Miami (OH)
Pittsburgh
4:30 PM · Acrisure Stadium

Miami (OH) travels to Pittsburgh, with Pittsburgh favored by 16.5.

What’s at stake

Make the CFP field

Pittsburgh · 4%4% → 4% if win4% → 3% if loss
Miami (OH) · 0%0% → 1% if win0% → 0% if loss

Win the conference

Pittsburgh · 3%3% → 3% if win3% → 2% if loss
Miami (OH) · 11%11% → 12% if win11% → 11% if loss

Win it all

Pittsburgh · 0%0% → 0% if win0% → 0% if loss
Miami (OH) · 0%0% → 0% if win0% → 0% if loss

CFP odds as of September 5, 2026

The series

Pittsburgh leads the series 2-0

2 meetings since 1931 · Pittsburgh has won the last 2

  • 1949Pittsburgh 35–26
  • 1931Pittsburgh 61–0

Face-off

What each fanbase carries into this one.

Miami (OH)

The chip · vs the national media

The fanbase points to the names Oxford gave the sport — and watches the program get filed as just another MAC team, as if the place that produced college football's great coaches were a footnote instead of a foundation.

What this game touches

Three title games, no banner. Miami reached its third straight MAC Championship Game in 2025 and lost it 23-13 to Western Michigan, then dropped the Arizona Bowl 18-3 to Fresno State to finish 7-7 — the recurring ache of a program that keeps arriving at the doorstep and getting turned away.

Pittsburgh

The chip · vs the national media

The fanbase has heard the program written off as an afterthought for two decades and bristles every time, because Pitt was a national power before half the programs dismissing it existed. They don't want sympathy; they want the country to remember the receipts.

What this game touches

The forgotten power. Pitt won a national title in 1976 and produced Tony Dorsett and Dan Marino, then spent the modern era as an overlooked program whose history outweighs its present. The 2021 ACC title under Pat Narduzzi briefly broke the silence; the wound is that the country still acts like Pitt football is a question mark, not a heritage.

Best players

Pittsburgh

  • Braylan Lovelace (LB) · 2025: 79 tackles
  • Raphael Williams (WR) · 2025: 741 receiving yards
  • Mason Heintschel (QB) · 2025: 2,357 passing yards — Heisman odds: 73rd (+20000)

Miami (OH)

  • Eli Blakey (DB) · 2025: 118 tackles
  • Corban Hondru (LB) · 2025: 84 tackles
  • Silas Walters (DB) · 2025: 71 tackles

The line, and the room

Miami (OH) fans are feeling better about their season (39th percentile) than Pittsburgh fans are (24th) — even with Pittsburgh favored here.

  • Model · 73%
  • Market · 91%
  • Pittsburgh fans · 24th
  • Miami (OH) fans · 39th

Home −16.5 · O/U 47.5

Conditions

80°F · 8 mph wind · Cloudy

Home-field advantage: Strong

Pittsburgh is 66% at home, 51% on the road since 2018 (35-18 home, 21-20 away).