.

Who's movedWho's transferring in and out, right now.

Transfer portal snapshot

-3.2 net portal points
(raw ledger: +4.9 — unweighted, no position adjustment)
CB
+7.7
need filled
QB
-2.7
WR
-2.4
IOL
+1.9
S
+1.3
DL
-0.5
EDGE
-0.3
TE
-0.1
K
+0.0
OT
+0.0
RB
+0.0
Top commits

Top 3 commits

2026 class
★★★☆☆
Danny Fortson
OT · Cincinnati, OH
#731 national
★★★☆☆
Brandon Jenkins
ATH · Arlington Heights, IL
#774 national
★★★☆☆
Kaden Page
WR · Wapakoneta, OH
#1358 national
Profiles like a typical incoming wide receiver — 18 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Possession Receiver archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
Where they're fromWhere this class actually comes from, on the map.

Recruiting Footprint · 2026

18
OH · 13AL · 1GA · 1IA · 1IL · 1IN · 1

OH leads the 2026 class with 13 commits. National footprint reaching 6 states.

Where they recruit · 2023-2026

69 signees across 20 states, 2023-2026. OH leads the pull.

MEVTNHWAIDMTNDMNWI1MI3NYMAOR1NVWYSDIA1IL4IN5OH29PA3NJCTCA3UTCONE1MO2KY1WVVA2MD4DERIAZNMKSARTNNC2SCDCOK1LAMS1AL1GA2AKHITXFL2
Source CFB Zeitgeist · player_recruiting_profiles
Miles from homeHow far this roster travelled to get here.

Miles from home · 2026 roster

The median Ohio player grew up 214 miles from campus.

Half this roster came from closer than that; half came from farther.

31st-closest to home in FBS of 135 ranked →
Closest to homeFarthest from home
Middle 50%122–435 miquartile spread
Within 100 mi18%24 of 131 players
Farthest2,163 miDerek Reagans · San Francisco, CA
Closest1 miBrady Wharton · Athens, OH

Straight-line distance from each player's listed hometown to Peden Stadium. Hometowns are placed at city-centroid precision, not street address — fine at this scale, but a player's true door-to-door number can differ by a few miles. 131 of 156 listed players have a geocoded hometown. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

In-state shareHow much of this roster is home-grown.

Who owns OH · 2026 roster

46% of the Ohio roster grew up in OH.

62 of 136 players, drawn from 28 states in all. That is the 37th-highest in-state share of 135 ranked FBS programs.

OH · 62CA · 10IL · 7FL · 6IN · 6MD · 6GA · 4MI · 4+20 more

Where the 2026 roster is from

136 players across 28 states. Biggest pull outside OH: CA (10).

MEVTNHWAIDMTNDMN1WI1MI4NY2MA1ORNVWYSDIA1IL7IN6OH62PA4NJ1CT1CA10UT1CO1NE1MO2KYWVVA1MD6DERIAZ2NMKSARTN1NC4SCDCOKLA1MS2AL1GA4AKHITX2FL6
Source CFB Zeitgeist · roster_entries (CFBD hometowns)
Every FBS roster ranked by in-state share →

Home state as listed on the CFBD roster. 20 listed players fall outside the 50 states and DC (international hometowns, or no state listed) and are excluded from the denominator. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

Recruiting buzzWhat fans say about the incoming class right now.

r/cfb this year

[Postgame Thread] Ohio Defeats UMass 42-14
90 upvotes · Nov 2025
[Postgame Thread] Ohio Defeats Buffalo 31-26
87 upvotes · Nov 2025
[Postgame Thread] Ohio Defeats Gardner-Webb 52-35
39 upvotes · Sep 2025

Top community posts · last 12 months · r/cfb

How it turned outHow an old class actually turned out, years on.
Class Autopsy
The 2023 class: 0 drafted so far, 62% never transferred. B
See the class →
Belief historyHow today's fan mood compares to the program's past.

Fan confidence in a typical range for this program right now

56th percentile among FBS programs

Fans vs. marketWhere fans and the betting market read this team differently.
Fan vs. market
56th
Fan percentile
(FBS mood rank)
7.5
Vegas O/U wins
(62nd among FBS)
Fan mood aligned with market consensus
Win total consensus · 1 book
PenaltiesWhether flags are costing this team games.
Penalty battle

Winning the penalty battle: 5 penalties committed vs. 14 drawn on opponents, a 50-yard edge.

55 penalty yards committed vs. 105 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.

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