cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Ethan Day /North Texas

Ethan Day

DL · North Texas · So · #90

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

54 TACKLES · 4.5 SACKS

2026 TRANSFERTransferred North Texas → Utah for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Utah

2025North Texas
2026Utah

DL · NORTH TEXAS · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Ethan Day

  • 2
  • #90
  • 6-4 | 250 lb
  • Ripon, CA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

73

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 95th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#14451

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
2 teams
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDL
Class2
Jersey90
Measurements6-4 | 250 lb
HometownRipon, CA
Primary teamNorth Texas

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Utah 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 6, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 North Texas -> Utah 3-star | 0.8700 | Immediate
2025 Wyoming -> North Texas Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#14451Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#14653Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Ethan Day

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Ethan Day

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

final
Through 14g
54Tackles
7Tackles for loss
4.5Sacks
Per game
4Tackles
0.5Tackles for loss
0.3Sacks
Final
54Tackles
7Tackles for loss
4.5Sacks

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Ethan Day is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on North Texas's defense, with 4.5 sacks, 7.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #14451 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 2 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 54 24 solo | #500/4942 (90th pct)
TFL 7.0 Backfield disruption | #277/4972 (94th pct)
Sacks 4.5 Pass-rush finish | #136/4972 (97th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
54 90th
SOLO
24 83rd
TFL
7.0 94th
SACK
4.5 97th
QBH
8 98th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 14 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 51-0vs Lamar521.01.00
Wk 2W 33-30@ Western Michigan651.01.00
Wk 3W 59-10vs Washington State110.00.00
Wk 4W 45-38@ Army710.00.00Season-high 7 tackles
Wk 5W 36-22vs South Alabama200.00.00
Wk 7L 36-63vs South Florida100.00.00
Wk 8W 55-17vs UTSA222.01.00
Wk 9W 54-20@ Charlotte511.51.00
Wk 10W 31-17vs Navy210.00.00
Wk 12W 53-24@ UAB430.50.50
Wk 13W 56-24@ Rice520.00.00
Wk 14W 52-25vs Temple520.00.00
Wk 15L 21-34@ Tulane421.00.00
BowlW 49-47@ San Diego State520.00.00
Total54247.04.50
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Wyoming3-9HC: Jay Sawvel · Run-leaning
2025North Texas12-2HC: Eric Morris · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025North Texas54247.04.5------
2024Wyoming1991.00.5------
Career2 loaded seasons73338.05.0------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 0 Coverage disruption
QB pressures 8 Quarterback hurries | #41/1878 (98th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 54 #500/4942 90th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 7.0 #277/4972 94th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 4.5 #136/4972 97th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 8 #41/1878 98th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 24 #790/4584 83rd pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 1 #103/736 86th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 14 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home7g2.60.40.30.0
Road7g5.10.60.40.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins12g4.10.50.40.0
Losses2g2.50.50.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g3.90.30.30.0
Weeks 8+7g3.90.70.40.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DL cohort

73Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: qb hurries (98th). Strength: sacks (94th). Concern: passes defended (17th).

QB hurries#41 / 2975 · 98th pct
8defe
Sacks#136 / 2975 · 95th pct
4.5defe
Tackles for loss#277 / 2975 · 90th pct
7.0defe
Tackles#500 / 2975 · 83rd pct
54defe
Solo tackles#790 / 2975 · 73rd pct
24defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb
Passes defended#1916 / 2975 · 18th pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DL · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Ethan DayNorth TexasMarcAnthony ParkerNavy· 87% simEthan WesloskiNorth Texas· 86% simAmare CampbellPenn State· 83% sim
QB hurries
98
Day
88
Parker
95
Wesloski
88
Campbell
Sacks
95
Day
80
Parker
74
Wesloski
89
Campbell
Tackles for loss
90
Day
87
Parker
95
Wesloski
96
Campbell
Tackles
83
Day
98
Parker
99
Wesloski
99
Campbell
Solo tackles
73
Day
96
Parker
99
Wesloski
100
Campbell
Forced fumbles
47
Day
47
Parker
47
Wesloski
47
Campbell
Passes defended
18
Day
18
Parker
18
Wesloski
48
Campbell

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Two-Gap Base

Stout at the point of attack; controls his gap and stacks blocks.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Langston Hardy’s 2024 season.

Langston Hardy

84%match

UConn · 2024

#2

Dominic Lolesio

Arizona · 2025

84%
#3

A.J. Hoffler

Georgia Tech · 2025

84%
#4

Edwin Kolenge

Boston College · 2023

83%
#5

Jason Abbey

Virginia Tech · 2025

81%

Matches Langston on

Sack rate
Class year
Height

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Amadou Fofana's sophomore season at Coastal Carolina (2022).

Amadou Fofana

87%match

Coastal Carolina · 2022

#2

David Santiago

Michigan State · 2025

86%
#3

David Afogho

Bowling Green · 2025

84%
#4

Dominic Lolesio

Arizona · 2024

82%
#5

Quintavius Johnson

Georgia · 2025

82%

Matches Amadou on

Height
Weight
TFL rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Eric Morris

Pass share

48.5%

475 pass / 504 run

Plays / game

69.9

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.9%

321 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
Eric Morris
North Texas
2025
Eric Morris
North Texas

Played his entire career under Eric Morris.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownRipon, CA
Height6'4"
Weight250 lb
Class2
PositionDL
Jersey90

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Wyoming DL2 #14451 #14653 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mountain West
2023 Wyoming DL2 #13538 #13195 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mountain West

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 North Texas American Athletic DL 2 No. 90 | 6-4 | 250 lb | Ripon, CA
2024 Wyoming Mountain West DL 2 No. 90 | 6-4 | 250 lb | Ripon, CA
2023 Wyoming Mountain West DL 2 No. 90 | 6-4 | 250 lb | Ripon, CA