Central Michigan beats Wyoming 24-10

Wyoming1-210
Central Michigan2-124Final
Sat, Sep 19 · Kelly/Shorts Stadium, Mount Pleasant, Mich. · Crowd 15,552ESPN+

Central Michigan beat Wyoming 24-10.

We had Central Michigan favored. It won.

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave Central Michigan a 56% chance, and the closing betting line (Central Michigan was a 1.5-point underdog) put it at 45%.

Favored the whole way: Central Michigan never fell below 57%.

Wyoming never had better than a 42% chance.

FinalCentral Michigan 24-10 WyomingCentral Michigan wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q494% at halfCentral MichiganWon24-101+11Scores
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q494% at halfCentral MichiganWon24-101Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q46% at halfCentral MichiganLowest 0%Lost10-241−11Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q46% at halfCentral MichiganLowest 0%Lost10-241Scores

The play that swung it

  1. 1Q2 0:024th and 1Flores 1-yd TD run, Central Michigan leads 17-0Central Michigan 84% → 95% (+11)

The play that swung it

  1. 1Q2 0:024th and 1Flores 1-yd TD run, Central Michigan leads 17-0Wyoming 16% → 5% (−11)
Central Michigan’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (Wyoming -1.5), at 58% for Central Michigan (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.

Every drive

Central Michigan scored on 4 of its 9 drives; Wyoming on 2 of its 9.

Central Michigan’s drives are teal, Wyoming’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1Central Michigan: Field goal, from 65 yards out to 17Field goalWyoming: Punt, from 81 yards out to 74PuntCentral Michigan: Punt, from 73 yards out to 55PuntWyoming: Punt, from 91 yards out to 38PuntQ2Central Michigan: Touchdown, from 80 yards out to 0TouchdownWyoming: Turned over on downs, from 65 yards out to 10DownsCentral Michigan: Touchdown, from 90 yards out to 0TouchdownWyoming: End of half, from 78 yards out to 80End of halfQ3Wyoming: Punt, from 79 yards out to 60PuntCentral Michigan: Punt, from 84 yards out to 76PuntWyoming: Field goal, from 41 yards out to 19Field goalCentral Michigan: Touchdown, from 65 yards out to 0TouchdownWyoming: Touchdown, from 54 yards out to 0TouchdownQ4Central Michigan: Punt, from 75 yards out to 55PuntWyoming: Interception, from 74 yards out to 37InterceptionCentral Michigan: Punt, from 70 yards out to 37PuntWyoming: Interception, from 99 yards out to 7InterceptionCentral Michigan: End of game, from 80 yards out to 61End of game

What it cost

Central Michigan’s chance to win the conference rose from 1% to 2%.

Win the conference

Wyoming · lost1% → 1%
Central Michigan · won1% → ▲2%

Before the game (September 18, 2026) → after this result, in our model.

Box score

Central Michigan 24, Wyoming 10

Central Michigan covered +1.5 by 15.5. The total, 34, stayed under 39.5.

WyomingCentral MichiganTotal yardsWyoming 342Central Michigan 371342371Passing yardsWyoming 180Central Michigan 3218032Rushing yardsWyoming 162Central Michigan 339162339First downsWyoming 17Central Michigan 201720TurnoversWyoming 2Central Michigan 020Time of possessionWyoming 24:12Central Michigan 35:4824:1235:48
Team totalsWyomingCentral Michigan
Total yards342371
Passing15 of 31, 180 yds4 of 7, 32 yds
Rushing28 for 162 yds59 for 339 yds
First downs1720
Third down6 of 135 of 13
Fourth down1 of 23 of 3
Turnovers20
Penalties4 for 40 yds3 for 40 yds
Time of possession24:1235:48

Wyoming leaders

  • Passing Tyler Hughes 14 of 30, 173 yds, 2 INT
  • Rushing Tyler Hughes 10 for 78 yds; Markell Holman 9 for 38 yds, 1 TD
  • Receiving Kyle Frendt 4 for 95 yds; Jake Wilson 4 for 31 yds

Central Michigan leaders

  • Passing Angel H Flores 4 of 7, 32 yds
  • Rushing Angel H Flores 28 for 163 yds, 2 TD; Jayden Clerveaux 12 for 81 yds
  • Receiving Shawn Foster 1 for 13 yds; Langston Lewis 1 for 8 yds

No rain through the game

59° at kickoff · no rain recorded

September game-day temperatures at Kelly/Shorts Stadium

Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Central Michigan favoredWyoming favored100%Win chanceCentral MichiganRaininches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWindmph, average and gusts20 mph40 mphHourly wind only at this airport
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4Central Michigan favoredWyoming favoredRain · inches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWind · miles per hour2040Hourly wind only at this airport

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 14:55 left1:03 p.m.
Wyoming 0, Central Michigan 0 · Central Michigan 58% to win
no rain · 59°
Clerveaux 9-yd run
Where this weather comes fromMeasured at Mount Pleasant airport, 3.5 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last two games

Wyoming · 1-1

Rated 111th in our preseason ratings, 129th now.

1-1 in its last two — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

Last two games

Central Michigan · 1-1

Rated 120th in our preseason ratings, 131st now.

1-1 in its last two — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.

Week by week

Central Michigan

Wk 1: L 7-38 at New Mexico▼31New MexicoWk 2: W 13-10 vs Colgate▲3Colgate
  • Wk 1Lat New Mexico7-38
  • Wk 2Wvs Colgate13-10

Wyoming

Wk 1: L 13-35 at Colorado State▼22Colorado StateWk 2: W 21-13 vs Northern Colorado▲8Northern Colorado
  • Wk 1Lat Colorado State13-35
  • Wk 2Wvs Northern Colorado21-13

Power rating by week

Wyoming is rated 0.2 points ahead as of week 2. Our power rating by week; higher is better.

-4.4-4.6-4.9Wk 0Wk 1Wk 2Central MichiganWyoming

Matchups

Biggest mismatch: Wyoming’s explosive plays against Central Michigan, 92 points

Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.

  1. Wyoming’s explosive plays against Central Michigan’s defense

    92 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Wyoming offense, 0th percentile · Central Michigan defense, 92nd

  2. Wyoming’s success rate against Central Michigan’s defense

    57 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Wyoming offense, 65th percentile · Central Michigan defense, 8th

  3. Central Michigan’s passing EPA against Wyoming’s defense

    50 pointsweakerstronger50th

    Central Michigan offense, 3rd percentile · Wyoming defense, 53rd

Season profile, all the rows

Season profile

WyomingCentral Michigan
EPA/play, offense
Wyoming · 35Central Michigan · 25
EPA/play, defense
Wyoming · 28Central Michigan · 19
Success rate, offense
Wyoming · 65Central Michigan · 11
Success rate, defense
Wyoming · 17Central Michigan · 8
Explosive-play rate, offense
Wyoming · 0Central Michigan · 56
Explosive-play rate, defense
Wyoming · 89Central Michigan · 92
Rush EPA, offense
Wyoming · 71Central Michigan · 53
Rush EPA, defense
Wyoming · 10Central Michigan…
Pass EPA, offense
Wyoming · 13Central Michigan · 3
Pass EPA, defense
Wyoming · 53Central Michigan · 54

The series

Wyoming leads the series 2-1

3 meetings since 2000 · Wyoming won the last meeting

  • 2017 · neutral siteWyoming 37-14
  • 2002Central Michigan 32-20
  • 2000Wyoming 31-10

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Central Michigan fans are feeling it about like the typical fanbase this week (47th among FBS fanbases), and the other side is no happier.

  • Model · 56%
  • Line · 45%
  • Central Michigan fans · 47th
  • Wyoming fans · 19th

Wyoming favored by 1.5 · Total 39.5

How games like this usually go

Wyoming by 1.5, on the usual path until 1:17 left in the fourth

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 252 games since 2025 with a favorite of under 3.5 points.

The market

The spread moved 4 points toward Wyoming.

opened −2.5now +1.5

Spread: −2.5 → +1.5

The books’ cut: 4.5%, the margin built into the odds

Weather at kickoff

Mild and dry. Feels like 61° at kickoff.

Wyoming at Central Michigan · Saturday, Sept. 19, 2026 · Kelly/Shorts Stadium, Mount Pleasant

  • 61°feels like at kickoff
  • Dryno rain at kickoff
  • 100weather score, Ideal

Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.

Kickoff times that Saturday

Games in this time zone used 8 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game is ringed. At Kelly/Shorts Stadium that day, a 6 pm, 7:30 pm or 7:45 pm kickoff would have scored 99, against 100 at 1 pm.

  • noon: 100, Ideal
  • 1 pm: 100, Ideal (this game)
  • 2 pm: 100, Ideal
  • 3:30 pm: 100, Ideal
  • 4 pm: 100, Ideal
  • 6 pm: 99, Comfortable
  • 7:30 pm: 99, Comfortable
  • 7:45 pm: 99, Comfortable

Weather score at each kickoff time.

Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.

Home field

Central Michigan is worth +7.3 points (±3.7) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top tenth of FBS, 96th percentile.

56% at home, 27% on the road against FBS opponents (22-17 home, 13-36 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +2.7 at home vs. away over 95 games — inside the ±5.8 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 1,069 miles to get here.

Where next