cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Armani Winfield /Colorado State

Armani Winfield

WR · Colorado State · Jr · #1

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

276 REC YDS · 22 REC · 2 REC TD

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Colorado State → South Florida for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to South Florida

2025Colorado State
2026South Florida

WR · COLORADO STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST

Armani Winfield

  • 3
  • #1
  • 6-2 | 205 lb
  • Lewisville, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

40

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 42nd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#4758

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2022–2025
10.02022
90.02023
2762025

+2660%

Up 2660% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#211 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class3
Jersey1
Measurements6-2 | 205 lb
HometownLewisville, TX
Primary teamColorado State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 211 recruit
Composite rating 0.9178 HighSchool
Signed with Baylor 2022
Origin Lewisville Lewisville, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 4-star | 0.9178 No. 211 recruit | HighSchool | Baylor

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination South Florida 2026
Transfer stars 4-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 12, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Colorado State -> South Florida 4-star | Immediate
2024 Baylor -> Colorado State 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#4758Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#5076Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Baylor

Composite

0.9178

#211 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Armani Winfield

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Armani Winfield

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

12.5

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #258 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 52nd

Why it matters

#258 of 531 All FBS WRs at 12.5 yards per reception (22 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 12.5 (52th)

MODERATE · n=22 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving TDs#302 / 531
  • Receiving yards (total)#416 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 4 vs UTSA — 93 ypr

Result L 16-17

The week the volume broke through — put up 93 yds vs UTSA.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 9g
276Rec yards
22Receptions
2Rec TDs
Per game
30.7Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
398.7Rec yards
32Receptions
3Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 276): needs 106/game over remaining 4.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 276): needs 181/game over remaining 4.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 22): needs 9.5/game over remaining 4.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 22): needs 14.5/game over remaining 4.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 1.5/game over remaining 4.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 2/game over remaining 4.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Armani Winfield's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Colorado State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #4758 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 6.8% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 211 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 22 2 rec TD | #383/1110 (66th pct)
Receiving yards 276 12.5 per catch | #377/1107 (66th pct)
Scrimmage yards 276 Total offensive yardage | #377/1107 (66th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
22 66th
YDS
276 66th
YPR
12.5 55th
TD
2 75th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 9 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 2W 21-17vs Northern Colorado44912.3017
Wk 4L 16-17vs UTSA69315.5047Season-high 93 yds
Wk 5L 3-20vs Washington State11414.0014
Wk 6L 24-45@ San Diego State24723.5149
Wk 7W 49-21vs Fresno State3289.3019
Wk 8L 19-31vs Hawai'i33010.0114
Wk 9L 0-28@ Wyoming177.007
Wk 12L 17-20@ New Mexico199.009
Wk 13L 21-49@ Boise State1-1-1.00-1
Total2227611.1249
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Baylor6-7HC: Dave Aranda · Run-leaning
2023Baylor3-9HC: Dave Aranda · Balanced
2025Colorado State2-10HC: Jay Norvell · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Colorado State2227612.52--
2023Baylor79012.90--
2022Baylor11010.00--
Career3 loaded seasons3037612.52--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 6.8% 12.9% pass-game share | #325/1137 (72nd pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 2 Across offense and returns | #281/1111 (75th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 22 #383/1110 66th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 276 #377/1107 66th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 2 #281/1111 75th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 12.5 #494/1106 55th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 12.9% #325/1137 72nd pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 49 #283/1105 74th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 9.1% #297/1137 74th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 8.6% #194/1137 83rd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 7.2% #438/1137 62nd pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 6.8% #291/1137 74th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 5.8% #345/1137 70th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 5.6% #324/1137 72nd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 9 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home5g3.442.812.20.2
Road4g1.215.59.60.2

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins2g3.538.510.80.0
Losses7g2.128.411.10.3

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-75g3.246.214.90.2
Weeks 8+4g1.511.26.20.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

40Mid-pack
5 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: receptions (29th).

Long catch#248 / 558 · 55th pct
49rece
Yards / catch#305 / 558 · 45th pct
12.5rece
Rec TDs#276 / 558 · 42nd pct
2rece
Rec yards#377 / 558 · 32nd pct
276rece
Receptions#383 / 558 · 30th pct
22rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Armani WinfieldColorado StateAaron TurnerRice· 63% simRyan DavisUtah· 62% simKevin Coleman Jr.Missouri· 61% sim
Long catch
55
Winfield
65
Turner
67
Davis
56
Jr.
Yards / catch
45
Winfield
1
Turner
36
Davis
28
Jr.
Rec TDs
42
Winfield
68
Turner
68
Davis
24
Jr.
Rec yards
32
Winfield
48
Turner
83
Davis
84
Jr.
Receptions
30
Winfield
92
Turner
91
Davis
94
Jr.

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to J.J. Jones’s 2022 season.

J.J. Jones

91%match

North Carolina · 2022

#2

Joshua Manning

Missouri · 2025

86%
#3

JaVonnie Gibson

Oklahoma · 2025

84%
#4

Darius Lassiter

BYU · 2023

83%
#5

Javon Ivory

Memphis · 2020

80%

Matches J.J. on

Height
Yards / reception
TD rate

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Landon Ruggieri’s path through Bryant.

Landon Ruggieri

95%match

Bryant · 2023

#2

Noah Gray

Duke · 2020

NFL Rd 5
95%
#3

Nate Stewart

Akron · 2020

95%
#4

Brandon Smith

Iowa · 2020

94%
#5

Miequle Brock

Nicholls · 2025

94%

Matches Landon on

Yards per reception

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Keontez Lewis's senior season at Oklahoma (2025).

Keontez Lewis

72%match

Oklahoma · 2025

#2

Kyron Ware-Hudson

Penn State · 2025

69%
#3

Bralon Brown

Southern Miss · 2025

69%
#4

Joseph Manjack

Houston · 2024

68%
#5

Dee Wiggins

Cincinnati · 2023

67%

Matches Keontez on

Total EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception
Weight

Differs from Keontez on

Class year (lower)
Recruiting rating (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jay Norvell

Pass share

52.1%

393 pass / 362 run

Plays / game

62.9

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

11.1%

315 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

1 coach
2022
Jay Norvell
Colorado State
2023
Jay Norvell
Colorado State
2025
Jay Norvell
Colorado State

Played his entire career under Jay Norvell.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownLewisville, TX
Height6'2"
Weight205 lb
Class3
PositionWR
Jersey1

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Colorado State WR3 #4758 #5076 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mountain West
2023 Baylor WR3 #2923 #3517 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12
2022 Baylor WR3 #2985 #2927 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Colorado State Mountain West WR 3 No. 1 | 6-2 | 205 lb | Lewisville, TX
2024 Colorado State Mountain West WR 3 No. 1 | 6-2 | 205 lb | Lewisville, TX
2023 Baylor Big 12 WR 3 No. 1 | 6-2 | 205 lb | Lewisville, TX
2022 Baylor Big 12 WR 3 No. 1 | 6-2 | 205 lb | Lewisville, TX