CFB Zeitgeist Score
54
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rush tds at the 62nd percentile.
Adam Mohammed
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
523 RUSH YDS · 5 RUSH TD · 106 CARRIES
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to California
2025Washington
2026California
RB · WASHINGTON · BIG TEN
Adam Mohammed
- 2
- #24
- 6-0 | 215 lb
- Glendale, AZ
Heisman Heat
#681
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2024–2025+171%
Up 171% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Washington
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 3-star | 0.8539 | No. 1449 recruit | HighSchool | Arizona |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Washington -> California | 4-star | 0.9200 | Immediate |
| 2024 | Arizona -> Washington | 3-star | 0.8400 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Arizona
Composite
0.8539
#1449 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Adam Mohammed
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
—
Awaiting per-cohort signal
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- National · n=2
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Adam Mohammed
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Rushing WEPA per carry
+0.090
EPA
P4 + Notre Dame RBs, min 80 carries
National rank #46 of 66
Percentile vs P4 + Notre Dame RBs, min 80 carries 31st
Why it matters
#46 of 66 P4 + Notre Dame RBs by rushing weighted- EPA per carry — +0.090 EPA/carry on 88 carries.
Vs cohort
This player +0.090 (31th)
MODERATE · n=88 cohort 66
- Also strong
- Yards per carry#40 / 69
- Rushing yards (total)#49 / 69
Signature Moment
Week 13 at UCLA — 108 ypc
Result W 48-14
The week the volume broke through — put up 108 yds at UCLA.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 13g
523Rush yards
106Carries
5Rush TDs
Per game
40.2Rush yards
8Carries
0Rush TDs
Final
523Rush yards
106Carries
5Rush TDs
Why this is more than a rushing profile
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Adam Mohammed is not a one-lane back. The profile is interesting because the workload spills beyond pure rushing volume: 523 rushing yards, 17 catches, and 420 return yards for Washington. That kind of all-purpose footprint gives the card a much richer story than a basic carry total.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
106 81st
YDS
523 80th
YPC
4.9 59th
TD
5 85th
Receiving
REC
17 80th
YDS
138 81st
YPR
8.1 63rd
TD
0 70th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 13 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 38-21vs Colorado State | 7 | 25 | 3.6 | 1 | 6 | |
| Wk 2 | W 70-10vs UC Davis | 14 | 95 | 6.8 | 1 | 25 | |
| Wk 4 | W 59-24@ Washington State | 6 | 25 | 4.2 | 0 | 20 | |
| Wk 5 | L 6-24vs Ohio State | 3 | 13 | 4.3 | 0 | 5 | |
| Wk 6 | W 24-20@ Maryland | 3 | 7 | 2.3 | 0 | 3 | |
| Wk 7 | W 38-19vs Rutgers | 2 | 8 | 4.0 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 8 | L 7-24@ Michigan | 2 | 9 | 4.5 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 9 | W 42-25vs Illinois | 3 | 9 | 3.0 | 0 | 7 | |
| Wk 11 | L 10-13@ Wisconsin | 12 | 54 | 4.5 | 0 | 18 | |
| Wk 12 | W 49-13vs Purdue | 17 | 59 | 3.5 | 3 | 10 | 3 rushing TDs |
| Wk 13 | W 48-14@ UCLA | 21 | 108 | 5.1 | 0 | 15 | Season-high 108 yds |
| Wk 14 | L 14-26vs Oregon | 14 | 105 | 7.5 | 0 | 22 | |
| Bowl | W 38-10vs Boise State | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | 0 | 5 | |
| Total | 106 | 523 | 4.3 | 5 | 25 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2024Washington6-7HC: Jedd Fisch · Balanced
2025Washington9-4HC: Jedd Fisch · Run-leaning
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Washington | 106 | 523 | 4.9 | 5 | -- |
| 2024 | Washington | 42 | 193 | 4.6 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 148 | 716 | 4.8 | 5 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Washington | 17 | 138 | 8.1 | 0 | -- |
| 2024 | Washington | 6 | 41 | 6.8 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 23 | 179 | 7.8 | 0 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 523 | #150/735 | 80th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 5 | #115/739 | 85th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 4.9 | #305/735 | 59th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 17 | #111/552 | 80th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 138 | #105/548 | 81st pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.09 | #226/362 | 38th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 88 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 15.1% | #176/738 | 76th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 106 | #145/739 | 81st pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 25 | #335/733 | 54th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 33 | #106/540 | 81st pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 8.1 | #202/548 | 63rd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #169/552 | 70th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return yards | 420 | #9/200 | 96th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return avg | 26.3 | #19/199 | 91st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick returns | 16 | #10/206 | 96th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 24.8% | #185/738 | 75th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 16.5% | #200/738 | 73rd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 16.4% | #142/738 | 81st pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 16.1% | #206/738 | 72nd pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 12.2% | #138/738 | 81st pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 11.3% | #150/738 | 80th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 4.5% | #188/738 | 75th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 13 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home8g | 40.0 | 4.5 | 0.6 |
| Road5g | 40.6 | 4.1 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins9g | 38.0 | 3.9 | 0.6 |
| Losses4g | 45.2 | 5.2 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 25.6 | 4.0 | 0.3 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 57.3 | 4.7 | 0.5 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
54Mid-pack
Concern: long run (21st).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0.09Low (p25–p50) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Adam MohammedWashingtonKamari MoultonIowa· 82% simRashod DubinionApp State· 81% simSeth McGowanKentucky· 80% sim
Rec yards
Receptions
Rush TDs
Carries
Rush yards
Yards / carry
Long run
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Balanced Back
Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jordan Waters’s 2022 season.
Jordan Waters
78%match
#2
SaRodorick Thompson
78%
#3
Roman Hemby
76%
#4
Brock Townsend
76%
#5
Sieh Bangura
All-MAC
76%
Matches Jordan on
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Yards / carry
Yards / reception
Differs from Jordan on
Class year (lower)
Rush TD rate (lower)
Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Garrett Groshek’s path through Wisconsin.
Garrett Groshek
99%match
#2
Narii Gaither
96%
#3
Dylan Carson
94%
#4
Joshua Samuel
93%
#5
Khalan Laborn
All-Sun Belt
91%
Matches Garrett on
Yards per carry
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Daelen Alexander's sophomore season at Rice (2025).
Daelen Alexander
79%match
#2
Brock Townsend
78%
#3
Nolan Ray
77%
#4
Owen Allen
74%
#5
Camryn Edwards
76%
Matches Daelen on
Yards / carry
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Rush TD rate
Differs from Daelen on
Height (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Jedd Fisch
Pass share
44.9%
370 pass / 454 run
Plays / game
63.4
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
9.3%
268 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025
1 coach2024
Jedd Fisch
Washington
2025
Jedd Fisch
Washington
Played his entire career under Jedd Fisch.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownGlendale, AZ
Height6'0"
Weight215 lb
Class2
PositionRB
Jersey24
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamWashington
ConferenceBig Ten
Joined2025
Career arc2 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Washington | RB2 | #681 | #702 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Big Ten |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Washington | Big Ten | RB | 2 | No. 24 | 6-0 | 215 lb | Glendale, AZ |
| 2024 | Washington | Big Ten | RB | 2 | No. 24 | 6-0 | 215 lb | Glendale, AZ |