Northern Illinois
Iowa #22
8:15 PM · Kinnick Stadium

Iowa (#22) hosts Northern Illinois. The market has Iowa (#22) favored by 31.5.

What’s at stake

Iowa

  • Iowa is ranked #22, right on the edge of the Top 25.
  • Iowa hasn’t beaten a ranked opponent since 2021.

Northern Illinois

  • A win would be one of Northern Illinois’s biggest of the season — a 118-spot gap in the power ratings.

The series

Iowa leads the series 9-1

10 meetings since 1985 · Iowa won the last meeting

  • 2018Iowa 33–7
  • 2013Northern Illinois 30–27
  • 2012 · neutral siteIowa 18–17
  • 2007Iowa 16–3
  • 2006Iowa 24–14

Face-off

What each fanbase carries into this one.

Northern Illinois

The chip · vs the blue bloods

DeKalb walked into one of the sport's cathedrals as a four-touchdown underdog and walked out with the win — and the national story was the giant who lost, not the Huskies who won. The fanbase keeps the receipts: the scoreboard said Northern Illinois.

Iowa

The chip · vs the national media

Hawkeye fans are tired of the highlight shows treating their brand of football as a punchline; they'll tell you the punt is a weapon and a 13-10 win counts the same as a 49-42 one, and they relish making the cool offenses look silly.

What this game touches

The ceiling above the floor. Iowa almost never bottoms out — and almost never breaks through. Year after year the Hawkeyes grind to nine wins and lose the games that would change the story, like 2025's four regular-season losses by a combined fifteen points to four top-20 teams: close enough to taste, never quite enough to take.

Best players

Iowa

  • Xavier Nwankpa (DB) · 2025: 76 tackles
  • Zach Lutmer (DB) · 2025: 71 tackles
  • Kamari Moulton (RB) · 2025: 878 rushing yards

Northern Illinois

  • Quinton Urwiler (LB) · 2025: 127 tackles
  • Chavon Wright (RB) · 2025: 875 rushing yards
  • Muhammed Jammeh (S) · 2025: 57 tackles

What to watch

The spread has moved 2.0 points toward Iowa since opening (−29.5 → −31.5).

The line, and the room

Northern Illinois fans are feeling better about their season (71st percentile) than Iowa fans are (19th) — even with Iowa favored here.

  • Model · 94%
  • Market · 99%
  • Iowa fans · 19th
  • Northern Illinois fans · 71st

Home −31.5 · O/U 44.5

Conditions

89°F · 6 mph wind · Fair

Home-field advantage: Above-Average

Iowa is 77% at home, 63% on the road since 2018 (41-12 home, 24-14 away).