Andy Avalos
Defensive coordinator across 3 programs, 3 stints, before and after wearing the head-coach hat — every season measured on the same axis, whether he personally ran the unit or someone else did.
Andy Avalos
Followed Bryan Harsin. Andy Avalos held Boise State at Power Program III for 3 seasons.
Career arc
His real stature score, season by season, across every program he’s coached — so a stretch that stays in one tier the whole way can still climb or sink on the line, not just flatten out. Node color marks the tier reached. Which program a stretch belongs to is carried by the shaded lane behind it.
Reached Power Program in his 1st career season — faster than 57% of the 395 FBS coaches who have ever reached Power Program (rank #1 of 395 by seasons-to-arrival).
Style position and drift
Where each stint’s offense sat between run-first and pass-first, and how far it moved from one season to the next. The band is that stint’s real season-to-season range, not a fixed-width box.
Season-to-season pass-rate range for all 258 FBS coaching stints with at least three covered seasons, 2014–2025.
The big-game ledger
How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.
1–1 against his rivals.
His own effect, isolated
A statistical estimate of this coach’s contribution to team performance, separated from that season’s roster talent, returning production, and his coordinators — pooled across his whole head-coaching career.
Model fit as of 2026-09-04.
Coaching career
4th-best Boise State tenure of 9 by the numbers.
Outperforms his recruiting talent, on both sides of the ball.
Followed Bryan Harsin (2014–2020).
| Season | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record & result | ||||
| Record | 7–5 | 10–4 | 3–1 | |
| Postseason | — | W bowl | L bowl | |
| Recruiting rank | #70 | #62 | #67 | |
| Style — pass rate | ||||
| Pass rate | 47.1 | 41.2 | 39.9 | |
| Coordinators | ||||
| OC | Tim Plough | Tim Plough | Bush Hamdan | |
| DC | Kane Ioane / Spencer Danielson | Kane Ioane / Spencer Danielson | Kane Ioane / Spencer Danielson | |
| Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile | ||||
| Offense | 41 | 83 | 84 | |
| Defense | 87 | 84 | 54 | |
| Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script (2021+ only) | ||||
| 1st-down pass% | 52.8 | 33.3 | 37.5 | |
| Red-zone pass% | 56.6 | 39.1 | 26.3 | |
| 4th-down go%opp. territory | 29.3 | 23.8 | 17.1 | |
Barely touches the portal — recruits and develops his own.
Brings in bigger-than-position-typical players than most.
Recruits older, more experienced transfers than most.
5 NFL Draft picks: John Bates (2021), Avery Williams (2021), Khalil Shakir (2022), JL Skinner (2023), Scott Matlock (2023)
Coach of the Year: Mountain West Coach of the Year (2022)
1 player-season honored (All-America / national award): Ashton Jeanty (2023)