cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Brock Townsend /Central Michigan

Brock Townsend

RB · Central Michigan · Fr · #22

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

418 RUSH YDS · 4 RUSH TD · 82 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Central Michigan for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Central Michigan for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Running back · Central Michigan

Returning around him

  • 10% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • Transfer portal: -5 net (12 in / 17 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Central Michigan · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #121 · 2026 recruiting class #113

RB · CENTRAL MICHIGAN · MID-AMERICAN

Brock Townsend

  • 1
  • #22
  • 6-0 | 220 lb
  • Caledonia, MI

CFB Zeitgeist Score

52

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 58th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#4279

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#2020 national
CFB
College
Central Michigan
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class1
Jersey22
Measurements6-0 | 220 lb
HometownCaledonia, MI
Primary teamCentral Michigan

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 2020 recruit
Composite rating 0.8330 HighSchool
Signed with Central Michigan 2024
Origin Caledonia Caledonia, MI, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 3-star | 0.8330 No. 2020 recruit | HighSchool | Central Michigan

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#4279Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#4421Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Central Michigan

Composite

0.8330

#2020 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Brock Townsend

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

Awaiting per-cohort signal

Sample 0 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmNational: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "The cumulative link to the preseason rankings can be found [here]( https://www.r"National
  • National · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Brock Townsend

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
418Rush yards
82Carries
4Rush TDs
Per game
34.8Rush yards
7Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
452.8Rush yards
89Carries
4Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 418): needs 332/game over remaining 1.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 418): needs 582/game over remaining 1.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 418): needs 1,082/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 6/game over remaining 1.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 11/game over remaining 1.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 16/game over remaining 1.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Brock Townsend's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Central Michigan, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #4279 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 11.7% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc 19 return yds

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 563 418 rush | 145 rec | #200/735 (73rd pct)
Rush TD 4 82 carries | #154/739 (79th pct)
Yards/carry 5.1 Per-rush efficiency | #257/735 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.

Passing-game back

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
82 72nd
YDS
418 73rd
YPC
5.1 65th
TD
4 79th

Receiving

REC
13 71st
YDS
145 82nd
YPR
11.2 85th
TD
4 100th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 2L 17-45@ Pittsburgh1-1-1.000
Wk 3L 3-63@ Michigan591.804
Wk 4W 49-10vs Wagner4205.0011
Wk 5W 24-13vs Eastern Michigan8516.4022
Wk 6L 22-28@ Akron810813.5046Season-high 108 yds
Wk 8W 27-6@ Bowling Green6416.8037
Wk 9W 38-13vs Massachusetts12342.825
Wk 10L 21-24@ Western Michigan9262.906
Wk 12W 38-19vs Buffalo2115.508
Wk 13W 28-16@ Kent State6274.5210
Wk 14L 3-21vs Toledo14684.9012
BowlL 7-34@ Northwestern7243.406
Total824184.7446
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Central Michigan7-6HC: Matt Drinkall · Run-heavy, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Central Michigan824185.14--
Career1 loaded season824185.14--
SeasonTeam
2025Central Michigan1314511.24--
Career1 loaded season1314511.24--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 13 145 rec yds | #160/552 (71st pct)
Usage 11.7% 16.0% rush share | #263/738 (64th pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.09 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #226/362 (38th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 418 #200/735 73rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 4 #154/739 79th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 5.1 #257/735 65th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 13 #160/552 71st pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 145 #97/548 82nd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.09 #226/362 38th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 75 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 11.7% #263/738 64th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 82 #205/739 72nd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 46 #191/733 74th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 51 #45/540 92nd pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 11.2 #85/548 85th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 4 #2/552 100th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Returns Kick return yards 19 #153/200 24th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Returns Kick return avg 9.5 #173/199 14th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Returns Kick returns 2 #109/206 48th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 16.0% #326/738 56th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 13.9% #249/738 66th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 13.2% #261/738 65th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 11.2% #298/738 60th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 9.9% #206/738 72nd pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 8.7% #258/738 65th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 4.9% #165/738 78th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home5g36.84.90.4
Road7g33.44.60.3

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins6g30.75.20.7
Losses6g39.04.20.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-76g35.24.90.0
Weeks 8+6g34.54.60.7

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

52Mid-pack
7 metrics · season cumulative

Production sits in the middle of the position cohort across the board.

Rec yards#88 / 338 · 74th pct
145rece
Yards / carry#139 / 349 · 58th pct
5.1rush
Receptions#150 / 338 · 54th pct
13rece
Long run#166 / 349 · 51st pct
46rush
Rush TDs#153 / 349 · 50th pct
4rush
Rush yards#200 / 349 · 43rd pct
418rush
Carries#205 / 349 · 41st pct
82rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.09Low (p25–p50) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Brock TownsendCentral MichiganKamari MoultonIowa· 74% simJevon JacksonUAB· 73% simRashod DubinionApp State· 73% sim
Rec yards
74
Townsend
53
Moulton
61
Jackson
77
Dubinion
Yards / carry
58
Townsend
62
Moulton
68
Jackson
53
Dubinion
Receptions
54
Townsend
63
Moulton
75
Jackson
86
Dubinion
Long run
51
Townsend
33
Moulton
70
Jackson
39
Dubinion
Rush TDs
50
Townsend
62
Moulton
62
Jackson
50
Dubinion
Rush yards
43
Townsend
84
Moulton
85
Jackson
84
Dubinion
Carries
41
Townsend
86
Moulton
85
Jackson
87
Dubinion

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Workhorse

Built to take 20+ carries per game. Volume is the value.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Adam Mohammed’s 2025 season.

Adam Mohammed

76%match

Washington · 2025

#2

Brandon Ramirez

Fresno State · 2025

74%
#3

Jaylon Armstead

San Diego State · 2022

70%
#4

Demon June

North Carolina · 2025

72%
#5

Owen Burk

Air Force · 2023

67%

Matches Adam on

Total rush EPA (college ability)
Yards / carry
Weight

Differs from Adam on

Yards / reception (higher)
Class year (lower)

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Kadarius Calloway’s path through New Mexico State.

Kadarius Calloway

100%match

New Mexico State · 2025

#2

Demetric Felton

UCLA · 2020

NFL Rd 6
92%
#3

Caleb Huntley

Ball State · 2020

All-MAC
91%
#4

Oscar Adaway III

South Carolina · 2025

91%
#5

CJ Marable

Coastal Carolina · 2020

90%

Matches Kadarius on

Height
Weight
Yards per carry

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Adam Mohammed's sophomore season at Washington (2025).

Adam Mohammed

78%match

Washington · 2025

#2

Daelen Alexander

Rice · 2025

72%
#3

Jayden Scott

NC State · 2025

73%
#4

Quinn Henicle

Old Dominion · 2025

66%
#5

Brandon Tullis

Michigan State · 2025

69%

Matches Adam on

Yards / carry
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Weight

Differs from Adam on

Class year (lower)
Yards / reception (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Matt Drinkall

Pass share

32.2%

252 pass / 531 run

Plays / game

60.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

10.1%

188 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Matt Drinkall
Central Michigan

Played his entire career under Matt Drinkall.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownCaledonia, MI
Height6'0"
Weight220 lb
Class1
PositionRB
Jersey22

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Central Michigan RB1 #4279 #4421 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mid-American

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Central Michigan Mid-American RB 1 No. 22 | 6-0 | 220 lb | Caledonia, MI
2024 Central Michigan Mid-American RB 1 No. 22 | 6-0 | 220 lb | Caledonia, MI