Arizona at BYU

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Arizona
1-0 L1 · Mixed
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BYU #15
1-0 W3 · Warming
Sat, Sep 12 · 7:30 PM · LaVell Edwards Stadium

Fan take

How they got here

Last three games · 2025 season

Arizona · 9-4

Picked #27 in the preseason · now #35 — about right.

2-1 in its last three, one over ranked or top-40 competition.

L 19–24 @ SMUTop 25 #10 of 668

lost by 5 as a 2.5-point underdog

W 23–7 @ Arizona StateTop 25 #40 of 668

won by 16 as a 2.5-point favorite

W 41–17 vs Baylor #55 of 668

won by 24 as a 6.5-point favorite

W 30–24 @ CincinnatiTop 25 #49 of 668

won by 6 as a 6-point underdog

W 24–20 vs Kansas #66 of 668

won by 4 as a 6.5-point favorite

W 52–17 @ Colorado #105 of 668

won by 35 as a 3.5-point favorite

L 28–31 @ HoustonTop 25 #55 of 668

lost by 3 as a 2.5-point favorite

L 27–33 vs BYUTop 25 #19 of 668

lost by 6 as a 2.5-point underdog

W 41–13 vs Oklahoma State #137 of 668

won by 28 as a 23.5-point favorite

L 14–39 @ Iowa StateTop 25 #41 of 668

lost by 25 as a 3.5-point underdog

W 23–17 vs Kansas StateTop 25 #34 of 668

won by 6 as a 1.5-point underdog

W 48–3 vs Weber State #156 of 668

won by 45 as a 31.5-point favorite

W 40–6 vs Hawai'i #92 of 668

won by 34 as a 15.5-point favorite

Last three games · 2025 season

BYU · 12-2

Picked #9 in the preseason · now #17 — about right.

2-1 in its last three, one over ranked or top-40 competition.

W 25–21 vs Georgia TechTop 25 #48 of 668

won by 4 as a 3.5-point favorite

L 7–34 @ Texas TechTop 25 #4 of 668

lost by 27 as a 13.5-point underdog

W 41–21 vs UCF #101 of 668

won by 20 as a 17.5-point favorite

W 26–14 @ CincinnatiTop 25 #49 of 668

won by 12 as a 2.5-point favorite

W 44–13 vs TCUTop 25 #48 of 668

won by 31 as a 3-point favorite

L 7–29 @ Texas TechTop 25 #5 of 668

lost by 22 as a 13.5-point underdog

W 41–27 @ Iowa StateTop 25 #40 of 668

won by 14 as a 2.5-point underdog

W 24–21 vs UtahTop 25 #17 of 668

won by 3 as a 5.5-point underdog

W 33–27 @ ArizonaTop 25 #62 of 668

won by 6 as a 2.5-point favorite

W 38–24 vs West Virginia #100 of 668

won by 14 as a 20-point favorite

W 24–21 @ Colorado #77 of 668

won by 3 as a 6.5-point favorite

W 34–13 @ East Carolina #68 of 668

won by 21 as a 5.5-point favorite

W 27–3 vs Stanford #83 of 668

won by 24 as a 20.5-point favorite

W 69–0 vs Portland State #213 of 668

won by 69 as a 44.5-point favorite

What’s at stake

Make the CFP field

Arizona · 3%3% → 11% if win3% → 4% if loss
BYU · 12%12% → 19% if win12% → 8% if loss

Win the conference

Arizona · 3%3% → 10% if win3% → 4% if loss
BYU · 11%11% → 17% if win11% → 7% if loss

Win it all

Arizona · 0%0% → 0% if win0% → 0% if loss
BYU · 0%0% → 0% if win0% → 0% if loss

CFP odds as of September 13, 2026

The series

BYU leads the series 15-12-1

28 meetings since 1936 · BYU has won the last 6

  • 2026BYU 28–17
  • 2025BYU 33–27
  • 2024BYU 41–19
  • 2021 · neutral siteBYU 24–16
  • 2018BYU 28–23

Best players

Arizona

BYU

The line, and the room

Arizona fans are feeling better about their season (88th percentile) than BYU fans are (74th) — even with BYU favored here.

evenModel 75% · Market 70%BYU fans · 74thArizona fans · 88thArizonaBYU

Home −6.5 · O/U 49.5

Conditions

85°F · 12 mph wind · Cloudy

BYU is worth +3.1 points (±3.7) more at home than on the road since 2018 — bottom third of FBS, 31st percentile.

74% at home, 61% on the road against FBS opponents (31–11 home, 27–17 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads -0.9 at home vs. away over 70 games — inside the ±6.7 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

4,633 ft of altitude — real, and smaller than the folklore: high venues run a point or two better against the number, noisily. The visitors travel about 556 miles to get here.

Arizona 17 – BYU 28

BYU 28: 62%Arizona 17: 38%

Called it — picked BYU to win.

Recent games

BYU

  • Wk 1Wvs Utah Tech63-7

Arizona

  • Wk 1Wvs Northern Arizona35-7

Trajectory

13.208.002.80Wk 0Wk 1Wk 2ArizonaBYU

Conference standings

  • BYU#11-0
  • Arizona#160-1

BYU handled Arizona 28-17, matching the pregame favorite.