Maryland at UConn
Fan take
Maryland fans
UConn fans
How they got here
Last three games · 2025 season
Maryland · 4-8
Picked #76 in the preseason · now #97 — worse than expected.
Three straight losses.
L 28–38 @ Michigan State #83 of 668
lost by 10 as a 4-point underdog
L 20–45 vs MichiganTop 25 #21 of 668
lost by 25 as a 14-point underdog
L 6–24 @ IllinoisTop 25 #36 of 668
lost by 18 as a 16.5-point underdog
L 20–35 @ Rutgers #85 of 668
lost by 15 as a 1.5-point underdog
L 10–55 vs IndianaTop 25 #4 of 668
lost by 45 as a 21-point underdog
L 17–20 @ UCLA #70 of 668
lost by 3 as a 4.5-point underdog
L 31–34 vs NebraskaTop 25 #43 of 668
lost by 3 as a 6.5-point underdog
L 20–24 vs WashingtonTop 25 #28 of 668
lost by 4 as a 5.5-point underdog
W 27–10 @ Wisconsin #60 of 668
won by 17 as a 10.5-point underdog
W 44–17 vs Towson #145 of 668
won by 27 as a 28.5-point favorite
W 20–9 vs Northern Illinois #112 of 668
won by 11 as a 16.5-point favorite
W 39–7 vs Florida Atlantic #146 of 668
won by 32 as a 12.5-point favorite
Last three games · 2025 season
UConn · 9-4
Picked #129 in the preseason · now #132 — about right.
2-1 in its last three — but nothing on this résumé beats a top-40 team yet.
L 16–41 @ Army #59 of 668
lost by 25 as a 8.5-point underdog
W 48–45 @ Florida Atlantic #113 of 668
won by 3 as a 5.5-point favorite
W 26–16 vs Air Force #113 of 668
won by 10 as a 7.5-point favorite
W 37–34 vs Duke #56 of 668
won by 3 as a 7.5-point underdog
W 38–19 vs UAB #149 of 668
won by 19 as a 10.5-point favorite
L 34–37 @ Rice #122 of 668
lost by 3 as a 10-point favorite
W 38–23 @ Boston College #97 of 668
won by 15 as a 2.5-point favorite
W 51–10 vs Florida International #147 of 668
won by 41 as a 6.5-point favorite
W 20–17 @ Buffalo #88 of 668
won by 3 as a 2.5-point favorite
W 31–25 vs Ball State #222 of 668
won by 6 as a 20.5-point favorite
L 41–44 @ Delaware #117 of 668
lost by 3 as a 9.5-point favorite
L 20–27 @ Syracuse #94 of 668
lost by 7 as a 7.5-point underdog
W 59–13 vs Central Connecticut #167 of 668
won by 46 as a 28-point favorite
What’s at stake
Maryland
- Maryland sits at 1% to make the CFP field — 2% with a win here, 1% with a loss.
- Maryland hasn’t beaten a ranked opponent since 2019.
UConn
- UConn is still shaking off a 24-point loss.
The series
Maryland leads the series 4-1
5 meetings since 1942 · Maryland has won the last 3
- 2026Maryland 38–14
- 2024Maryland 50–7
- 2013Maryland 32–21
- 2012UConn 24–21
- 1942Maryland 34–0
Best players
Maryland
- Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding (WR) · 187 receiving yards
- Malik Washington (QB) · 533 passing yards — Heisman odds: 91st (+30000)
- Chris Durr Jr. (WR) · 147 receiving yards
UConn
- Zion Paret (DB) · 15 tackles
- K'Von Sherman (LB) · 14 tackles
- Hayden Pegg (LB) · 12 tackles
The line, and the room
Maryland fans are feeling it more than most fanbases this week (38th percentile) — the mood matches the numbers.
- Model · 45%
- Market · 18%
- UConn fans · 20th
- Maryland fans · 38th
Home +11.5 · O/U 52.5
Conditions
73°F · 7 mph wind · Cloudy
UConn is worth +5.8 points (±5.1) more at home than on the road since 2018 — top third of FBS, 77th percentile.
39% at home, 22% on the road against FBS opponents (14–22 home, 9–32 away).
Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +5.3 at home vs. away over 73 games — inside the ±6.7 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.
The visitors travel about 297 miles to get here.
Maryland 38 – UConn 14
Called it — picked Maryland to win.
The thread's loudest minute was 20:05 — 14 comments, 7.0× its usual pace.
comments / minute
Comments per minute in the r/CFB game thread, 18:30–23:00 UTC (449 collected). The chart ends where the collected thread ends.
- BoxThe line
Zion Paret (UConn): 12 tackles · 0.5 TFL
Top 1% tackles game since 2021.
Win-probability model: CollegeFootballData.
Recent games
UConn
- Wk 1Wvs Lafayette56-7
Maryland
- Wk 1Wvs Hampton62-0
Trajectory
Maryland won 38-14, as picked pregame.