Next game: vs Penn State
Washington’s best edge on Penn State is red zone
Each unit against the one it meets, by national percentile this season. A filled dot is the attack and a ring is the defense it meets; the first name is the attack. Further right is better for both.
Washington offense against Penn State defense
Penn State offense against Washington defense
Percentiles are against all FBS teams this season.
Key stats
Each bar is the team’s national rank as a percentile. A longer bar is better, for defense too.
All 98 stats
FBS rankings · 2026 season · all stats vs 136 FBS programs
| Player | # | G | Cmp/Att | Pct | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | Rate | ZPR | QBR | Adj ANY/A | Sack% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pocket Passer · +0.28 EPA/play | 1 | 7 | 123 / 187 | 65.8 | 1495 | 8.0 | 9 | 3 | 145.6 | 49 | 50.9 | 6.9 | 9.2 | |
Yards by week → Pocket passerBalanced passer who operates within the system, without one standout number carrying the profile. Starter — 187 pass attempts and 68 carries in 7 games, about as many passes and runs a game as a typical FBS quarterback who plays every week. This week's matchup — QB Jr. operates within the system without forcing anything. Milivojevic is the one who operates within the system without forcing anything. Season receipt Yards / attempt8.2 65th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts INT rate1.6% 72th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Demond Williams Jr.'s full player page | ||||||||||||||
| Game Manager · +0.38 EPA/play | 7 | 4 | 70 / 99 | 70.7 | 714 | 7.2 | 7 | 3 | 148.6 | 57 | 69.3 | 6.5 | 4.8 | |
Yards by week → Game managerConsistent underneath passer who protects the lead. Rarely loses games; rarely wins them alone. This week's matchup — QB Brown keeps the offense on schedule and doesn't lose the game. Milivojevic is the one who operates within the system without forcing anything. Season receipt Completion %72.3% 94th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Rush usage6.6% bottom 7th percentile · FBS QBs, min. 80 attempts Trait fingerprint Plays like View Elijah Brown's full player page | ||||||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Car | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | Stuff% | 10+% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balanced Back · +0.03 EPA/play | 34 | 7 | 68 | 309 | 4.5 | 1 | 55 | 14.9 | 7.5 | |
Yards by week → Balanced back· Boom-or-bustPlays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine 68 carries and 4 catches in 7 games. About as many touches a game as a typical FBS running back who plays every week. This week's matchup — RB Jr. does a little of everything without one standout trait. Patterson is the one who does a little of everything without one standout trait. Season receipt Yards / carry4.9 bottom 37th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Rush TD rate1.5% bottom 13th percentile · FBS RBs, min. 40 carries Plays like View Brian Bonner Jr.'s full player page | ||||||||||
| -0.18 EPA/play | 22 | 7 | 38 | 170 | 4.5 | 1 | 53 | — | — | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||||
| Player | # | G | Rec | Yds | Avg | TD | Long | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slot Technician · +0.83 EPA/play | 8 | 8 | 44 | 638 #32 FBS | 14.5 | 3 | 43 | |
Yards by week → Slot technicianRuns precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving. Starter — 44 catches and 2 carries in 8 games, more catches a game than nearly every FBS receiver who plays every week. The rare part: the passing game runs through him — and every touch moves the offense, too This week's matchup — WR Lawson wins underneath on volume and route precision. Jr. is the one who moves the chains on third down. Season receipt Reception volume44 94th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Total EPA (college ability)45.4 97th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions — the part the label misses Trait fingerprint Plays like View Chris Lawson's full player page | ||||||||
| Slot Technician · +0.31 EPA/play | 2 | 8 | 53 | 509 #71 FBS | 9.6 | 3 | 43 | |
Yards by week → Slot technician· Boom-or-bustRuns precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving. his yards come in chunks — feast or famine Impact starter — 53 catches, 6 carries and 1 pass attempt in 8 games, more catches a game than nearly every FBS receiver who plays every week. This week's matchup — WR Roebuck wins underneath on volume and route precision. Jr. is the one who moves the chains on third down. Season receipt Reception volume53 99th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Yards / reception10.0 bottom 16th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Dezmen Roebuck's full player page | ||||||||
| Jump-Ball Target · +0.41 EPA/play | 3 | 7 | 21 | 294 | 14 | 3 | 44 | |
Yards by week → Jump-ball targetWins contested catches at the goal line. Size and catch radius are the weapons. This week's matchup — WR Williams wins the 50-50 ball at the goal line. Jr. is the one who moves the chains on third down. Season receipt TD rate14.3% 79th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Yards / reception15.5 71th percentile · FBS WRs, min. 12 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Rashid Williams's full player page | ||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.91 EPA/play | 85 | 7 | 19 | 269 | 14.2 | 2 | 75 | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. 19 catches in 7 games. About as many catches a game as a typical FBS tight end who plays every week. This week's matchup — TE Naone shows up in the passing game from any alignment. Savoury is the one who shows up in the passing game from any alignment. Season receipt Yards / reception10.5 bottom 46th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions EPA / play (adj)0.9 88th percentile · FBS TEs, min. 8 receptions Trait fingerprint Plays like View Baron Naone's full player page | ||||||||
| Complete TE · +0.62 EPA/play | 86 | 8 | 15 | 156 | 10.4 | 2 | 42 | |
Yards by week → Complete TENo single go-to route — the receiving numbers show up inline and split out alike. 15 catches in 8 games. Fewer catches a game than most FBS tight ends who play every week. The most common profile in its group this season — 126 of 166 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2024 class View Decker DeGraaf's full player page | ||||||||
| +0.33 EPA/play | 12 | 4 | 9 | 99 | 11 | 1 | 29 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| +0.50 EPA/play | 11 | 4 | 10 | 86 | 8.6 | 1 | 19 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| +0.11 EPA/play | 6 | 3 | 8 | 39 | 4.9 | 1 | 21 | |
Yards by week → | ||||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | TFL | Sack | Hur |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 33 | 8 | 15 | 10 | 2.5 | 1 | 3 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate16.7% 55th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Darin Conley's full player page | |||||||
| Nose Anchor | 90 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Nose anchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. 130 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight315 lb 86th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Elinneus Davis's full player page | |||||||
| 3-Tech Penetrator | 5 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
3-tech penetratorDisruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield. 200 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate25.0% 81th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Derek Colman-Brusa's full player page | |||||||
| Nose Anchor | 58 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Nose anchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. 130 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight315 lb 86th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View DeSean Watts's full player page | |||||||
| Nose Anchor | 18 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
Nose anchorThe heaviest frame on the interior. Sack production is intentionally not the point of this profile. 130 of 606 IDLs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Weight325 lb 93th percentile · FBS interior linemen, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Kai McClendon's full player page | |||||||
| Player | # | G | Tot | Solo | Ast | TFL | Sack | PD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sideline-to-Sideline | 9 | 8 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 |
Sideline-to-sidelineRanges from hash to hash and makes his own tackles. 44 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. 83 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Solo tackle rate0.6 92th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles PD rate0.0% bottom 21th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Jacob Manu's full player page | |||||||||
| Coverage 'Backer | 23 | 8 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Coverage ’backerCarries tight ends and patrols the middle of the field in coverage. 40 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS linebacker who plays every week. The rare part: he covers, too — and he ranges sideline to sideline, too 89 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate10.0% 98th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Solo tackle rate0.7 96th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles — the part the label misses Trait fingerprint Plays like View Zaydrius Rainey-Sale's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | — | 7 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 2.5 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. 330 of 564 LBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Tackle volume23 bottom 20th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Sack rate0.0% bottom 23th percentile · FBS linebackers, min. 15 tackles Trait fingerprint Plays like View Taariq Al-Uqdah's full player page | |||||||||
| Power Rusher | 48 | 8 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Power rusherBull-rushes through contact, winning with size and length at the point of attack. 22 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive lineman who plays every week. 8 of 180 EDGEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate27.3% 77th percentile · FBS EDGE, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Jacob Lane's full player page | |||||||||
| Balanced Linebacker | 10 | 7 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Balanced linebackerSolid in every phase without a signature dimension. The most common profile in its group this season — 330 of 564 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman View Xe'Ree Alexander's full player page | |||||||||
| Versatile End | 91 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 0.5 | 1 | 0 |
Versatile endNo single standout number, but nothing missing either — competent across the board. The most common profile in its group this season — 121 of 180 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman View Isaiah Ward's full player page | |||||||||
| Versatile End | 11 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1 | 0 |
Versatile endNo single standout number, but nothing missing either — competent across the board. 121 of 180 EDGEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate3.8% bottom 9th percentile · FBS EDGE, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Ramzak Fruean's full player page | |||||||||
| Versatile End | 12 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Versatile endNo single standout number, but nothing missing either — competent across the board. 121 of 180 EDGEs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt TFL rate4.5% bottom 10th percentile · FBS EDGE, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Logan George's full player page | |||||||||
| 99 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Player | # | G | Tot | PD | INT | TFL | Sack |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rover | 7 | 8 | 57 | 4 | 3 #16 FBS | 7 | 2.5 |
Rover· Takeaway threatHits like a linebacker and still takes the ball away. the kind of DB who takes it back the other way Impact starter — 57 tackles in 8 games, more tackles a game than nearly every FBS defensive back who plays every week. 33 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate7.0% bottom 46th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Alex McLaughlin's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 4 | 8 | 39 | 2 | 3 #16 FBS | 1 | 1 |
Hybrid nickelMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. Starter — 39 tackles in 8 games, about as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 358 of 657 Ss we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate5.1% bottom 36th percentile · FBS safeties, min. 15 tackles Plays like View Rylon Dillard-Allen's full player page | |||||||
| Press Corner | 6 | 8 | 35 | 4 | 1 | 1.5 | 0 |
Press cornerLong and physical; jams receivers off their route at the line. 35 tackles in 8 games. About as many tackles a game as a typical FBS defensive back who plays every week. 34 of 244 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt Height6'3" 96th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Dylan Robinson's full player page | |||||||
| Hybrid Nickel | 2 | 8 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 1.5 | 0 |
Hybrid nickel· Takeaway threatMoves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB. the kind of DB who takes it back the other way The most common profile in its group this season — 358 of 657 classified this way. Played in 8 of 10 games this season · freshman · 3-star, 2024 class View Rahshawn Clark's full player page | |||||||
| Cover Corner | 24 | 7 | 21 | 3 | 2 #51 FBS | 0.5 | 0 |
Cover cornerSteady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play. The most common profile in its group this season — 138 of 244 classified this way. Played in 7 of 10 games this season · freshman · 4-star, 2026 class View Jeron Jones's full player page | |||||||
| Ball Hawk | 3 | 5 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Ball hawkReads the quarterback's eyes and takes the ball away. 36 of 244 CBs we've classified this way this season. Season receipt PD rate26.3% 88th percentile · FBS corners, min. 10 tackles Plays like View Emmanuel Karnley's full player page | |||||||
| Player | # | G | FG M/A | FG% | XP M/A | Pts | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steady | 95 | 8 | 10/12 | 83.3 | 24/24 | 54 | 50 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | Long | In20 | TB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cannon | 93 | 8 | 41 | 1971 | 48.1 | 64 | 14 | 3 |
Net average is unavailable — CFBD's punting feed carries gross yards only, with no return-yardage or touchback deduction.
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hybrid Nickel | 2 | 8 | 13 | 221 | 17 | 0 | 31 |
| Player | # | G | No | Yds | Avg | TD | Long |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hybrid Nickel | 2 | 8 | 7 | 47 | 6.7 | 0 | 27 |
Biggest plays from Washington’s games
Official highlights with our numbers: the plays that moved the chance to win most in Washington’s games this season, whoever made them.
Q4, 1:30 · Washington down 4, takes the leadDemond Williams Jr. finds Chris Lawson for a 25-yard touchdownWashington at Nebraska, week 9Q4, 1:30 · Washington 10, Nebraska 71:30Go-ahead touchdown for Washington with 1:30 left1:30Go-ahead touchdown for Washington with 1:30 leftGo-ahead touchdown for Washington with 1:30 leftD.Williams Jr. pass complete short left to C.Lawson caught at NEB22, for 25 yards to the NEB00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
- Q4, 1:15 · Washington up 3Alex McLaughlin takes an interception 48 yards for a pick-sixWashington at Nebraska, week 9Q4, 1:15 · Washington 17, Nebraska 748Pick-six48Pick-sixPick-sixA.Colandrea pass intercepted by A.McLaughlin at NEB48 A.McLaughlin return 48 yards to the NEB00 touchdown, kick good▶Watch from this play
Q1, 0:10 · Iowa up 6Kamari Moulton runs 56 yards for a touchdownIowa at Washington, week 6Q1, 0:10 · Iowa 13, Washington 05656-yard touchdown run5656-yard touchdown run56-yard touchdown runK.Moulton rush middle for 56 yards gain to the WASH00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN, kick good▶Watch from this play
Q4, 1:19 · Purdue down 12Rylon Dillard-Allen intercepts Ryan BrowneWashington at Purdue, week 7Q4, 1:19 · Purdue 26, Washington 38Purdue turned it over with 1:19 left, trailing by 12Purdue turned it over with 1:19 left, trailing by 12R.Browne pass intercepted by R.Dillard-Allen at UW 41, End Of Play▶Watch from this play
Q1, 1:57 · Minnesota up 7Drake Lindsey finds Jalen Smith for a 9-yard touchdownMinnesota at Washington, week 4Q1, 1:57 · Minnesota 14, Washington 0▲18%Minnesota’s chance to win, 43% to 61%▲18%Minnesota’s chance to win, 43% to 61%Jalen Smith 9 yd pass from Drake Lindsey (Luke Drzewiecki Kick)▶Watch from this play- Q4, 11:18 · Purdue down 11Ryan Browne runs 8 yards for a touchdownWashington at Purdue, week 7Q4, 11:18 · Purdue 26, Washington 31Purdue answered right backPurdue answered right backR.Browne rush left for 8 yards gain to the UW 00 touchdown, 1ST DOWN R.Browne pass attempt failed R.Browne pass attempt failed penalty R.Browne pass attempt failed penalty PUR Ineligible Downfield on Pass declined▶Watch from this play
How scary each game got
Washington lost at USC after being 83% to win; the closest win was at Nebraska, down to 17%
Tap a game for its score and win chances.
Each bar runs from the lowest to the highest chance our model gave Washington during that game; the thick mark is where it started. Numbers are the game week.
Stat leaders
2026 stat leaders · Washington
through 8 games
2026 stat leaders · WashingtonAlex McLaughlin leads Washington with 57 tackles through 8 games.
Roster
Roster
2026+18 more
Recruiting and the portal: top commits · who's gone and who's back
How they play
Washington fields a capable pass-first offense behind a strong defense.
Percentile vs all FBS, based on this season's per-game production. Bar = where this team ranks — right is better.
Player percentiles
Washington reads strongest in red-zone finish (top 10%) and rushing EPA allowed (top 20%); the crux lives in rushing EPA, where Washington sits at the 9th percentile.
Offense · strengths lead
Defense · higher bar = harder to play against
Hidden math · special situations
Home-field advantage · 2018–present · FBS opponents
Washington is worth +3.8 points more at home than on the road.
Middle of FBS, 42nd percentile of 133 programs
76% at home, 55% away against FBS opponents since 2018 (37-12 home, 21-17 away). Interval ±3.3.
The stadium and how the home edge is measured
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge. The books use about 3. Per-team versions were tested and did not hold up (why). Against the closing line, Washington has beaten the number by +0.8 more at home than away over 93 games. That is inside the ±5.6 that many games can resolve, so the results cannot tell this stadium from the flat number. That is the honest reading of nearly every FBS stadium.
Husky Stadium seats 70,138 and has averaged 96% full (67,094, 31 games reported). Visitors face the 9th-longest trip of 135 FBS venues: a median 735 miles since 2018. The map isn't translating, though — the split above still reads middle of fbs. 23% of the 2026 roster (23 of 101 located players) grew up inside 100 miles of the stadium.
Edge = half the gap between average home margin and average road margin, FBS opponents only, non-neutral games since 2018; the interval is 95%. Market line: closing spread, seasons with lines on file. Trip length is straight-line miles from the visiting team's campus to the venue, measured across all 56 home games since 2018.
More in this tab
How they play
Usage splits
How the players get used
From the 2025 season's play-by-play
- CloserAdam Mohammed gets less work in the fourth quarter with a lead than his overall workload would predict: not the trusted closer raw carries might suggest, and what late usage he does get skews toward mop-up duty in blowouts.
- Money downDenzel Boston is a legitimate money-down target: his 3rd-down conversion rate ranks among the position's best, and his per-target value holds up in that spot too.
- Garbage timeJonah Coleman does not see a usage spike in garbage time: his workload holds steady regardless of score, and he's also efficient in competitive snaps, the production isn't just garbage-time padding.
- Deep threatDenzel Boston is used almost exclusively underneath: a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
- Deep threatDezmen Roebuck is used almost exclusively underneath: a low share of his targets are downfield shots.
- Short yardageJonah Coleman converts 3rd/4th-and-short at a below-average rate.
Position battles
RB room
The carries are split. The job isn’t.
Brian Bonner Jr. and Trevion Cooley split the carries (66/101 vs 35/101) -- but the job isn't split the same way.
WR/TE room
The targets are split. The job isn’t.
Dezmen Roebuck (WR) and Baron Naone (TE) split the targets (67/89 vs 22/89) -- but the job isn't split the same way. Baron Naone produces in bigger chunks.
Scheme claims
Team identity · competitive snaps only
How Washington actually scores
40th percentile quality, 58th percentile boom-dependency. Garbage time excluded from both axes — the same correction that changes the Q4 story below.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Quality percentile | Boom-share percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 76th | 3rd |
| Akron | 9th | 90th |
| Alabama | 82nd | 22nd |
| App State | 41st | 48th |
| Arizona | 91st | 16th |
| Arizona State | 20th | 83rd |
| Arkansas | 7th | 93rd |
| Arkansas State | 60th | 32nd |
| Army | 95th | 10th |
| Auburn | 34th | 59th |
| BYU | 83rd | 17th |
| Ball State | 32nd | 72nd |
| Baylor | 36th | 63rd |
| Boise State | 96th | 4th |
| Boston College | 20th | 80th |
| Buffalo | 8th | 88th |
| Central Michigan | 6th | 96th |
| Cincinnati | 88th | 15th |
| Clemson | 10th | 92nd |
| Coastal Carolina | 49th | 57th |
| Colorado | 15th | 86th |
| Colorado State | 88th | 30th |
| Delaware | 63rd | 40th |
| Duke | 74th | 8th |
| East Carolina | 24th | 77th |
| Eastern Michigan | 14th | 80th |
| Florida | 75th | 37th |
| Florida Atlantic | 72nd | 25th |
| Florida International | 2nd | 98th |
| Florida State | 64th | 44th |
| Fresno State | 56th | 52nd |
| Georgia | 92nd | 11th |
| Georgia Southern | 52nd | 40th |
| Georgia State | 77th | 36th |
| Georgia Tech | 30th | 70th |
| Hawai'i | 12th | 88th |
| Houston | 89th | 2nd |
| Illinois | 70th | 38th |
| Indiana | 85th | 18th |
| Iowa | 52nd | 53rd |
| Iowa State | 43rd | 62nd |
| Jacksonville State | 62nd | 41st |
| James Madison | 58th | 35th |
| Kansas | 28th | 66th |
| Kansas State | 48th | 44th |
| Kennesaw State | 23rd | 79th |
| Kentucky | 71st | 21st |
| LSU | 86th | 9th |
| Liberty | 78th | 29th |
| Louisiana | 27th | 69th |
| Louisiana Tech | 60th | 47th |
| Louisville | 94th | 19th |
| Marshall | 36th | 61st |
| Maryland | 17th | 85th |
| Massachusetts | 38th | 60th |
| Memphis | 87th | 20th |
| Miami | 100th | 0th |
| Miami (OH) | 68th | 31st |
| Michigan | 25th | 71st |
| Middle Tennessee | 37th | 60th |
| Minnesota | 4th | 95th |
| Mississippi State | 35th | 65th |
| Missouri | 54th | 49th |
| Missouri State | 40th | 64th |
| NC State | 69th | 28th |
| Navy | 57th | 51st |
| Nebraska | 59th | 32nd |
| Nevada | 1st | 99th |
| New Mexico | 39th | 68th |
| North Carolina | 48th | 45th |
| North Dakota State | 31st | 64th |
| North Texas | 99th | 1st |
| Northern Illinois | 12th | 89th |
| Northwestern | 93rd | 6th |
| Notre Dame | 97th | 5th |
| Ohio | 67th | 43rd |
| Ohio State | 79th | 23rd |
| Oklahoma State | 76th | 14th |
| Ole Miss | 80th | 8th |
| Oregon | 28th | 72nd |
| Oregon State | 92nd | 13th |
| Penn State | 47th | 48th |
| Pittsburgh | 44th | 50th |
| Purdue | 65th | 34th |
| Rice | 18th | 87th |
| Rutgers | 32nd | 76th |
| SMU | 81st | 16th |
| San Diego State | 5th | 94th |
| San José State | 13th | 84th |
| South Alabama | 64th | 27th |
| South Carolina | 55th | 54th |
| South Florida | 42nd | 56th |
| Southern Miss | 3rd | 97th |
| Stanford | 53rd | 55th |
| Syracuse | 24th | 74th |
| TCU | 21st | 75th |
| Temple | 56th | 56th |
| Tennessee | 45th | 42nd |
| Texas | 11th | 91st |
| Texas A&M | 16th | 78th |
| Texas State | 90th | 12th |
| Texas Tech | 50th | 46th |
| Toledo | 84th | 24th |
| Troy | 8th | 92nd |
| Tulane | 33rd | 73rd |
| Tulsa | 68th | 28th |
| UAB | 16th | 81st |
| UCF | 19th | 82nd |
| UCLA | 61st | 36th |
| UConn | 84th | 26th |
| UNLV | 44th | 67th |
| USC | 80th | 12th |
| UTSA | 72nd | 20th |
| Utah | 96th | 7th |
| Utah State | 0th | 100th |
| Vanderbilt | 26th | 76th |
| Virginia | 51st | 39th |
| Virginia Tech | 66th | 33rd |
| Wake Forest | 98th | 4th |
| Washington | 40th | 58th |
| West Virginia | 73rd | 24th |
| Western Kentucky | 4th | 96th |
| Western Michigan | 29th | 68th |
| Wisconsin | 22nd | 84th |
| Wyoming | 46th | 52nd |
Washington’s 4th-quarter offense, before and after garbage time
Raw Q4 EPA/play ranks 91st percentile in FBS. Strip out snaps taken with a blowout margin and it drops to the 88th — the correction is the finding, not a footnote.
Standard downs vs. passing downs
Does Washington hold up once the down-and-distance turns against them?
56th percentile success on standard downs, 16th on passing downs — a 40-point gap between the two.
View all FBS teams as a table
| Team | Standard-downs percentile | Passing-downs percentile |
|---|---|---|
| Air Force | 98th | 23rd |
| Akron | 58th | 34th |
| Alabama | 77th | 57th |
| App State | 33rd | 49th |
| Arizona | 76th | 94th |
| Arizona State | 38th | 61st |
| Arkansas | 71st | 24th |
| Arkansas State | 85th | 59th |
| Army | 93rd | 58th |
| Auburn | 14th | 69th |
| BYU | 86th | 35th |
| Ball State | 31st | 52nd |
| Baylor | 15th | 46th |
| Boise State | 77th | 92nd |
| Boston College | 63rd | 28th |
| Bowling Green | 43rd | 21st |
| Buffalo | 9th | 11th |
| California | 11th | 20th |
| Central Michigan | 36th | 9th |
| Charlotte | 18th | 41st |
| Cincinnati | 68th | 83rd |
| Clemson | 7th | 39th |
| Coastal Carolina | 23rd | 64th |
| Colorado | 16th | 65th |
| Colorado State | 66th | 95th |
| Delaware | 59th | 64th |
| Duke | 21st | 67th |
| East Carolina | 37th | 19th |
| Eastern Michigan | 16th | 30th |
| Florida | 61st | 70th |
| Florida Atlantic | 67th | 87th |
| Florida International | 20th | 53rd |
| Florida State | 30th | 90th |
| Fresno State | 25th | 84th |
| Gardner-Webb | 5th | 23rd |
| Georgia | 98th | 89th |
| Georgia Southern | 60th | 71st |
| Georgia State | 68th | 66th |
| Georgia Tech | 53rd | 40th |
| Hawai'i | 48th | 29th |
| Houston | 87th | 99th |
| Illinois | 73rd | 91st |
| Indiana | 55th | 44th |
| Iowa | 79th | 13th |
| Iowa State | 18th | 31st |
| Jacksonville State | 82nd | 80th |
| James Madison | 45th | 77th |
| Kansas | 52nd | 18th |
| Kansas State | 64th | 68th |
| Kennesaw State | 61st | 16th |
| Kent State | 5th | 21st |
| Kentucky | 90th | 51st |
| LSU | 86th | 98th |
| Liberty | 93rd | 78th |
| Louisiana | 36th | 66th |
| Louisiana Tech | 26th | 79th |
| Louisville | 95th | 72nd |
| Maine | 0th | 86th |
| Marshall | 69th | 32nd |
| Maryland | 34th | 26th |
| Massachusetts | 35th | 38th |
| Memphis | 92nd | 93rd |
| Mercyhurst | 2nd | 34th |
| Miami | 99th | 95th |
| Miami (OH) | 50th | 43rd |
| Michigan | 10th | 89th |
| Michigan State | 23rd | 55th |
| Middle Tennessee | 27th | 64th |
| Minnesota | 32nd | 4th |
| Mississippi State | 66th | 59th |
| Missouri | 34th | 41st |
| Missouri State | 52nd | 30th |
| NC State | 62nd | 77th |
| Navy | 89th | 17th |
| Nebraska | 46th | 85th |
| Nevada | 28th | 27th |
| New Mexico | 55th | 48th |
| New Mexico State | 14th | 36th |
| Norfolk State | 7th | 0th |
| North Carolina | 89th | 73rd |
| North Dakota State | 30th | 45th |
| North Texas | 95th | 84th |
| Northern Illinois | 51st | 14th |
| Northwestern | 88th | 88th |
| Notre Dame | 100th | 43rd |
| Ohio | 82nd | 42nd |
| Ohio State | 84th | 80th |
| Oklahoma | 4th | 50th |
| Oklahoma State | 96th | 86th |
| Old Dominion | 1st | 36th |
| Ole Miss | 81st | 94th |
| Oregon | 39th | 26th |
| Oregon State | 97th | 70th |
| Penn State | 20th | 47th |
| Pittsburgh | 65th | 50th |
| Purdue | 57th | 82nd |
| Rice | 59th | 14th |
| Robert Morris | 2nd | 5th |
| Rutgers | 42nd | 81st |
| SMU | 91st | 82nd |
| Sacramento State | 13th | 6th |
| Sam Houston | 11th | 37th |
| San Diego State | 8th | 54th |
| San José State | 17th | 2nd |
| South Alabama | 44th | 74th |
| South Carolina | 70th | 56th |
| South Florida | 84th | 57th |
| Southern Miss | 48th | 7th |
| Stanford | 40th | 9th |
| Syracuse | 57th | 39th |
| TCU | 70th | 10th |
| Temple | 50th | 68th |
| Tennessee | 75th | 12th |
| Texas | 27th | 61st |
| Texas A&M | 46th | 55th |
| Texas State | 74th | 100th |
| Texas Tech | 64th | 76th |
| Toledo | 73rd | 52nd |
| Troy | 39th | 15th |
| Tulane | 12th | 8th |
| Tulsa | 49th | 7th |
| UAB | 24th | 62nd |
| UCF | 29th | 45th |
| UCLA | 80th | 60th |
| UConn | 72nd | 73rd |
| UL Monroe | 47th | 11th |
| UNLV | 41st | 19th |
| USC | 79th | 97th |
| UT Martin | 6th | 3rd |
| UTEP | 9th | 1st |
| UTSA | 91st | 33rd |
| Utah | 94th | 98th |
| Utah State | 3rd | 76th |
| Vanderbilt | 41st | 32nd |
| Virginia | 83rd | 2nd |
| Virginia Tech | 43rd | 91st |
| Wake Forest | 75th | 96th |
| Washington | 56th | 16th |
| Washington State | 19th | 5th |
| West Virginia | 54th | 75th |
| Western Kentucky | 22nd | 25th |
| Western Michigan | 32nd | 27th |
| Wisconsin | 25th | 22nd |
| Wyoming | 78th | 48th |
Washington by half
1st-half offense ranks 44th percentile in FBS; 2nd-half, 51st — competitive snaps only, garbage time excluded from both halves.
How much of Washington’s number is the schedule?
Raw EPA/play through week 10 is 0.13; 46th percentile once opponent strength is stripped out, it's 0.04. The widest gap came in week 4: 0.20 raw vs. 0.02 adjusted.
Tendency drift
How Washington’s current staff calls plays, year over year
Pass defense by zone
What this team throws, and gives up, by depth.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Washington’s passing game completes a completion rate above the FBS mean (70.7% vs 67.0% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 250-play sample) — mid-pack, 123 of 136 qualifying offenses.
On short throws (≤19 air yards), Washington’s defense allows a completion rate below the FBS mean (66.1% vs 66.3% league-wide, shrunk toward the mean for its 182-play sample) — mid-pack, 64 of 137 qualifying defenses.
We won’t show a deep-ball (20+ air yards) leaderboard here, on either side of the ball: even a full season of charted plays gives most teams well under 30 deep attempts — too thin to tell a real tendency from noise, so we won’t guess. Same refusal for yards-after-catch allowed and where a team’s attempts land by zone: both measured and both came back statistically indistinguishable from season-to-season noise.
Havoc & trenches
Disruption, run-blocking, and down-and-distance efficiency.
Turnover luck
Recovering 33% of the fumbles they've forced — running cold vs. the ~48% league rate.
2 of 6 forced fumbles recovered; 2 of 5 own fumbles recovered themselves, 2026 only.
Takeaways
Converting 27% of pass disruptions into takeaways — well above the ~18% league rate.
12 interceptions of 45 disrupted passes (33 deflected, 12 intercepted), 2026 only.
Penalties
Losing the penalty battle: 62 penalties committed vs. 53 drawn on opponents, a 51-yard deficit.
516 penalty yards committed vs. 465 drawn on opponents, 2026 season total.
Ratings and comparisons
Ratings
Comparable teams
Most similar programs · Washington
Most similar programs · WashingtonReads like
Matched on how the programs are built — tier, prestige band, kind of fanbase, conference, voice and roster size — not on this season's stats. A calibration, not a prediction.
Weather
Husky Stadium, Seattle, WA
Usual during the game around Nov 7: 50°, between 45° and 57° in about 7 in 10 games (34 games since 2016).
Road games since 2016: the middle game was 63°, and 8 in 10 ran between 38° and 75° (45 road games).
What a usual Saturday feels like here, by kickoff time
Airport readings near each stadium during the game, not on the field. How we measure
Weather observations: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at Iowa State University. Rain: NOAA MRMS radar and CoCoRaHS volunteer gauges (CC BY 4.0). Game data: CollegeFootballData.com.