cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jyaire Brown /UCF

Jyaire Brown

CB · UCF · Jr · #15

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

7 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 TRANSFERTransferred UCF → Southern Miss for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Southern Miss

2025UCF
2026Southern Miss

CB · UCF · BIG 12

Jyaire Brown

  • 3
  • #15
  • 5-11 | 177 lb
  • New Orleans, LA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

24

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by passes defended at the 48th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#10682

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#192 national
CFB
College
3 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#20 in market ▼ from #17 · 6 books

+35002.8% implied▼ lengthened from +2500

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionCB
Class3
Jersey15
Measurements5-11 | 177 lb
HometownNew Orleans, LA
Primary teamUCF

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 71 recruit
Composite rating 0.9640 HighSchool
Signed with LSU 2023
Origin Gulliver Prep Miami, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 4-star | 0.9640 No. 71 recruit | HighSchool | LSU
2022 4-star | 0.9237 No. 192 recruit | HighSchool | Ohio State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 3 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Southern Miss 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 13, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 UCF -> Southern Miss 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate
2025 LSU -> UCF 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate
2024 Ohio State -> LSU 3-star | 0.8800 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#10682Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#10565Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to LSU

Composite

0.9640

#71 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jyaire Brown

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jyaire Brown

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 5g
7Tackles
1Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
1Tackles
0.2Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
18Tackles
2.6Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 7): needs 9.1/game over remaining 8.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 7): needs 11.6/game over remaining 8.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 0.8/game over remaining 8.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 1.2/game over remaining 8.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jyaire Brown is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on UCF's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 1.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #10682 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 71 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 7 6 solo | #3212/4942 (35th pct)
TFL 1.0 Backfield disruption | #2051/4972 (59th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Defensive contributor against FBS defenders.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
7 35th
SOLO
6 43rd
TFL
1.0 59th
SACK
0.0 65th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
1 43rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 5 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 5L 20-34@ Kansas State110.00.00
Wk 6L 20-27vs Kansas110.00.00
Wk 8W 45-13vs West Virginia000.00.01
Wk 11L 27-30vs Houston221.00.00
Wk 12L 9-48@ Texas Tech320.00.00Season-high 3 tackles
Total761.00.01
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Ohio State11-2HC: Ryan Day · Balanced
2023Ohio State11-2HC: Ryan Day · Balanced
2024LSU9-4HC: Brian Kelly · Pass-leaning, fast tempo
2025UCF5-7HC: Scott Frost · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025UCF761.00.01----
2024LSU330.00.0------
2023Ohio State110.00.0------
2022Ohio State840.00.03----
Career4 loaded seasons19141.00.04----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 1 Coverage disruption | #1241/2184 (43rd pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 7 #3212/4942 35th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 1.0 #2051/4972 59th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 1 #1241/2184 43rd pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 6 #2592/4584 43rd pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 5 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home3g1.00.30.00.3
Road2g2.00.00.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins1g0.00.00.01.0
Losses4g1.80.20.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-72g1.00.00.00.0
Weeks 8+3g1.70.30.00.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the CB cohort

24Below cohort
6 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: tackles (0th).

Passes defended#1191 / 2975 · 48th pct
1defe
Tackles for loss#1936 / 2975 · 28th pct
1.0defe
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe
Solo tackles#2560 / 2975 · 12th pct
6defe
Tackles#2976 / 2975 · 0th pct
7defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · CB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Jyaire BrownUCFTyler MartinMassachusetts· 47% simTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 42% simDalton JohnsonArizona· 41% sim
Passes defended
48
Brown
67
Martin
91
Ra-El
96
Johnson
Tackles for loss
28
Brown
63
Martin
56
Ra-El
47
Johnson
Sacks
24
Brown
24
Martin
24
Ra-El
63
Johnson
QB hurries
22
Brown
22
Martin
22
Ra-El
22
Johnson
Solo tackles
12
Brown
87
Martin
100
Ra-El
97
Johnson
Tackles
0
Brown
98
Martin
99
Ra-El
98
Johnson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Scott Frost

Pass share

51.7%

403 pass / 377 run

Plays / game

65.0

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.5%

324 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Gus Malzahn
UCF
2023
Gus Malzahn
UCF
2024
Gus Malzahn
UCF
2025
Scott Frost
UCF
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Gus Malzahn → Scott Frost. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownNew Orleans, LA
Height5'11"
Weight177 lb
Class3
PositionCB
Jersey15

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 LSU CB3 #10682 #10565 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC
2023 Ohio State CB3 #4694 #4229 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big Ten
2022 Ohio State CB3 #3862 #3598 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 UCF Big 12 CB 3 No. 15 | 5-11 | 177 lb | New Orleans, LA
2024 LSU SEC CB 3 No. 15 | 5-11 | 177 lb | New Orleans, LA
2023 Ohio State Big Ten CB 3 No. 15 | 5-11 | 177 lb | New Orleans, LA
2022 Ohio State Big Ten CB 3 No. 15 | 5-11 | 177 lb | New Orleans, LA