cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Viron Ellison Jr. /Delaware

Viron Ellison Jr.

RB · Delaware · So · #23

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

462 RUSH YDS · 4 RUSH TD · 117 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Delaware for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Delaware for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Running back · Delaware

Returning around him

  • Transfer portal: +5 net (13 in / 8 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Delaware · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #133 · 2026 recruiting class #134

RB · DELAWARE · CONFERENCE USA

Viron Ellison Jr.

  • 2
  • #23
  • 6-0 | 195 lb
  • Lewisville, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

42

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rush yards at the 47th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#835

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2024–2025
3532024
4622025

+31%

Up 31% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1503 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class2
Jersey23
Measurements6-0 | 195 lb
HometownLewisville, TX
Primary teamDelaware

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1503 recruit
Composite rating 0.8522 HighSchool
Signed with Tulsa 2024
Origin Lewisville Lewisville, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 3-star | 0.8522 No. 1503 recruit | HighSchool | Tulsa

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination -- 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Withdrawn Jan 22, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 Tulsa -> -- 3-star | Withdrawn

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#835Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1223Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Tulsa

Composite

0.8522

#1503 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Viron Ellison Jr.

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Viron Ellison Jr.

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

final
Through 13g
462Rush yards
117Carries
4Rush TDs
Per game
35.5Rush yards
9Carries
0Rush TDs
Final
462Rush yards
117Carries
4Rush TDs

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Viron Ellison Jr.'s story is about how role and output meet each other. For Delaware, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #835 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 14.9% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 653 462 rush | 191 rec | #184/735 (75th pct)
Rush TD 4 117 carries | #154/739 (79th pct)
Yards/carry 3.9 Per-rush efficiency | #516/735 (30th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.

Passing-game back

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
117 83rd
YDS
462 75th
YPC
3.9 30th
TD
4 79th

Receiving

REC
21 88th
YDS
191 88th
YPR
9.1 72nd
TD
2 97th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 35-17vs Delaware State5214.209
Wk 2L 7-31@ Colorado6172.806
Wk 3W 44-41vs UConn11565.1013
Wk 4W 38-16@ Florida International11585.3020
Wk 6L 24-27vs Western Kentucky4112.809
Wk 8L 25-38@ Jacksonville State8151.9343 rushing TDs
Wk 9W 31-28vs Middle Tennessee11302.706
Wk 10L 30-59@ Liberty6244.007
Wk 11W 25-24vs Louisiana Tech4164.007
Wk 12L 23-26@ Sam Houston19975.1117Season-high 97 yds
Wk 13L 14-52@ Wake Forest9343.809
Wk 14W 61-31vs UTEP13453.5016
BowlW 20-13vs Louisiana10383.8011
Total1174623.8420
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Tulsa3-9HC: Kevin Wilson · Balanced
2025Delaware7-6HC: Ryan Carty · Pass-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Delaware1174623.94--
2024Tulsa623535.71--
Career2 loaded seasons1798154.65--
SeasonTeam
2025Delaware211919.12--
2024Tulsa14906.41--
Career2 loaded seasons352818.03--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 21 191 rec yds | #68/552 (88th pct)
Usage 14.9% 30.3% rush share | #181/738 (76th pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.11 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #192/362 (47th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 462 #184/735 75th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 4 #154/739 79th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 3.9 #516/735 30th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 21 #68/552 88th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 191 #66/548 88th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.11 #192/362 47th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 115 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 14.9% #181/738 76th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 117 #124/739 83rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 20 #400/733 46th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 43 #59/540 89th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 9.1 #157/548 72nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 2 #20/552 97th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 30.3% #119/738 84th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 18.3% #160/738 78th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 15.9% #209/738 72nd pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 15.3% #168/738 77th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 12.1% #143/738 81st pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 7.7% #310/738 58th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 4.9% #165/738 78th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 2 #205/256 20th pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home7g31.03.70.0
Road6g40.83.80.7

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins7g37.74.10.0
Losses6g33.03.40.7

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-76g33.54.00.0
Weeks 8+7g37.33.60.6

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

42Mid-pack
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rec yards (81st). Concern: long run (11th).

Rec yards#62 / 338 · 82nd pct
191rece
Receptions#68 / 338 · 79th pct
21rece
Carries#124 / 349 · 64th pct
117rush
Rush TDs#153 / 349 · 50th pct
4rush
Rush yards#184 / 349 · 47th pct
462rush
Fumbles lost#154 / 201 · 14th pct
2fumb
Yards / carry#303 / 349 · 12th pct
3.9rush
Long run#308 / 349 · 11th pct
20rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.11Low (p25–p50) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Viron Ellison Jr.DelawareAl-Jay HendersonBuffalo· 80% simRashod DubinionApp State· 77% simSeth McGowanKentucky· 75% sim
Rec yards
82
Jr.
79
Henderson
77
Dubinion
67
McGowan
Receptions
79
Jr.
85
Henderson
86
Dubinion
75
McGowan
Carries
64
Jr.
90
Henderson
87
Dubinion
85
McGowan
Rush TDs
50
Jr.
72
Henderson
50
Dubinion
94
McGowan
Rush yards
47
Jr.
79
Henderson
84
Dubinion
76
McGowan
Fumbles lost
14
Jr.
14
Henderson
14
Dubinion
49
McGowan
Yards / carry
12
Jr.
18
Henderson
53
Dubinion
29
McGowan
Long run
11
Jr.
43
Henderson
39
Dubinion
11
McGowan

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Balanced Back

Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Alex Fontenot’s 2021 season.

Alex Fontenot

74%match

Colorado · 2021

#2

Jaiden Credle

Northern Illinois · 2022

71%
#3

Frank Peasant

Middle Tennessee · 2023

72%
#4

Diore Hubbard

West Virginia · 2025

70%
#5

Trent Battle

TCU · 2024

70%

Matches Alex on

Total rush EPA (college ability)
Receiving share

Differs from Alex on

Class year (lower)
Yards / reception (higher)
Rush TD rate (lower)

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Darius Wilson’s path through William & Mary.

Darius Wilson

95%match

William & Mary · 2024

#2

Deon Jackson

Duke · 2020

92%
#3

Alex Fontenot

Colorado · 2022

88%
#4

Deion Smith

BYU · 2023

88%
#5

Willie Shaw III

Toledo · 2025

86%

Matches Darius on

Yards per carry

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Diore Hubbard's sophomore season at West Virginia (2025).

Diore Hubbard

76%match

West Virginia · 2025

#2

Lequint Allen

Syracuse · 2023

NFL Rd 7
72%
#3

Anthony Williams Jr.

Akron · 2021

71%
#4

Chavon Mceachern

Charlotte · 2021

68%
#5

Sedrick Alexander

Vanderbilt · 2024

69%

Matches Diore on

Total rush EPA (college ability)
Rush TD rate
Weight

Differs from Diore on

Class year (higher)
Height (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Ryan Carty

Pass share

57.4%

541 pass / 401 run

Plays / game

72.5

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.7%

387 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Pass-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
Delaware
2025
Ryan Carty
Delaware
era →

Played his entire career under Ryan Carty.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownLewisville, TX
Height6'0"
Weight195 lb
Class2
PositionRB
Jersey23

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Tulsa RB2 #835 #1223 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Delaware Conference USA RB 2 No. 23 | 6-0 | 195 lb | Lewisville, TX
2024 Tulsa American Athletic RB 2 No. 23 | 6-0 | 195 lb | Lewisville, TX