cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Joseph Manjack /TCU

Joseph Manjack

WR · TCU · Sr · #14

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

579 REC YDS · 44 REC · 3 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to TCU for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to TCU for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · TCU

Returning around him

  • 61% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 3 TCU players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -2 net (12 in / 14 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

TCU · Last season: 9-4 (AP #24) · Talent rank #32 · 2026 recruiting class #24

WR · TCU · BIG 12

Joseph Manjack

  • 4
  • #14
  • 6-3 | 205 lb
  • Tomball, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

58

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 71st percentile.

Heisman Heat

#722

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2021–2025
67.02021
1482022
5772023
3512024
5792025

+764%

Up 764% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
3 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey14
Measurements6-3 | 205 lb
HometownTomball, TX
Primary teamTCU

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Houston 2022
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 2, 2022
Season Move Context
2022 USC -> Houston 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#722Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1089Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Joseph Manjack

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Joseph Manjack

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

13.2

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #210 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 61st

Why it matters

#210 of 531 All FBS WRs at 13.2 yards per reception (44 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 13.2 (61th)

HIGH · n=44 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#158 / 531
  • Receiving TDs#222 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 3 vs Abilene Christian — 114 ypr

Result W 42-21

The week the volume broke through — put up 114 yds vs Abilene Christian.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
579Rec yards
44Receptions
3Rec TDs
Per game
52.6Rec yards
4Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
684.3Rec yards
52Receptions
4Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 579): needs 60.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 579): needs 210.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 44): needs 8/game over remaining 2.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 44): needs 18/game over remaining 2.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 2.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 3.5/game over remaining 2.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Joseph Manjack's story is about how role and output meet each other. For TCU, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #722 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 8.5% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 44 3 rec TD | #153/1110 (86th pct)
Receiving yards 579 13.2 per catch | #164/1107 (85th pct)
Scrimmage yards 575 Total offensive yardage | #164/1107 (85th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.

Target magnet

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
44 86th
YDS
579 85th
YPR
13.2 61st
TD
3 82nd

Rushing

CAR
2 53rd
YDS
-4 10th
YPC
-2.0 12th
TD
0 81st

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 48-14@ North Carolina22412.0018
Wk 3W 42-21vs Abilene Christian411428.5051Season-high 114 yds
Wk 4W 35-24vs SMU3155.016
Wk 5L 24-27@ Arizona State68313.8032
Wk 6W 35-21vs Colorado56513.0125
Wk 7L 28-41@ Kansas State188.008
Wk 11L 17-20vs Iowa State34816.0022
Wk 12L 13-44@ BYU34013.3019
Wk 13W 17-14@ Houston99510.6022
Wk 14W 45-23vs Cincinnati55911.8144
BowlW 30-27vs USC3289.3015
Total4457912.8351
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021USC4-8HC: Donte Williams · Balanced, fast tempo
2022Houston8-5HC: Dana Holgorsen · Pass-leaning
2023Houston4-8HC: Dana Holgorsen · Balanced
2024Houston4-8HC: Dana Holgorsen · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2025TCU9-4HC: Sonny Dykes · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025TCU4457913.23--
2024Houston2235116.03--
2023Houston4657712.56--
2022Houston1414810.61--
2021USC7679.60--
Career5 loaded seasons1331,72212.913--
SeasonTeam
2025TCU2-4------
2024Houston1-2------
2023Houston2-3--7--
2022Houston----------
2021USC----------
Career5 loaded seasons5-9--7--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 8.5% 16.0% pass-game share | #202/1137 (82nd pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 3 Across offense and returns | #206/1111 (82nd pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 44 #153/1110 86th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 579 #164/1107 85th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 3 #206/1111 82nd pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 13.2 #428/1106 61st pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 16.0% #202/1137 82nd pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 6 #238/346 32nd pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 2 #194/407 53rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry -2.0 #348/393 12th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards -4 #358/397 10th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 51 #260/1105 77th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 10.6% #202/1137 82nd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 9.0% #296/1137 74th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 8.5% #178/1137 84th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 8.2% #174/1137 85th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 8.0% #228/1137 80th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 7.5% #180/1137 84th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.3% #332/1137 71st pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/302 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home6g3.854.813.90.5
Road5g4.250.011.50.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins7g4.457.112.90.4
Losses4g3.244.812.80.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-77g3.448.112.80.3
Weeks 8+4g5.060.512.90.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

58Solid starter
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: fumbles lost (80th). Concern: rush yards (8th).

Fumbles lost#1 / 218 · 81st pct
0fumb
Receptions#153 / 558 · 72nd pct
44rece
Rec yards#164 / 558 · 71st pct
579rece
Long catch#230 / 558 · 58th pct
51rece
Rec TDs#205 / 558 · 57th pct
3rece
Yards / catch#258 / 558 · 53rd pct
13.2rece
Rush TDs#67 / 287 · 39th pct
0rush
Rush yards#260 / 287 · 9th pct
-4rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Joseph ManjackTCUDevin VoisinSouth Alabama· 83% simNik McMillanBuffalo· 80% simDonovan FaupelNew Mexico State· 79% sim
Fumbles lost
81
Manjack
81
Voisin
81
Faupel
Receptions
72
Manjack
95
Voisin
90
McMillan
90
Faupel
Rec yards
71
Manjack
87
Voisin
96
McMillan
79
Faupel
Long catch
58
Manjack
78
Voisin
65
McMillan
65
Faupel
Rec TDs
57
Manjack
68
Voisin
57
McMillan
92
Faupel
Yards / catch
53
Manjack
35
Voisin
84
McMillan
24
Faupel
Rush TDs
39
Manjack
Rush yards
9
Manjack

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Austin Watkins’s 2020 season.

Austin Watkins

83%match

UAB · 2020

#2

Xzavier Henderson

Cincinnati · 2023

83%
#3

Austin Williams

Mississippi State · 2021

82%
#4

Rashee Rice

SMU · 2020

NFL Rd 2 · Pk 24
75%
#5

Jared Wayne

Pittsburgh · 2021

80%

Matches Austin on

Yards / reception
TD rate
Weight

Differs from Austin on

Reception volume (higher)
Class year (higher)

Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Jalen McDonald’s path through Merrimack.

Jalen McDonald

100%match

Merrimack · 2025

#2

Ben Skowronek

Notre Dame · 2020

NFL Rd 7
100%
#3

DeVontres Dukes

South Florida · 2020

97%
#4

Eli Pancol

Duke · 2024

97%
#5

Grant DuBose

Charlotte · 2022

All-Conference USANFL Rd 7
97%

Matches Jalen on

Yards per reception

As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Jahmal Banks's graduate season at Nebraska (2024).

Jahmal Banks

77%match

Nebraska · 2024

#2

Romello Brinson

SMU · 2025

75%
#3

J.Michael Sturdivant

Florida · 2025

74%
#4

Lawrence Arnold

Kansas · 2024

74%
#5

Will Sheppard

Colorado · 2024

74%

Matches Jahmal on

Yards / reception
Total EPA (college ability)
Height

Differs from Jahmal on

EPA / play (adj) (lower)
Weight (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Sonny Dykes

Pass share

51.9%

460 pass / 426 run

Plays / game

68.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.6%

340 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

2 coaches
2021
Gary Patterson
TCU
2022
Sonny Dykes
TCU
era →
2023
Sonny Dykes
TCU
2024
Sonny Dykes
TCU
2025
Sonny Dykes
TCU

Coaching transition mid-career: Gary Patterson → Sonny Dykes. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownTomball, TX
Height6'3"
Weight205 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey14

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Houston WR4 #722 #1089 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 Houston WR4 #799 #1151 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12
2022 Houston WR4 #2261 #2375 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | American Athletic
2021 USC WR4 #2412 #2582 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 TCU Big 12 WR 4 No. 14 | 6-3 | 205 lb | Tomball, TX
2024 Houston Big 12 WR 4 No. 14 | 6-3 | 205 lb | Tomball, TX
2023 Houston Big 12 WR 4 No. 14 | 6-3 | 205 lb | Tomball, TX
2022 Houston American Athletic WR 4 No. 14 | 6-3 | 205 lb | Tomball, TX
2021 USC Pac-12 WR 4 No. 14 | 6-3 | 205 lb | Tomball, TX