cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Kenji Christian /Toledo

Kenji Christian

RB · Toledo · Jr · #10

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

528 RUSH YDS · 4 RUSH TD · 105 CARRIES

IN PORTALIn transfer portal — destination TBD (from Toledo)

In Portal · 2026

In transfer portal

2025Toledo
DestinationTBD

RB · TOLEDO · MID-AMERICAN

Kenji Christian

  • 3
  • #10
  • 6-2 | 207 lb
  • Birmingham, AL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

56

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rush yards at the 58th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3329

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#707 national
CFB
College
Toledo
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class3
Jersey10
Measurements6-2 | 207 lb
HometownBirmingham, AL
Primary teamToledo

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 707 recruit
Composite rating 0.8685 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2021
Origin Pinson Valley Pinson, AL, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8685 No. 707 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 3 Programs changed on file
Latest destination -- 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 2, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Toledo -> -- 3-star | Immediate
2025 North Carolina A&T -> Toledo 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate
2023 Virginia Tech -> North Carolina A&T 3-star | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2022 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 20
Current nowcast#3329Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3456Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8685

#707 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Kenji Christian

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

Awaiting per-cohort signal

Sample 0 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmNational: 4 mentions · belief +0 · "The cumulative link to the preseason rankings can be found [here]( https://www.r"National
  • National · n=4

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Kenji Christian

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

final
Through 13g
528Rush yards
105Carries
4Rush TDs
Per game
40.6Rush yards
8Carries
0Rush TDs
Final
528Rush yards
105Carries
4Rush TDs

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Kenji Christian's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Toledo, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #3329 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 13.5% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 3 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 721 528 rush | 193 rec | #148/735 (80th pct)
Rush TD 4 105 carries | #154/739 (79th pct)
Yards/carry 5.0 Per-rush efficiency | #280/735 (62nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.

Passing-game back

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
105 80th
YDS
528 80th
YPC
5.0 62nd
TD
4 79th

Receiving

REC
17 80th
YDS
193 89th
YPR
11.4 86th
TD
1 89th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 16-24@ Kentucky351.703
Wk 2W 45-21vs Western Kentucky15916.1020
Wk 3W 60-0vs Morgan State5438.6233
Wk 4L 13-14@ Western Michigan10424.2021
Wk 5W 45-3vs Akron5173.406
Wk 7L 23-28@ Bowling Green8354.409
Wk 8W 45-10vs Kent State161137.1037Season-high 113 yds
Wk 9L 7-28@ Washington State11333.009
Wk 11W 42-3vs Northern Illinois5336.6110
Wk 12W 24-3@ Miami (OH)7294.1018
Wk 13W 38-9vs Ball State7324.6010
Wk 14W 21-3@ Central Michigan7284.019
BowlL 22-27@ Louisville6274.5015
Total1055284.8437
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Toledo8-5HC: Jason Candle · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Toledo1055285.04--
Career1 loaded season1055285.04--
SeasonTeam
2025Toledo1719311.41--
Career1 loaded season1719311.41--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 17 193 rec yds | #111/552 (80th pct)
Usage 13.5% 21.0% rush share | #211/738 (72nd pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.04 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #309/362 (15th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 528 #148/735 80th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 4 #154/739 79th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 5.0 #280/735 62nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 17 #111/552 80th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 193 #62/548 89th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.04 #309/362 15th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 97 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 13.5% #211/738 72nd pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 105 #150/739 80th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 37 #253/733 66th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 42 #63/540 89th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 11.4 #80/548 86th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #60/552 89th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 21.0% #248/738 67th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 18.0% #128/738 83rd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 15.0% #228/738 69th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 15.0% #68/738 91st pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 12.8% #272/738 63rd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 5.0% #156/738 79th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 3.8% #507/738 31st pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #78/256 70th pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home6g54.86.10.5
Road7g28.43.70.1

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins8g48.25.60.5
Losses5g28.43.60.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-77g37.14.70.3
Weeks 8+6g44.74.90.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

56Solid starter
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rec yards (82nd).

Rec yards#58 / 338 · 83rd pct
193rece
Receptions#103 / 338 · 67th pct
17rece
Rush yards#148 / 349 · 58th pct
528rush
Carries#150 / 349 · 57th pct
105rush
Yards / carry#157 / 349 · 53rd pct
5.0rush
Rush TDs#153 / 349 · 50th pct
4rush
Fumbles lost#55 / 201 · 49th pct
1fumb
Long run#219 / 349 · 37th pct
37rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2022

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.04Below (<p25) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Kenji ChristianToledoKamari MoultonIowa· 80% simRashod DubinionApp State· 80% simDominic RichardsonTulsa· 77% sim
Rec yards
83
Christian
53
Moulton
77
Dubinion
67
Richardson
Receptions
67
Christian
63
Moulton
86
Dubinion
78
Richardson
Rush yards
58
Christian
84
Moulton
84
Dubinion
92
Richardson
Carries
57
Christian
86
Moulton
87
Dubinion
94
Richardson
Yards / carry
53
Christian
62
Moulton
53
Dubinion
53
Richardson
Rush TDs
50
Christian
62
Moulton
50
Dubinion
62
Richardson
Fumbles lost
49
Christian
14
Dubinion
49
Richardson
Long run
37
Christian
33
Moulton
39
Dubinion
68
Richardson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Balanced Back

Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Donerio Davenport’s 2023 season.

Donerio Davenport

75%match

Texas State · 2023

#2

Nahree Biggins

Central Michigan · 2025

73%
#3

Star Thomas

New Mexico State · 2022

71%
#4

Lopini Katoa

BYU · 2022

71%
#5

Coleman Bennett

Kennesaw State · 2025

All-Conference USA
71%

Matches Donerio on

Weight
Receiving share

Differs from Donerio on

Height (higher)
Yards / reception (higher)
Rush TD rate (higher)

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Asim Rose’s path through Kentucky.

Asim Rose

100%match

Kentucky · 2020

#2

Calvin Turner

Hawai'i · 2020

All-Mountain West
96%
#3

Cooper Wallace

The Citadel · 2024

89%
#4

Mekhi Sargent

Iowa · 2020

87%
#5

Julius Loughridge

Fordham · 2024

86%

Matches Asim on

Yards per carry

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Nahree Biggins's junior season at Central Michigan (2025).

Nahree Biggins

74%match

Central Michigan · 2025

#2

Lopini Katoa

BYU · 2022

73%
#3

Dylan Carson

Air Force · 2025

66%
#4

Devin Mockobee

Purdue · 2024

68%
#5

Dawaiian McNeely

Wyoming · 2022

63%

Matches Nahree on

Total rush EPA (college ability)
Height
Yards / reception

Differs from Nahree on

Class year (lower)
Rush TD rate (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jason Candle

Pass share

45.9%

397 pass / 467 run

Plays / game

66.5

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.5%

290 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Jason Candle
Toledo

Played his entire career under Jason Candle.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownBirmingham, AL
Height6'2"
Weight207 lb
Class3
PositionRB
Jersey10

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2022 Virginia Tech RB3 #3329 #3456 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC
2021 Virginia Tech RB3 #2597 #2494 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Toledo Mid-American RB 3 No. 10 | 6-2 | 207 lb | Birmingham, AL
2022 Virginia Tech ACC RB 3 No. 10 | 6-2 | 207 lb | Birmingham, AL
2021 Virginia Tech ACC RB 3 No. 10 | 6-2 | 207 lb | Birmingham, AL