cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Cameron Dickey /Texas Tech

Cameron Dickey

RB · Texas Tech · So · #8

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

1,138 RUSH YDS · 14 RUSH TD · 211 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Texas Tech for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Texas Tech for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Running back · Texas Tech

Returning around him

  • 59% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 9 Texas Tech players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +0 net (21 in / 21 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Texas Tech · Last season: 12-2 (AP #4) · Talent rank #29 · 2026 recruiting class #48

RB · TEXAS TECH · BIG 12

Cameron Dickey

  • 2
  • #8
  • 5-10 | 215 lb
  • Austin, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

82

All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by rush yards at the 95th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#2083

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#578 national
CFB
College
Texas Tech
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class2
Jersey8
Measurements5-10 | 215 lb
HometownAustin, TX
Primary teamTexas Tech

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 578 recruit
Composite rating 0.8838 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2024
Origin Crockett Austin, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 3-star | 0.8838 No. 578 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#2083Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2039Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (1138).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8838

#578 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Cameron Dickey

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

100

Grounded Optimism

Sample 1 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 1 mentions · belief +100 · "BYU Football faces its defining moment as the Cougars prepare to battle Texas Te"Own fansNational: 6 mentions · belief +0 · "Longest active streaks of games w/a TD (P4 non-QBs): Antwan Raymond, Rut - 8 Jor"National
  • Own fans · n=1
  • National · n=6

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Cameron Dickey

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Rushing WEPA per carry

+0.190

EPA

P4 + Notre Dame RBs, min 80 carries

National rank #17 of 66
Percentile vs P4 + Notre Dame RBs, min 80 carries 75th

Why it matters

#17 of 66 P4 + Notre Dame RBs by rushing weighted- EPA per carry — +0.190 EPA/carry on 196 carries.

Vs cohort

This player +0.190 (75th)

HIGH · n=196 cohort 66

  • Also strong
  • Yards per carry#22 / 69
  • Rushing yards (total)#8 / 69

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

final
Through 14g
1,138Rush yards
211Carries
14Rush TDs
Per game
81.3Rush yards
15Carries
1Rush TDs
Final
1,138Rush yards
211Carries
14Rush TDs

✓ Hit 750-yard season · finished with 1,138.

✓ Hit 1,000-yard season · finished with 1,138.

✓ Hit 10 rushing TDs · finished with 14.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Cameron Dickey's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Texas Tech, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #2083 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 22.8% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc 9 return yds

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 1,355 1,138 rush | 217 rec | #19/735 (98th pct)
Rush TD 14 211 carries | #13/739 (98th pct)
Yards/carry 5.4 Per-rush efficiency | #206/735 (72nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Workhorse | Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.

WorkhorsePassing-game back

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
211 97th
YDS
1,138 98th
YPC
5.4 72nd
TD
14 98th

Receiving

REC
24 90th
YDS
217 92nd
YPR
9.0 71st
TD
2 97th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 14 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 67-7vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff13906.9120
Wk 2W 62-14vs Kent State8101.324
Wk 3W 45-14vs Oregon State17774.5116
Wk 4W 34-10@ Utah13675.2224
Wk 6W 35-11@ Houston21984.7021
Wk 7W 42-17vs Kansas2126312.5271Season-high 263 yds
Wk 8L 22-26@ Arizona State9404.4020
Wk 9W 42-0vs Oklahoma State13473.6115
Wk 10W 43-20@ Kansas State21683.2116
Wk 11W 29-7vs BYU231215.3133
Wk 12W 48-9vs UCF11777.0226
Wk 14W 49-0@ West Virginia12796.6026
Wk 15W 34-7vs BYU18724.0111
BowlL 0-23vs Oregon11292.609
Total21111385.11471
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Texas Tech12-2HC: Joey McGuire · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Texas Tech2111,1385.414--
Career1 loaded season2111,1385.414--
SeasonTeam
2025Texas Tech242179.02--
Career1 loaded season242179.02--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 24 217 rec yds | #55/552 (90th pct)
Usage 22.8% 38.4% rush share | #66/738 (91st pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.19 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #67/362 (82nd pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 1,138 #19/735 98th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 14 #13/739 98th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 5.4 #206/735 72nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 24 #55/552 90th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 217 #43/548 92nd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.19 #67/362 82nd pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 196 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 22.8% #66/738 91st pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 211 #21/739 97th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 71 #58/733 92nd pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 69 #17/540 97th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 9.0 #159/548 71st pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 2 #20/552 97th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Returns Kick return avg 9.0 #175/199 13th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Returns Kick return yards 9 #181/200 10th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Returns Kick returns 1 #139/206 33rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 38.4% #71/738 91st pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 26.9% #64/738 91st pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 25.2% #80/738 89th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 23.0% #64/738 91st pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 18.1% #42/738 94th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 14.6% #73/738 90th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 7.1% #81/738 89th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 4 #254/256 1st pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 14 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home9g87.35.31.2
Road5g70.44.80.6

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins12g89.15.41.2
Losses2g34.53.50.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-77g90.65.41.1
Weeks 8+7g72.04.90.9

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

82All-Conference
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rush tds (96th). Strength: rush yards (94th). Concern: fumbles lost (0th).

Rush TDs#13 / 349 · 96th pct
14rush
Rush yards#19 / 349 · 95th pct
1138rush
Carries#21 / 349 · 94th pct
211rush
Rec yards#40 / 338 · 88th pct
217rece
Long run#53 / 349 · 85th pct
71rush
Receptions#55 / 338 · 83rd pct
24rece
Yards / carry#108 / 349 · 68th pct
5.4rush
Fumbles lost#199 / 201 · 1st pct
4fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.19High (p75–p90) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Cameron DickeyTexas TechLincoln PareTexas State· 93% simCamryn EdwardsUConn· 92% simNate SheppardDuke· 91% sim
Rush TDs
96
Dickey
94
Pare
97
Edwards
92
Sheppard
Rush yards
95
Dickey
94
Pare
96
Edwards
94
Sheppard
Carries
94
Dickey
94
Pare
93
Edwards
93
Sheppard
Rec yards
88
Dickey
96
Pare
81
Edwards
96
Sheppard
Long run
85
Dickey
75
Pare
88
Edwards
73
Sheppard
Receptions
83
Dickey
97
Pare
75
Edwards
97
Sheppard
Yards / carry
68
Dickey
68
Pare
84
Edwards
79
Sheppard
Fumbles lost
1
Dickey

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Balanced Back

Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Devin Neal’s 2022 season.

Devin Neal

77%match

Kansas · 2022

#2

Owen Allen

Air Force · 2025

72%
#3

Ashton Jeanty

Boise State · 2022

NFL Rd 1 · Pk 6
75%
#4

Brandon Thomas

Memphis · 2021

75%
#5

Nelson Smith

Navy · 2020

66%

Matches Devin on

Total rush EPA (college ability)
Receiving share

Differs from Devin on

Class year (lower)
Height (lower)
Rush TD rate (higher)

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Calvin Turner’s path through Hawai'i.

Calvin Turner

96%match

Hawai'i · 2020

All-Mountain West
#2

Asim Rose

Kentucky · 2020

92%
#3

Rhamondre Stevenson

Oklahoma · 2020

NFL Rd 4
92%
#4

Malcom Davidson

Florida Atlantic · 2021

91%
#5

Lee Beebe

Indiana · 2025

90%

Matches Calvin on

Yards per carry

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Cam'Ron Harris's sophomore season at Miami (2021).

Cam'Ron Harris

78%match

Miami · 2021

#2

Owen Allen

Air Force · 2025

74%
#3

Daelen Alexander

Rice · 2025

74%
#4

Keyjuan Brown

Louisville · 2024

76%
#5

Jordan Marshall

Michigan · 2025

74%

Matches Cam'Ron on

Weight
Receiving share
Yards / reception

Differs from Cam'Ron on

Class year (lower)
Recruiting rating (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Joey McGuire

Pass share

47.6%

484 pass / 532 run

Plays / game

72.6

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.5%

336 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Joey McGuire
Texas Tech

Played his entire career under Joey McGuire.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownAustin, TX
Height5'10"
Weight215 lb
Class2
PositionRB
Jersey8

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Texas Tech RB2 #2083 #2039 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Texas Tech Big 12 RB 2 No. 8 | 5-10 | 215 lb | Austin, TX
2024 Texas Tech Big 12 RB 2 No. 8 | 5-10 | 215 lb | Austin, TX