Arkansas at Utah
Fan take
Arkansas fans
How they got here
Last three games · 2025 season
Arkansas · 2-10
Picked #149 in the preseason · now #159 — about right.
Three straight losses.
L 17–31 vs MissouriTop 25 #21 of 668
lost by 14 as a 4.5-point underdog
L 37–52 @ TexasTop 25 #25 of 668
lost by 15 as a 8.5-point underdog
L 22–23 @ LSUTop 25 #27 of 668
lost by 1 as a 4.5-point underdog
L 35–38 vs Mississippi State #61 of 668
lost by 3 as a 5-point favorite
L 24–33 vs AuburnTop 25 #34 of 668
lost by 9 as a 2.5-point favorite
L 42–45 vs Texas A&MTop 25 #9 of 668
lost by 3 as a 8.5-point underdog
L 31–34 @ TennesseeTop 25 #18 of 668
lost by 3 as a 10.5-point underdog
L 13–56 vs Notre DameTop 25 #3 of 668
lost by 43 as a 5-point underdog
L 31–32 @ MemphisTop 25 #53 of 668
lost by 1 as a 7-point favorite
L 35–41 @ Ole MissTop 25 #17 of 668
lost by 6 as a 4.5-point underdog
W 56–14 vs Arkansas State #138 of 668
won by 42 as a 24.5-point favorite
W 52–7 vs Alabama A&M #156 of 668
won by 45 as a 48.5-point favorite
Last three games · 2025 season
Utah · 11-2
Picked #25 in the preseason · now #34 — about right.
Three straight wins, 2 over ranked or top-40 competition.
W 44–22 vs NebraskaTop 25 #83 of 668
won by 22 as a 13.5-point favorite
W 31–21 @ Kansas #74 of 668
won by 10 as a 10-point favorite
W 51–47 vs Kansas StateTop 25 #29 of 668
won by 4 as a 17.5-point favorite
W 55–28 @ Baylor #37 of 668
won by 27 as a 9.5-point favorite
W 45–14 vs CincinnatiTop 25 #38 of 668
won by 31 as a 11-point favorite
W 53–7 vs Colorado #83 of 668
won by 46 as a 14-point favorite
L 21–24 @ BYUTop 25 #23 of 668
lost by 3 as a 5.5-point favorite
W 42–10 vs Arizona StateTop 25 #44 of 668
won by 32 as a 8.5-point favorite
W 48–14 @ West Virginia #101 of 668
won by 34 as a 12.5-point favorite
L 10–34 vs Texas TechTop 25 #15 of 668
lost by 24 as a 3.5-point favorite
W 31–6 @ Wyoming #100 of 668
won by 25 as a 24.5-point favorite
W 63–9 vs Cal Poly #193 of 668
won by 54 as a 42.5-point favorite
W 43–10 @ UCLA #70 of 668
won by 33 as a 6.5-point favorite
What’s at stake
Arkansas
- Arkansas is still shaking off a 33-point loss.
Utah
- Utah is ranked #20, right on the edge of the Top 25.
- Utah is coming off a 33-point win.
The series
Utah leads the series 1-0
1 meeting since 2026 · Utah won the last meeting
- 2026Utah 43–10
Best players
Arkansas
- Bradley Shaw (LB) · 12 tackles
- Chris Marshall (WR) · 142 receiving yards
- KJ Jackson (QB) · 406 passing yards — Heisman odds: 57th (+20000)
Utah
- Noah Bennee (TE) · 148 receiving yards
- Devon Dampier (QB) · 437 passing yards — Heisman odds: 23rd (+6000)
- Braden Pegan (WR) · 113 receiving yards
The line, and the room
Utah fans are feeling it more than most fanbases this week (46th percentile) — the mood matches the numbers.
Home −13.5 · O/U 55.5
Conditions
82°F · 9 mph wind · Fair
Utah is worth +3.2 points (±3.9) more at home than on the road since 2018 — bottom third of FBS, 33rd percentile.
80% at home, 60% on the road against FBS opponents (33–8 home, 25–17 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +2.6 at home vs. away over 74 games — inside the ±6.5 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
Night kickoff — historically worth about half a point more to the home side against the number, and not much more than that. 4,631 ft of altitude — real, and smaller than the folklore: high venues run a point or two better against the number, noisily. The visitors travel about 1,008 miles to get here.
Arkansas 10 – Utah 43
Called it — picked Utah to win.
Recent games
Utah
- Wk 1Wvs Idaho66-14
Arkansas
- Wk 1Wvs North Alabama31-14
Trajectory
Utah won 43-10, as picked pregame.