CFB Zeitgeist Score
95
Elite in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 99th percentile.
Eric McAlister
Filling the Shoesas of 2026-06-22
Eric McAlister arrives at TCU with a new fit to prove and an old chapter behind him.
1,190REC YDS72REC10REC TD
REC YDS · 900-YD CLUB
1,190
1190 receiving yards — clears the 900-WR volume bar.
Read the story so far
AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data
2026 Outlook
Returning to TCU for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Wide receiver · TCU
Returning around him
- 61% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- 3 TCU players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -2 net (12 in / 14 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
TCU · Last season: 9-4 (AP #24) · Talent rank #32 · 2026 recruiting class #24
WR · TCU · BIG 12
Eric McAlister
- 4
- #1
- 6-3 | 205 lb
- Azle, TX
Heisman Heat
#283
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
4 seasons on the ladder
2022
Boise State · WR
—
2023
Boise State · WR
—
2024
TCU · WR
—
★
2025
TCU · WR
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2022–2025+359%
Up 359% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 3-star | 0.8600 | No. 917 recruit | HighSchool |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Boise State -> TCU | 3-star | 0.8900 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Volume King 1.3% Volume King 2,500+ passing yards, 1,200+ rushing yards, or 900+ receiving yards in a single season (position-appropriate threshold). Held by 1.3% of the 2025 pool. 1190 receiving yards — clears the 900-WR volume bar.
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (1190).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to —
Composite
0.8600
#917 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Eric McAlister
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=1
- National · n=2
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Eric McAlister
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Yards per reception
16.5
yds
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
National rank #50 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 91st
Why it matters
#50 of 531 All FBS WRs at 16.5 yards per reception (72 catches).
Vs cohort
This player 16.5 (91th)
HIGH · n=72 cohort 531
- Also strong
- Receiving yards (total)#7 / 531
- Receiving TDs#12 / 531
Signature Moment
Week 4 vs SMU — 254 ypr
Result W 35-24
The week the volume broke through — put up 254 yds vs SMU.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 12g
1,190Rec yards
72Receptions
10Rec TDs
Per game
99.2Rec yards
6Receptions
1Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
1,289Rec yards
78Receptions
11Rec TDs
✓ Hit 700-yard receiver · finished with 1,190.
✓ Hit 1,000-yard receiver · finished with 1,190.
✓ Hit 60-catch season · finished with 72.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 72): needs 8/game over remaining 1.
✓ Hit 8 receiving TDs · finished with 10.
✓ Hit 10 receiving TDs · finished with 10.
Why the honors trail matters
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Eric McAlister already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
WR season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Target magnet | Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
72 99th
YDS
1,190 99th
YPR
16.5 84th
TD
10 99th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 48-14@ North Carolina | 3 | 20 | 6.7 | 0 | 12 | |
| Wk 3 | W 42-21vs Abilene Christian | 2 | 46 | 23.0 | 0 | 33 | |
| Wk 4 | W 35-24vs SMU | 8 | 254 | 31.8 | 3 | 70 | Season-high 254 yds |
| Wk 6 | W 35-21vs Colorado | 4 | 65 | 16.3 | 2 | 23 | 2 TD catches |
| Wk 7 | L 28-41@ Kansas State | 4 | 156 | 39.0 | 2 | 85 | 2 TD catches |
| Wk 8 | W 42-36vs Baylor | 7 | 62 | 8.9 | 0 | 27 | |
| Wk 9 | W 23-17@ West Virginia | 9 | 124 | 13.8 | 1 | 28 | |
| Wk 11 | L 17-20vs Iowa State | 11 | 107 | 9.7 | 0 | 19 | |
| Wk 12 | L 13-44@ BYU | 4 | 107 | 26.8 | 0 | 47 | |
| Wk 13 | W 17-14@ Houston | 4 | 79 | 19.8 | 1 | 37 | |
| Wk 14 | W 45-23vs Cincinnati | 8 | 101 | 12.6 | 1 | 27 | |
| Bowl | W 30-27vs USC | 8 | 69 | 8.6 | 0 | 14 | |
| Total | 72 | 1190 | 18.1 | 10 | 85 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022Boise State10-4HC: Andy Avalos · Run-leaning
2023Boise State8-6HC: Spencer Danielson · Run-heavy
2024TCU9-4HC: Sonny Dykes · Pass-leaning
2025TCU9-4HC: Sonny Dykes · Balanced
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | TCU | 72 | 1,190 | 16.5 | 10 | -- |
| 2024 | TCU | 39 | 762 | 19.5 | 5 | -- |
| 2023 | Boise State | 47 | 873 | 18.6 | 5 | -- |
| 2022 | Boise State | 11 | 259 | 23.5 | 4 | -- |
| Career | 4 loaded seasons | 169 | 3,084 | 18.2 | 24 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 72 | #15/1110 | 99th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 1,190 | #7/1107 | 99th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 10 | #12/1111 | 99th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 16.5 | #179/1106 | 84th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 22.6% | #44/1137 | 96th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 85 | #15/1105 | 99th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 13.5% | #80/1137 | 93rd pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 13.1% | #29/1137 | 98th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 12.6% | #109/1137 | 91st pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 11.5% | #51/1137 | 96th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 11.0% | #46/1137 | 96th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 8.8% | #183/1137 | 84th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.0% | #391/1137 | 66th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/302 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS WR |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
ALL-CONF HM
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16
Why he’s here
All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.
What moves him up
A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.
What moves him down
A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 6.9 | 101 | 15.8 | 0.9 |
| Road5g | 4.8 | 97.2 | 21.2 | 0.8 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins9g | 5.9 | 91.1 | 15.7 | 0.9 |
| Losses3g | 6.3 | 123 | 25.2 | 0.7 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 4.8 | 102 | 20.9 | 1.2 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 7.2 | 96.7 | 15.3 | 0.5 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
95Elite
Elite: rec yards (98th). Strength: rec tds (97th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Eric McAlisterTCUWyatt YoungNorth Texas· 97% simCooper BarkateDuke· 95% simCamden BrownGeorgia Southern· 95% sim
Rec yards
Rec TDs
Long catch
Receptions
Yards / catch
Fumbles lost
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Deep Threat
Stretches the field vertically. Every snap is a potential big play.
WR
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Elijah Cooks’s 2022 season.
Elijah Cooks
77%match
All-Mountain West
#2
Jared Wayne
All-ACC
75%
#3
Cedric Tillman
NFL Rd 3 · Pk 11
74%
#4
Tre Harris
NFL Rd 2 · Pk 23
73%
#5
Jaivon Heiligh
All-Sun Belt
72%
Matches Elijah on
Total EPA (college ability)
Height
Yards / reception
Differs from Elijah on
Recruiting rating (higher)
Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Jalen Williams’s path through Louisiana.
Jalen Williams
93%match
#2
Devin Carter
90%
#3
Kevin Austin
89%
#4
Alec Pierce
All-AACNFL Rd 2 · Pk 21
88%
#5
Landon Ellis
All-Sun Belt
87%
Matches Jalen on
Height
Yards per reception
Weight
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Cortez Braham's senior season at Memphis (2025).
Cortez Braham
75%match
#2
Eli Pancol
73%
#3
Camden Brown
All-Sun Belt
71%
#4
Jack Bech
NFL Rd 2 · Pk 26
69%
#5
Will Sheppard
69%
Matches Cortez on
Total EPA (college ability)
Weight
Height
Differs from Cortez on
Yards / reception (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Sonny Dykes
Pass share
51.9%
460 pass / 426 run
Plays / game
68.2
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
5.6%
340 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
1 coach2022
Sonny Dykes
TCU
2023
Sonny Dykes
TCU
2024
Sonny Dykes
TCU
2025
Sonny Dykes
TCU
Played his entire career under Sonny Dykes.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownAzle, TX
Height6'3"
Weight205 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey1
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamTCU
ConferenceBig 12
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2025)
All-Big 12
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
1 all-conference honor
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | All-Big 12 | all_conference | TCU | Big 12 | WR |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | TCU | WR4 | #283 | #395 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Big 12 |
| 2023 | Boise State | WR4 | #290 | #373 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Mountain West |
| 2022 | Boise State | WR4 | #439 | #459 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Mountain West |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | TCU | Big 12 | WR | 4 | No. 1 | 6-3 | 205 lb | Azle, TX |
| 2024 | TCU | Big 12 | WR | 4 | No. 1 | 6-3 | 205 lb | Azle, TX |
| 2023 | Boise State | Mountain West | WR | 4 | No. 1 | 6-3 | 205 lb | Azle, TX |
| 2022 | Boise State | Mountain West | WR | 4 | No. 1 | 6-3 | 205 lb | Azle, TX |