Northern Colorado at Wyoming

Away
Northern Colorado
0-2 L3 · Cold
Home
Wyoming
0-1 W1 · Cold
Sat, Sep 12 · 8:00 PM · War Memorial Stadium

Fan take

How they got here

Last two games

Northern Colorado · 0-2

Picked #255 in the preseason · now #254 — about right.

Two straight losses.

L 23–38 vs South Dakota #138 of 669

lost by 15 as a 20.5-point underdog

L 29–30 vs Weber State #240 of 669

lost by 1 as a 3-point favorite

Last three games · 2025 season

Wyoming · 4-8

Picked #111 in the preseason · now #110 — about right.

Three straight losses.

L 7–27 @ Hawai'i #88 of 668

lost by 20 as a 8.5-point underdog

L 7–13 vs Nevada #149 of 668

lost by 6 as a 6.5-point favorite

L 3–24 @ Fresno State #95 of 668

lost by 21 as a 2.5-point underdog

L 7–24 @ San Diego State #40 of 668

lost by 17 as a 9.5-point underdog

W 28–0 vs Colorado State #144 of 668

won by 28 as a 6-point favorite

L 21–24 @ Air Force #96 of 668

lost by 3 as a 3.5-point underdog

W 35–28 vs San José State #105 of 668

won by 7 as a 1.5-point underdog

L 17–31 vs UNLV #74 of 668

lost by 14 as a 4.5-point underdog

L 20–37 @ Colorado #84 of 668

lost by 17 as a 12.5-point underdog

L 6–31 vs UtahTop 25 #45 of 668

lost by 25 as a 24.5-point underdog

W 31–7 vs Northern Iowa #181 of 668

won by 24 as a 13.5-point favorite

W 10–0 @ Akron #149 of 668

won by 10 as a 5-point favorite

What’s at stake

Northern Colorado

  • Northern Colorado needs 6 more wins in the final 9 to reach bowl eligibility.
  • A win would be one of Northern Colorado’s biggest of the season — a 144-spot gap in the power ratings.

Wyoming

  • Wyoming hasn’t beaten a ranked opponent since 2023.

The series

Wyoming leads the series 17-5-2

24 meetings since 1905 · Wyoming has won the last 10

  • 2026Wyoming 21–13
  • 2022Wyoming 33–10
  • 2013Wyoming 35–7
  • 1949Wyoming 103–0
  • 1948Wyoming 48–0

Best players

Wyoming

The line, and the room

The model and the market don’t fully agree on Wyoming’s chances here.

evenModel · 86%Market · 97%Northern ColoradoWyoming

Home −23.5 · O/U 44.5

Conditions

78°F · 15 mph wind · Light Rain

Wyoming is worth +4.2 points (±3.6) more at home than on the road since 2018 — middle of FBS, 52nd percentile.

58% at home, 33% on the road against FBS opponents (22–16 home, 15–31 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +5.1 at home vs. away over 73 games — inside the ±5.9 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

7,218 ft of altitude — real, and smaller than the folklore: high venues run a point or two better against the number, noisily. The visitors travel about 77 miles to get here.

Northern Colorado 13 – Wyoming 21

Wyoming 21: 62%Northern Colorado 13: 38%

Called it — picked Wyoming to win.

Recent games

Wyoming

  • Wk 1Lat Colorado State13-35

Northern Colorado

  • Wk 1Lvs Weber State29-30
  • Wk 1Lvs South Dakota23-38

Trajectory

-2.63-8.09-13.54Wk 0Wk 1Wk 2Northern ColoradoWyoming

Wyoming won 21-13, as picked pregame.