Next game: at San José State
San José State’s best edge on Northern Illinois is running
Each unit against the one it meets, by national percentile this season. A filled dot is the attack and a ring is the defense it meets; the first name is the attack. Further right is better for both.
Northern Illinois offense against San José State defense
San José State offense against Northern Illinois defense
Percentiles are against all FBS teams this season.
Key stats
Each bar is the team’s national rank as a percentile. A longer bar is better, for defense too.
All 98 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | ZPR | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pocket Passer · +0.07 EPA/play | 5 | 8 | 157 / 247 | 63.6 | 1617 #64 FBS | 6.5 | 8 | 6 | 124.4 | 39 | 47.6 | 5.1 | 7.8 | |
Yards by week → Pocket passerBalanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile. Impact starter — 247 pass attempts and 55 carries in 8 games, about as many passes and runs a game as a typical FBS quarterback who plays every week. This week's matchup — QB Dickens operates within the system without forcing anything. Jones is the one who operates within the system without forcing anything. Season receipt Yards / attempt6.7 bottom 18th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Rush yards / carry1.2 bottom 31th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint View Taron Dickens's full player page | ||||||||||||||
| -0.18 EPA/play | 14 | 2 | 5 / 13 | 38.5 | 20 | 1.5 | 0 | 1 | 36.0 | — | — | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | Stuff% | 10+% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Back · +0.25 EPA/play | 45 | 8 | 103 | 574 #57 FBS | 5.6 | 5 | 28 | 18.4 | 21.4 | |
Yards by week → Balanced backPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. Starter — 103 carries and 12 catches in 8 games, about as many touches a game as a typical FBS running back who plays every week. This week's matchup — RB Jr. does a little of everything without one standout trait. Turner is the one who hits the crease and outruns the angle. Season receipt Yards / carry5.7 65th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Yards / reception3.8 bottom 9th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Trait fingerprint Plays like View Telly Johnson Jr.'s full player page | ||||||||||
| Balanced Back · -0.06 EPA/play | 24 | 8 | 54 | 233 | 4.3 | 2 | 18 | 17.0 | 15.1 | |
Yards by week → Balanced backPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. 54 carries and 6 catches in 8 games. Fewer touches a game than most FBS running backs who play every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 134 of 278 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Elijah Porter's full player page | ||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slot Technician · +0.56 EPA/play | 1 | 8 | 64 | 633 #35 FBS | 9.9 | 5 #39 FBS | 49 | |
Yards by week → Slot technician· Boom-or-bustRuns precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine Impact starter — 64 catches and 1 carry in 8 games, more catches a game than nearly every FBS receiver who plays every week. This week's matchup — WR Rogers wins underneath on volume and route precision. Brown is the one who moves the chains on third down. Season receipt Reception volume64 100th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Yards / reception10.2 bottom 18th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View DeAree Rogers's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · -0.03 EPA/play | — | 8 | 26 | 324 | 12.5 | 1 | 36 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiverReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. 26 catches in 8 games. About as many catches a game as a typical FBS receiver who plays every week. This week's matchup — WR Bryant moves the chains on third down. Brown is the one who moves the chains on third down. Season receipt Yards / reception11.8 bottom 32th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions EPA / play (adj)-0.0 bottom 5th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View La'Don Bryant's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.61 EPA/play | 9 | 7 | 18 | 241 | 13.4 | 1 | 61 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiver· Boom-or-bustReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine The most common profile in its group this season — 279 of 467 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2024 class View George Dimopoulos's full player page | ||||||||
| Possession Receiver · +0.29 EPA/play | 7 | 8 | 16 | 164 | 10.2 | 1 | 52 | |
Yards by week → Possession receiver· Boom-or-bustReliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine The most common profile in its group this season — 279 of 467 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Cam Thompson's full player page | ||||||||
| +0.59 EPA/play | 3 | 1 | 5 | 57 | 11.4 | 0 | 21 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Versatile End | 90 | 7 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Versatile endNo single standout number, but nothing missing either — competent across the board. 18 tackles in 7 games. Fewer tackles a game than most FBS defensive linemen who play every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 121 of 180 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman View Kole Sneed's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | 11 | 7 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. The most common profile in its group this season — 276 of 606 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2025 class View Amari Washington's full player page | |||||||
| Two-Gap Base | — | 7 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Two-gap baseStout at the point of attack — steady tackle-for-loss production without a standout pass-rush number. 276 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate0.0% bottom 9th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Montrel Canion's full player page | |||||||
| Versatile End | 18 | 4 | 13 | 6 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0 |
Versatile endNo single standout number, but nothing missing either — competent across the board. The most common profile in its group this season — 121 of 180 classified this way. Played in 4 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2023 class View Jay'shon Thomas's full player page | |||||||
| 92 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 | |
| 93 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 50 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 97 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 55 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| 87 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Linebacker | 44 | 8 | 59 | 26 | 33 | 1.5 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Starter — 59 tackles in 8 games, more tackles a game than most FBS linebackers who play every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2026 class View Jack Murray's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 25 | 8 | 55 | 25 | 30 | 3.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. Starter — 55 tackles in 8 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2026 class View Brady Kerperin's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 6 | 6 | 46 | 23 | 23 | 3 | 1.5 | 2 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 46 tackles in 6 games. More tackles a game than most FBS linebackers who play every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 6 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2025 class View Kimar Nelson's full player page | |||||||||
| 8 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Box Safety | 16 | 8 | 55 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Box safety· Takeaway threatLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. the kind of DB who takes it back the other way Impact starter — 55 tackles in 8 games, more tackles a game than nearly every FBS defensive back who plays every week. 150 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume55 97th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Kyon Conyers's full player page | |||||||
| Box Safety | 2 | 8 | 42 | 1 | 0 | 2.5 | 2 |
Box safetyLives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker. Starter — 42 tackles in 8 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 150 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume42 81th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Avery Jones's full player page | |||||||
| Press Corner | 5 | 8 | 26 | 1 | 4 #6 FBS | 1 | 0 |
Press cornerLong and physical; jams receivers off their route at the line. 26 tackles in 8 games. Fewer tackles a game than most FBS defensive backs who play every week. 34 of 244 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Height6'3" 96th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Yassine Falke's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 12 | 7 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate4.5% bottom 34th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Aaron Warren's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 14 | 7 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. The most common profile in its group this season — 358 of 657 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman · 2-star, 2022 class View Malik Armstrong's full player page | |||||||
| Press Corner | 3 | 7 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Press cornerLong and physical; jams receivers off their route at the line. 34 of 244 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Height6'3" 96th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Liam Lindo's full player page | |||||||
| Press Corner | 20 | 6 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Press cornerLong and physical; jams receivers off their route at the line. 34 of 244 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Height6'2" 87th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Marshall Washington Jr.'s full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 30 | 8 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Hybrid nickel· Takeaway threatMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. the kind of DB who takes it back the other way The most common profile in its group this season — 358 of 657 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2025 class View Andruw Ellis's full player page | |||||||
| 31 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| 9 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1.5 | 0 | |
| 29 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 33 | 7 | 6/11 | 54.5 | 14/14 | 32 | 46 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 36 | 8 | 36 | 1525 | 42.4 | 55 | 8 | 3 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slot Technician · +0.56 EPA/play | 1 | 8 | 9 | 81 | 9 | 0 | 26 |
Biggest plays from Northern Illinois’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in Northern Illinois’s games this season, whoever made them.
Q2, 12:08 · Georgia State breaks the tieGeorgia State scores a touchdownNorthern Illinois at Georgia State, week 4Q2, 12:08 · Georgia State 21, Northern Illinois 14100Kickoff return touchdown100Kickoff return touchdownKickoff return touchdownR.Short kickoff 65 yards to the GSU00 I.Stone return 100 yards to the NIU00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play
Sun Belt Conference
Q2, 12:21 · Northern Illinois down 7, ties itTaron Dickens finds DeAree Rogers for a 22-yard touchdownNorthern Illinois at Georgia State, week 4Q2, 12:21 · Northern Illinois 14, Georgia State 14Northern Illinois tied the game in the second quarterNorthern Illinois tied the game in the second quarterT.Dickens pass complete short left to D.Rogers caught at GSU18, for 22 yards to the GSU00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play Sun Belt Conference- Q1, 1:58 · Northern Illinois down 7, ties itTelly Johnson Jr. runs 14 yards for a touchdownNorthern Illinois at Georgia State, week 4Q1, 1:58 · Northern Illinois 7, Georgia State 7Northern Illinois tied the game in the first quarterNorthern Illinois tied the game in the first quarterT.Johnson Jr. rush middle for 14 yards gain to the GSU00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play Sun Belt Conference
- Q2, 13:55 · Georgia State breaks the tieCameran Brown finds Rodshaun Dorsey for an 18-yard touchdownNorthern Illinois at Georgia State, week 4Q2, 13:55 · Georgia State 14, Northern Illinois 7Georgia State took the lead in the second quarterGeorgia State took the lead in the second quarterC.Brown pass complete short left to R.Dorsey caught at NIU01, for 18 yards to the NIU00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play Sun Belt Conference
- Q2, 14:47 · UNLV down 4Brady Kerperin intercepts Jackson Arnold and returns it 21 yardsNorthern Illinois at UNLV, week 9Q2, 14:47 · UNLV 10, Northern Illinois 143UNLV’s turnover led to a field goal3UNLV’s turnover led to a field goalUNLV’s turnover led to a field goalJ.Arnold pass intercepted by B.Kerperin at NIU38 B.Kerperin return 21 yards to the UNLV41 (A.Boyd)▶Watch from this play
CBS Sports College Football 
Q2, 7:04 · UNLV down 7, ties itJackson Arnold finds Keyan Burnett for a 31-yard touchdownNorthern Illinois at UNLV, week 9Q2, 7:04 · UNLV 17, Northern Illinois 17UNLV tied the game in the second quarterUNLV tied the game in the second quarterJ.Arnold pass complete short left to K.Burnett caught at NIU14, for 31 yards to the NIU00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play CBS Sports College Football
How scary each game got
Northern Illinois lost at Arizona after being 84% to win
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Northern Illinois during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Stat leaders
2026 stat leaders · Northern Illinois
through 8 games
2026 stat leaders · Northern IllinoisJack Murray leads Northern Illinois with 59 tackles through 8 games.
Roster
Roster
2026+15 more
Recruiting and the portal: top commits · who's gone and who's back
How they play
Northern Illinois fields a struggling pass-first offense behind a porous defense.
Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Player percentiles
Northern Illinois reads strongest in passing EPA allowed (top 8%) and explosive plays allowed (top 50%); the crux lives in success rate allowed, where Northern Illinois sits at the 1st percentile.
Offense · strengths lead
Defense · higher bar = harder to play against
Hidden math · special situations
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Northern Illinois is worth +1.3 points more at home than on the road.
Bottom tenth of FBS, 8th percentile of 133 programs
38% at home, 37% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (15-24 home, 19-33 away). Interval ±3.6.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, Northern Illinois has beaten the number by 6.9 points less at home than away over 98 games. That is outside the ±5.7 that many games can resolve, so this is one of the few buildings where the results say something the flat number does not.
Huskie Stadium seats 23,595 and has averaged 44% full (10,417, 27 games reported). Visitors get here easily: a median 269 miles trip since 2018, the 21st-shortest of 135 FBS venues. There is no travel penalty on visitors here either way. For the home side it is genuinely home ground: 32% of the 2026 roster (35 of 108 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 46 home games since 2018.
More in this tab
How they play
Usage splits
How the players get used
From the 2025 season's play-by-play
- Garbage timeDeAree Rogers does not see a usage spike in garbage time: his workload holds steady regardless of score, and he's also efficient in competitive snaps, the production isn't just garbage-time padding.
Position battles
RB room
The carries are split. The job isn’t.
Telly Johnson Jr. and Elijah Porter split the carries (97/150 vs 53/150) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
DeAree Rogers (WR) and Jason Fowler (TE) split the targets (77/83 vs 6/83) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
Scheme claims
Team identity · competitive snaps only
How Northern Illinois actually scores
12th percentile quality, 89th percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 76th | 3rd |
| Akron | 9th | 90th |
| Alabama | 82nd | 22nd |
| App State | 41st | 48th |
| Arizona | 91st | 16th |
| Arizona State | 20th | 83rd |
| Arkansas | 7th | 93rd |
| Arkansas State | 60th | 32nd |
| Army | 95th | 10th |
| Auburn | 34th | 59th |
| BYU | 83rd | 17th |
| Ball State | 32nd | 72nd |
| Baylor | 36th | 63rd |
| Boise State | 96th | 4th |
| Boston College | 20th | 80th |
| Buffalo | 8th | 88th |
| Central Michigan | 6th | 96th |
| Cincinnati | 88th | 15th |
| Clemson | 10th | 92nd |
| Coastal Carolina | 49th | 57th |
| Colorado | 15th | 86th |
| Colorado State | 88th | 30th |
| Delaware | 63rd | 40th |
| Duke | 74th | 8th |
| East Carolina | 24th | 77th |
| Eastern Michigan | 14th | 80th |
| Florida | 75th | 37th |
| Florida Atlantic | 72nd | 25th |
| Florida International | 2nd | 98th |
| Florida State | 64th | 44th |
| Fresno State | 56th | 52nd |
| Georgia | 92nd | 11th |
| Georgia Southern | 52nd | 40th |
| Georgia State | 77th | 36th |
| Georgia Tech | 30th | 70th |
| Hawai'i | 12th | 88th |
| Houston | 89th | 2nd |
| Illinois | 70th | 38th |
| Indiana | 85th | 18th |
| Iowa | 52nd | 53rd |
| Iowa State | 43rd | 62nd |
| Jacksonville State | 62nd | 41st |
| James Madison | 58th | 35th |
| Kansas | 28th | 66th |
| Kansas State | 48th | 44th |
| Kennesaw State | 23rd | 79th |
| Kentucky | 71st | 21st |
| LSU | 86th | 9th |
| Liberty | 78th | 29th |
| Louisiana | 27th | 69th |
| Louisiana Tech | 60th | 47th |
| Louisville | 94th | 19th |
| Marshall | 36th | 61st |
| Maryland | 17th | 85th |
| Massachusetts | 38th | 60th |
| Memphis | 87th | 20th |
| Miami | 100th | 0th |
| Miami (OH) | 68th | 31st |
| Michigan | 25th | 71st |
| Middle Tennessee | 37th | 60th |
| Minnesota | 4th | 95th |
| Mississippi State | 35th | 65th |
| Missouri | 54th | 49th |
| Missouri State | 40th | 64th |
| NC State | 69th | 28th |
| Navy | 57th | 51st |
| Nebraska | 59th | 32nd |
| Nevada | 1st | 99th |
| New Mexico | 39th | 68th |
| North Carolina | 48th | 45th |
| North Dakota State | 31st | 64th |
| North Texas | 99th | 1st |
| Northern Illinois | 12th | 89th |
| Northwestern | 93rd | 6th |
| Notre Dame | 97th | 5th |
| Ohio | 67th | 43rd |
| Ohio State | 79th | 23rd |
| Oklahoma State | 76th | 14th |
| Ole Miss | 80th | 8th |
| Oregon | 28th | 72nd |
| Oregon State | 92nd | 13th |
| Penn State | 47th | 48th |
| Pittsburgh | 44th | 50th |
| Purdue | 65th | 34th |
| Rice | 18th | 87th |
| Rutgers | 32nd | 76th |
| SMU | 81st | 16th |
| San Diego State | 5th | 94th |
| San José State | 13th | 84th |
| South Alabama | 64th | 27th |
| South Carolina | 55th | 54th |
| South Florida | 42nd | 56th |
| Southern Miss | 3rd | 97th |
| Stanford | 53rd | 55th |
| Syracuse | 24th | 74th |
| TCU | 21st | 75th |
| Temple | 56th | 56th |
| Tennessee | 45th | 42nd |
| Texas | 11th | 91st |
| Texas A&M | 16th | 78th |
| Texas State | 90th | 12th |
| Texas Tech | 50th | 46th |
| Toledo | 84th | 24th |
| Troy | 8th | 92nd |
| Tulane | 33rd | 73rd |
| Tulsa | 68th | 28th |
| UAB | 16th | 81st |
| UCF | 19th | 82nd |
| UCLA | 61st | 36th |
| UConn | 84th | 26th |
| UNLV | 44th | 67th |
| USC | 80th | 12th |
| UTSA | 72nd | 20th |
| Utah | 96th | 7th |
| Utah State | 0th | 100th |
| Vanderbilt | 26th | 76th |
| Virginia | 51st | 39th |
| Virginia Tech | 66th | 33rd |
| Wake Forest | 98th | 4th |
| Washington | 40th | 58th |
| West Virginia | 73rd | 24th |
| Western Kentucky | 4th | 96th |
| Western Michigan | 29th | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 22nd | 84th |
| Wyoming | 46th | 52nd |
Northern Illinois’s 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 3rd percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it climbs to the 28th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does Northern Illinois hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
51st percentile success on standard downs, 14th on passing downs — a 37-point gap between the two.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 98th | 23rd |
| Akron | 58th | 34th |
| Alabama | 77th | 57th |
| App State | 33rd | 49th |
| Arizona | 76th | 94th |
| Arizona State | 38th | 61st |
| Arkansas | 71st | 24th |
| Arkansas State | 85th | 59th |
| Army | 93rd | 58th |
| Auburn | 14th | 69th |
| BYU | 86th | 35th |
| Ball State | 31st | 52nd |
| Baylor | 15th | 46th |
| Boise State | 77th | 92nd |
| Boston College | 63rd | 28th |
| Bowling Green | 43rd | 21st |
| Buffalo | 9th | 11th |
| California | 11th | 20th |
| Central Michigan | 36th | 9th |
| Charlotte | 18th | 41st |
| Cincinnati | 68th | 83rd |
| Clemson | 7th | 39th |
| Coastal Carolina | 23rd | 64th |
| Colorado | 16th | 65th |
| Colorado State | 66th | 95th |
| Delaware | 59th | 64th |
| Duke | 21st | 67th |
| East Carolina | 37th | 19th |
| Eastern Michigan | 16th | 30th |
| Florida | 61st | 70th |
| Florida Atlantic | 67th | 87th |
| Florida International | 20th | 53rd |
| Florida State | 30th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 25th | 84th |
| Gardner-Webb | 5th | 23rd |
| Georgia | 98th | 89th |
| Georgia Southern | 60th | 71st |
| Georgia State | 68th | 66th |
| Georgia Tech | 53rd | 40th |
| Hawai'i | 48th | 29th |
| Houston | 87th | 99th |
| Illinois | 73rd | 91st |
| Indiana | 55th | 44th |
| Iowa | 79th | 13th |
| Iowa State | 18th | 31st |
| Jacksonville State | 82nd | 80th |
| James Madison | 45th | 77th |
| Kansas | 52nd | 18th |
| Kansas State | 64th | 68th |
| Kennesaw State | 61st | 16th |
| Kent State | 5th | 21st |
| Kentucky | 90th | 51st |
| LSU | 86th | 98th |
| Liberty | 93rd | 78th |
| Louisiana | 36th | 66th |
| Louisiana Tech | 26th | 79th |
| Louisville | 95th | 72nd |
| Maine | 0th | 86th |
| Marshall | 69th | 32nd |
| Maryland | 34th | 26th |
| Massachusetts | 35th | 38th |
| Memphis | 92nd | 93rd |
| Mercyhurst | 2nd | 34th |
| Miami | 99th | 95th |
| Miami (OH) | 50th | 43rd |
| Michigan | 10th | 89th |
| Michigan State | 23rd | 55th |
| Middle Tennessee | 27th | 64th |
| Minnesota | 32nd | 4th |
| Mississippi State | 66th | 59th |
| Missouri | 34th | 41st |
| Missouri State | 52nd | 30th |
| NC State | 62nd | 77th |
| Navy | 89th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 46th | 85th |
| Nevada | 28th | 27th |
| New Mexico | 55th | 48th |
| New Mexico State | 14th | 36th |
| Norfolk State | 7th | 0th |
| North Carolina | 89th | 73rd |
| North Dakota State | 30th | 45th |
| North Texas | 95th | 84th |
| Northern Illinois | 51st | 14th |
| Northwestern | 88th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 100th | 43rd |
| Ohio | 82nd | 42nd |
| Ohio State | 84th | 80th |
| Oklahoma | 4th | 50th |
| Oklahoma State | 96th | 86th |
| Old Dominion | 1st | 36th |
| Ole Miss | 81st | 94th |
| Oregon | 39th | 26th |
| Oregon State | 97th | 70th |
| Penn State | 20th | 47th |
| Pittsburgh | 65th | 50th |
| Purdue | 57th | 82nd |
| Rice | 59th | 14th |
| Robert Morris | 2nd | 5th |
| Rutgers | 42nd | 81st |
| SMU | 91st | 82nd |
| Sacramento State | 13th | 6th |
| Sam Houston | 11th | 37th |
| San Diego State | 8th | 54th |
| San José State | 17th | 2nd |
| South Alabama | 44th | 74th |
| South Carolina | 70th | 56th |
| South Florida | 84th | 57th |
| Southern Miss | 48th | 7th |
| Stanford | 40th | 9th |
| Syracuse | 57th | 39th |
| TCU | 70th | 10th |
| Temple | 50th | 68th |
| Tennessee | 75th | 12th |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 46th | 55th |
| Texas State | 74th | 100th |
| Texas Tech | 64th | 76th |
| Toledo | 73rd | 52nd |
| Troy | 39th | 15th |
| Tulane | 12th | 8th |
| Tulsa | 49th | 7th |
| UAB | 24th | 62nd |
| UCF | 29th | 45th |
| UCLA | 80th | 60th |
| UConn | 72nd | 73rd |
| UL Monroe | 47th | 11th |
| UNLV | 41st | 19th |
| USC | 79th | 97th |
| UT Martin | 6th | 3rd |
| UTEP | 9th | 1st |
| UTSA | 91st | 33rd |
| Utah | 94th | 98th |
| Utah State | 3rd | 76th |
| Vanderbilt | 41st | 32nd |
| Virginia | 83rd | 2nd |
| Virginia Tech | 43rd | 91st |
| Wake Forest | 75th | 96th |
| Washington | 56th | 16th |
| Washington State | 19th | 5th |
| West Virginia | 54th | 75th |
| Western Kentucky | 22nd | 25th |
| Western Michigan | 32nd | 27th |
| Wisconsin | 25th | 22nd |
| Wyoming | 78th | 48th |
Northern Illinois by half
1st-half offense ranks 43rd percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 14th — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
How much of Northern Illinois’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is -0.03; 15th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's -0.00. The widest gap came in week 2: -0.33 raw vs. -0.02 adjusted.
Pass defense by zone
What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Northern Illinois’s passing game completes a completion rate above the FBS mean (69.0% vs 67.0% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 225-play sample) — mid-pack, 103 of 136 qualifying offenses.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Northern Illinois’s defense allows a completion rate above the FBS mean (70.2% vs 66.3% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 142-play sample) — mid-pack, 133 of 137 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Turnover luck
Recovering 14% of their own fumbles — running cold vs. the ~52% league rate.
1 of 7 own fumbles recovered themselves, 2026 only.
Takeaways
Converting 35% of pass disruptions into takeaways — well above the ~18% league rate.
8 interceptions of 23 disrupted passes (15 deflected, 8 intercepted), 2026 only.
Penalties
The penalty battle is a wash: 44 penalties committed vs. 41 drawn on opponents.
426 penalty yards committed vs. 423 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.
Ratings and comparisons
Ratings
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · Northern Illinois
Most similar programs · Northern IllinoisReads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.
Weather
Huskie Stadium, DeKalb, IL
Usual during the game around Nov 13: 41°, between 30° and 52° in about 7 in 10 games (27 games since 2016).
Road games since 2016: the middle game was 61°, and 8 in 10 ran between 37° and 79° (58 of 59 road games, at stadiums we cover).
What a usual Saturday feels like here, by kickoff time
Airport readings near each stadium during the game, not on the field. How we measure
Weather observations: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at Iowa State University. Rain: NOAA MRMS radar and CoCoRaHS volunteer gauges (CC BY 4.0). Game data: CollegeFootballData.com.