CFB Zeitgeist Score
61
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by yards / att at the 84th percentile.
Taylen Green
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
2,714 PASS YDS · 19 PASS TD · 779 RUSH YDS
Where He Ended Up · NFL
Cleveland2026 NFL rookie season
#182Rd 6 · Pick 1
Cleveland2026 NFL rookie season
QB · ARKANSAS · SEC
Taylen Green
- 4
- #10
- 6-6 | 224 lb
- Lewisville, TX
Heisman Heat
#31
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2022–2025+34%
Up 34% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
R6 · #182
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 3-star | 0.8493 | No. 1224 recruit | HighSchool |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Boise State -> Arkansas | 3-star | 0.8700 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Volume King 1.3% Volume King 2,500+ passing yards, 1,200+ rushing yards, or 900+ receiving yards in a single season (position-appropriate threshold). Held by 1.3% of the 2025 pool. 2714 passing yards — clears the 2,500-QB volume bar.
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (779).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to —
Composite
0.8493
#1224 national
NFL Draft
2026 · Rd 6, Pick 1
#182 overall · Cleveland
Today’s Hot-Take
+0.510 qb rushing weighted-epa from a QB — no other P4 + Notre Dame QBs in the modern era touches that number.
Anti-Take
EFFICIENCYEfficiency rewards selectivity. Volume-adjusted rank in the same cohort almost always looks looser — call it elite, not unique.
The Room on Taylen Green
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
44
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=9
- Rivals · n=4
- National · n=4
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Taylen Green
Obsession score 3
Rival mentions 4
Weeks on radar 3
Peak moment Week 0 · 2 mentions
Grudging respect 100% Neutral 0% Mockery 0%
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Combined WEPA per play (pass + rush)
+0.428
EPA
P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 280 touches
National rank #10 of 57
Percentile vs P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 280 touches 84th
Why it matters
#10 of 57 P4 + Notre Dame QBs in combined passing + rushing weighted-EPA per play — +0.428 EPA on 428 touches.
Vs cohort
This player +0.428 (84th)
HIGH · n=428 cohort 57
- Also strong
- WEPA per dropback#20 / 58
- QB rushing weighted-EPA#1 / 46
- Yards per attempt#16 / 72
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
Through 12g
2,714Pass yards
19Pass TDs
11INT
Per game
226.2Pass yards
2Pass TDs
1INT
Projected (13g)
2,940Pass yards
21Pass TDs
12INT
To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 2,714): needs 286/game over remaining 1.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 2,714): needs 1,286/game over remaining 1.
To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 19): needs 6/game over remaining 1.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 19): needs 11/game over remaining 1.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 19): needs 16/game over remaining 1.
Why this is a two-channel quarterback case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The unusual part of Taylen Green's case is that the production comes in two channels, not one. For Arkansas, he has 2,714 passing yards and 19 touchdown passes, but he also adds 779 rushing yards and 8 rushing scores. That kind of dual-threat load tends to create a more resilient Heisman case because the offense can tilt the game in multiple ways.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
High-volume passer | Dual-threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
198 82nd
ATT
326 84th
CMP%
60.7% 48th
Y/A
8.3 81st
Passing Production
YDS
2,714 87th
TD
19 89th
INT
11 5th
Rushing
CAR
138 94th
YDS
779 97th
YPC
5.6 82nd
TD
8 92nd
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 52-7vs Alabama A&M | 24/31 | 322 | 6 | 0 | 10.4 | 86.4 | 6 TD passes |
| Wk 2 | W 56-14vs Arkansas State | 17/26 | 239 | 4 | 2 | 9.2 | 95.5 | 4 TD passes |
| Wk 3 | L 35-41@ Ole Miss | 22/35 | 305 | 1 | 0 | 8.7 | 96.0 | |
| Wk 4 | L 31-32@ Memphis | 18/34 | 325 | 1 | 2 | 9.6 | 78.0 | Season-high 325 yds |
| Wk 5 | L 13-56vs Notre Dame | 17/32 | 207 | 0 | 1 | 6.5 | 51.3 | |
| Wk 7 | L 31-34@ Tennessee | 21/31 | 256 | 2 | 0 | 8.3 | 94.5 | Clean 2-TD game |
| Wk 8 | L 42-45vs Texas A&M | 19/32 | 256 | 3 | 0 | 8.0 | 95.4 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 9 | L 24-33vs Auburn | 14/22 | 268 | 1 | 3 | 12.2 | 67.5 | 3 INTs — rough day |
| Wk 10 | L 35-38vs Mississippi State | 19/31 | 194 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 | 54.0 | |
| Wk 12 | L 22-23@ LSU | 11/19 | 165 | 0 | 2 | 8.7 | 67.6 | |
| Wk 13 | L 37-52@ Texas | 10/20 | 118 | 0 | 1 | 5.9 | 82.7 | |
| Wk 14 | L 17-31vs Missouri | 6/13 | 59 | 0 | 0 | 4.5 | 44.3 | |
| Total | 198/326 | 2714 | 19 | 11 | 8.2 | 76.1 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021Boise State7-5HC: Andy Avalos · Balanced
2022Boise State10-4HC: Andy Avalos · Run-leaning
2023Boise State8-6HC: Spencer Danielson · Run-heavy
2024Arkansas7-6HC: Sam Pittman · Run-leaning
2025Arkansas2-10HC: Sam Pittman · Balanced
| Season | Team | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Arkansas | 198 | 326 | 60.7% | 2,714 | 8.3 | 19 | 11 | 143.2 | -- | -- |
| 2024 | Arkansas | 230 | 381 | 60.4% | 3,153 | 8.3 | 15 | 9 | 138.2 | -- | -- |
| 2023 | Boise State | 121 | 212 | 57.1% | 1,752 | 8.3 | 11 | 9 | 135.1 | -- | -- |
| 2022 | Boise State | 166 | 272 | 61.0% | 2,023 | 7.4 | 14 | 6 | 136.1 | -- | -- |
| 2021 | Boise State | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Career | 5 loaded seasons | 715 | 1,191 | 60.0% | 9,642 | 8.1 | 59 | 35 | 138.5 | -- | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Arkansas | 138 | 779 | 5.6 | 8 | -- |
| 2024 | Arkansas | 156 | 602 | 3.9 | 8 | -- |
| 2023 | Boise State | 78 | 436 | 5.6 | 9 | -- |
| 2022 | Boise State | 80 | 581 | 7.3 | 10 | -- |
| 2021 | Boise State | 5 | 2 | 0.4 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 5 loaded seasons | 457 | 2,400 | 5.3 | 35 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 2,714 | #52/382 | 87th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 19 | #44/407 | 89th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 198 | #71/383 | 82nd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 60.7% | #199/383 | 48th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 8.3 | #74/382 | 81st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 779 | #12/408 | 97th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.40 | #27/200 | 87th pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 320 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 56.6% | #27/428 | 94th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 326 | #68/407 | 84th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 11 | #386/407 | 5th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 138 | #26/408 | 94th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 64 | #14/391 | 97th pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 8 | #33/408 | 92nd pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 5.6 | #76/407 | 82nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 84.4% | #101/428 | 77th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 71.1% | #41/428 | 91st pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 66.7% | #56/428 | 87th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 59.1% | #26/428 | 94th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 50.1% | #33/428 | 93rd pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 50.0% | #32/428 | 93rd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 28.4% | #20/428 | 96th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.51 | #1/140 | 100th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 108 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 2 | #163/258 | 37th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 221 | 2.1 | 8.2 | 0.9 |
| Road5g | 234 | 0.8 | 8.2 | 1.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins2g | 280 | 5.0 | 9.8 | 1.0 |
| Losses10g | 215 | 0.9 | 7.9 | 0.9 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 276 | 2.3 | 8.8 | 0.8 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 177 | 0.8 | 7.6 | 1.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
61Solid starter
Elite: rush yards (93rd). Strength: yards / att (84th). Concern: interceptions (9th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Pass Profile · Completion depth (PBP)
Where the throws are landing
Short
0–9 yds41%of completions
54 comp5.8 yds avg6 TD
Middle
10–19 yds35%of completions
46 comp13.8 yds avg2 TD
Deep
20+ yds24%of completions
31 comp29.1 yds avg4 TD
Overall 61.5% completion on 213 attempts · 31 deep completions averaging 29.1 yds.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Elite: EPA / dropback.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_passing0.4High (p75–p90) (n=94)
wepa_rushing0.51Elite (≥p90) (n=72)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Taylen GreenArkansasMarcel ReedTexas A&M· 91% simAlonza BarnettJames Madison· 87% simJohn MateerOklahoma· 83% sim
Rush yards
Yards / att
Rush TDs
Pass TDs
Pass yards
Completion %
Fumbles lost
Interceptions
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Dual Threat
Dangerous with both arm and legs — defenses can't just pin the ears back.
QB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Taylen Green’s 2022 season.
Taylen Green
64%match
NFL Rd 6
#2
Taylen Green
NFL Rd 6
62%
#3
Taylen Green
NFL Rd 6
59%
#4
Darren Grainger
56%
#5
Will Howard
All-Big 12NFL Rd 6
53%
Matches Taylen on
Total pass EPA (college ability)
TD rate
Differs from Taylen on
INT rate (higher)
Yards / attempt (higher)
Rush yards / carry (lower)
Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Ian Book’s path through Notre Dame.
Ian Book
77%match
All-ACCNFL Rd 4
#2
Blake Baker
77%
#3
Nate Yarnell
75%
#4
Michael Collins
75%
#5
Tim DeMorat
73%
Matches Ian on
Yards per attempt
Completion %
As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Tucker Gleason's graduate season at Toledo (2025).
Tucker Gleason
31%match
All-MAC
#2
Tyler Shough
NFL Rd 2 · Pk 8
29%
#3
Taisun Phommachanh
26%
#4
Grayson James
All-ACC
25%
#5
Payton Thorne
22%
Differs from Tucker on
Rush usage (higher)
Weight (lower)
Height (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Sam Pittman
Pass share
48.8%
381 pass / 400 run
Plays / game
65.1
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
8.3%
324 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
1 coach2021
Sam Pittman
Arkansas
2022
Sam Pittman
Arkansas
2023
Sam Pittman
Arkansas
2024
Sam Pittman
Arkansas
2025
Sam Pittman
Arkansas
Played his entire career under Sam Pittman.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownLewisville, TX
Height6'6"
Weight224 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey10
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamArkansas
ConferenceSEC
Joined2025
Career arc5 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Arkansas | QB4 | #31 | #41 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | SEC |
| 2023 | Boise State | QB4 | #27 | #32 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Mountain West |
| 2022 | Boise State | QB4 | #37 | #49 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Mountain West |
| 2021 | Boise State | QB4 | #1174 | #956 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Mountain West |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Arkansas | SEC | QB | 4 | No. 10 | 6-6 | 224 lb | Lewisville, TX |
| 2024 | Arkansas | SEC | QB | 4 | No. 10 | 6-6 | 224 lb | Lewisville, TX |
| 2023 | Boise State | Mountain West | QB | 4 | No. 10 | 6-6 | 224 lb | Lewisville, TX |
| 2022 | Boise State | Mountain West | QB | 4 | No. 10 | 6-6 | 224 lb | Lewisville, TX |
| 2021 | Boise State | Mountain West | QB | 4 | No. 10 | 6-6 | 224 lb | Lewisville, TX |