Jordan Waters

Former running back at NC State. 2024: 470 rushing yards, 4 rushing TD, 15 catches.

RB · NC State · Sr. · #7

6′0″ · 215 lb · Fairmont, NC

CFB Index 47 · #156 of 310 RBsHigh confidenceNC State 2024 — college career complete

The story

Former running back at NC State. 2024: 470 rushing yards, 4 rushing TD, 15 catches.

Transferred from Duke to NC State in 2024.

His career, year by year

How it ended

Six seasons at NC State, 2,160 rushing yards — his college career is complete.

His career

Nobody recruited him. He earned the honors anyway.

202313 games

All-ACCthird

202412 games

Entered the portal

Career arc

Recruit

—

No recruit profile

CFB

College

2 teams

2019–2024

NFL

NFL Draft

—

Not drafted

Trophy case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 honor

🎖

ALL-ACC

All-ACC mention (2023)

Coaching lineage · 2019–2024

1 coach

2019–2024

Dave Doeren

NC State

Played his entire career under Dave Doeren.

2024 snapshot

Season context · Team result + system

2019Duke5-7HC: David Cutcliffe · Run-leaning

2020Duke2-9HC: David Cutcliffe · Balanced

2021Duke3-9HC: David Cutcliffe · Run-leaning, fast tempo

2022Duke9-4HC: Mike Elko · Run-leaning

2023Duke8-5HC: Trooper Taylor · Run-leaning, slow tempo

2024NC State6-7HC: Dave Doeren · Balanced, slow tempo

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

Box-score + play-by-play EPA percentiles

47Rotational starter #156 of 310?

High confidence13 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: long run (99th percentile). Strength: fumbles lost (87th percentile). Concern: explosive rate (13th percentile).

Real play-by-play efficiency

TD rate#241 / 442 · 45th pct

4.3%

Yards / carry#246 / 442 · 44th pct

5.1

EPA / carry#317 / 442 · 28th pct

0.08

Success rate#352 / 442 · 20th pct

38.6%

Explosive rate#383 / 442 · 13th pct

3.3%

Box-score rates (8)

Long run#3 / 335 · 99th pct

Fumbles lost#1 / 204 · 87th pct

Rec yards#72 / 330 · 78th pct

167

Receptions#115 / 330 · 63rd pct

Rush TDs#151 / 335 · 50th pct

Carries#168 / 335 · 50th pct

Rush yards#175 / 335 · 48th pct

470

Yards / carry#175 / 335 · 46th pct

4.9

Season trend

Last seasonThis season

EPA / carry

48th → 28th percentile

Success rate

29th → 20th percentile

Explosive rate

69th → 13th percentile

Yards / carry

55th → 44th percentile

TD rate

88th → 45th percentile

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season. Most bars are box-score rates; EPA / success-rate bars are computed from real play-by-play (offense only — no defensive EPA model exists yet).

Splits & context

Splits · Per-game

2024 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Season halves

Home vs Road

	YDS/g	YPC	TD/g
Home9g	43.3	5.6	0.4
Road3g	26.7	4.7	0.0

First half vs Second half

	YDS/g	YPC	TD/g
Weeks 1-78g	35.6	3.8	0.2
Weeks 8+4g	46.2	8.6	0.5

Supporting cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2026 season

Head Coach

Dave Doeren

Scheme reads (pass share, tempo, sack rate) need at least 3 team games — 2 games in so far.

Awards

Player standing · 2024

Part-time starter

Splitting first-team reps — starts some weeks, rotates others.

Recognition

Roster2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Production · CFB Index Score

47 · #156 of 310 RBs

Career stats

Season	Team
2024	NC State	95	470	4.9	4	--
2023	Duke	153	819	5.4	12	--
2022	Duke	123	566	4.6	8	--
2021	Duke	39	197	5.1	1	--
2020	Duke	16	100	6.2	2	--
2019	Duke	2	8	4.0	0	--
Career		428	2,160	5.0	27	--

Season	Team
2024	NC State	15	167	11.1	1	--
2023	Duke	9	139	15.4	0	--
2022	Duke	16	106	6.6	0	--
2021	Duke	6	76	12.7	1	--
2020	Duke	1	-7	-7.0	0	--
2019	Duke	--	--	--	--	--
Career		47	481	10.2	2	--

Signature game

SIGNATURE GAME · Week 1 · 2024

W 38–21

vs Western Carolina

123 rush yds (20 car) · 2 TD

With G. McCall — 318 yds · 3 TD · 1 INT · QBR 48.8 · 16 rush yds (5 car) · K. Concepcion — -2 rush yds (1 car)

Signature plays

Signature plays · top plays by |EPA|

The plays that mattered most

fact

Week 10 · Stanford · 1&10 · Q3 · EPA +6.90Jordan Waters run for 94 yds for a TD (Collin Smith KICK)
Week 1 · Western Carolina · 1&10 · Q4 · EPA +3.84Jordan Waters run for 50 yds for a TD (Kanoah Vinesett KICK)
Week 13 · Georgia Tech · 2&9 · Q2 · EPA +2.69CJ Bailey pass complete to Jordan Waters for 24 yds to the NCSU 47 for a 1ST down
Week 10 · Stanford · 3&2 · Q1 · EPA +2.69Jordan Waters run for 13 yds for a TD (Collin Smith KICK)
Week 1 · Western Carolina · 2&7 · Q4 · EPA +2.61Jordan Waters run for 7 yds for a TD (Kanoah Vinesett KICK)
Week 4 · Clemson · 2&5 · Q2 · EPA +2.44Jordan Waters 5 Yd pass from CJ Bailey (Kanoah Vinesett Kick)
Week 2 · Tennessee · 2&1 · Q1 · EPA -1.97Jordan Waters run for a loss of 3 yards to the TENN 46
Week 3 · Louisiana Tech · 2&10 · Q4 · EPA +1.91Jordan Waters run for 12 yds to the LT 1 for a 1ST down
Week 5 · Northern Illinois · 2&9 · Q4 · EPA +1.90CJ Bailey pass complete to Jordan Waters for 10 yds to the NCSU 47 for a 1ST down
Week 1 · Western Carolina · 4&1 · Q2 · EPA +1.81Jordan Waters run for 1 yd to the WCU 41

Game log

Game log · Week-by-week

2024 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD

Wk	Opp	CAR	YDS	AVG	TD	LONG	Note
Wk 1	W 38-21vs Western Carolina	20	123	6.2	2	50	Season-high 123 yds
Wk 2	L 10-51vs Tennessee	7	-4	-0.6	0	6
Wk 3	W 30-20vs Louisiana Tech	10	36	3.6	0	12
Wk 4	L 35-59@ Clemson	7	35	5.0	0	9
Wk 5	W 24-17vs Northern Illinois	8	23	2.9	0	12
Wk 6	L 30-34vs Wake Forest	10	33	3.3	0	9
Wk 7	L 17-24vs Syracuse	4	14	3.5	0	5
Wk 10	W 59-28vs Stanford	5	115	23.0	2	94
Wk 11	L 19-29vs Duke	11	25	2.3	0	7
Wk 13	L 29-30@ Georgia Tech	3	10	3.3	0	6
Wk 14	W 35-30@ North Carolina	6	35	5.8	0	13
Bowl	L 21-26vs East Carolina	4	25	6.3	0	18
Total		95	470	5.4	4	94

Stats from CFBD · ESPN · fan discourse. Every figure computed from source tables — not invented. Methodology