Miami (OH) enters 2025 rated No. 82 in SP+ (-3.4), down 14 spots from 2024.
Miami (OH) is the MAC program whose 'Cradle of Coaches' legacy + Paul Brown / Woody Hayes / Bo Schembechler coaching pipeline + 2024 9-4 Sun Bowl appearance define what historic-football-coaching-lineage looks like.
Swoop the RedHawk is at his perch.
Miami is the Cradle of Coaches — the small Ohio school that taught the sport its giants, from Paul Brown to Woody Hayes to Bo Schembechler — and a program whose history runs deeper than the conference it now keeps falling one game short in.
Miami went 7-7 (6-2 MAC) in 2025, reaching its third straight MAC Championship Game under Chuck Martin and losing 23-13 to Western Michigan, then falling 18-3 to Fresno State in the Arizona Bowl. Martin returns for 2026 with the R…
Paul Brown went to college in Oxford, Ohio. So did Woody Hayes, Ara Parseghian, and Bo Schembechler. The Cradle of Coaches produced the men who built the sport — and the program they came from has now been to three straight MAC Championship Games and lost all three.
Miami University's contribution to football runs deeper than its conference record. Paul Brown went to Oxford and became the architect of modern pro football — the draft, the playbook, the practice structure. Woody Hayes went to Oxford and built Ohio State. Ara Parseghian went to Oxford and won Notre Dame national championships. Bo Schembechler went to Oxford and defined Michigan for two decades. No program of Miami's size has produced that concentration of coaching influence, and the program's identity — 'Love and Honor,' the Victory Bell, the Cradle of Coaches plaza — rests on a heritage that belongs to all of college football, not just the MAC.
The present-tense arc is Chuck Martin's run at the MAC title. Martin has the RedHawks in three straight championship games and has lost all three — including a 23-13 loss to Western Michigan in 2025, followed by an 18-3 bowl loss to Fresno State. The fanbase carries that ache with a specific mixture of pride and frustration: pride that the program is good enough to be there, frustration that the game that would hang hardware next to the Cradle of Coaches statues keeps ending just short. Martin returns for 2026. The roster returns largely intact. The MAC Championship Game will be there again.
The 2026 question is specific: what does Miami do differently on Championship Saturday? The program's roster quality is not the gap — three title game appearances in three years is not an accident. The question is whether the fourth trip produces the result the other three didn't, and whether the Cradle of Coaches name gets hardware added to its legacy in Martin's era.
How they play
Disciplined, fundamentals-first MAC football — the kind of program you'd expect from the school that trained the sport's great teaching coaches. Miami runs physical, gap-sound football on defense and a balanced offensive attack that doesn't ask the scheme to carry the roster. Martin's teams are consistent at winning regular-season games through execution and lose fewer games than they should on talent alone. The gap has shown up on championship Saturdays.
Miami (OH) fields a struggling offense behind a strong, bend-don't-break defense.
Identity computed from opponent-adjusted EPA, success rate, explosiveness, and run/pass volume — percentiles vs all FBS.
Offseason
69 days
until kickoff · Sun Aug 30 · 17:00 UTC
The 2026 Outlook
Miami (OH) projects to finish with a bowl-eligible record in 2026
The team's balanced portal churn and moderate continuity suggest a stable season, with a base projection of 8-5 and a ceiling of 10-3.
- Roster reloadMiami (OH) has a balanced portal churn with 16 transfers in and 14 out, contributing to moderate continuity with 48% of returning players.
- ScheduleThe team's base projection is 8-5 with a bowl game, and a ceiling of 10-3 with a bowl game.
Offseason Pulse · Miami (OH)
Roster · Recruiting · PortalRecruiting Class
#83 nationally
2025 cycle · 247 composite rating 164.2
Outside the recruiting top 60. Roster gaps must close via portal.
Returning Production
48%
2025 cycle · CFBD weighted
Mid-pack continuity. QB transition under way.
Talent Composite
#87 nationally
2025 cycle · 247 composite 592.1
Outside the talent top 60. The wins must be earned in development.
Portal Movement
16 in / 14 out
2026 cycle · in 16 / out 14
Incoming and outgoing movement are tracked separately in Roster Reload.
What Miami (OH)'s offseason is really about
the open questionwhere does it go from here?
The Offseason Ledger · Miami (OH)
1 verified move · portal · recruiting · staff- Portal
CB Amariyun Knighten transfer commits from Indiana
Big Ten corner falls to the MAC for snaps — Knighten was buried, RedHawks get a starter on day one.
Roster Reload - Miami (OH)
2026 snapshot - 2026-06-22The Pulse on Miami (OH)
What moved it — offseason · last 30 days
Aspiration Ladder
Brief Part III §33.4 · Miami (OH)
Above the program's recent baseline.
Statement win that reshapes recruiting.
Plausible breakthrough.
Beyond modern reach without a transformative year.
Miami (OH) · Next-Season Outcome Band
Floor / Base / Ceiling
Final-season-aware projection: floor / base / ceiling include conference title and CFP games where the model supports them, so a ceiling can exceed a 12-game regular season.
Market outlook
Season expectations
Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-06-22
Recruiting Reload - Top 3 commits
2026 classRecruiting Footprint · 2026
18OH leads the 2026 class with 6 commits. National footprint reaching 6 states.
Where they recruit · 2023-2026
72 signees across 12 states, 2023-2026. OH leads the pull.
Who We Are
Most Similar Programs · Miami (OH)
Reads Like
Static-attribute similarity across tier, archetype, conference, and voice. Not a prediction — a calibration.
Coaching Era · Miami (OH)
Chuck Martin
Chuck Martin has held the program for 6 seasons — the era is established.
Rituals
Three gameday rituals — the ones outsiders never quite catch.
Cradle of Coaches Lineage
since 1928
Miami (OH)'s 'Cradle of Coaches' identity — the coaching lineage that produced Paul Brown (Browns + Bengals), Woody Hayes (Ohio State + Big Ten), Ara Parseghian (Notre Dame + 2 national titles), Bo Schembechler (Michigan + 13 Big Ten titles), Carmen Cozza (Yale), John Pont (Yale + Northwestern), Sid Gillman (Chargers + Hall of Fame), and others — is one of CFB's most-storied historical anchors. Most coaching-tree lineage in CFB history.
Victory Bell (vs Cincinnati)
since 1888
Miami (OH)-Cincinnati plays for the Victory Bell — the oldest non-Ivy League rivalry in CFB at 130+ meetings since 1888. The bell trophy's annual home depends on the outcome. The In-State Ohio Battle of Southwest Ohio is the structural conference fixture across MAC era + Cincinnati's Big 12 entry.
Love and Honor (Alma Mater)
since 1908
'Love and Honor' — Miami's alma mater (composed 1908) — is sung after every game by both fans and players, win or lose. The tradition of singing alma mater post-game is universal in CFB, but the Love and Honor lyrics + the post-game ritual are uniquely Miami (OH). The tradition + the Cradle of Coaches legacy anchor program identity.
Fanbase Health Index · Miami (OH) · medium confidence
Growing (65)
Home-Field Advantage · Miami (OH) · 2018-present
Strong
78% home win rate vs 51% on the road. margin runs +13.2 better at home.
Chronicle Visuals
Average 2025 continuity (48% back) — offense anchors it, qb room is the stress point.
The portal upgraded the S room but opened a hole at WR.
1 player drafted in 2026; the reload runs through the portal and recruiting.
Miami (OH) sits where recruit talent and draft yield largely match.
Calm on the surface in 2024 — but the weekly trend ran the wrong way.
L 6-13 vs Northwestern leads the season's top 4 results by combined power and résumé delta.
Miami (OH) reads strongest in epa allowed (top 25%) and success rate allowed (top 31%); the crux lives in success rate, where Miami (OH) sits at the 20th percentile.
offense · strengths lead
defense · higher bar = harder to play against
hidden math · special situations
Miami (OH) enters the season in the middle of the pack. That's the whole tension.
Miami (OH) enters 2025 rated No. 82 in SP+ (-3.4), down 14 spots from 2024. SP+ is a tempo-free efficiency model — it describes what the program HAS done. The season is the test of whether it's still true. The preview consensus leans in — but preseason ratings reward the recent past, not the season ahead.
Every line is a door. Evidence opens in place — verbatim outlet headlines for news sources, verbatim fan text attributed to the community not the individual (never a username). Works with JavaScript off.
📣THE BELIEVERS2 bullish/recruiting items — the case it's working.›
The optimistic read: recruiting wins, momentum, and the 'this is real' takes.
🧐THE SKEPTICSNo prominent dissent — the coverage runs one way.›
The analytical counter: rankings, results and 'the hype is ahead of the tape' takes.
Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.
💬THE BOARDS21% of recent board volume — the fanbase is locked in.›
This event was in 24 of 112 board posts (21%) over the last 60 days — a fanbase consumed by it. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.
The boards ≠ the fanbase: a vocal, self-selected slice. Per-event for/against lands when event-level sentiment coverage is wired.
Act IIILast Season Reviewed
2025 season · tap to expand
Recent Form · last 10 games
Cooling
Two of five. Schedule has caught up.
Season Standing · 2025 · 7-7
Bowl eligible
Miami (OH): 6+ wins, bowl access secured. The baseline of a successful FBS year.
Mid-American Standing · 2025
6th in the Mid-American
Miami (OH) sits 6th of 13 in the Mid-American at 7-7. Mid-conference — moves up or down depend on rivalry results and the late-season closing run.
| # | Program | Record |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Western Michigan | 10-4 |
| 2 | Ohio | 9-4 |
| 3 | Toledo | 8-5 |
| 4 | Sacramento State | 7-5 |
| 5 | Central Michigan | 7-6 |
| 6 | Miami (OH) | 7-7 |
| 7 | Akron | 5-7 |
| 8 | Buffalo | 5-7 |
| 9 | Kent State | 5-7 |
| 10 | Ball State | 4-8 |
| 11 | Bowling Green | 4-8 |
| 12 | Eastern Michigan | 4-8 |
| 13 | Massachusetts | 0-12 |
Schedule Strength · Miami (OH) · 2025
Balanced
Average opponent win rate 49% across 13 finalized games. No top-25 opponents, but mid-tier slate kept the schedule honest.
Top Players · 2025
2025NFL Draft Pipeline
2022–2026Thin
2 picks last 5 cycles. Roster development still maturing.
Moment of the Year · Miami (OH) · 2025
Postseason · Lost 3-18 at Fresno State
Week 18 of 2025. The single game that defined the season's arc.
Bowl / Postseason Ledger
Recent postseason (2022-2025): 1-3
Most recent: 2025 — loss 18-3 (away). Last 5 postseason: 1-3.
From the Archive — Miami (OH)
2023: Won 30-16 at Ohio
In 2023, the program won 30-16 at Ohio — a comfortable road result that left the 14-point margin on the books.
Beat ___ (anyone). The RedHawks soar.