cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Ashton Jeanty /Boise State

Ashton Jeanty

RB · Boise State · Jr · #2

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

NOW IN NFLLas Vegas — drafted 2025, Rd 1, Pick 6, #6 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

Las VegasEntering 2nd NFL season

#6Rd 1 · Pick 6
Las VegasEntering 2nd NFL season

RB · BOISE STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST

Ashton Jeanty

  • 3
  • #2
  • 5-9 | 215 lb
  • Jacksonville, FL

CFB Zeitgeist RB Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#1422

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 5 · Apex

R15 · POTY finalist

Position-of-the-Year finalist. Among the nation's elite at the position.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

2 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R11 National watch / fringe AA · 2023

2022

Boise State · RB

2023

Boise State · RB

R11 · National watch / fringe AA

Recognized

NFL Draft 2025 · Rd 1, Pick 6 · #6 overall · Las Vegas

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2022–2023
8262022
1,3512023

+64%

Up 64% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1284 national
CFB
College
Boise State
2022–2023
NFL
NFL Draft
R1 &middot; #6
Las Vegas &middot; 2025

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class3
Jersey2
Measurements5-9 | 215 lb
HometownJacksonville, FL
Primary teamBoise State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1284 recruit
Composite rating 0.8496 HighSchool
Signed with Boise State 2022
Origin Lone Star Frisco, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8496 No. 1284 recruit | HighSchool | Boise State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1422Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1254Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish#2Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Boise State

Composite

0.8496

#1284 national

NFL Draft

2025 · Rd 1, Pick 6

#6 overall · Las Vegas

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Ashton Jeanty

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Ashton Jeanty

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

Why this is more than a rushing profile

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Ashton Jeanty is not a one-lane back. The profile is interesting because the workload spills beyond pure rushing volume: 1,351 rushing yards, 43 catches, and 0 return yards for Boise State. That kind of all-purpose footprint gives the card a much richer story than a basic carry total.

Current place #1422 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Honors spine 19 honors loaded

2023 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2023 season snapshot | final

2023 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 1,920 1,351 rush | 569 rec | #9/735 (99th pct)
Rush TD 14 221 carries | #13/739 (98th pct)
Yards/carry 6.1 Per-rush efficiency | #104/735 (86th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Workhorse | Efficient runner | Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.

WorkhorseEfficient runnerPassing-game back

2023 Season · Final

2023 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
221 98th
YDS
1,351 99th
YPC
6.1 86th
TD
14 98th

Receiving

REC
43 100th
YDS
569 100th
YPR
13.2 91st
TD
5 100th

Game Log

Week-by-week box

No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Boise State10-4HC: Andy Avalos · Run-leaning
2023Boise State8-6HC: Spencer Danielson · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2023Boise State2211,3516.114--
2022Boise State1578265.37--
Career2 loaded seasons3782,1775.821--
SeasonTeam
2023Boise State4356913.25--
2022Boise State1415511.10--
Career2 loaded seasons5772412.75--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 43 569 rec yds | #3/552 (100th pct)
Usage -- Role share still loading
Rushing WEPA -- Adjusted value feed still loading
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 1,351 #9/735 99th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 14 #13/739 98th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 6.1 #104/735 86th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 43 #3/552 100th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 569 #1/548 100th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 221 #15/739 98th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 68 #68/733 91st pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 75 #9/540 99th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 13.2 #51/548 91st pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 5 #2/552 100th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 5 #257/257 0th pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits

Per-game splits

Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Spencer Danielson

Pass share

46.6%

472 pass / 540 run

Plays / game

72.3

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.4%

358 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2023

2 coaches
2022
Andy Avalos
Boise State
2023
Spencer Danielson
Boise State
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Andy Avalos → Spencer Danielson. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownJacksonville, FL
Height5'9"
Weight215 lb
Class3
PositionRB
Jersey2

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

19 entries
🏆

ALL-AMERICA · CONSENSUS

Consensus AA (2024)

11 first-team selectors

🏅

POSITION AWARDS

Doak Walker, Maxwell

2024 season

🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2024)

All-Mountain West

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Heisman

Best official finish: #2

Finished in the top end of the Heisman vote on a completed ballot, which is a cleaner historical signal than model-only attention.

Finalist

1 finalist season

Invited into the official finalist tier in 2024. That belongs in the trophy case, not buried in a table.

All-America

14 All-America selections

National selector recognition is one of the strongest non-Heisman signals on a player card and should sit near the top of the showcase.

All-Conference

3 all-conference honors

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Votes

Heisman votes in 1 season

Even lower-volume award recognition is worth preserving because it marks seasons where a player entered the national conversation.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2024 Maxwell position_award Boise State | Maxwell winner | RB
2024 Doak Walker position_award Boise State | Doak Walker winner | RB
2024 All-Mountain West all_conference Boise State | Mountain West RB
2024 All-America (SI) all_america Boise State | SI RB
2024 All-America (ESPN) all_america Boise State | ESPN RB
2024 All-America (USA Today) all_america Boise State | USA Today RB
2024 All-America (PFF) all_america Boise State | PFF RB
2024 All-America (The Athletic) all_america Boise State | The Athletic RB
2024 All-America (CBS) all_america Boise State | CBS RB
2024 All-America (WCFF) all_america Boise State | WCFF RB
2024 All-America (SN) all_america Boise State | SN RB
2024 All-America (FWAA) all_america Boise State | FWAA RB
2024 All-America (AP) all_america Boise State | AP RB
2024 All-America (AFCA) all_america Boise State | AFCA RB
2024 All-America (Consensus) all_america Boise State | Consensus --
2023 All-Mountain West all_conference Boise State | Mountain West AP
2023 All-Mountain West all_conference Boise State | Mountain West RB
2023 All-America (USA Today) all_america Boise State | USA Today first | AP-RET
2023 All-America (ESPN) all_america Boise State | ESPN first | AP-RET

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Boise State RB3 #1422 #1254 0.0% 0.0% #2 finish 2017 W16 snapshot | Mountain West | Official finalist
2023 Boise State RB3 #93 #122 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mountain West
2022 Boise State RB3 #168 #197 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Mountain West

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2024 Boise State Mountain West RB 3 No. 2 | 5-9 | 215 lb | Jacksonville, FL
2023 Boise State Mountain West RB 3 No. 2 | 5-9 | 215 lb | Jacksonville, FL
2022 Boise State Mountain West RB 3 No. 2 | 5-9 | 215 lb | Jacksonville, FL