Bear Bachmeier

#47 · QB · So. · BYU6′2″ · 230 lb · Murrieta, CA · Murrieta Valley

ZPR6918th of 119 QBs HeismanNo. 18in our model Last gameW 27–20vs Arizona State · Oct 31

Nextat UtahSat Nov 7 · 12 pm ET

Graded Solid or better in each of the last two games.

Last game: W 27-20 vs Arizona State, Oct 31 · 19 of 30 for 236 yards, a touchdown, an interception · 16 carries for 15 yards. Started all eight of BYU’s games.

BYU’s next game: at Utah, Sat Nov 7, 12:00 p.m. ET · ABC

BYU is 7-1 in the eight games played. A dual-threat quarterback.

Strongest: sacked on 2% of dropbacks, 10th lowest of 158 starters.

Plays most like Bailey, NC State.

Passing yards

1,750

135 of 214, 63%

TD–INT

12–4

8.2 per throw

NCAA rating

146.5

47th of 119

ZPR

18th of 119

How ZPR works

One rough passing grade, at TCU.

Best by our grade: Iowa State. Lowest: at TCU. Biggest game: Notre Dame, No. 2.

Tap a game for its plays

Q1Q2Q3Q4

Utah Tech

W 63–7·FCS

Solid

198 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT · Rush 4 for 30, 1 TD · Sacked 0

Biggest swing: a Q1 completion added 9 points of win chance. Win chance: 80% to 89%.

Full game page

Arizona

W 28–17·Unranked

Solid

Slow start, strong finish · 217 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT · Rush 6 for 37, 1 TD · Sacked 1

We didn't need that little anecdote about the Bachmeier family
BYU fan

Biggest swing: a Q3 completion added 26 points of win chance. Win chance: 54% to 80%.

Full game page

at Colorado State

W 41–23·Unranked

Great

Strong start, faded late · 227 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT · Rush 2 for -3 · Sacked 0

So LJ is absolutely B12 offensive potw and Legend is the Bachmeier fotw right?
BYU fan

None of the quarterback’s own plays moved the team's chance of winning by more than a few points.

Full game page

at TCU

W 17–10·Unranked

Rough

Passing grade only · 62 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT · Rush 15 for 66, 2 TD · Sacked 1

I’m quite fond of Bear Bachmeier
BYU fan

Biggest swing: a Q2 run added 24 points of win chance. Win chance: 54% to 78%.

Full game page

Iowa State

W 24–10·Unranked

Great

Passing grade only · 329 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT · Rush 9 for 109 · Sacked 0

So it turns out when we let Bear Bachmeier throw the ball past the line of scrimmage, he’s a much better quarterback. Who would’ve known?
BYU fan

Biggest swing: a Q2 completion added 9 points of win chance. Win chance: 81% to 90%.

Full game page

Notre Dame

W 28–24·Ranked #2

Solid

224 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT · Rush 13 for 45, 2 TD · The interception cost about 17 points of win chance · Sacked 0

bachmeier just airing it out
BYU fan

Biggest swing: a Q4 completion added 37 points of win chance. It flipped the game for the team: 48% to 85%.

Full game page

at UCF

L 31–39·Unranked

Solid

257 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT · Rush 15 for 37, 1 TD · The interception cost about 17 points of win chance · Sacked 1

Biggest swing: a Q2 run added 26 points of win chance. It flipped the game for the team: 47% to 72%.

Full game page

Arizona State

W 27–20·Unranked

Solid

236 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT · Rush 16 for 15 · Sacked 1

Biggest swing: a Q4 completion added 14 points of win chance. Win chance: 65% to 79%.

Full game page

Season

Fades after halftime

How to read this

Each column is a quarter. Blue and up is a good stretch for the quarterback, red and down a bad one, hatched means the game was already decided. A red cross is a turnover and a black dot a touchdown. The word on the right grades the whole game; on games with a lot of running it grades the passing only. A gold line means the r/CFB game thread kept naming the quarterback. Dashed outlines on the Season row are last season’s average. Tap a game to open its plays: each bar is one of the quarterback’s plays, up helped the team’s chance of winning and down hurt it, and the grey line is that chance.

The word grades the game against every FBS quarterback start, from Rough to Great, using the same throws as the season Zeitgeist Passer Rating and adjusting for the defense faced. Bars are points added per throw in that quarter. The Season row leaves out quarters after a game was decided.

Style of play

Dual-threat

Why this word

Runs8.8 a gameRarelyA lot

Throws9.2 yards past the lineShortDeep

Completes62% by play-by-playFewerMore

Takes sacks2% of dropbacksRarelyOften

The dot is this quarterback, among this season’s starters; the tick is the middle.

Throws at a middling depth and runs a lot. 8.8 carries a game. Closest matches: Bailey, Retzlaff ’25, Mandal, Simpson ’25.

Where the throws go

Behind the line16%typical 17%

Short46%typical 47%

Middle26%typical 22%

Deep12%typical 14%

Runs 8.8 times a game; 91% of starters run less.

Closest in style

Nearer the middle means more alike.

Bailey NC State · Chain-mover
1,955 yards, 13 TD, 4 INT so far. Both score a lot and rarely throw behind the line.
Retzlaff ’25 Tulane 2025 · Chain-mover
3,168 yards, 15 TD, 7 INT. Both protect the ball and avoid sacks.
Mandal Fresno State · Balanced
1,595 yards, 10 TD, 2 INT so far. Both rarely throw behind the line and protect the ball.
Simpson ’25 Alabama 2025 · Balanced
3,567 yards, 28 TD, 5 INT. Drafted in round 1 (No. 13 overall) by Los Angeles, 2026. Both protect the ball.

Compared with the 158 FBS starters this season for throws and running, and with 219 quarterbacks across 2 seasons for the matches, on how they play and how they have done.

This week

RecordBYU is 7-1, No. 7 in the AP poll (week 10).
Fans after UCF
Bachmeier what are you doing man
BYU fan

What’s being said

11 stories this week, from 10 outlets.

Stories per day. W and L: the team’s results.

Morgan Scalley complimentary of BYU QB Bear Bachmeier's abilities

BYU Cougars Wire Nov 3

All 141 stories this season

Worth knowing

Bear Bachmeier has 7 rushing touchdowns, tied for 7th among FBS quarterbacks.
Bear Bachmeier has been sacked on 2.3% of dropbacks, the 10th-fewest among FBS quarterbacks.

His most important play this season

Q4, 1:47 · BYU down 3, takes the leadBear Bachmeier finds Walker Lyons for a 6-yard touchdownNotre Dame at BYU, week 7Q4, 1:47 · BYU 28, Notre Dame 241:47Go-ahead touchdown for BYU with 1:47 left1:47Go-ahead touchdown for BYU with 1:47 leftGo-ahead touchdown for BYU with 1:47 leftB.Bachmeier pass complete short middle to W.Lyons caught at ND00, for 6 yards to the ND00 touchdown, kick goodWatch from this play

All 16 of his plays on video

Bear Bachmeier

QB · BYU · #47

Runs when the pocket breaks down. Arrived at BYU from Stanford. First career honor, 2025: Big 12 Offensive Freshman of the Year. On tape: 329 passing yards and 109 rushing yards against Iowa State, Week 6, 2026.

1,750 passing yards · 12 passing TD · 336 rushing yards

Career stats

Swipe the table sideways for more columns.

Season	Team
2026	BYU	135	214	63.1%	1,750	8.2	12	4	146.5	69
2025	BYU	251	387	64.9%	3,033	7.8	15	7	139.9	77
Career		386	601	64.2%	4,783	8.0	27	11	142.2	74

Season	Team
2026	BYU	80	336	4.2	7	39
2025	BYU	147	527	3.6	11	22
Career		227	863	3.8	18	39

Last game (Wk 9): 236 passing yards, 1 passing TD, 1 interception.

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2026 season · 8 games

Box score · CFBD

Swipe the table sideways for more columns.

Wk	Opp	Grade	CMP/ATT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA	QBR	SK	RUSH	Note
Wk 1	W 63-7vs Utah Tech	Solid	16/20	198	3	0	9.9	—	0	30	3 TD passes
Wk 2	W 28-17vs Arizona	Solid	16/26	217	3	0	8.3	90.7	1	37	3 TD passes
Wk 3	W 41-23@ Colorado State	Great	12/16	227	0	1	14.2	62.6	0	-3
Wk 5	W 17-10@ TCU	Rough	11/24	62	0	0	2.6	44.6	1	66
Wk 6	W 24-10vs Iowa State	Great	22/30	329	2	0	11.0	90.9	0	109	Season-high 329 yds
Wk 7	W 28-24vs No. 2 Notre Dame	Solid	23/36	224	1	1	6.2	92.0	0	45
Wk 8	L 31-39@ UCF	Solid	16/32	257	2	1	8.0	83.2	1	37
Wk 9	W 27-20vs Arizona State	Solid	19/30	236	1	1	7.9	59.5	1	15
Total			135/214	1750	12	4	8.2	—	4	336

The latest game

Oct. 31 · W 27-20 vs Arizona State, play by play

19 of 30 for 236 yards, a touchdown and an interception. He was 7 of 16 on third and fourth down.

5 of 11 of his drives scored
7 of 16 on 3rd and 4th down
sacked once
14 runs for 18 yds

First quarterbegan tied 0-0
TD2 of 3, 21 yds1
Punt0 of 1, 0 yds
Second quarterbegan up 7-0
Punt2 of 3, 6 yds
FG4 of 5, 43 yds
TD2 of 3, 27 yds
Int2 of 3, 30 yds2
Third quarterbegan up 17-3
Punt1 of 1, 7 yds
Fumble1 of 3, 14 yds
Fourth quarterbegan tied 17-17
FG2 of 3, 24 yds
TD3 of 4, 64 yds3
Downs0 of 1, 0 yds4
FinalW 27-20

a drive that ended in a touchdown or a field goala drive he didn’t playa completion, by its yardshis runincompleteinterceptedsacked, by the yards lost

completea touchdownincompleteinterceptedhis runsacked

1
4-yard completion to Roger Saleapaga on 3rd and 3. First quarter, tied 0-0. Converted.
2
Intercepted. Second quarter, up 17-3. Picked off by Arizona State’s Montana Warren.
3
53-yard completion to Legend Glasker. Fourth quarter, up 20-17.
4
Incomplete to Reggie Frischknecht on 4th and 33. Fourth quarter, up 27-20. Turnover on downs.

The season, game by game

Highs and lows

Only games with 20 or more plays count for best and lowest.
Best by our grade	Iowa State	W 24-10 · Graded great · Passing grade only · 329 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT · Rush 9 for 109 · Sacked 0
Lowest by our grade	at TCU	W 17-10 · Graded rough · Passing grade only · 62 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT · Rush 15 for 66, 2 TD · Sacked 1
Biggest game	Notre Dame	No. 2 at kickoff · W 28-24 · Graded solid · 224 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT · Rush 13 for 45, 2 TD · The interception cost about 17 points of win chance · Sacked 0

Where he ranks

Tied for 10th in the nation in rushing touchdowns.

Stat	His	Nation	Big 12
Passing yards	1,750	48th of 370	7th of 42
Yards an attempt	8.2	T-42nd of 152	T-7th of 17
Touchdown passes	12	T-52nd of 370	8th of 42
Passer rating	146.5	51st of 152	7th of 17
Completion percentage	63.1	T-80th of 152	T-10th of 17
Rushing yards	336	27th of 370	5th of 42
Rushing touchdowns	7	T-10th of 370	T-2nd of 42

Counting stats rank all FBS quarterbacks with a pass attempt; the rates rank those with at least 10 attempts a game.

All Big 12 quarterbacks

Rk	Quarterback	Yards	TD	INT	Att	Y/A
1	Drew Mestemaker	2,649	25	7	281	9.4
2	Noah Fifita	2,464	19	4	269	9.2
3	Jaden Craig	2,207	11	6	269	8.2
4	Conner Weigman	2,052	20	2	233	8.8
5	Devon Dampier	1,876	18	7	227	8.3
6	JC French	1,773	13	3	213	8.3
7	Bear Bachmeier	1,750	12	4	214	8.2
8	D.J. Lagway	1,671	13	4	242	6.9
9	Michael Hawkins Jr.	1,598	11	2	159	10.1
10	Will Hammond	1,561	6	6	205	7.6
11	Isaiah Marshall	1,506	11	7	196	7.7
12	Jaylen Raynor	1,416	10	5	186	7.6
13	Cutter Boley	1,360	13	5	173	7.9
14	Avery Johnson	1,301	10	3	187	7.0
15	Keyone Jenkins	1,181	11	4	180	6.6
16	Isaac Wilson	1,164	7	7	149	7.8
17	Julian Lewis	733	6	2	95	7.7
18	Nate Bennett	568	5	2	61	9.3
19	Alonza Barnett	477	2	1	65	7.3
20	Mikey Keene	448	2	0	61	7.3
21	Cole Ballard	381	1	1	43	8.9
22	Blake Barnett	265	3	0	33	8.0
23	Jake Fette	224	2	0	50	4.5
24	Jacob Knuth	201	1	0	42	4.8
25	Byrd Ficklin	192	2	0	20	9.6
26	Thomas Castellanos	189	4	1	29	6.5
27	Sawyer Anderson	112	0	2	15	7.5
28	Kaneal Sweetwyne	105	0	0	17	6.2
29	Connor Moberly	83	0	0	19	4.4
30	Keisean Henderson	83	2	0	8	10.4
31	Chase Jenkins	65	0	0	3	21.7
32	Broderick Vehrs	61	1	0	8	7.6
33	Jyron Hughley	27	1	0	1	27.0
34	Scotty Fox Jr.	27	0	0	4	6.8
35	Edward Griffin	19	0	1	6	3.2
36	Liam O'Brien	18	0	0	5	3.6
37	Treyson Bourguet	15	0	1	3	5.0
38	Samaj Jones	9	0	0	2	4.5
39	Kaleb Annett	6	0	0	3	2.0
40	Dillon Duff	2	0	0	1	2.0
41	Adam Schobel	0	0	0	1	0.0
42	Kirk Francis	0	0	0	1	0.0

Sorted by passing yards. Gray: under 10 attempts a game, so not ranked on yards an attempt.

Passing yards1,7507th in the Big 12 this season.

Touchdown passes128th in the Big 12 this season.

Conference ranks count every player in the conference with a row in that stat, any position. Career ranks count current FBS players, from the games in our log.

Opponents faced, by strength

Ratings of the games shown run from -8 to +25 points against an average team (SP+ rating of each opponent).

Pass targets

Kasper and Glasker saw 94 of the 214 charted throws.

Receiver	Targets	Catches	Yards	Throw depth	After catch
Kyler Kasper	52	30	416	13.0	2.7
Legend Glasker	42	32	585	11.6	8.6
Walker Lyons	34	24	255	6.0	4.8
Jojo Phillips	22	14	130	10.2	3.1
Roger Saleapaga	22	12	146	4.4	7.8
7 others	37	23	204	3.4	7.5
No receiver charted	5	All four interceptions are among these

Play by play: 214 passes, 135 caught, 1,736 yards. Throw depth: average air yards per target. After catch: average yards after the catch per catch. Bar: targets; the blue part was caught.

Passing profile

Pass Profile · True throw depth (charted plays)

Adjusted ANY/A, sack rate, and where the yards came from

135/214 (63.1%) · 12 TD · 4 INT

214 of 214 attempts matched to play-by-play

213 of 214 attempts charted for true throw depth

Adjusted ANY/A

8.1436 of 185 QBs

Sack rate

2.3%20 of 185 QBs

Rarely sacked (20 of 185 QBs) and still 36 of 185 in Adjusted ANY/A.

Adjusted ANY/A uses full-season box-score totals (attempts, yards, TDs, INTs); sack rate is play-by-play-derived.

Behind LOS · Negative air yds

15% of attempts (33)

67%comp

Air -2.4 · YAC 8.7 avg

Short · 0–9 air yds

48% of attempts (102)

74%comp

Air 3.9 · YAC 4.5 avg

Middle · 10–19 air yds

24% of attempts (52)

54%comp3 INT

Air 14.5 · YAC 3.5 avg

Deep · 20+ air yds

12% of attempts (26)

35%comp1 INT

Air 31.7 · YAC 15.9 avg

Overall 63.1% completion on 214 attempts · 35% completion on 26 deep attempts (20+ air yds).

Situational

Is he a different quarterback when it matters

Each situation vs his own 2026 baseline

No situation moves him more than 29 percentile points from his baseline.

BaselineThis situation

Down 1

-29 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 2/98 (2.0%) · league sack rate 4.5%

Down 2

+28 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 2/58 (3.4%) · league sack rate 5.0%

Down 3+

+23 pct pts vs baseline · sacks 0/53 (0.0%) · league sack rate 8.3%

Deltas are vs. this player’s own season baseline, never a league average. League sack rate by down is shown as context because sack attribution isn’t incompletion-denominated.

Teams and coaches

2 seasons under Kalani Sitake — 19-3 over that span.

2025BYU12-2HC: Kalani Sitake · Run-leaning

2026BYU7-1HC: Kalani Sitake · Balanced

Our ratings

CFB Zeitgeist Score 67 (#27 of 145). Show the ratings

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles

67Quality starter #27 of 145?

13 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: sack rate (94th percentile). Strength: rush tds (95th percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

Sack rate#10 / 157 · 94th pct

2.3%

Success rate#37 / 157 · 77th pct

46.8%

EPA / dropback#46 / 157 · 71st pct

0.26

Explosive rate#49 / 157 · 69th pct

11.7%

Interception rate#64 / 157 · 59th pct

1.9%

Box-score rates (8)

Rush TDs#7 / 159 · 95th pct

Fumbles lost#1 / 142 · 92nd pct

Rush yards#23 / 159 · 86th pct

336

Yards / att#45 / 159 · 71st pct

8.2

Pass yards#49 / 159 · 69th pct

1750

Pass TDs#53 / 159 · 66th pct

Interceptions#62 / 159 · 54th pct

Completion %#83 / 159 · 47th pct

63.1%

Season trend

Last seasonThis season

EPA / dropback

79th → 71st percentile

Success rate

66th → 77th percentile

Explosive rate

72nd → 69th percentile

Sack rate

90th → 94th percentile

Interception rate

64th → 59th percentile

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Zeitgeist Passer Rating

2026 · our own passing-efficiency number, shown next to the 1979 formula it does not replace.

After 209 dropbacks

69Zeitgeist Passer Rating18th of 119 FBS QBs

NCAA passer rating 146.5 47th of 119 FBS QBs

ZPR ranks this quarterback 29 places higher than passer rating does: passer rating cannot see sacks, and a sack comes on only 1.9% of dropbacks.

Positive-play rate weight 24%

50.6%77th pct of FBS QBs

share of dropbacks that gained expected points · -0.6% schedule adj.

Yards per attempt weight 56%

8.1670th pct of FBS QBs

sacks excluded · -0.1 schedule adj.

Sack rate weight 21% (penalty)

2.2%94th pct of FBS QBs

the input passer rating cannot see · +0.3% schedule adj.

Opponent-adjusted; garbage time excluded (9 of 218 dropbacks dropped). 50 = FBS average; the number is pulled toward 50 when the sample is thin. How ZPR is built.

Splits

Home and road splits, scheme and staff

Splits · Per-game

2026 season · 8 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Home5g	241	2.0	8.7	0.4
Road3g	182	0.7	8.3	0.7

First half vs Second half

	YDS/g	TD/g	YPA	INT/g
Weeks 1-76g	210	1.5	8.7	0.3
Weeks 8+2g	246	1.5	8.0	1.0

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2026 season

Head Coach

Kalani Sitake

Pass share

47.3%

248 pass / 276 run

Plays / game

65.5

8 games

Scheme: Balanced.

BYU’s two quarterbacks

Bear Bachmeier	Threw in all 8 games · 135 of 214, 1,750 yds, 12 TD, 4 INT · 8.2 yards an attempt on 214 attempts · ran for 336 yds, 7 TD
Treyson Bourguet	Threw in 2 of 8 games · 1 of 3, 15 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT · 5.0 yards an attempt on 3 attempts · ran for 17 yds, 0 TD

Box score. Every quarterback on the team who has thrown a pass this season.

Who threw, quarter by quarter

Who threw in each quarter. Blue: Bear Bachmeier. Gray: Treyson Bourguet. From the play by play.

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTUtah TechArizona@ Colorado State@ TCUIowa StateNotre Dame@ UCFArizona State

Awards

Player standing · 2026

In the Heisman race (#18 in our model)

Our Heisman model ranks this player #18 right now. Heisman finalists are named in December.

Recognition

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Production · CFB Zeitgeist Score

67 · #27 of 145 QBs

Former four-star. Now #27 at the position.

2026 outlook

Heisman market0.8%implied · #17 in the marketfull market ›

Heisman trajectory

Heisman futures · sportsbook market

#17 in market ▲ from No. 21 in February · 5 books

+56000.8% implied▲ tightened from +6000

Our Heisman model · 2026 · week 10

#18

Peak #5 · week 2

Avg #11.2

Finalist chance 9%

Peaked at #5 in week 2; #18 as of week 10.

Our model's rank, not the betting market's.

Bear Bachmeier

Style of play

This week

What’s being said

Worth knowing

His most important play this season

In the news this week

What they’re talking about

In the news this season

What they’re talking about

Week by week

In the news across his career

What fans said

Latest stories

In the game threads

Where to follow

Career stats

Game log

The latest game

The season, game by game

Highs and lows

Where he ranks

Pass targets

Passing profile

Situational

Teams and coaches

Our ratings

Splits

BYU’s two quarterbacks

Who threw, quarter by quarter

Awards

In the Heisman race (#18 in our model)

Heisman trajectory

#18

Two seasons at BYU

Moves

2025 14 games