cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Keith Reynolds /Miami (OH)

Keith Reynolds

WR · Miami (OH) · So

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

352 REC YDS · 36 REC · 1 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Miami (OH) for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Miami (OH) for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Miami (OH)

Returning around him

  • 48% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • 1 Miami (OH) player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +2 net (16 in / 14 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Miami (OH) · Last season: 7-7 · Talent rank #87 · 2026 recruiting class #83

WR · MIAMI (OH) · MID-AMERICAN

Keith Reynolds

  • 2
  • 5-9 | 180 lb
  • Adelanto, CA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

45

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by long catch at the 83rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1729

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2024–2025
35.02024
3522025

+906%

Up 906% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1238 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class2
Jersey--
Measurements5-9 | 180 lb
HometownAdelanto, CA
Primary teamMiami (OH)

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1238 recruit
Composite rating 0.8558 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2023
Origin Adelanto Adelanto, CA, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8558 No. 1238 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Miami (OH) 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 13, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 Washington -> Miami (OH) 3-star | 0.8400 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1729Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1813Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8558

#1238 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Keith Reynolds

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 2 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "Miami’s ‘Swiss Army Knife’: How transfer Keith Reynolds has improved Miami footb"Own fansNational: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "The cumulative link to the preseason rankings can be found [here]( https://www.r"National
  • Own fans · n=2
  • National · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Keith Reynolds

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Receiving yards (total)

352

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #350 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 34th

Why it matters

#350 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving yards — 352 yards on 36 receptions.

Vs cohort

This player 352 (34th)

HIGH · n=36 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Yards per reception#431 / 531
  • Receiving TDs#402 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 2 at Rutgers — 120 receiving_yards_total

Result L 17-45

The week the volume broke through — put up 120 yds at Rutgers.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

final
Through 13g
352Rec yards
36Receptions
1Rec TDs
Per game
27.1Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Final
352Rec yards
36Receptions
1Rec TDs

Why the profile pops beyond receiving

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The most interesting thing about Keith Reynolds is that he shows up in multiple game states. He is a receiver first, but the profile also includes designed touches and return-game juice, which means his value is not limited to a conventional route tree.

Current place #1729 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 10.8% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 36 1 rec TD | #218/1110 (80th pct)
Receiving yards 352 9.8 per catch | #319/1107 (71st pct)
Scrimmage yards 538 Total offensive yardage | #319/1107 (71st pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

All-purpose weapon against FBS receiving peers.

All-purpose weapon

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
36 80th
YDS
352 71st
YPR
9.8 30th
TD
1 64th

Rushing

CAR
27 98th
YDS
186 98th
YPC
6.9 74th
TD
0 81st

Returns

KR YDS
456 92nd
KR AVG
28.5 92nd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 2L 17-45@ Rutgers712017.1069Season-high 120 yds
Wk 4L 38-41vs UNLV133.013
Wk 5W 38-0vs Lindenwood3268.7014
Wk 6W 25-14@ Northern Illinois5193.807
Wk 7W 20-7@ Akron7486.9016
Wk 8W 44-30vs Eastern Michigan11414.0014
Wk 9W 26-17vs Western Michigan22914.5017
Wk 11L 20-24@ Ohio3103.306
Wk 12L 3-24vs Toledo11111.0011
Wk 13W 37-20@ Buffalo3155.008
Wk 14W 45-24vs Ball State14444.0044
Wk 15L 13-23@ Western Michigan199.009
BowlL 3-18@ Fresno State144.004
Total3635211.1169
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Washington6-7HC: Jedd Fisch · Balanced
2025Miami (OH)7-7HC: Chuck Martin · Run-leaning, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Miami (OH)363529.81--
2024Washington5357.00--
Career2 loaded seasons413879.41--
SeasonTeam
2025Miami (OH)27186456----
2024Washington14307----
Career2 loaded seasons28190763----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 10.8% 16.3% pass-game share | #187/1137 (84th pct)
Return yards 456 1 return TD | #19/238 (92nd pct)
Touchdowns 2 Across offense and returns | #396/1111 (64th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 36 #218/1110 80th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 352 #319/1107 71st pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #396/1111 64th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 9.8 #772/1106 30th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Kick return yards 456 #19/238 92nd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 16.3% #187/1137 84th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 186 #9/397 98th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 32 #28/346 92nd pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 27 #10/407 98th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 6.9 #105/393 74th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 69 #102/1105 91st pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Kick return avg 28.5 #20/236 92nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Kick returns 16 #24/243 91st pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Kick return TD 1 #4/20 85th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 12.4% #51/1137 96th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 11.2% #176/1137 85th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 11.0% #58/1137 95th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 10.8% #69/1137 94th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 10.5% #53/1137 95th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 8.7% #320/1137 72nd pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 6.4% #13/1137 99th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #131/302 57th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home6g1.521.215.90.2
Road7g3.932.17.00.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins7g3.127.913.80.0
Losses6g2.326.27.90.2

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-76g4.036.77.20.2
Weeks 8+7g1.718.914.40.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

45Mid-pack
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rush yards (97th). Strength: long catch (82nd). Concern: yards / catch (15th).

Rush yards#7 / 287 · 98th pct
186rush
Long catch#95 / 558 · 83rd pct
69rece
Receptions#218 / 558 · 60th pct
36rece
Rec yards#319 / 558 · 43rd pct
352rece
Rush TDs#67 / 287 · 39th pct
0rush
Fumbles lost#86 / 218 · 36th pct
1fumb
Rec TDs#373 / 558 · 24th pct
1rece
Yards / catch#473 / 558 · 15th pct
9.8rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Keith ReynoldsMiami (OH)Jacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 78% simKevin Coleman Jr.Missouri· 77% simAnthony Evans IIIMississippi State· 71% sim
Rush yards
98
Reynolds
76
Gibson
89
Jr.
80
III
Long catch
83
Reynolds
56
Gibson
56
Jr.
68
III
Receptions
60
Reynolds
92
Gibson
94
Jr.
95
III
Rec yards
43
Reynolds
74
Gibson
84
Jr.
90
III
Rush TDs
39
Reynolds
39
Gibson
39
Jr.
39
III
Fumbles lost
36
Reynolds
36
III
Rec TDs
24
Reynolds
7
Gibson
24
Jr.
68
III
Yards / catch
15
Reynolds
15
Gibson
28
Jr.
44
III

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Mikey Matthews’s 2024 season.

Mikey Matthews

87%match

California · 2024

#2

Jacari Carter

Georgia State · 2023

83%
#3

Yusuf Ali

Middle Tennessee · 2022

81%
#4

Jacob Jordan

Oklahoma · 2024

81%
#5

Drae McCray

Texas Tech · 2023

81%

Matches Mikey on

Total EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception
Weight

Differs from Mikey on

Recruiting rating (lower)

Through 1 college season, his career arc tracks closest to Cee Jay Powell’s path through Louisiana Tech.

Cee Jay Powell

99%match

Louisiana Tech · 2020

#2

Isaac Vance

Kent State · 2020

99%
#3

Briley Moore

Kansas State · 2020

97%
#4

Damoriea Vick

Southeast Missouri State · 2023

95%
#5

Daniel Crawford

Northern Illinois · 2020

All-MAC
94%

Matches Cee on

Yards per reception

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Jaylin Lucas's sophomore season at Indiana (2023).

Jaylin Lucas

84%match

Indiana · 2023

1st-team All-American
#2

Mikey Matthews

California · 2024

82%
#3

Zion Booker

Tulsa · 2025

80%
#4

Grady O'Neill

Sam Houston · 2025

79%
#5

Alvon Isaac

South Florida · 2025

77%

Matches Jaylin on

Total EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception
Weight

Differs from Jaylin on

Class year (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Chuck Martin

Pass share

43.4%

367 pass / 478 run

Plays / game

60.4

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.3%

290 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
Chuck Martin
Miami (OH)
2025
Chuck Martin
Miami (OH)

Played his entire career under Chuck Martin.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownAdelanto, CA
Height5'9"
Weight180 lb
Class2
PositionWR

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Washington WR2 #1729 #1813 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten
2023 Washington WR2 #2365 #1775 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Miami (OH) Mid-American WR 2 5-9 | 180 lb | Adelanto, CA
2024 Washington Big Ten WR 2 5-9 | 180 lb | Adelanto, CA
2023 Washington Pac-12 WR 2 5-9 | 180 lb | Adelanto, CA