Ohio

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Mid-American · John Hauser, year 2 (2-1) · Peden Stadium · 24,000 · 21,037 avg in 2026

The nationunrankedAP / Coaches
The model#54 CFB ZeitgeistSP+ #124 (-16.4) · FPI #110
The marketSouth Alabama by 4.5at South Alabama · our model 37% Ohio · a number, not a pick

LastW 29–27 vs Jacksonville State · Sat Sep 12 · Matt Vezza 80 pass yds, 1 TD, 67 rush yds

Nextat South Alabama · Sat Sep 19 · 7 pm ET · Hancock Whitney Stadium · South Alabama by 4.5 · series 1-0 · Game preview

Updated Tue Sep 15 · through week 2

Key stats — 2026 — FBS rank
Points/game
25.0
Pts allowed/game
38.0
Total yards/gm#128 / 138 · 8th pct
282.5
Rush yards/gm#85 / 138 · 39th pct
152.0
Pass yards/gm#129 / 138 · 7th pct
130.5
Yards allowed/gm#125 / 138 · 10th pct
485.0
Rush yds allowed/gm#122 / 138 · 12th pct
204.5
SacksT-#106 / 138 · 16th pct
2
3rd-down conv#46 / 138 · 67th pct
46.9%
All 87 stats
Offense / Defense
Total yards
Team
565282.5/gm4.31/play#128 / 138 · 8th pct#66 / 70 · 6th pct#11 / 13 · 19th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
970485.0/gm6.64/play#125 / 138 · 10th pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#9 / 13 · 35th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush yards
Team
304152.0/gm2.32/play#85 / 138 · 39th pct#45 / 70 · 36th pct#6 / 13 · 58th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
409204.5/gm2.80/play#122 / 138 · 12th pct#69 / 70 · 2nd pct#10 / 13 · 27th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush carries
Team
7939.5/gmT-#51 / 138 · 62nd pctT-#25 / 70 · 64th pct#3 / 13 · 81st pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
8844.0/gm#123 / 138 · 11th pct#69 / 70 · 2nd pct#11 / 13 · 19th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Rush TDs
Team
21.0/gmT-#106 / 138 · 18th pctT-#56 / 70 · 15th pctT-#9 / 13 · 27th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
63.0/gmT-#126 / 138 · 7th pctT-#68 / 70 · 3rd pctT-#12 / 13 · 8th pct#2 / 13 · 92nd pct
Net pass yards
Team
261130.5/gm1.99/play#129 / 138 · 7th pct#70 / 70 · 1st pct#12 / 13 · 12th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
561280.5/gm3.84/play#120 / 138 · 13th pct#67 / 70 · 5th pct#8 / 13 · 42nd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Pass attempts
Team
5226.0/gmT-#91 / 138 · 32nd pctT-#54 / 70 · 22nd pctT-#6 / 13 · 50th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
5829.0/gmT-#61 / 138 · 55th pct#37 / 70 · 48th pct#3 / 13 · 81st pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Completions
Team
2713.5/gmT-#117 / 138 · 15th pctT-#64 / 70 · 9th pct#12 / 13 · 12th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
3819.0/gmT-#73 / 138 · 45th pctT-#44 / 70 · 36th pct#2 / 13 · 88th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Pass TDs
Team
21.0/gmT-#94 / 138 · 25th pctT-#54 / 70 · 19th pct#10 / 13 · 27th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
42.0/gmT-#103 / 138 · 19th pctT-#62 / 70 · 9th pctT-#5 / 13 · 54th pct#2 / 13 · 92nd pct
Passer rating allowed#86 / 91 · 6th pct#42 / 42 · 1st pct#8 / 10 · 25th pct#12 / 12 · 8th pct
166.1166.1
Interceptions thrown
Team
10.5/gmT-#52 / 138 · 49th pctT-#25 / 70 · 53rd pctT-#6 / 13 · 42nd pct#12 / 13 · 15th pct
Opp
00.0/gmT-#1 / 138 · 92nd pctT-#1 / 70 · 92nd pctT-#1 / 13 · 85th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Sacks (def)
Team
21.0/gmT-#106 / 138 · 16th pctT-#61 / 70 · 9th pctT-#9 / 13 · 23rd pct#11 / 11 · 9th pct
Opp
42.0/gmT-#74 / 138 · 37th pctT-#42 / 70 · 31st pctT-#8 / 13 · 38th pct#1 / 11 · 100th pct
Tackles for loss
Team
105.0/gmT-#79 / 138 · 38th pctT-#45 / 70 · 31st pctT-#5 / 13 · 58th pct#11 / 11 · 9th pct
Opp
84.0/gmT-#39 / 138 · 67th pctT-#26 / 70 · 56th pctT-#4 / 13 · 65th pct#1 / 11 · 100th pct
First downs
Team
3417.0/gmT-#113 / 138 · 18th pct#64 / 70 · 9th pct#8 / 13 · 42nd pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
5025.0/gm#128 / 138 · 8th pct#69 / 70 · 2nd pct#11 / 13 · 19th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
3rd-down conv
Team
157.5/gmT-#20 / 138 · 83rd pctT-#10 / 70 · 84th pct#2 / 13 · 88th pct#12 / 13 · 15th pct
Opp
189.0/gmT-#130 / 138 · 4th pctT-#69 / 70 · 1st pctT-#12 / 13 · 8th pct#2 / 13 · 92nd pct
3rd-down att
Team
3216.0/gm#24 / 138 · 83rd pct#9 / 70 · 88th pct#5 / 13 · 65th pct#12 / 13 · 15th pct
Opp
2914.5/gmT-#79 / 138 · 40th pctT-#41 / 70 · 39th pct#8 / 13 · 42nd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
4th-down conv
Team
21.0/gmT-#51 / 138 · 51st pctT-#28 / 70 · 49th pctT-#3 / 13 · 65th pct#12 / 13 · 15th pct
Opp
21.0/gmT-#71 / 138 · 37th pctT-#40 / 70 · 32nd pctT-#4 / 13 · 54th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
4th-down att
Team
21.0/gmT-#98 / 138 · 22nd pctT-#45 / 70 · 29th pctT-#10 / 13 · 19th pct#12 / 13 · 15th pct
Opp
42.0/gmT-#80 / 138 · 36th pctT-#42 / 70 · 32nd pctT-#7 / 13 · 46th pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct
Time of possession
Team
60:5630:28/gm#74 / 138 · 47th pct#36 / 70 · 49th pct#11 / 13 · 19th pct#13 / 13 · 8th pct
Opp
59:0429:32/gm#65 / 138 · 53rd pct#37 / 70 · 48th pct#8 / 13 · 42nd pct#1 / 13 · 100th pct

FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs

Player stats — 2026 season
Quarterbacks
Player#GCmp/AttPctYdsY/ATDINTRateZPRQBRAdj ANY/ASack%
+0.26 EPA/play8216 / 3644.418051095.6—7.9——
+0.42 EPA/play9210 / 1376.9806.211138.6—53.9——
Running Backs
Player#GCarYdsAvgTDLongStuff%10+%
+0.30 EPA/play6227983.6012——
Receivers
Player#GRecYdsAvgTDLong
+0.74 EPA/play1521014214.22
#24 FBS		68

2026 stat leaders · Ohio

through 2 games

Jack Fries leads Ohio with 19 tackles through 2 games.

1. Jack Fries LB 19 tackles
2. Michael Molnar LB 17 tackles
3. JT Haskins S 17 tackles
4. Ike Ackerman DE 13 tackles
5. Riley Neer WR 142 receiving yards
How They Play · 2025

Ohio fields a strong run-heavy, methodical, ball-control offense behind a solid defense.

Offense
67th pct EPA/play
Run/Pass
63% run plays
Tempo
69th pct success, 33rd explosiveness
Defense
58th pct EPA allowed

Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.

The Savant Card · Ohio · 2025

Ohio reads strongest in rushing epa (top 19%) and success rate (top 31%); the crux lives in explosive plays allowed, where Ohio sits at the 31st percentile.

offense · strengths lead

EPA / play +0.20
67th
Success Rate +0.44
69th
Explosive Plays +1.22
33rd
Rushing EPA +0.18
81st

defense · higher bar = harder to play against

EPA Allowed +0.12
58th
Success Rate Allowed +0.41
53rd
Explosive Plays Allowed +1.30
32nd
Passing EPA Allowed +0.22
55th

hidden math · special situations

Passing EPA +0.22
39th
Rushing EPA Allowed +0.08
48th
Elite · 90+Strong · 70+Average · 40-70Concern · 10-40Bottom · <10
Sources · CFBD tier-2 advanced stats · per-game production · 13 games this season · percentiles vs. up to 136 FBS peers

Home-field advantage · Ohio · 2018–present · FBS opponents

Ohio is worth +5.5 points more at home than on the road.

Top third of FBS, 71st percentile of 133 programs

76% at home, 45% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (29–9 home, 20–24 away). Interval ±4.0.

95% intervalmodel 2.3 · books ~3Weakest home edge in FBSStrongest

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge — per-team modelling was tested and did not survive scrutiny (why) — and the books use about 3. Against the closing line, Ohio has beaten the number by −0.3 more at home than away over 74 games — inside the ±6.2 that many games can resolve. Results here cannot tell the flat number apart from the building, and that is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.

Peden Stadium seats 24,000 and has averaged 79% full (18,924, 25 games reported). Visitors get here easily: a median 275 miles trip since 2018, the 26th-shortest of 135 FBS venues. Whatever the band above is picking up, it isn't the flight. 18% of the 2026 roster (24 of 131 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.

Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 45 home games since 2018.

Home29–9Away20–24Edge+5.5 ±4.0Visitor trip275 mi

More in this tab

Scheme claimsFive specific, testable claims about how this team plays.

Fourth-quarter reliability, corrected

Ohio's 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time

Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 72nd percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it climbs to the 82nd — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.

league medianRaw 4th quarter · 72nd pctileCompetitive snaps on…Worst in FBSBest in FBS
Source CFB Zeitgeist · CFBD play-by-play, garbage-time adjusted by pre-play margin

Standard downs vs. passing downs

Does Ohio hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?

38th percentile success on standard downs, 17th on passing downs — a 21-point gap between the two.

Fragile off scheduleBalanced, both workStruggles even on scheduleStandard-downs reliantOhioWeak on standard downsElite on standard downsFalls apart off scheduleHolds up off scheduleHawai'i18th standard · 41st passingUNLV51st standard · 7th passingStanford76th standard · 15th passingEastern Michigan52nd standard · 10th passingSan José State54th standard · 22nd passingNew Mexico State45th standard · 75th passingSacramento State23rd standard · 14th passingOklahoma State41st standard · 49th passingDuke20th standard · 29th passingFlorida State28th standard · 65th passingRutgers30th standard · 71st passingKansas70th standard · 35th passingBoston College27th standard · 56th passingNorfolk State16th standard · 9th passingLouisville96th standard · 70th passingMissouri36th standard · 85th passingMemphis69th standard · 65th passingGeorgia Southern24th standard · 45th passingOle Miss94th standard · 50th passingJacksonville State65th standard · 82nd passingNorth Dakota State86th standard · 27th passingArizona92nd standard · 86th passingUSC97th standard · 99th passingWake Forest56th standard · 97th passingTCU93rd standard · 8th passingDelaware70th standard · 31st passingUAB65th standard · 81st passingMichigan State62nd standard · 29th passingSouth Florida91st standard · 52nd passingFlorida International46th standard · 43rd passingNavy98th standard · 59th passingWisconsin13th standard · 18th passingOregon State10th standard · 38th passingSyracuse48th standard · 64th passingOhio State90th standard · 40th passingBall State12th standard · 24th passingPittsburgh30th standard · 76th passingColorado35th standard · 77th passingGeorgia Tech58th standard · 44th passingAuburn75th standard · 55th passingBaylor40th standard · 96th passingNorth Texas49th standard · 68th passingApp State44th standard · 90th passingIowa State4th standard · 23rd passingUTSA99th standard · 29th passingArkansas60th standard · 80th passingBoise State58th standard · 46th passingOregon35th standard · 33rd passingTulsa56th standard · 1st passingTulane31st standard · 2nd passingPurdue83rd standard · 88th passingMiddle Tennessee87th standard · 68th passingVanderbilt80th standard · 12th passingSan Diego State4th standard · 40th passingLSU33rd standard · 98th passingClemson1st standard · 19th passingCentral Michigan16th standard · 6th passingTexas Tech88th standard · 48th passingMichigan2nd standard · 62nd passingWestern Michigan39th standard · 20th passingOhio38th standard · 17th passingBuffalo7th standard · 14th passingTexas72nd standard · 94th passingCoastal Carolina61st standard · 52nd passingColorado State82nd standard · 91st passingWyoming65th standard · 36th passingTexas A&M85th standard · 72nd passingLiberty14th standard · 59th passingFlorida Atlantic43rd standard · 87th passingLouisiana19th standard · 92nd passingSouth Alabama50th standard · 73rd passingTroy22nd standard · 59th passingSam Houston78th standard · 61st passingNevada77th standard · 52nd passingWestern Kentucky25th standard · 34th passingWashington State8th standard · 3rd passingWashington81st standard · 4th passingCalifornia9th standard · 25th passingCharlotte73rd standard · 83rd passingTennessee65th standard · 78th passingUtah State4th standard · 93rd passing
Source CFB Zeitgeist · advanced team stats, Connelly success-rate definition
View all FBS teams as a table
TeamStandard-downs percentilePassing-downs percentile
App State44th90th
Arizona92nd86th
Arkansas60th80th
Auburn75th55th
Ball State12th24th
Baylor40th96th
Boise State58th46th
Boston College27th56th
Buffalo7th14th
California9th25th
Central Michigan16th6th
Charlotte73rd83rd
Clemson1st19th
Coastal Carolina61st52nd
Colorado35th77th
Colorado State82nd91st
Delaware70th31st
Duke20th29th
Eastern Michigan52nd10th
Florida Atlantic43rd87th
Florida International46th43rd
Florida State28th65th
Georgia Southern24th45th
Georgia Tech58th44th
Hawai'i18th41st
Iowa State4th23rd
Jacksonville State65th82nd
Kansas70th35th
LSU33rd98th
Liberty14th59th
Louisiana19th92nd
Louisville96th70th
Memphis69th65th
Michigan2nd62nd
Michigan State62nd29th
Middle Tennessee87th68th
Missouri36th85th
Navy98th59th
Nevada77th52nd
New Mexico State45th75th
Norfolk State16th9th
North Dakota State86th27th
North Texas49th68th
Ohio38th17th
Ohio State90th40th
Oklahoma State41st49th
Ole Miss94th50th
Oregon35th33rd
Oregon State10th38th
Pittsburgh30th76th
Purdue83rd88th
Rutgers30th71st
Sacramento State23rd14th
Sam Houston78th61st
San Diego State4th40th
San José State54th22nd
South Alabama50th73rd
South Florida91st52nd
Stanford76th15th
Syracuse48th64th
TCU93rd8th
Tennessee65th78th
Texas72nd94th
Texas A&M85th72nd
Texas Tech88th48th
Troy22nd59th
Tulane31st2nd
Tulsa56th1st
UAB65th81st
UNLV51st7th
USC97th99th
UTSA99th29th
Utah State4th93rd
Vanderbilt80th12th
Wake Forest56th97th
Washington81st4th
Washington State8th3rd
Western Kentucky25th34th
Western Michigan39th20th
Wisconsin13th18th
Wyoming65th36th

Halftime identity

Ohio by half

1st-half offense ranks 7th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 70th — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.

league median1st half · 7th pctile2nd half · 70th pctileWorst in FBSBest in FBS
Source CFB Zeitgeist · advanced team stats, garbage-time adjusted by pre-play margin
Tendency driftHow this coordinator's calls have drifted since arriving.

Season by season

How Ohio’s current staff calls plays, year over year

Offense: Scott Isphording (2025–2026)
1st-down pass rate
2025: 38% → 2026: 39% · 1-pt range · #182 of 184 · less than most
Red-zone pass rate
2025: 24% → 2026: 38% · 14-pt range · #76 of 182 · a typical amount
RatingsWhere the public rating systems put this team.

Model Consensus

Where the Models Rank Ohio

CFB Zeitgeist

#54

+2.2

SP+

#124

-16.4

FPI

#110

-9.7

Elo

#110

1320

The national models put Ohio between 110th and 124th nationally — CFB Zeitgeist is higher on them than any of these models, at 54th.

National rank of 138 FBS teams · 2026 season. SP+/FPI/SRS published; Elo & CFB Zeitgeist ranked by rating.

Comparable teamsPrograms built like this one — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, roster size. Not a stat match.

Most similar programs · Ohio

Reads like

CharlotteAmerican AthleticSame tier of program · Same prestige band · Similarly-sized rosters up frontColorado StatePac-12Same tier of program · Same prestige band · Similarly-sized rosters up frontEast CarolinaAmerican AthleticSame tier of program · Same prestige band · Similarly-sized rosters up front

Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.

ConditionsThe weather and altitude visitors have to deal with.
Venue texture

62°F average kickoff temp; 10% of games had measurable precipitation; 6 mph average wind.

Based on 69 home games with weather data.

This page may include content derived from public news sources, social media, and fan communities. We relay these sources as-is — we are not reporting them. Sources may be summarized or quoted imperfectly; for anything that matters, go look at the original source directly. The original source may also be wrong. AI-generated content is labeled and may contain factual errors. All analysis is editorial opinion, not professional reporting. Data sources · About this site