4th-best Texas tenure of 12 by the numbers.
Recruiter or developer?
Performs about as expected for his recruiting talent, on both sides of the ball.
Offense vs. talent
+9.4 pts
#63 of 208 · a typical amount
Defense vs. talent
+0.8 pts
#98 of 208 · a typical amount
Recruiting talent is team-wide (no offense/defense split exists in the source data) -- both sides are scored against the same talent input, only the outcome is side-specific.
Followed Tom Herman (2017–2020).
Roster construction · portal era
A typical amount of portal roster-building.
Portal arrivals
63
3.4★ avg rating
Portal departures
125
left via the portal
Net portal flow
-62
#118 of 187 FBS stints
Notable portal arrivals with a modeled NIL value
Cam Coleman On3 modeled · $3,000,000Rasheem Biles On3 modeled · $1,000,000Raleek Brown On3 modeled · $1,000,000Hero Kanu On3 modeled · $1,000,000
On3’s modeled estimate (social reach / exposure), not money actually paid — shown per player, never totaled.
Who they bring in
Brings in bigger-than-position-typical players than most.
A typical class-year mix of incoming transfers.
Avg. size (raw)
6′2″, 244 lbs
across 56 of 63 arrivals — unadjusted for position mix
Size vs. position-typical
+12.9 lbs
#1 of 255 · more than most
Avg. class year
Jr
#71 of 255 · a typical amount
Top states: TX (16), CA (7), FL (7), AL (3), IL (3)
Who won the portal our read
Talent added
66.8
position-weighted
Talent lost
65.9
position-weighted
Net
+0.9
arrivals minus departures
Best addition: Quinn Ewers (QB) from Ohio State
Biggest loss: Hudson Card (QB) to Purdue
Position-value-weighted (QB/CB weighted highest, depth-decayed within each position) — the same scoring engine as the Portal Heat feed, not a separate grade.
Does the system survive a coordinator change?
OC: Kyle Flood → co-A. J. Milwee / Kyle Flood · 2023the system held
2-season window either side.
1st-down pass rate: 46.0% → 50.2% (+4.2 pts)
Confound, shown not hidden: only 61% of offensive production returned the year the coordinator changed — the roster turned over at the same time, not just the play-caller.
DC: co-Jeff Choate / Pete Kwiatkowski → co-Johnny Nansen / Pete Kwiatkowski · 2024the system held
2-season window either side.
DC: co-Johnny Nansen / Pete Kwiatkowski → Will Muschamp · 2026
1-season window either side — numbers shown, not enough to badge a verdict.
Roster size, by position
Skill positions · usage-weighted (real participation)
Quarterback
211 lbs
6′3″ avg · #432 of 767 · a typical amount
Running back
209 lbs
6′0″ avg · #307 of 791 · a typical amount
Wide receiver
190 lbs
6′1″ avg · #531 of 791 · a typical amount
Tight end
244 lbs
6′4″ avg · #434 of 731 · a typical amount
Trench & secondary · recruited roster, not confirmed starters
Interior line
318 lbs
6′5″ avg · #80 of 779 · more than most
D-line
306 lbs
6′4″ avg · #30 of 753 · more than most
Linebacker
236 lbs
6′3″ avg · #80 of 772 · more than most
Cornerback
193 lbs
6′0″ avg · #253 of 771 · a typical amount
Safety
206 lbs
6′0″ avg · #11 of 346 · more than most
Offensive-line size is one undifferentiated bucket — the source data almost never distinguishes tackle from guard from center, so we can't split them out.
Where the roster comes from, by position
Grows Running back from high school
79%
#180 of 208 stints
Grows Interior line from high school
81%
#182 of 224 stints
Postseason detail2022: Lost to Washington 20–27 Valero Alamo Bowl2023: Lost to Washington 31–37 CFP Semifinal at the Allstate Sugar Bowl2024: Beat Clemson 38–24 College Football Playoff First Round Game Presented by Allstate2024: Beat Arizona State 39–31 College Football Playoff Quarterfinal at the Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl2024: Lost to Ohio State 14–28 College Football Playoff Semifinal at the Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic2025: Beat Michigan 41–27 Cheez-It Citrus Bowl
39 NFL Draft picks: Samuel Cosmi (2021), Joseph Ossai (2021), Ta'Quon Graham (2021), Caden Sterns (2021), Sam Ehlinger (2021), Bijan Robinson (2023), DeMarvion Overshown (2023), Roschon Johnson (2023) + 31 more
13 player-seasons honored (All-America / national award): Bijan Robinson (2022), T'Vondre Sweat (2023), Xavier Worthy (2023), Anthony Hill Jr. (2024), Michael Taaffe (2024), Jahdae Barron (2024), Kelvin Banks (2024), Ryan Niblett (2025) + 5 more