CFB Zeitgeist Score
77
All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 96th percentile.
Junior Vandeross
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
1,008 REC YDS · 82 REC · 11 REC TD
2026 Outlook
Returning to Toledo for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Wide receiver · Toledo · editorial
Returning around him
- 68% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- 2 Toledo players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -5 net (33 in / 38 out)
2026 Award watch
- Biletnikoff
Toledo · Last season: 8-5 · Talent rank #75 · 2026 recruiting class #73
WR · TOLEDO · MID-AMERICAN
Junior Vandeross
- 4
- #2
- 5-8 | 182 lb
- Tampa, FL
Heisman Heat
#257
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2022–2025+5500%
Up 5500% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Toledo
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 3-star | 0.8411 | No. 1492 recruit | HighSchool | Toledo |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Volume King 1.3% Volume King 2,500+ passing yards, 1,200+ rushing yards, or 900+ receiving yards in a single season (position-appropriate threshold). Held by 1.3% of the 2025 pool. 1008 receiving yards — clears the 900-WR volume bar.
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (1008).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Toledo
Composite
0.8411
#1492 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Junior Vandeross
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Junior Vandeross
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Receiving yards (total)
1,008
yds
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
National rank #20 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 96th
Why it matters
#20 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving yards — 1,008 yards on 82 receptions.
Vs cohort
This player 1,008 (96th)
HIGH · n=82 cohort 531
- Also strong
- Receiving TDs#9 / 531
- Yards per reception#271 / 531
Signature Moment
Week 13 vs Ball State — 127 receiving_yards_total
Result W 38-9
The week the volume broke through — put up 127 yds vs Ball State.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 13g
1,008Rec yards
82Receptions
11Rec TDs
Per game
77.5Rec yards
6Receptions
1Rec TDs
Final
1,008Rec yards
82Receptions
11Rec TDs
✓ Hit 700-yard receiver · finished with 1,008.
✓ Hit 1,000-yard receiver · finished with 1,008.
✓ Hit 60-catch season · finished with 82.
✓ Hit 80-catch season · finished with 82.
✓ Hit 8 receiving TDs · finished with 11.
✓ Hit 10 receiving TDs · finished with 11.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Junior Vandeross's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Toledo, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
WR season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
82 99th
YDS
1,008 98th
YPR
12.3 53rd
TD
11 99th
Rushing
CAR
2 53rd
YDS
5 35th
YPC
2.5 31st
TD
0 81st
Returns
PR YDS
26 37th
PR AVG
26.0 96th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 13 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 16-24@ Kentucky | 7 | 88 | 12.6 | 1 | 22 | |
| Wk 2 | W 45-21vs Western Kentucky | 5 | 122 | 24.4 | 1 | 71 | |
| Wk 3 | W 60-0vs Morgan State | 6 | 45 | 7.5 | 2 | 15 | 2 TD catches |
| Wk 4 | L 13-14@ Western Michigan | 4 | 3 | 0.8 | 0 | 4 | |
| Wk 5 | W 45-3vs Akron | 9 | 122 | 13.6 | 2 | 28 | 2 TD catches |
| Wk 7 | L 23-28@ Bowling Green | 6 | 100 | 16.7 | 0 | 39 | |
| Wk 8 | W 45-10vs Kent State | 8 | 76 | 9.5 | 1 | 32 | |
| Wk 9 | L 7-28@ Washington State | 7 | 52 | 7.4 | 1 | 24 | |
| Wk 11 | W 42-3vs Northern Illinois | 6 | 97 | 16.2 | 1 | 28 | |
| Wk 12 | W 24-3@ Miami (OH) | 6 | 44 | 7.3 | 0 | 15 | |
| Wk 13 | W 38-9vs Ball State | 7 | 127 | 18.1 | 2 | 63 | Season-high 127 yds |
| Wk 14 | W 21-3@ Central Michigan | 4 | 71 | 17.8 | 0 | 24 | |
| Bowl | L 22-27@ Louisville | 7 | 61 | 8.7 | 0 | 19 | |
| Total | 82 | 1008 | 12.4 | 11 | 71 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022Toledo9-5HC: Jason Candle · Run-leaning
2023Toledo11-3HC: Jason Candle · Run-leaning
2024Toledo8-5HC: Jason Candle · Balanced
2025Toledo8-5HC: Jason Candle · Run-leaning
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 82 | #9/1110 | 99th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 1,008 | #21/1107 | 98th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 11 | #9/1111 | 99th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 12.3 | #517/1106 | 53rd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt return yards | 26 | #143/224 | 37th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 27.5% | #17/1137 | 99th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 5 | #259/397 | 35th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 4 | #279/346 | 20th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 2.5 | #271/393 | 31st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Carries | 2 | #194/407 | 53rd pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #81/411 | 81st pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 71 | #89/1105 | 92nd pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt return avg | 26.0 | #9/222 | 96th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt returns | 1 | #182/237 | 24th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 14.6% | #54/1137 | 95th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 13.1% | #29/1137 | 98th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 12.7% | #18/1137 | 99th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 12.6% | #109/1137 | 91st pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 12.6% | #30/1137 | 97th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 11.1% | #78/1137 | 93rd pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.5% | #284/1137 | 75th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 13 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 6.8 | 98.2 | 14.9 | 1.5 |
| Road7g | 5.9 | 59.9 | 10.2 | 0.3 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins8g | 6.4 | 88.0 | 14.3 | 1.1 |
| Losses5g | 6.2 | 60.8 | 9.2 | 0.4 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 6.3 | 77.3 | 12.0 | 0.9 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 6.3 | 77.8 | 12.7 | 0.8 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
77All-Conference
Elite: receptions (98th). Strength: rec tds (98th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Junior VanderossToledoBraylon StaleyTennessee· 94% simChris BellLouisville· 93% simJordan HudsonSMU· 93% sim
Receptions
Rec TDs
Rec yards
Long catch
Yards / catch
Rush TDs
Rush yards
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Slot Technician
Runs precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving.
WR
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Victor Snow’s 2025 season.
Victor Snow
73%match
All-MAC
#2
Giles Jackson
70%
#3
Tyrin Smith
70%
#4
Jaelon Darden
1st-team All-AmericanNFL Rd 4
62%
#5
Junior Vandeross
68%
Matches Victor on
Yards / reception
Total EPA (college ability)
Differs from Victor on
Reception volume (higher)
Class year (higher)
Weight (higher)
Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Anthony Lowe’s path through Gardner-Webb.
Anthony Lowe
98%match
#2
Ma'jon Wright
98%
#3
Ryan Flournoy
NFL Rd 6
97%
#4
Xavier Lane
94%
#5
Ian Duarte
93%
Matches Anthony on
Yards per reception
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Kamdyn Benjamin's senior season at Tulsa (2024).
Kamdyn Benjamin
80%match
All-AAC
#2
Phillip Brooks III
70%
#3
Erik Brooks
69%
#4
Victor Snow
All-MAC
68%
#5
Lincoln Victor
66%
Matches Kamdyn on
Yards / reception
Weight
EPA / play (adj)
Differs from Kamdyn on
TD rate (higher)
Reception volume (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Jason Candle
Pass share
45.9%
397 pass / 467 run
Plays / game
66.5
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
4.5%
290 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
1 coach2022
Jason Candle
Toledo
2023
Jason Candle
Toledo
2024
Jason Candle
Toledo
2025
Jason Candle
Toledo
Played his entire career under Jason Candle.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownTampa, FL
Height5'8"
Weight182 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey2
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamToledo
ConferenceMid-American
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.