UConn routs Lafayette 56-7

Lafayette0-17
UConn1-056Final
Sat, Sep 5 · Pratt & Whitney Stadium, East Hartford, Conn. · Crowd 31,831UConn+

UConn routed Lafayette 56-7.

We had UConn favored. It won.

Next: Lafayette beat Marist 13-9, Sat Sep 12

Next: UConn lost to Maryland 38-14, Sat Sep 12

How it swung

Before kickoff, our ratings gave UConn a 70% chance, and the closing betting line (UConn was a 21.5-point favorite) put it at 96%.

FinalUConn 56-7 LafayetteUConn wonMove across the chart, or tap a numbered swing, to see any play.
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4UConnWon56-7Scores
50%75%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4UConnWon56-7Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4UConnLowest 0%Lost7-56Scores
50%10%25%Q1Q2Q3Q4UConnLowest 0%Lost7-56Scores

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

No single play moved the chance by 20 points.

UConn’s chance to win after every play.
How to read this chartStarts from the pregame line (UConn -21.5), at 95% for UConn (the play-by-play feed's kickoff number, moved to match the line; our model's and the betting line's own numbers are in “The betting line, and the fans”). Dots are the biggest swings; ticks under the chart are scores.

Every drive

UConn scored on 8 of its 14 drives; Lafayette on 1 of its 13.

UConn’s drives are teal, Lafayette’s amber. A line runs from where a drive started to where it ended; a filled dot means it scored.

own goalgoal lineQ1UConn: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownLafayette: Punt, from 75 yards out to 67PuntUConn: Touchdown, from 71 yards out to 0TouchdownLafayette: Punt, from 75 yards out to 80PuntUConn: Touchdown, from 45 yards out to 0TouchdownLafayette: Punt, from 74 yards out to 74PuntUConn: Punt, from 68 yards out to 47PuntQ2Lafayette: Punt, from 95 yards out to 93PuntUConn: Touchdown, from 52 yards out to 0TouchdownLafayette: Punt, from 75 yards out to 44PuntUConn: Interception, from 75 yards out to 26InterceptionLafayette: Punt, from 78 yards out to 82PuntUConn: Touchdown, from 16 yards out to 0TouchdownLafayette: Punt, from 84 yards out to 57PuntUConn: End of half, from 0 yards out to 0End of halfQ3Lafayette: Punt, from 75 yards out to 68PuntUConn: Touchdown, from 80 yards out to 0TouchdownLafayette: Turned over on downs, from 96 yards out to 15DownsUConn: Touchdown, from 85 yards out to 0TouchdownLafayette: Punt, from 75 yards out to 60PuntQ4UConn: Punt, from 85 yards out to 77PuntLafayette: Punt, from 67 yards out to 51PuntUConn: Interception, from 80 yards out to 45InterceptionLafayette: Punt, from 77 yards out to 52PuntUConn: Touchdown, from 80 yards out to 0TouchdownLafayette: Touchdown, from 75 yards out to 0TouchdownUConn: End of game, from 50 yards out to 40End of game

Box score

UConn 56, Lafayette 7

UConn covered −21.5 by 27.5. The total, 63, went over 51.5.

LafayetteUConnTotal yardsLafayette 209UConn 671209671Passing yardsLafayette 145UConn 370145370Rushing yardsLafayette 64UConn 30164301First downsLafayette 19UConn 291929TurnoversLafayette 0UConn 202Time of possessionLafayette 28:18UConn 31:4228:1831:42
Team totalsLafayetteUConn
Total yards209671
Passing21 of 42, 145 yds25 of 33, 370 yds
Rushing30 for 64 yds40 for 301 yds
First downs1929
Third down6 of 186 of 12
Fourth down0 of 12 of 3
Turnovers02
Penalties4 for 30 yds11 for 134 yds
Time of possession28:1831:42

Lafayette leaders

  • Passing Daniel Lipovski 16 of 33, 102 yds
  • Rushing Malachi Gamble 6 for 28 yds; Koven Smith 7 for 19 yds
  • Receiving Nick Bierman 4 for 30 yds; Matthew Scerbo 3 for 29 yds

UConn leaders

  • Passing Kalieb Osborne 19 of 26, 265 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT
  • Rushing Kalieb Osborne 8 for 90 yds, 2 TD; Trey Cornist 6 for 76 yds, 1 TD
  • Receiving Javon Brown 6 for 92 yds, 1 TD; Raymond Liggins III 2 for 58 yds, 1 TD

No rain and calm

75° at kickoff · no rain recorded · wind 10 mph from the north, mostly across the field, gusts to 21

September game-day temperatures at Pratt & Whitney Stadium

Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4UConn favoredLafayette favored100%Win chanceUConnRaininches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWindmph, average and gusts20 mph40 mph
Win chance with rain, wind and thunder from the nearest airport, by game timeQ1Q2Q3Q4UConn favoredLafayette favoredRain · inches per 10 min0.1 inNo rain recordedWind · miles per hour2040

Drag along the chart, or step through the game.

First quarter, 14:45 left12:04 p.m.
Lafayette 0, UConn 0 · UConn 95% to win
no rain · wind 12 mph from the north-northeast, mostly across the field, gusts to 21 · 75°
Osborne 7-yd pass to Bowers
Where this weather comes fromMeasured at Hartford/brainard airport, 2.2 miles away, and Hartford/bradley airport, 13 miles away. Rain is NOAA's radar-and-gauge estimate at the stadium and wind is an airport reading; neither is measured on the field. Game times come from the play-by-play, good to a minute or two. Source: National Weather Service, through the Iowa Environmental Mesonet; rain radar from NOAA MRMS, through Iowa State University. Field direction from OpenStreetMap contributors.

Before kickoff

Recent games, the series and the betting line below are as they stood going in; the season profile is the season so far.

Recent games

Last three games · 2025 season

Lafayette · 8-4

Rated 200th in our preseason ratings.

L 32-42 vs Lehigh #77 of 667

lost by 10 as a 10-point underdog

W 35-28 @ Richmond #198 of 667

won by 7 as a 3.5-point favorite

W 59-42 vs Colgate #214 of 667

won by 17 as a 6.5-point favorite

W 21-13 @ Holy Cross #211 of 667

won by 8 as a 3-point favorite

L 13-45 @ Oregon State #102 of 667

lost by 32 as a 21.5-point underdog

Lafayette lost 13-45 at Oregon State. Chance to win started at 6%, low under 1%, high 28%.

W 62-24 vs Bucknell #234 of 667

won by 38 as a 10-point favorite

W 24-10 vs Fordham #250 of 667

won by 14 as a 15.5-point favorite

L 28-38 vs Princeton #227 of 667

lost by 10 as a 7-point favorite

W 38-14 vs Columbia #239 of 667

won by 24 as a 3.5-point favorite

W 42-37 @ Georgetown #231 of 667

won by 5 as a 1.5-point underdog

W 42-26 @ Stonehill #259 of 667

won by 16 as a 14-point favorite

L 7-26 @ Bowling Green #99 of 667

lost by 19 as a 21.5-point underdog

Lafayette lost 7-26 at Bowling Green. Chance to win started at 3%, low under 1%, high 4%.

Last three games · 2025 season

UConn · 9-4

Rated 128th in our preseason ratings.

L 16-41 @ Army #75 of 667

lost by 25 as a 7.5-point underdog

UConn lost 16-41 vs Army. Chance to win started at 24%, low under 1%, high 46%.

W 48-45 @ Florida Atlantic #104 of 667

won by 3 as a 5.5-point favorite

UConn won 48-45 at Florida Atlantic. Chance to win started at 67%, low 28%, high better than 99%.

W 26-16 vs Air Force #154 of 667

won by 10 as a 7.5-point favorite

UConn won 26-16 vs Air Force. Chance to win started at 76%, low 59%, high better than 99%.

W 37-34 vs Duke #54 of 667

won by 3 as a 7.5-point underdog

UConn won 37-34 vs Duke. Chance to win started at 37%, low 17%, high 88%.

W 38-19 vs UAB #142 of 667

won by 19 as a 10.5-point favorite

L 34-37 @ Rice #146 of 667

lost by 3 as a 9.5-point favorite

UConn lost 34-37 at Rice. Chance to win started at 66%, low under 1%, high 90%.

W 38-23 @ Boston College #101 of 667

won by 15 as a 2.5-point favorite

UConn won 38-23 at Boston College. Chance to win started at 48%, low 39%, high 99%.

W 51-10 vs Florida International #145 of 667

won by 41 as a 6.5-point favorite

UConn won 51-10 vs Florida International. Chance to win started at 75%, low 72%, high better than 99%.

W 20-17 @ Buffalo #106 of 667

won by 3 as a 2.5-point favorite

W 31-25 vs Ball State #161 of 667

won by 6 as a 20.5-point favorite

UConn won 31-25 vs Ball State. Chance to win started at 93%, low 79%, high better than 99%.

L 41-44 @ Delaware #124 of 667

lost by 3 as a 9.5-point favorite

UConn lost 41-44 at Delaware. Chance to win started at 68%, low under 1%, high 88%.

L 20-27 @ Syracuse #57 of 667

lost by 7 as a 7.5-point underdog

W 59-13 vs Central Connecticut #214 of 667

won by 46 as a 29.5-point favorite

UConn won 59-13 vs Central Connecticut. Chance to win started at 98%, low 90%, high better than 99%.

Line, fans and home field

The betting line, and the fans

Our model and the betting line don’t fully agree on UConn’s chances here.

50-50Model · 70%Line · 96%LafayetteUConn

UConn favored by 21.5 · Total 51.5

How games like this usually go

UConn by 21.5, and it went to form

50%90%Q1Q2Q3Q450%90%Q1Q2Q3Q4

Half of games8 in 10 gamesThis game

The band is where a favorite’s chance ran in the 411 games since 2025 with a favorite of 21.5 points or more.

The market

The spread moved 2 points toward UConn.

opened −19.5now −21.5

The total fell 7 points.

opened 58.5now 51.5

Spread: −19.5 → −21.5 · Total: 58.5 → 51.5

The books’ cut: 3.8%, the margin built into the odds

Weather at kickoff

Warm and dry. Feels like 77° at kickoff.

Lafayette at UConn · Saturday, Sept. 5, 2026 · Pratt & Whitney Stadium, East Hartford

  • 77°feels like at kickoff
  • Dryno rain at kickoff
  • 93weather score, Comfortable
  • Tiedfor the roughest of the day's 7 kickoff times

Weather score: 0 to 100, higher is better, for the first 3 hours and 20 minutes of the game. Ideal is 100, Comfortable 90 to 99, Mixed 75 to 89, Rough 50 to 74, Harsh under 50.

Kickoff times that Saturday

Games in this time zone used 7 kickoff times that day, local time (kickoffs within 30 minutes of each other count as one). This game, ringed, was tied for the roughest of the day's seven kickoff times. At Pratt & Whitney Stadium that day, a 7:45 pm kickoff would have scored 100, against 93 at noon.

The roughest kickoff time is the lowest of the day's times. It can still be Mixed or Comfortable.

  • noon: 93, Comfortable (this game)
  • 12:45 pm: 92, Comfortable
  • 2 pm: 92, Comfortable
  • 3:30 pm: 94, Comfortable
  • 6 pm: 98, Comfortable
  • 7 pm: 98, Comfortable
  • 7:45 pm: 100, Ideal

Weather score at each kickoff time.

Tap a dot to read that kickoff time.

Home field

UConn is worth +4.8 points (±5.1) more at home than on the road since 2018 — middle of FBS, 62nd percentile.

38% at home, 25% on the road against FBS opponents (14-23 home, 11-33 away).

Our model gives every stadium the same flat 2.3-point home edge (why); the books use about 3. Against the closing line this stadium reads +3.9 at home vs. away over 89 games — inside the ±6.1 noise, so the flat number is the honest one here.

The visitors travel about 153 miles to get here.

Where next