CFB Zeitgeist Score
60
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 72nd percentile.
Jaron Tibbs
Filling the Shoesas of 2026-06-22
Jaron Tibbs arrives at Kansas State with a new fit to prove and an old chapter behind him.
595REC YDS47REC3REC TD
Read the story so far
AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data
2026 Outlook
Returning to Kansas State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Wide receiver · Kansas State
Returning around him
- 69% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- 2 Kansas State players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -7 net (26 in / 33 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Kansas State · Last season: 6-6 (AP #17) · Talent rank #47 · 2026 recruiting class #35
WR · KANSAS STATE · BIG 12
Jaron Tibbs
- 3
- #12
- 6-2 | 212 lb
- Indianapolis, IN
Heisman Heat
#1005
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2023–2025+1600%
Up 1600% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3-star | 0.8575 | No. 1196 recruit | HighSchool |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Purdue -> Kansas State | 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to —
Composite
0.8575
#1196 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Jaron Tibbs
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
75
Grounded Optimism
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=6
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Jaron Tibbs
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Yards per reception
12.7
yds
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
National rank #243 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 54th
Why it matters
#243 of 531 All FBS WRs at 12.7 yards per reception (47 catches).
Vs cohort
This player 12.7 (54th)
HIGH · n=47 cohort 531
- Also strong
- Receiving yards (total)#149 / 531
- Receiving TDs#222 / 531
Signature Moment
Week 6 at Baylor — 80 ypr
Result L 34-35
The week the volume broke through — put up 80 yds at Baylor.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 12g
595Rec yards
47Receptions
3Rec TDs
Per game
49.6Rec yards
4Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
644.6Rec yards
51Receptions
3Rec TDs
To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 595): needs 105/game over remaining 1.
To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 595): needs 405/game over remaining 1.
To hit 60-catch season (currently 47): needs 13/game over remaining 1.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 47): needs 33/game over remaining 1.
To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 5/game over remaining 1.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 7/game over remaining 1.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Jaron Tibbs's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Kansas State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
WR season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
47 88th
YDS
595 86th
YPR
12.7 57th
TD
3 82nd
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 21-24vs Iowa State | 4 | 35 | 8.8 | 0 | 17 | |
| Wk 1 | W 38-35vs North Dakota | 3 | 55 | 18.3 | 1 | 30 | |
| Wk 2 | L 21-24vs Army | 5 | 61 | 12.2 | 1 | 32 | |
| Wk 3 | L 17-23@ Arizona | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 5 | W 34-20vs UCF | 8 | 72 | 9.0 | 0 | 20 | |
| Wk 6 | L 34-35@ Baylor | 6 | 80 | 13.3 | 0 | 30 | Season-high 80 yds |
| Wk 7 | W 41-28vs TCU | 3 | 51 | 17.0 | 0 | 31 | |
| Wk 9 | W 42-17@ Kansas | 2 | 43 | 21.5 | 1 | 27 | |
| Wk 10 | L 20-43vs Texas Tech | 3 | 54 | 18.0 | 0 | 38 | |
| Wk 12 | W 14-6@ Oklahoma State | 2 | 38 | 19.0 | 0 | 27 | |
| Wk 13 | L 47-51@ Utah | 6 | 45 | 7.5 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 14 | W 24-14vs Colorado | 4 | 55 | 13.8 | 0 | 21 | |
| Total | 47 | 595 | 13.7 | 3 | 38 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Purdue4-8HC: Ryan Walters · Run-leaning
2024Purdue1-11HC: Ryan Walters · Balanced, slow tempo
2025Kansas State6-6HC: Chris Klieman · Run-leaning, slow tempo
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Kansas State | 47 | 595 | 12.7 | 3 | -- |
| 2024 | Purdue | 25 | 305 | 12.2 | 2 | -- |
| 2023 | Purdue | 4 | 35 | 8.8 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 76 | 935 | 12.3 | 5 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 47 | #130/1110 | 88th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 595 | #154/1107 | 86th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 3 | #206/1111 | 82nd pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 12.7 | #479/1106 | 57th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 21.7% | #65/1137 | 94th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 38 | #486/1105 | 56th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 13.3% | #87/1137 | 92nd pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 12.8% | #101/1137 | 91st pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 12.5% | #46/1137 | 96th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 10.3% | #88/1137 | 92nd pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 8.7% | #117/1137 | 90th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 7.8% | #195/1137 | 83rd pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.0% | #391/1137 | 66th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/302 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS WR |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 4.3 | 54.7 | 13.9 | 0.3 |
| Road5g | 3.4 | 42.4 | 13.5 | 0.2 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins6g | 3.7 | 52.3 | 16.4 | 0.3 |
| Losses6g | 4.2 | 46.8 | 11.0 | 0.2 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 4.3 | 51.4 | 12.1 | 0.3 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 3.4 | 47.0 | 16.0 | 0.2 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
60Solid starter
Elite: fumbles lost (80th). Concern: long catch (26th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Jaron TibbsKansas StateGermie BernardAlabama· 80% simHank BeattyIllinois· 77% simKevin Coleman Jr.Missouri· 76% sim
Fumbles lost
Receptions
Rec yards
Rec TDs
Yards / catch
Long catch
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Possession Receiver
Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.
WR
His 2025 production profile sits closest to CJ Windham’s 2020 season.
CJ Windham
79%match
#2
Darius Lassiter
81%
#3
Jalen Wayne
77%
#4
Joseph Ngata
80%
#5
Jared Wyatt
80%
Matches CJ on
Weight
TD rate
Class year
Differs from CJ on
Reception volume (higher)
Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Ma'jon Wright’s path through Arizona.
Ma'jon Wright
98%match
#2
Taylor Grimes
96%
#3
Anthony Lowe
95%
#4
Ryan Flournoy
NFL Rd 6
94%
#5
Hunter Long
All-ACCNFL Rd 3 · Pk 18
93%
Matches Ma'jon on
Yards per reception
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Kenny Johnson's junior season at Pittsburgh (2025).
Kenny Johnson
80%match
#2
Hudson Clement
78%
#3
Taj Davis
78%
#4
Coy Eakin
78%
#5
TJ Harden
73%
Matches Kenny on
EPA / play (adj)
Yards / reception
Weight
Differs from Kenny on
TD rate (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Chris Klieman
Pass share
46.4%
342 pass / 395 run
Plays / game
61.4
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
4.5%
288 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning, slow tempo.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
1 coach2023
Chris Klieman
Kansas State
2024
Chris Klieman
Kansas State
2025
Chris Klieman
Kansas State
Played his entire career under Chris Klieman.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownIndianapolis, IN
Height6'2"
Weight212 lb
Class3
PositionWR
Jersey12
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamKansas State
ConferenceBig 12
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Kansas State | Big 12 | WR | 3 | No. 12 | 6-2 | 212 lb | Indianapolis, IN |
| 2024 | Purdue | Big Ten | WR | 3 | No. 12 | 6-2 | 212 lb | Indianapolis, IN |
| 2023 | Purdue | Big Ten | WR | 3 | No. 12 | 6-2 | 212 lb | Indianapolis, IN |