CFB Zeitgeist Score
29
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 53rd percentile.
Vaughn Blue
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
234 RUSH YDS · 2 RUSH TD · 47 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to Liberty for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Running back · Liberty
Returning around him
- 100% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
- Transfer portal: +7 net (26 in / 19 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Liberty · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #84 · 2026 recruiting class #86
RB · LIBERTY · CONFERENCE USA
Vaughn Blue
- 2
- #24
- 5-11 | 195 lb
- Mount Pleasant, SC
Heisman Heat
#859
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2023–2025+102%
Up 102% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
Liberty
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Vaughn Blue
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=2
- Rivals · n=1
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Vaughn Blue
Only 1 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 10g
234Rush yards
47Carries
2Rush TDs
Per game
23.4Rush yards
5Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
304.2Rush yards
61Carries
3Rush TDs
To hit 750-yard season (currently 234): needs 172/game over remaining 3.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 234): needs 255.3/game over remaining 3.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 234): needs 422/game over remaining 3.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 2.7/game over remaining 3.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 4.3/game over remaining 3.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 6/game over remaining 3.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Vaughn Blue's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Liberty, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
47 56th
YDS
234 57th
YPC
5.0 62nd
TD
2 67th
Receiving
REC
8 55th
YDS
119 76th
YPR
14.9 94th
TD
1 89th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 10 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 28-7vs Maine | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | 0 | 4 | |
| Wk 2 | L 24-34@ Jacksonville State | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 3 | L 13-23@ Bowling Green | 4 | 18 | 4.5 | 0 | 15 | |
| Wk 7 | W 19-8@ UTEP | 17 | 75 | 4.4 | 0 | 16 | Season-high 75 yds |
| Wk 8 | W 30-27vs New Mexico State | 4 | 19 | 4.8 | 0 | 7 | |
| Wk 10 | W 59-30vs Delaware | 5 | 23 | 4.6 | 1 | 12 | |
| Wk 11 | L 17-21vs Missouri State | 5 | 34 | 6.8 | 0 | 22 | |
| Wk 12 | L 27-34@ Florida International | 3 | 23 | 7.7 | 1 | 14 | |
| Wk 13 | L 28-34@ Louisiana Tech | 4 | 23 | 5.8 | 0 | 9 | |
| Wk 14 | L 42-48vs Kennesaw State | 2 | 7 | 3.5 | 0 | 6 | |
| Total | 47 | 234 | 5.1 | 2 | 22 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Liberty13-1HC: Jamey Chadwell · Run-heavy
2024Liberty8-4HC: Jamey Chadwell · Run-heavy
2025Liberty4-8HC: Jamey Chadwell · Run-heavy
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 234 | #314/735 | 57th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 2 | #247/739 | 67th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 5.0 | #280/735 | 62nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 8 | #248/552 | 55th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 119 | #132/548 | 76th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.13 | #156/362 | 57th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 31 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 7.7% | #395/738 | 47th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 47 | #323/739 | 56th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 22 | #375/733 | 49th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 59 | #30/540 | 95th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 14.9 | #33/548 | 94th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 1 | #60/552 | 89th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 10.9% | #455/738 | 38th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 9.9% | #346/738 | 53rd pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 8.9% | #384/738 | 48th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 8.8% | #387/738 | 48th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 4.9% | #456/738 | 38th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 3.5% | #267/738 | 64th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 3.1% | #542/738 | 27th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 10 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home5g | 17.8 | 4.5 | 0.2 |
| Road5g | 29.0 | 5.7 | 0.2 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins4g | 30.8 | 4.2 | 0.2 |
| Losses6g | 18.5 | 5.7 | 0.2 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-74g | 26.2 | 4.5 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 21.5 | 5.5 | 0.3 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
29Below cohort
Concern: carries (7th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0.13Low (p25–p50) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Vaughn BlueLibertyKamari MoultonIowa· 54% simTae MeadowsTroy· 54% simJeremiah CobbAuburn· 52% sim
Rec yards
Yards / carry
Receptions
Rush TDs
Long run
Rush yards
Carries
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Balanced Back
Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Rahmir Johnson’s 2021 season.
Rahmir Johnson
78%match
#2
Elijah Young
75%
#3
Jahmyr Gibbs
All-ACCNFL Rd 1 · Pk 12
72%
#4
Brock Sturges
69%
#5
Anthony Watkins
72%
Matches Rahmir on
Weight
Rush TD rate
Height
Differs from Rahmir on
Class year (lower)
Yards / reception (higher)
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Ashton Stredick's junior season at California (2023).
Ashton Stredick
72%match
#2
Chase Jenkins
68%
#3
Jekail Middlebrook
All-Conference USA
63%
#4
Kevin Jennings
All-ACC
58%
#5
PJ Martin
61%
Matches Ashton on
Yards / carry
EPA / carry (adj)
Weight
Differs from Ashton on
Height (higher)
Receiving share (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Jamey Chadwell
Pass share
38.7%
314 pass / 498 run
Plays / game
67.7
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
8.4%
249 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
1 coach2023
Jamey Chadwell
Liberty
2024
Jamey Chadwell
Liberty
2025
Jamey Chadwell
Liberty
Played his entire career under Jamey Chadwell.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownMount Pleasant, SC
Height5'11"
Weight195 lb
Class2
PositionRB
Jersey24
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamLiberty
ConferenceConference USA
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.