CFB Zeitgeist Score
35
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 57th percentile.
Xavier Townsend
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
243 REC YDS · 18 REC · 0 REC TD
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to Purdue
2025Iowa State
2026Purdue
WR · IOWA STATE · BIG 12
Xavier Townsend
- 3
- #4
- 5-11 | 195 lb
- Tampa, FL
Heisman Heat
#1175
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR05 · Part-time starter
Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2022–2025+91%
Up 91% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 3-star | 0.8809 | No. 559 recruit | HighSchool |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Iowa State -> Purdue | 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate |
| 2025 | UCF -> Iowa State | 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to —
Composite
0.8809
#559 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Xavier Townsend
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=1
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Xavier Townsend
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 8g
243Rec yards
18Receptions
0Rec TDs
Per game
30.4Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
394.9Rec yards
29Receptions
0Rec TDs
To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 243): needs 91.4/game over remaining 5.
To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 243): needs 151.4/game over remaining 5.
To hit 60-catch season (currently 18): needs 8.4/game over remaining 5.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 18): needs 12.4/game over remaining 5.
To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 1.6/game over remaining 5.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 2/game over remaining 5.
Why the profile pops beyond receiving
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The most interesting thing about Xavier Townsend is that he shows up in multiple game states. He is a receiver first, but the profile also includes designed touches and return-game juice, which means his value is not limited to a conventional route tree.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
WR season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
18 60th
YDS
243 63rd
YPR
13.5 63rd
TD
0 45th
Rushing
CAR
5 78th
YDS
18 63rd
YPC
3.6 39th
TD
1 96th
Returns
KR YDS
15 18th
KR AVG
7.5 9th
PR YDS
5 12th
PR AVG
2.5 14th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 8 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 55-7vs South Dakota | 3 | 34 | 11.3 | 0 | 18 | |
| Wk 2 | W 16-13vs Iowa | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 3 | W 24-16@ Arkansas State | 3 | 92 | 30.7 | 0 | 44 | Season-high 92 yds |
| Wk 5 | W 39-14vs Arizona | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | 0 | 9 | |
| Wk 6 | L 30-38@ Cincinnati | 6 | 50 | 8.3 | 0 | 17 | |
| Wk 7 | L 17-24@ Colorado | 2 | 28 | 14.0 | 0 | 19 | |
| Wk 9 | L 27-41vs BYU | 2 | 24 | 12.0 | 0 | 17 | |
| Wk 10 | L 19-24vs Arizona State | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Total | 18 | 243 | 13.0 | 0 | 44 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022UCF9-5HC: Gus Malzahn · Run-leaning, fast tempo
2023UCF6-7HC: Gus Malzahn · Run-leaning
2024UCF4-8HC: Gus Malzahn · Run-heavy
2025Iowa State8-4HC: Matt Campbell · Run-leaning
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Iowa State | 18 | 243 | 13.5 | 0 | -- |
| 2024 | UCF | 10 | 69 | 6.9 | 1 | -- |
| 2023 | UCF | 33 | 325 | 9.8 | 3 | -- |
| 2022 | UCF | 23 | 127 | 5.5 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 4 loaded seasons | 84 | 764 | 9.1 | 4 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Iowa State | 5 | 18 | 15 | 5 | -- |
| 2024 | UCF | 12 | 88 | 162 | 121 | -- |
| 2023 | UCF | 15 | 163 | 177 | 142 | -- |
| 2022 | UCF | 5 | 27 | 47 | 177 | -- |
| Career | 4 loaded seasons | 37 | 296 | 401 | 445 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 18 | #444/1110 | 60th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 243 | #412/1107 | 63rd pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #615/1111 | 45th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 13.5 | #406/1106 | 63rd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick return yards | 15 | #197/238 | 18th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt return yards | 5 | #198/224 | 12th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 9.8% | #492/1137 | 57th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 18 | #147/397 | 63rd pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 11 | #156/346 | 55th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Carries | 5 | #90/407 | 78th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 3.6 | #241/393 | 39th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 1 | #19/411 | 96th pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 44 | #368/1105 | 67th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick return avg | 7.5 | #215/236 | 9th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt return avg | 2.5 | #193/222 | 14th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Returns | Kick returns | 2 | #132/243 | 46th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Returns | Punt returns | 2 | #156/237 | 35th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 10.9% | #189/1137 | 83rd pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 7.4% | #276/1137 | 76th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 5.5% | #423/1137 | 63rd pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 4.4% | #696/1137 | 39th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 3.3% | #656/1137 | 42nd pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 3.2% | #647/1137 | 43rd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 1.6% | #133/1137 | 88th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #131/302 | 57th pct | Turnoversvs FBS WR |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 8 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home5g | 1.4 | 14.6 | 9.6 | 0.0 |
| Road3g | 3.7 | 56.7 | 17.7 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins4g | 2.0 | 35.2 | 14.2 | 0.0 |
| Losses4g | 2.5 | 25.5 | 11.4 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 2.7 | 36.5 | 13.2 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+2g | 1.0 | 12.0 | 12.0 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
35Mid-pack
Elite: rush tds (85th). Concern: rec tds (6th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Xavier TownsendIowa StateJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 59% simKevin Coleman Jr.Missouri· 56% simLewis BondBoston College· 55% sim
Rush TDs
Rush yards
Yards / catch
Long catch
Fumbles lost
Rec yards
Receptions
Rec TDs
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Possession Receiver
Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.
WR
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Zion Steptoe’s 2025 season.
Zion Steptoe
90%match
#2
Mike Brown-Stephens
85%
#3
Noah Jennings
79%
#4
Tastean Reddicks
78%
#5
Jay Maclin
78%
Matches Zion on
Yards / reception
Reception volume
Recruiting rating
Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Marshel Martin’s path through Sacramento State.
Marshel Martin
97%match
#2
Devin Young
95%
#3
Latrell Williams
94%
#4
Karim Page
94%
#5
Nazeviah Burris
92%
Matches Marshel on
Yards per reception
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Jimmy Calloway's senior season at Louisville (2023).
Jimmy Calloway
70%match
#2
DJ Riles
67%
#3
Vinny Anthony
66%
#4
Ahmari Huggins-Bruce
65%
#5
Jayden Harrison
1st-team All-American
64%
Matches Jimmy on
Yards / reception
Height
EPA / play (adj)
Differs from Jimmy on
Class year (lower)
Recruiting rating (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Matt Campbell
Pass share
42.4%
345 pass / 469 run
Plays / game
67.8
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.8%
296 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
1 coach2022
Matt Campbell
Iowa State
2023
Matt Campbell
Iowa State
2024
Matt Campbell
Iowa State
2025
Matt Campbell
Iowa State
Played his entire career under Matt Campbell.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownTampa, FL
Height5'11"
Weight195 lb
Class3
PositionWR
Jersey4
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamIowa State
ConferenceBig 12
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Iowa State | Big 12 | WR | 3 | No. 4 | 5-11 | 195 lb | Tampa, FL |
| 2024 | UCF | Big 12 | WR | 3 | No. 4 | 5-11 | 195 lb | Tampa, FL |
| 2023 | UCF | Big 12 | WR | 3 | No. 4 | 5-11 | 195 lb | Tampa, FL |
| 2022 | UCF | American Athletic | WR | 3 | No. 4 | 5-11 | 195 lb | Tampa, FL |