The Zeitgeist List · coaching

Dana Holgorsen

Followed Major Applewhite. Dana Holgorsen held Houston at National Program I for 6 seasons.

Peak, then fade
92–69
2011–2024 · 2 stints
← all coaches

Career arc

His real stature score, season by season, across every program he’s coached — so a stretch that stays in one tier the whole way can still climb or sink on the line, not just flatten out. Node color marks the tier reached. Which program a stretch belongs to is carried by the shaded lane behind it.

Reached Power Program in his 1st career season — faster than 57% of the 395 FBS coaches who have ever reached Power Program (rank #1 of 395 by seasons-to-arrival).

West Virginia, 8 seasons
−4.6
Power Program II → Power Program III.
Houston, 6 seasons
+1.6
National Program II → National Program II.

Style position and drift

Where each stint’s offense sat between run-first and pass-first, and how far it moved from one season to the next. The band is that stint’s real season-to-season range, not a fixed-width box.

40%50%West Virginia2011–2018▲ 2.5ptHouston2019–2024▼ 0.6pt
Pass rate — share of offensive plays that were pass attemptsfirst covered seasonmost recent covered seasonfull season-to-season range (3+ covered seasons)
How much that is, against every other stint

Season-to-season pass-rate range for all 258 FBS coaching stints with at least three covered seasons, 2014–2025.

Typical stint7.010.2 median13.9middle half of all stints
West Virginia10.3pt#125 of 258 · a typical amount
Houston15.9pt#40 of 258 · more than most

The big-game ledger

How he does in the games that matter most — rivalry record, performance broken out by real opponent tier, one-score games, and his toughest historical matchup.

5–1 against his rivals. Winless in 5 tries against Bob Stoops.

Rivalry record
5–1
83.3% · 3 rivals
One-score games
33–23
58.9% · margin ≤8
vs. Blue Blood or better
0–1
0.0%
Rivalry ledger
Rice2–167%
Marshall2–0100%
Pittsburgh1–0100%
The toughest matchup
vs. Bob Stoops0–5
5 meetings, 2012–2016
’12 L’13 L’14 L · blew a 7-pt lead’15 L’16 L
0% win rate across a real, 5-meeting series — short of the bar this site uses before badging a series “Nemesis.” Shown here as the toughest matchup on record, not an algorithmic crown.
Performance by opponent class
Dynasty
0–1 0.0%
Blue Blood
1–2 33.3%
Power Program
18–33 35.3%
National Program
25–22 53.2%
Regional Program
35–10 77.8%

Coaching career

2019–2024
Houstoncaretaker
National Program I → National Program I
Dana Holgorsen held Houston at National Program I for 6 seasons.

6th-best Houston tenure of 16 by the numbers.

Recruiter or developer?

Performs about as expected for his recruiting talent, on both sides of the ball.

Offense vs. talent
-5.5 pts
#133 of 208 · a typical amount
Defense vs. talent
-5.1 pts
#126 of 208 · a typical amount
Recruiting talent is team-wide (no offense/defense split exists in the source data) -- both sides are scored against the same talent input, only the outcome is side-specific.

Followed Major Applewhite (2016–2018).

Season201920202021202220232024Trend
Record & result
Record4–83–512–28–54–80–0
PostseasonL bowlW bowlW bowl
Recruiting rank#72#82#81#50#55#60
Style — pass rate
Pass rate40.350.447.155.553.139.7
Coordinators
OCMarquel Blackwell / Brandon JonesShannon Dawson / Brandon JonesShannon Dawson / Brandon JonesShannon Dawson / Brandon JonesEman NaghaviKevin Barbay
DCJoe Cauthen / Doug BelkJoe Cauthen / Doug BelkDoug BelkDoug BelkDoug BelkShiel Wood
Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile
Offense42556193243
Defense133789402972
Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script (2021+ only)
1st-down pass%38.246.240.752.852.841.0
Red-zone pass%37.644.846.355.050.033.8
4th-down go%opp. territory25.644.437.044.748.842.9
Roster construction · portal era

A typical amount of portal roster-building.

Portal arrivals
68
3.1★ avg rating
Portal departures
90
left via the portal
Net portal flow
-22
#57 of 187 FBS stints
Who they bring in

Typical size for position, once adjusted for position mix.

Recruits older, more experienced transfers than most.

Avg. size (raw)
6′2″, 233 lbs
across 45 of 68 arrivals — unadjusted for position mix
Size vs. position-typical
+2.9 lbs
#163 of 255 · a typical amount
Avg. class year
Sr
#30 of 255 · more than most
Top states: TX (20), GA (7), MS (3), AL (3), LA (2)
Who won the portal our read
Talent added
58.5
position-weighted
Talent lost
59.0
position-weighted
Net
-0.5
arrivals minus departures
Best addition: Zeon Chriss (QB) from Louisiana
Biggest loss: Logan Holgorsen (QB) to the portal
Position-value-weighted (QB/CB weighted highest, depth-decayed within each position) — the same scoring engine as the Portal Heat feed, not a separate grade.
Does the system survive a coordinator change?
OC: co-Marquel Blackwell / co-Brandon Jones → Shannon Dawson / co-Brandon Jones · 2020
42nd pct55th pct0th100th
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
1st-down pass rate: 38.2% → 46.2% (+7.9 pts)
Confound, shown not hidden: only 78% of offensive production returned the year the coordinator changed — the roster turned over at the same time, not just the play-caller.
OC: Shannon Dawson / co-Brandon Jones → Eman Naghavi · 2023
93rd pct24th pct0th100th
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
1st-down pass rate: 52.8% → 52.8% (-0.1 pts)
Confound, shown not hidden: only 23% of offensive production returned the year the coordinator changed — the roster turned over at the same time, not just the play-caller.
DC: Joe Cauthen / co-Doug Belk → Doug Belk · 2021the defense leveled up
25th pct64th pct0th100th
2-season window either side.
Roster size, by position
Skill positions · usage-weighted (real participation)
Quarterback
222 lbs
6′3″ avg · #138 of 767 · more than most
Running back
201 lbs
5′10″ avg · #614 of 791 · less than most
Wide receiver
185 lbs
6′0″ avg · #693 of 791 · less than most
Tight end
246 lbs
6′4″ avg · #319 of 731 · a typical amount
Trench & secondary · recruited roster, not confirmed starters
Interior line
308 lbs
6′5″ avg · #422 of 779 · a typical amount
D-line
280 lbs
6′3″ avg · #467 of 753 · a typical amount
Linebacker
224 lbs
6′1″ avg · #611 of 772 · less than most
Cornerback
190 lbs
6′0″ avg · #406 of 771 · a typical amount
Offensive-line size is one undifferentiated bucket — the source data almost never distinguishes tackle from guard from center, so we can't split them out.
Where the roster comes from, by position
Buys ATH via the portal
25%
#17 of 146 stints
Buys Linebacker via the portal
69%
#22 of 225 stints
Grows Running back from high school
78%
#177 of 208 stints
Postseason detail2020: Lost to Hawai'i 14–28 New Mexico Bowl2021: Beat Auburn 17–13 TicketSmarter Birmingham Bowl2022: Beat Louisiana 23–16 Radiance Technologies Independence Bowl

15 NFL Draft picks: Ed Oliver (2019), Isaiah Johnson (2019), Emeke Egbule (2019), Josh Jones (2020), Payton Turner (2021), Marquez Stevenson (2021), Grant Stuard (2021), Logan Hall (2022) + 7 more

2 player-seasons honored (All-America / national award): Marcus Jones (2020), Marcus Jones (2021)

31–28
2011–2018
West Virginiacaretaker
Power Program II → Power Program II
Dana Holgorsen held West Virginia at Power Program II for 8 seasons.

3rd-best West Virginia tenure of 16 by the numbers.

Recruiter or developer?

Performs about as expected for his recruiting talent, on both sides of the ball.

Offense vs. talent
+8.6 pts
#68 of 208 · a typical amount
Defense vs. talent
+0.4 pts
#101 of 208 · a typical amount
Recruiting talent is team-wide (no offense/defense split exists in the source data) -- both sides are scored against the same talent input, only the outcome is side-specific.

Followed Bill Stewart (2008–2010) · succeeded by Neal Brown (2019–2024).

Season20112012201320142015201620172018Trend
Record & result
Record10–37–64–87–68–510–37–68–4
PostseasonL bowlW bowlL bowlL bowlL bowl
Recruiting rank#39#35#39#57#35
Style — pass rate
Pass rate48.740.841.651.151.1
Coordinators
OCShannon DawsonJake SpavitalJake Spavital
DCTony GibsonTony GibsonTony GibsonTony GibsonTony Gibson
Outcome — opponent-adjusted efficiency percentile
Offense5059615882
Defense7785704229
Tendencies — play-by-play, neutral script (2021+ only)
1st-down pass%44.635.535.950.049.6
Red-zone pass%38.832.035.350.041.6
4th-down go%opp. territory23.724.428.635.135.9
Where the roster comes from, by position
Grows Tight end from high school
100%
#164 of 188 stints
Grows Edge from high school
100%
#191 of 208 stints
Postseason detail2014: Lost to Texas A&M 37–45 Autozone Liberty Bowl2015: Beat Arizona State 43–42 Motel 6 Cactus Bowl2016: Lost to Miami 14–31 Russell Athletic Bowl2017: Lost to Utah 14–30 Zaxby's Heart Of Dallas Bowl2018: Lost to Syracuse 18–34 Camping World Bowl

29 NFL Draft picks: Brandon Hogan (2011), Robert Sands (2011), J.T. Thomas (2011), Christopher Neild (2011), Bruce Irvin (2012), Najee Goode (2012), Keith Tandy (2012), Tavon Austin (2013) + 21 more

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