cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Cade Yacamelli /Wisconsin

Cade Yacamelli

RB · Wisconsin · Jr · #25

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

128 RUSH YDS · 0 RUSH TD · 38 CARRIES

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Wisconsin → Miami (OH) for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Miami (OH)

2025Wisconsin
2026Miami (OH)

RB · WISCONSIN · BIG TEN

Cade Yacamelli

  • 3
  • #25
  • 6-0 | 215 lb
  • Trafford, PA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

4

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 16th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#610

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2023–2025
1692023
2742024
1282025

-24%

Sharp dropoff (-24%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1109 national
CFB
College
Wisconsin
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class3
Jersey25
Measurements6-0 | 215 lb
HometownTrafford, PA
Primary teamWisconsin

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1109 recruit
Composite rating 0.8556 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2022
Origin Penn Trafford Harrison City, PA, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8556 No. 1109 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Miami (OH) 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 17, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Wisconsin -> Miami (OH) 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#610Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#837Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8556

#1109 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Cade Yacamelli

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

Awaiting per-cohort signal

Sample 0 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmNational: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "The cumulative link to the preseason rankings can be found [here]( https://www.r"National
  • National · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Cade Yacamelli

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 10g
128Rush yards
38Carries
0Rush TDs
Per game
12.8Rush yards
4Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
166.4Rush yards
49Carries
0Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 128): needs 207.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 128): needs 290.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 128): needs 457.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 3.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 5/game over remaining 3.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 0): needs 6.7/game over remaining 3.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Cade Yacamelli's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Wisconsin, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #610 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 9.0% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc 83 return yds

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 154 128 rush | 26 rec | #402/735 (45th pct)
Rush TD 0 38 carries | #447/739 (40th pct)
Yards/carry 3.4 Per-rush efficiency | #591/735 (20th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
38 52nd
YDS
128 45th
YPC
3.4 20th
TD
0 40th

Receiving

REC
2 25th
YDS
26 34th
YPR
13.0 91st
TD
0 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 17-0vs Miami (OH)5204.009
Wk 2W 42-10vs Middle Tennessee4153.806
Wk 3L 14-38@ Alabama5214.209
Wk 4L 10-27vs Maryland242.003
Wk 6L 10-24@ Michigan1-1-1.000
Wk 7L 0-37vs Iowa7233.3012
Wk 8L 0-34vs Ohio State11302.709Season-high 30 yds
Wk 9L 7-21@ Oregon3165.308
Wk 13W 27-10vs Illinois
Wk 14L 7-17@ Minnesota
Total381283.0012
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Wisconsin7-6HC: Jim Leonhard · Run-heavy
2023Wisconsin7-6HC: Luke Fickell · Balanced
2024Wisconsin5-7HC: Luke Fickell · Run-leaning
2025Wisconsin4-8HC: Luke Fickell · Run-heavy, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Wisconsin381283.40--
2024Wisconsin332748.32--
2023Wisconsin361694.70--
2022Wisconsin----------
Career4 loaded seasons1075715.32--
SeasonTeam
2025Wisconsin22613.00--
2024Wisconsin4358.80--
2023Wisconsin4235.80--
2022Wisconsin----------
Career4 loaded seasons10848.40--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 2 26 rec yds | #414/552 (25th pct)
Usage 9.0% 14.9% rush share | #354/738 (52nd pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.10 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #209/362 (43rd pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 128 #402/735 45th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 0 #447/739 40th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 3.4 #591/735 20th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 2 #414/552 25th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 26 #360/548 34th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.10 #209/362 43rd pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 37 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 9.0% #354/738 52nd pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 38 #353/739 52nd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 12 #531/733 28th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 14 #323/540 40th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 13.0 #51/548 91st pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #169/552 70th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Returns Kick return yards 83 #69/200 66th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Returns Kick return avg 20.8 #68/199 66th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Returns Kick returns 4 #69/206 67th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 14.9% #353/738 52nd pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 10.1% #339/738 54th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 10.0% #201/738 73rd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 9.5% #369/738 50th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 8.6% #398/738 46th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 6.5% #366/738 51st pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 2.1% #393/738 47th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home6g15.33.20.0
Road4g9.02.80.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins3g11.73.90.0
Losses7g13.32.80.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-76g13.72.70.0
Weeks 8+4g11.54.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

4Below cohort
7 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: carries (0th).

Rec yards#286 / 338 · 16th pct
26rece
Receptions#318 / 338 · 5th pct
2rece
Yards / carry#335 / 349 · 4th pct
3.4rush
Rush TDs#326 / 349 · 3rd pct
0rush
Long run#347 / 349 · 1st pct
12rush
Rush yards#347 / 349 · 1st pct
128rush
Carries#350 / 349 · 0th pct
38rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.1Low (p25–p50) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Cade YacamelliWisconsinJordan BrunsonMiami (OH)· 44% simTae MeadowsTroy· 43% simChavon WrightNorthern Illinois· 43% sim
Rec yards
16
Yacamelli
3
Brunson
38
Meadows
10
Wright
Receptions
5
Yacamelli
2
Brunson
45
Meadows
32
Wright
Yards / carry
4
Yacamelli
41
Brunson
29
Meadows
33
Wright
Rush TDs
3
Yacamelli
50
Brunson
72
Meadows
62
Wright
Long run
1
Yacamelli
73
Brunson
53
Meadows
49
Wright
Rush yards
1
Yacamelli
80
Brunson
74
Meadows
84
Wright
Carries
0
Yacamelli
85
Brunson
84
Meadows
92
Wright

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Luke Fickell

Pass share

39.7%

272 pass / 413 run

Plays / game

57.1

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

10.8%

249 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Jim Leonhard
Wisconsin
2023
Luke Fickell
Wisconsin
era →
2024
Luke Fickell
Wisconsin
2025
Luke Fickell
Wisconsin

Coaching transition mid-career: Jim Leonhard → Luke Fickell. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownTrafford, PA
Height6'0"
Weight215 lb
Class3
PositionRB
Jersey25

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Wisconsin RB3 #610 #837 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten
2023 Wisconsin RB3 #1475 #1501 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big Ten
2022 Wisconsin RB3 #2752 #2722 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Wisconsin Big Ten RB 3 No. 25 | 6-0 | 215 lb | Trafford, PA
2024 Wisconsin Big Ten RB 3 No. 25 | 6-0 | 215 lb | Trafford, PA
2023 Wisconsin Big Ten RB 3 No. 25 | 6-0 | 215 lb | Trafford, PA
2022 Wisconsin Big Ten RB 3 No. 25 | 6-0 | 215 lb | Trafford, PA