Northern Illinois

0-2

Mountain West · Huskie Stadium · 23,595 · 17,582 avg in 2026

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The model#99 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #130 (-22.3) · FPI #132
The marketArizona by 34.5at Arizona · our model 11% Northern Illinois · a number, not a pick

LastL 24–28 vs Illinois State · Sat Sep 12 · Avery Jones 2 sacks, 2 TFL, 8 tackles

Nextat Arizona · Sat Sep 19 · 10:30 pm ET · Arizona Stadium · Arizona by 34.5 · first meeting on record · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Northern Illinois · 2026 schedule & results0-2
WkDateUsOppLineOpponentResultRecordConf
1Sep 5#101#13+31.5@IowaL 0–40 1330-10-0
2Sep 12#94#114+2.5Illinois StateL 24–28 1290-20-0
3Sep 20#104#27+34.5@Arizona
4Sep 26#106#140@Georgia State
6Oct 10Air Force
7Oct 17@Wyoming
8Oct 24Hawai'i
9Nov 1@UNLV
10Nov 7@San José State
11Nov 14Nevada
12Nov 21@North Dakota State
13Nov 28UTEP
Advanced box score (EPA, success rate, explosiveness)
DateOppResultYdsTOTOPEPA/playSuccess%Explosive%Note
Sep 12Illinois StateL 24–28308228:44-0.07147.0%79.4%
Sep 5@IowaL 0–40120226:09-0.33217.2%136.8%
Season average (2 games)2142.0-0.20132.1%108.1%
Verdict Begins·Live

Northern Illinois walked into South Bend in 2024 as a 28-point underdog and beat No. 5 Notre Dame 16-14 — the program's first win ever over a top-10 team — and is taking that swagger to the Mountain West after one last 3-9 season in the MAC.

Title DroughtSince 2021 · 5 yrs

DeKalb walked into one of the sport's cathedrals as a four-touchdown underdog and walked out with the win — and the national story was the giant who lost, not the Huskies who won. The fanbase keeps th…

low signal
Read the full program story ↓

The season in chapters

Ahead
Sat Sep 19Next: Arizonaat Arizona · on the road

What fans said

Real posts from the day of the game, chosen by community score · usernames not shown

What it is like to watch them2025 · 3-9 · last season

Game feel41rock fightscombined pts / game13th highest-scoring of 13 in the Mid-American
Heart rate1-3some dramain one-score games (4 of 12)8th most one-score games of 13 in the Mid-American
Margin-7.2competitiveavg scoring margin10th best margin of 13 in the Mid-American
Tempo62average paceoffensive plays / game10th fastest of 13 in the Mid-American
Big plays1.29some popexplosiveness (IsoPPP)4th most explosive of 13 in the Mid-American
Home crowd9,309avg attendance10th biggest crowds of 13 in the Mid-American

✓ measured from 12 games · ranks are among Mid-American teams the same season

Recent form · last 10 games · incl. 2025

Northern Illinois has won one of its last five.

Cold. 2-8 over the last 10, and lost the last four.

Streak L4Last 5 · 1-4Last 10 · 2-8
We don’t even know these people, but they invited us. They’re all former players, former students, anything like that, but it’s always family, which you don’t find everywhere
Dukes · Northern Star3 days after Northern Illinois's 2026 opener
The forecast

Next Sep 20

vs Arizona · away

PoorRun-heavy, ground-controlSoft

~ our read on style

Market outlook

Season expectations

CFP championship#122 in field+100000
Mountain West title#9 in market+7500

Sportsbook consensus · best odds across multiple books · 2026-09-14

Northern Illinois · the story right now 7 storylines developing

What Northern Illinois's coordinator hires is really about

the open questiondo the new coordinators fit the roster?

coordinatorsthis cycle~readnew

Thomas Hammock enters his sixth season with a 3-9 losing record, raising questions about whether a coordinator-driven reshaping can elevate a program still defined by its 2012 Orange Bowl run.

what happenedNorthern Illinois: coordinator change reshaping a unit. ✓ fact

our readbackground

program_outlookthis cycle~readnew

Northern Illinois collapsed 44 spots in SP+ — the 3-9 record and #125 talent rank highlight a steep drop, and Thomas Hammock's 6th season faces the challenge of reversing a program's fading G5-bowl legacy.

what happenedNorthern Illinois enters 2026 rated No. 128 in 2025 SP+ (-16.7), down 44 spots from 2024. ✓ fact

our readbackground

coachingthis cycle~readnew

Rob Harley inherits a 3-9 roster and a program that hasn't reached a BCS bowl since 2012 — the talent rank and churn count mean this is a rebuild, not a return to glory.

what happenedRob Harley took over as Northern Illinois's head coach, replacing Thomas Hammock. ✓ fact
the contextreplaces 7-year head coach Thomas Hammock (35-47)

our readbackground

identitythis cycle~readnew

Thomas Hammock enters his 6th season at Northern Illinois with a 3-9 losing record, raising questions about whether the program can reclaim its G5-bowl identity amid shifting fanbase expectations.

what happenedNorthern Illinois: the fanbase's identity shifting. ✓ fact

our readdeveloping

garbage time2025 cycle✓ factnew

DeAree Rogers does NOT see a usage spike in garbage time -- his workload holds steady regardless of score, and he's also efficient in competitive snaps -- the production isn't just garbage-time padding.

our readdeveloping

coordinators2025 cycle~readnew

Rob Harley inherits a 3-9 losing record at Northern Illinois, a program whose last BCS-bowl appearance in 2012 defines what G5-can-make-BCS-bowl looks like.

what happenedNorthern Illinois: coordinator change reshaping a unit. ✓ fact

our readbackground

program_outlook2025 cycle~readnew

Northern Illinois collapsed 44 spots in SP+ — the 3-9 record under Hammock is the worst since Lynch’s Heisman era, threatening the bowl-or-bust identity.

what happenedNorthern Illinois enters 2025 rated No. 128 in SP+ (-16.7), down 44 spots from 2024. ✓ fact

our readbackground

How past storylines here turned out

ReplacedNorthern Illinois's defensive coordinator spot turned over again the following season. See who's next →
Died downNorthern Illinois's offensive coordinator change has died down — no clear next chapter yet.

Outcome band · Northern Illinois · 2026

Northern Illinois' most likely season is 7-6 — a bowl game. The floor is 4-8; the ceiling is 9-4.

Floor4-8No postseason.
Base7-6A bowl game.
Ceiling9-4A bowl game, 2 more wins.

Floor, base and ceiling come from the season-path projection, which plays out conference title games and the CFP — so a ceiling can run past 12 games.

How the room reactedreal evidence · tap rooms to explore
Following now · Northern Illinois · Developing Confidence

Northern Illinois: coordinator change reshaping a unit.

Northern Illinois: coordinator change reshaping a unit.

CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Thomas Hammock enters his sixth season with a 3-9 losing record, raising questions about whether a coordinator-driven reshaping can elevate a program still defined by its 2012 Orange Bowl run.
Source of record: Northern Illinois: coordinator change reshaping a unit.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
The Circus dramaBelievers bullishSkeptics no dissentThe Boards thin
🎪The circus“Doreon Dubose interception seals Illinois State's dramatic win o” — the saga that won't quit.

The off-field storyline driving the noise right now. Not analysis — the soap opera, and that's the point.

“Doreon Dubose interception seals Illinois State's dramatic win over Northern Illinois”
The Pantagraph · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
📣Believers2 bullish items -- the case it's working.

The optimistic read: momentum, and the 'this is real' takes.

“Redbird football grabs late road win over FBS Northern Illinois”
Illinois State University News · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
“Late Touchdown Propels No. 4 Illinois State to 28-24 Road Win Over FBS Northern Illinois”
Illinois State University Athletics · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
“Arizona hosts Northern Illinois in Week 3”
Daily Jefferson County Union · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
🧐SkepticsNo prominent dissent — the coverage runs one way.

The analytical counter: rankings, results, and 'the hype is ahead of the tape' takes.

Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.

💬The boards13 board mentions — too thin to call a stance.

Only 13 of 279 board posts mention it — below our floor to call a community stance. Shown as texture, not a verdict.

"$21.8m estimated Searching Northern Illinois University (or NIU) doesn’t even show anything lol"
r/CFB ~ fan take
"A winless season is honestly a possibility. We have nothing and no one left after being raided and our coach leaving at an awkward time. Our NIL is less than $500k while teams like"
r/CFB ~ fan take

The boards ≠ the fanbase: a vocal, self-selected slice.

Following now · Northern Illinois · Season outlook Confidence

Northern Illinois's numbers fell sharply. The model sees a program under real pressure.

Northern Illinois enters 2026 rated No. 128 in 2025 SP+ (-16.7), down 44 spots from 2024. SP+ reflects three years of tape; a drop this steep is structural, not noise. The recovery window is open but the room knows it. The preview consensus leans in — but preseason ratings reward the recent past, not the season ahead.

near-unanimous belief where the takes land · dot = how loud
DOUBTBELIEF
Believers4 bull takes
🎪 drama: simmering💬 fans: 24% volume
CFB Zeitgeist Read · our take
Northern Illinois collapsed 44 spots in SP+ — the 3-9 record and #125 talent rank highlight a steep drop, and Thomas Hammock's 6th season faces the challenge of reversing a program's fading G5-bowl legacy.
Source of record: Northern Illinois enters 2026 rated No. 128 in 2025 SP+ (-16.7), down 44 spots from 2024.
How each room is reacting — tap to expand
The Circus dramaBelievers bullishSkeptics no dissentThe Boards loud
🎪The circus“Doreon Dubose interception seals Illinois State's dramatic win o” — the saga that won't quit.

The off-field storyline driving the noise right now. Not analysis — the soap opera, and that's the point.

“Doreon Dubose interception seals Illinois State's dramatic win over Northern Illinois”
The Pantagraph · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
📣Believers4 bullish items -- the case it's working.

The 'the projection is underselling us' read -- fans betting the season beats the preview number.

“Redbird football grabs late road win over FBS Northern Illinois”
Illinois State University News · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
“Late Touchdown Propels No. 4 Illinois State to 28-24 Road Win Over FBS Northern Illinois”
Illinois State University Athletics · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
“Arizona hosts Northern Illinois in Week 3”
Daily Jefferson County Union · 2026-09-13 · read ↗
🧐SkepticsNo prominent dissent — the coverage runs one way.

The 'the model has seen the tape' counter -- efficiency ratings reward what a program has actually done, not hope.

Nothing in our corpus yet — this door stays open for when there is.

💬The boards24% of recent board volume — the fanbase is locked in.

This event was in 68 of 279 board posts (24%) over the last 60 days — a fanbase consumed by it. Fan text shown verbatim, attributed to the community not the individual poster.

"Hello! I'm thinking of going to a closed school next year, and I'm planning of majoring in Psychology. Can someone tell me the pros and cons of the school's psychology program, and"
r/NIU ~ fan take
"I don’t know if it allows you to common photos on Reddit or reply with them but if you have any, I really would like to see them. Please message me if you can."
r/NIU ~ fan take

The boards ≠ the fanbase: a vocal, self-selected slice.

Rival pulse

Ball State
Hopeful
+5
Bronze Stalk Trophy
Toledo
Hopeful
+14
NIU-Toledo

Fan mood index · most recent r/cfb data

More in this tab

Game dayWhat a Saturday in this stadium actually feels like.
The experience

Northern Illinois is the MAC program whose 2012 12-1 Orange Bowl appearance + Jordan Lynch Heisman finalist define what G5-can-make-BCS-bowl looks like.

Offense: PoorRun/Pass: Run-heavy, ground-controlDefense: Soft
Open questionsThe unresolved questions this season keeps asking.
Program ledgerEvery dated move on this program's record, newest first.

The program ledger

since 2025
  • 2026Hired Rob Harley (interim)
  • 2025Thomas Hammock departs35-47
RosterWho's gone, who's back, who replaces them.

Roster Reload - Northern Illinois

2026 snapshot - 2026-09-15
Returning Production44%Low continuity / heavy reload
Talent Composite#126 nationally247 composite 536.6
Portal Additions7No clear position repair point
Portal Losses22Primary pressure: WR
Draft Loss0No NFL Draft departures recorded
Recruiting Reload#82Depth class
OTin 2 - Chevy Trask Jr.3.30out 3 - Evan Malcore3.50Downgrade
Sin 2 - Tyrese Stanley3.50out 3 - James Finley4.00Downgrade
current room: 195 lbs avg (2025 roster)
EDGEin 2 - Mathias Davis3.00out 2 - Lance Ingold3.70Downgrade
current room: 250 lbs avg (2025 roster)
WRin 0out 3 - DeAree Rogers3.60Starter Risk
current room: 197 lbs avg (2025 roster)
CBin 0out 2 - Jacob Finley3.60Starter Risk
current room: 184 lbs avg (2025 roster)
LBin 0out 2 - Filip Maciorowski3.50Starter Risk
current room: 225 lbs avg (2025 roster)
Full roster (116 players)
Offseason movesEvery addition and subtraction since the last snap.

The Offseason Ledger · Northern Illinois

4 verified updates · portal · recruiting · staff · news
  1. News

    Iowa releases depth chart

    Iowa's depth chart drop benefits nobody in DeKalb — ranked 82nd nationally with WR pressure still unresolved, Harley's staff needs real additions, not paper shuffles from a Big Ten program trimming its roster.

    Aug 31Official
  2. News

    Iowa marching band member dies

    Nothing about this connects to depth charts or coordinator shuffles — a death in the Iowa band is a human moment, and NIU's 28-24 loss to Illinois State already had this week feeling heavy.

  3. News

    NIU-USF 2027 game moved to Aug. 28

    Rob Harley's crew pulls the USF opener to Aug. 28 under the new NCAA calendar window — a WR room ranked 82nd nationally needs live reps sooner, not later.

    Aug 17Official
  4. Recruiting

    Will Liddell commits to Northern Illinois

    WR room needed bodies and Hammock went to Georgia to find one — Liddell out of Discovery fills a depth gap in a class already ranked 84th nationally, which is the kind of quiet infrastructure work a rebuild runs on.

    Jul 18Official
Who's movedWho's transferring in and out, right now.

Transfer portal snapshot

-25.8 net portal points
(raw ledger: -49.2 — unweighted, no position adjustment)
CB
-7.1
starter risk
LB
-6.9
starter risk
DL
-6.8
starter risk
OT
-6.2
WR
-5.6
starter risk
S
-4.2
RB
-3.3
low confidence
TE
-3.3
low confidence
EDGE
-2.9
IOL
-2.0
low confidence
P
-1.0
low confidence
QB
+0.0
Top commits

Top 3 commits

2026 class
★★★☆☆
Bryshawn Brown
QB · Cincinnati, OH
#921 national
Profiles like a typical incoming quarterback — 14 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Pocket Passer archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★☆☆
Braylon Agee
WR · Kansas City, MO
#1336 national
Profiles like a typical incoming wide receiver — 15 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Possession Receiver archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
★★★☆☆
Deacon King
S · Westfield, IN
#1358 national
Projects: Hybrid Nickel — 10 of his 25 closest recruiting profiles since 2018 shared the Hybrid Nickel archetype.~our read · projection from recruiting profile — no college snaps yet
Where they're fromWhere this class actually comes from, on the map.

Recruiting Footprint · 2026

32
IN · 6IL · 5FL · 3GA · 3MO · 3CA · 2WI · 2AL · 1+7 more

IN leads the 2026 class with 6 commits. National footprint reaching 15 states.

Where they recruit · 2023-2026

114 signees across 21 states, 2023-2026. IL leads the pull.

MEVTNHWAIDMTNDMN2WI10MI4NYMAORNVWYSDIA6IL27IN11OH1PA1NJ1CTCA5UTCO1NE5MO9KY1WVVAMD1DERIAZNMKS1ARTNNC1SC2DCOKLAMSAL1GA14AKHITXFL10
Source CFB Zeitgeist · player_recruiting_profiles

That is 8.7% of every high-school FBS signee IL produced over those cycles — second only to Illinois, 7 signees back. The full map →

Miles from homeHow far this roster travelled to get here.

Miles from home · 2026 roster

The median Northern Illinois player grew up 249 miles from campus.

Half this roster came from closer than that; half came from farther.

47th-closest to home in FBS of 135 ranked →
Closest to homeFarthest from home
Middle 50%73–655 miquartile spread
Within 100 mi32%35 of 108 players
Farthest1,735 miJason Evans · Lodi, CA
Closest27 miAsa Johnson · Aurora, IL

Straight-line distance from each player's listed hometown to Huskie Stadium. Hometowns are placed at city-centroid precision, not street address — fine at this scale, but a player's true door-to-door number can differ by a few miles. 108 of 116 listed players have a geocoded hometown. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

In-state shareHow much of this roster is home-grown.

Who owns IL · 2026 roster

30% of the Northern Illinois roster grew up in IL.

34 of 115 players, drawn from 26 states in all. That is the 72nd-highest in-state share of 135 ranked FBS programs.

IL · 34IN · 13MO · 10FL · 9WI · 7GA · 6IA · 6CA · 4+18 more

Where the 2026 roster is from

115 players across 26 states. Biggest pull outside IL: IN (13).

MEVTNHWAIDMTNDMN2WI7MI2NY1MAORNVWYSDIA6IL34IN13OH2PA1NJ2CTCA4UTCONE3MO10KY1WV1VA1MD1DERIAZNMKSARTN2NC1SC2DC1OKLA1MSAL1GA6AKHITX1FL9
Source CFB Zeitgeist · roster_entries (CFBD hometowns)
Every FBS roster ranked by in-state share →

Home state as listed on the CFBD roster. 1 listed player fall outside the 50 states and DC (international hometowns, or no state listed) and is excluded from the denominator. Source: CFBD roster hometowns.

Recruiting buzzWhat fans say about the incoming class right now.

r/cfb this year

[Postgame Thread] Northern Illinois Defeats UMass 45-3
247 upvotes · Nov 2025
[Game Thread] Northern Illinois @ UMass (7:00 PM ET)
17 upvotes · Nov 2025

Top community posts · last 12 months · r/cfb

How it turned outHow an old class actually turned out, years on.
Class Autopsy
The 2023 class: 0 drafted so far, 56% never transferred. C
See the class →
Fans vs. marketWhere fans and the betting market read this team differently.
Fan vs. market
42nd
Fan percentile
(FBS mood rank)
3.5
Vegas O/U wins
(3rd among FBS)
Fans 39pp more bullish than market implies
Win total consensus · 1 book
PenaltiesWhether flags are costing this team games.
Penalty battle

The penalty battle is a wash: 16 penalties committed vs. 13 drawn on opponents.

146 penalty yards committed vs. 137 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.

This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. AI-generated content is labeled and may contain factual errors. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site