cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jerrick Gibson /Texas

Jerrick Gibson

RB · Texas · So · #9

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

152 RUSH YDS · 1 RUSH TD · 37 CARRIES

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Texas → Purdue for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Purdue

2025Texas
2026Purdue

RB · TEXAS · SEC

Jerrick Gibson

  • 2
  • #9
  • 5-10 | 206 lb
  • Gainesville, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

11

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 18th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#165

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2024–2025
3772024
1522025

-60%

Sharp dropoff (-60%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#117 national
CFB
College
Texas
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class2
Jersey9
Measurements5-10 | 206 lb
HometownGainesville, FL
Primary teamTexas

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 117 recruit
Composite rating 0.9475 HighSchool
Signed with Texas 2024
Origin IMG Academy Bradenton, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 4-star | 0.9475 No. 117 recruit | HighSchool | Texas

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Purdue 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 4, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Texas -> Purdue 3-star | 0.8800 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#165Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#124Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Texas

Composite

0.9475

#117 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jerrick Gibson

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 3 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 3 mentions · belief +0 · "Top 20 Purdue football players: No. 20 Jerrick Gibson &nbsp;&nbsp; On3"Own fansRivals: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "Hi Knight Nation, When looking for a transfer portal tracker for UCF, I found th"Rivals
  • Own fans · n=3
  • Rivals · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jerrick Gibson

Only 2 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 4g
152Rush yards
37Carries
1Rush TDs
Per game
38Rush yards
9Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
494Rush yards
120Carries
3Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 152): needs 66.4/game over remaining 9.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 152): needs 94.2/game over remaining 9.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 152): needs 149.8/game over remaining 9.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 1/game over remaining 9.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 1.6/game over remaining 9.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 2.1/game over remaining 9.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jerrick Gibson's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Texas, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #165 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 13.6% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 117 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 152 152 rush | -- rec | #373/735 (49th pct)
Rush TD 1 37 carries | #323/739 (56th pct)
Yards/carry 4.1 Per-rush efficiency | #475/735 (36th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
37 52nd
YDS
152 49th
YPC
4.1 36th
TD
1 56th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 4 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 2W 38-7vs San José State7385.4014
Wk 3W 27-10vs UTEP18643.6010Season-high 64 yds
Wk 4W 55-0vs Sam Houston11534.8113
Wk 7W 23-6vs Oklahoma1-3-3.000
Total371522.7114
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Texas13-3HC: Steve Sarkisian · Balanced, fast tempo
2025Texas10-3HC: Steve Sarkisian · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Texas371524.11--
2024Texas783774.84--
Career2 loaded seasons1155294.65--
SeasonTeam
2025Texas----------
2024Texas3258.30--
Career2 loaded seasons3258.30--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work -- -- rec yds
Usage 13.6% 23.0% rush share | #210/738 (72nd pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.06 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #279/362 (23rd pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 152 #373/735 49th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 1 #323/739 56th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 4.1 #475/735 36th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.06 #279/362 23rd pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 36 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 13.6% #210/738 72nd pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 37 #355/739 52nd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 14 #488/733 34th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 23.0% #213/738 71st pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 14.6% #226/738 70th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 14.3% #196/738 74th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 14.0% #248/738 67th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 11.4% #147/738 80th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 9.8% #208/738 72nd pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 0.9% #518/738 30th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #78/256 70th pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 4 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home4g38.02.70.2

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins4g38.02.70.2

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-74g38.02.70.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

11Below cohort
6 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: carries (0th).

Fumbles lost#55 / 201 · 49th pct
1fumb
Yards / carry#285 / 349 · 18th pct
4.1rush
Rush TDs#284 / 349 · 13th pct
1rush
Rush yards#340 / 349 · 3rd pct
152rush
Long run#338 / 349 · 3rd pct
14rush
Carries#350 / 349 · 0th pct
37rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.06Below (<p25) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Jerrick GibsonTexasTae MeadowsTroy· 45% simSeth McGowanKentucky· 43% simRashod DubinionApp State· 43% sim
Fumbles lost
49
Gibson
49
Meadows
49
McGowan
14
Dubinion
Yards / carry
18
Gibson
29
Meadows
29
McGowan
53
Dubinion
Rush TDs
13
Gibson
72
Meadows
94
McGowan
50
Dubinion
Rush yards
3
Gibson
74
Meadows
76
McGowan
84
Dubinion
Long run
3
Gibson
53
Meadows
11
McGowan
39
Dubinion
Carries
0
Gibson
84
Meadows
85
McGowan
87
Dubinion

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Steve Sarkisian

Pass share

50.2%

419 pass / 415 run

Plays / game

64.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.6%

288 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
Steve Sarkisian
Texas
2025
Steve Sarkisian
Texas

Played his entire career under Steve Sarkisian.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownGainesville, FL
Height5'10"
Weight206 lb
Class2
PositionRB
Jersey9

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Texas RB2 #165 #124 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Texas SEC RB 2 No. 9 | 5-10 | 206 lb | Gainesville, FL
2024 Texas SEC RB 2 No. 9 | 5-10 | 206 lb | Gainesville, FL