MD Maryland 2-0 38 CONN UConn 1-1 14 Final Sat, Sep 12 · Pratt & Whitney Stadium, East Hartford, Conn. · Crowd 34,494 CBS Sports Network
Maryland beat UConn 38-14. Share this game
We had Maryland favored. It won.
Top comment in the game thread
These refs should be put down
Q3 2:48 · r/CFB game thread · Sat, Sep 12 How it swung Watch the plays Drives What it cost Box score Weather Before kickoff How it swung The turning point: Washington 60-yd TD pass to Abdul-Rahim Gladding, ties it 7-7 (Q1, 3:24). Maryland went from 52% to 71% to win.
Before kickoff, our ratings gave Maryland a 55% chance, and the closing betting line (Maryland was a 11.5-point favorite) put it at 82%.
Favored the whole way: Maryland never fell below 50%.
UConn never had better than a 50% chance.
24 unanswered Maryland · Q2 7:51Final Maryland 38-14 UConn Maryland won Move across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play. Final UConn 14-38 Maryland UConn lost Move across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play. 50% 75% 90% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 89% at half Maryland Won 38-14 1 2 −15 +19 Scores 24 unanswered Maryland UConn Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 1 comments a minute Maryland fans: 3 comments a minute Maryland fans: 1 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 1 comments a minute Maryland fans: 0 comments a minute Maryland fans: 0 comments a minute Maryland fans: 0 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 3 comments a minute Maryland fans: 0 comments a minute Maryland fans: 4 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 4 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 4 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 comments a minute Maryland fans: 0 comments a minute Maryland fans: 1 comments a minute Maryland fans: 2 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See it from UConn’s side The two plays that swung it
1 Q1 4:39 Osborne 36-yd TD pass to Willoughby, UConn goes ahead 7-0 Maryland 65% → 50% (−15) 2 Q1 3:24 Washington 60-yd TD pass to Abdul-Rahim Gladding, ties it 7-7 Maryland 52% → 71% (+19) The two plays that swung it
1 Q1 4:39 Osborne 36-yd TD pass to Willoughby, UConn goes ahead 7-0 UConn 35% → 50% (+15) 2 Q1 3:24 Washington 60-yd TD pass to Abdul-Rahim Gladding, ties it 7-7 UConn 48% → 29% (−19) What fans said, play by play
The line in bold above each quote is written by our model from the thread’s comments and the play-by-play.
Q1 6:00 UConn fans mock Maryland's offense after a bad punt and penalty The people yearn for the Edsall Bowl. r/CFB game thread Q1 1:30 Zion Elee sacks Osborne, forcing a fumble recovered by Maryland Need to put Osborne on the ground. Stewart has been bad this season. r/CFB game thread Q2 14:54 Fans criticize the spot on a UConn rushing play and Washington's decision making That spot is actually insane but so was Malik's decision making r/CFB game thread Q3 2:48 Officials rule a facemask penalty on UConn during Dalton's run, sparking outrage Quoted at the top of the page. Was the facemask called on the wrong team? r/CFB game thread Q4 14:07 Maryland fans rip Washington and Dalton for a 15-yard loss and bad decision What a terrible pair of decisions by Washington and Howard r/CFB game thread Maryland’s chance to win after every play. How to read this chart Starts from the pregame line (Maryland -11.5), at 72% for Maryland (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores. Outlined diamonds mark rare plays. Under the scores, r/CFB comments per minute from fans with a UConn or Maryland flair (125 and 302); both sides share one scale, regulation only. A gold diamond marks a play fans were reacting to. Watch the plays The bar and the arrow show Maryland’s chance to win after each play; the logo is the team the play helped.
Play all in order Q1, 4:39 Osborne 36-yd TD pass to Willoughby UConn goes ahead 7-0 Q1, 4:39 · Maryland 0, UConn 7 ▼15% Maryland’s chance to win, 65% to 50% ▼15% Maryland’s chance to win, 65% to 50% ▶ Watch from this playCBS Sports College Football Q1, 3:24 Washington 60-yd TD pass to Abdul-Rahim Gladding ties it 7-7 Q1, 3:24 · Maryland 7, UConn 7 ▲19% Maryland’s chance to win, 52% to 71% ▲19% Maryland’s chance to win, 52% to 71% ▶ Watch from this playCBS Sports College Football Q1, 1:30 Osborne sacked for a 9-yd loss fumbles Q1, 1:30 · Maryland 7, UConn 7 ▲14% Maryland’s chance to win, 64% to 78% ▲14% Maryland’s chance to win, 64% to 78% ▶ Watch from this playCBS Sports College Football Q2, 7:51 Dalton 4-yd TD run Maryland goes ahead 14-7 Q2, 7:51 · Maryland 14, UConn 7 ▲7% Maryland’s chance to win, 79% to 86% ▲7% Maryland’s chance to win, 79% to 86% ▶ Watch from this playCBS Sports College Football Q2, 5:07 Osborne sacked for a 3-yd loss Q2, 5:07 · Maryland 14, UConn 7 ▲3% Maryland’s chance to win, 82% to 85% ▲3% Maryland’s chance to win, 82% to 85% ▶ Watch from this playCBS Sports College Football Q3, 14:07 Osborne sacked for a 7-yd loss fumbles Q3, 14:07 · Maryland 17, UConn 7 ▲2% Maryland’s chance to win, 90% to 92% ▲2% Maryland’s chance to win, 90% to 92% ▶ Watch from this playCBS Sports College Football Q3, 13:06 Washington sacked for a 6-yd loss Q3, 13:06 · Maryland 17, UConn 7 17-7 score after the play 17-7 score after the play ▶ Watch from this playCBS Sports College Football Q3, 8:42 Howard 1-yd TD run Maryland leads 24-7 Q3, 8:42 · Maryland 24, UConn 7 ▲5% Maryland’s chance to win, 92% to 97% ▲5% Maryland’s chance to win, 92% to 97% ▶ Watch from this playCBS Sports College Football Q3, 5:29 Osborne 39-yd TD pass to Porter cuts it to 24-14 Q3, 5:29 · Maryland 24, UConn 14 ▼4% Maryland’s chance to win, 96% to 92% ▼4% Maryland’s chance to win, 96% to 92% ▶ Watch from this playCBS Sports College Football Q4, 10:57 Washington 13-yd TD pass to Durr Maryland leads 38-14 Q4, 10:57 · Maryland 38, UConn 14 38-14 score after the play 38-14 score after the play ▶ Watch from this playCBS Sports College Football Q4, 5:54 Washington 0-yd pass to Webb fumbled Q4, 5:54 · Maryland 38, UConn 14 38-14 score after the play 38-14 score after the play ▶ Watch from this playCBS Sports College Football
Every drive Maryland scored on 6 of its 13 drives; UConn on 2 of its 11.
Maryland’s drives are teal, UConn’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.
own goal goal line Q1 Maryland: Punt, from 75 yards out to 48 Punt UConn: Punt, from 80 yards out to 48 Punt Maryland: Punt, from 90 yards out to 86 Punt UConn: Touchdown, from 47 yards out to 0 Touchdown Maryland: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0 Touchdown UConn: Fumble, from 81 yards out to 53 Fumble Maryland: Turned over on downs, from 47 yards out to 38 Downs Q2 UConn: Punt, from 62 yards out to 44 Punt Maryland: Touchdown, from 92 yards out to 0 Touchdown UConn: Punt, from 75 yards out to 55 Punt Maryland: Field goal, from 92 yards out to 1 Field goal Maryland: End of half, from 65 yards out to 45 End of half Q3 UConn: Punt, from 77 yards out to 81 Punt Maryland: Touchdown, from 71 yards out to 0 Touchdown UConn: Touchdown, from 77 yards out to 0 Touchdown Maryland: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0 Touchdown UConn: Turned over on downs, from 71 yards out to 66 Downs Q4 Maryland: Punt, from 34 yards out to 48 Punt UConn: Punt, from 99 yards out to 100 Punt Maryland: Touchdown, from 18 yards out to 0 Touchdown UConn: Turned over on downs, from 75 yards out to 71 Downs Maryland: Missed field goal, from 29 yards out to 19 Missed FG UConn: Punt, from 80 yards out to 78 Punt Maryland: End of game, from 60 yards out to 20 End of game “I'll bring the natty bos” A Maryland fan When fans got loud Busy
Fans were loudest in the second quarter.
Jump to the loudest stretch
The jump was busy; the crowd was quiet.
First Second Third Fourth Maryland fans UConn fans usual What it cost Maryland’s chance to make the playoff rose from 1% to 2%.
Make the playoff
Maryland · won 1% → ▲ 2%
UConn · lost 0% → 0%
Before the game (September 11, 2026) → after this result, in our model.
Box score Maryland 38, UConn 14
Maryland covered −11.5 by 12.5. The total, 52, stayed under 52.5.
Maryland UConn Total yards Maryland 475 UConn 223 475 223 Passing yards Maryland 350 UConn 156 350 156 Rushing yards Maryland 125 UConn 67 125 67 First downs Maryland 27 UConn 12 27 12 Turnovers Maryland 0 UConn 1 0 1 Time of possession Maryland 35:31 UConn 24:29 35:31 24:29 Team totals Maryland UConn Total yards 475 223 Passing 35 of 42, 350 yds 10 of 21, 156 yds Rushing 36 for 125 yds 31 for 67 yds First downs 27 12 Third down 8 of 15 3 of 11 Fourth down 1 of 2 0 of 2 Turnovers 0 1 Penalties 5 for 37 yds 8 for 72 yds Time of possession 35:31 24:29
Maryland leaders Passing Malik Washington 34 of 41, 347 yds, 2 TDRushing Iverson Howard 14 for 55 yds, 1 TD; Harry Dalton III 17 for 48 yds, 2 TDReceiving Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding 8 for 130 yds, 1 TD; Chris Durr Jr. 10 for 103 yds, 1 TDUConn leaders Passing Kalieb Osborne 10 of 21, 156 yds, 2 TDRushing Kalieb Osborne 13 for 30 yds; Kenji Christian 9 for 17 ydsReceiving Shamar Porter 3 for 62 yds, 1 TD; Jediyah Willoughby 1 for 36 yds, 1 TDNo rain and calm 75° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 9 mph from the south-southeast, mostly at an angle to the field, gusts to 18
September game-day temperatures at Pratt & Whitney Stadium
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game time Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 UConn favored Maryland favored 0% Win chance UConn Rain inches per 10 min 0.1 in No rain recorded Wind mph, average and gusts 20 mph 40 mph Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game time Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 UConn favored Maryland favored Rain · inches per 10 min 0.1 in No rain recorded Wind · miles per hour 20 40 Drag along the chart, or step through the game.
First quarter, 3:24 left4:04 p.m.
Maryland 7, UConn 7 · UConn 29% to win
no rain · wind 9 mph from the south, mostly across the field, gusts to 15 · 75°
Washington 60-yd TD pass to Abdul-Rahim Gladding, ties it 7-7
Previous play Next play
Jump to Biggest swing: 19 points of win chance · first Where this weather comes from Measured at Hartford/brainard airport, 2.2 miles away, and Hartford/bradley airport, 13 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.
Before kickoff Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.
Matchups Biggest mismatch: UConn’s rushing EPA against Maryland, 40 points Each row ranks the two sides among all teams. The longer the line, the bigger the mismatch.
UConn’s rushing EPA against Maryland’s defense
40 points weaker stronger 50th UConn offense, 79th percentile · Maryland defense, 39th
Maryland’s EPA/play against UConn’s defense
32 points weaker stronger 50th Maryland offense, 18th percentile · UConn defense, 50th
UConn’s explosive plays against Maryland’s defense
28 points weaker stronger 50th UConn offense, 91st percentile · Maryland defense, 63rd
Season profile, all the rows Season profile Maryland UConn
EPA/play, offense
Maryland · 18 UConn · 70 EPA/play, defense
Maryland · 38 UConn · 50 Success rate, offense
Maryland · 20 UConn · 56 Success rate, defense
Maryland · 40 UConn · 32 Explosive-play rate, offense
Maryland · 55 UConn · 91 Explosive-play rate, defense
Maryland · 63 UConn · 67 Rush EPA, offense
Maryland · 61 UConn · 79 Rush EPA, defense
Maryland · 39 UConn · 66 Pass EPA, offense
Maryland · 8 UConn · 69 Pass EPA, defense
Maryland · 43 UConn · 30 The series Maryland leads the series 3-1
4 meetings since 1942 · Maryland has won the last 2
2024 Maryland 50-7 UConn lost 7-50 at Maryland. Chance to win started at 9%, low under 1%, high 10%. 2013 Maryland 32-21 2012 UConn 24-21 1942 Maryland 34-0 Each line is UConn’s chance to win through that meeting. Older meetings have no play by play, so no line.
Line, fans and home field The betting line, and the fans Maryland fans are feeling it less than most fanbases this week (32nd among FBS fanbases), and the other side is no happier.
50-50 Model · 45% Line · 18% UConn fans · 12th Maryland fans · 32nd Maryland UConn Model · 45% Line · 18% UConn fans · 12th Maryland fans · 32nd Maryland favored by 11.5 · Total 52.5
How games like this usually go Maryland by 11.5, and it went to form 50% 90% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 50% 90% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Half of games 8 in 10 games This game
The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 385 games since 2025 with a favorite of 7.5 to 14.5 points.
The market The spread moved 1 point toward UConn.
opened +12.5 now +11.5 The total fell 1 point.
opened 53.5 now 52.5 Spread: +12.5 → +11.5 · Total: 53.5 → 52.5
The books’ cut: 4.2%, the margin built into the odds
Weather at kickoff Warm and dry. Feels like 74° at kickoff.
Maryland at UConn · Saturday, Sept. 12, 2026 · Pratt & Whitney Stadium, East Hartford
74°feels like at kickoff Dry no rain at kickoff 95weather score, Comfortable Tied for the roughest of the day's 7 kickoff times At kickoff, Sept. 12, 2026.
Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.
Kickoff times that Saturday Games in this time zone used 7 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was tied for the roughest of the day's seven kickoff times. At Pratt & Whitney Stadium that day, a 6 pm, 7 pm or 7:30 pm kickoff would have scored 100, against 95 at 3:30 pm.
The roughest kickoff time is the lowest of the day's times. It can still be Mixed or Comfortable.
Rough
Mixed
Comfortable
Ideal (100) 95 Comfortable 94 Comfortable 93 Comfortable 95 Comfortable 100 Ideal 100 Ideal 100 Ideal
noon 1 pm 2 pm 3:30 pm 6 pm 7 pm 7:30 pm
noon: 95, Comfortable 1 pm: 94, Comfortable 2 pm: 93, Comfortable 3:30 pm: 95, Comfortable (this game) 6 pm: 100, Ideal 7 pm: 100, Ideal 7:30 pm: 100, Ideal Weather score at each kickoff time.
Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.
At kickoff, Sept. 12, 2026. Wind is not drawn here; gusts are in each score.
Home field UConn is worth +4.8 points (±5.1) more at home than on the road since 2018 — middle of FBS, 62nd percentile.
38% at home, 25% on the road against FBS opponents (14-23 home, 11-33 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why ); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +3.9 at home vs. away over 89 games — inside the ±6.1 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
The visitors travel about 297 miles to get here.