CFB Zeitgeist Score
63
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by pass tds at the 85th percentile.
Braylon Braxton
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
3,053 PASS YDS · 24 PASS TD · 215 RUSH YDS
2026 Outlook
Returning to Southern Miss for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Quarterback · Southern Miss
Returning around him
- 52% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- Transfer portal: +9 net (37 in / 28 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Southern Miss · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #83 · 2026 recruiting class #105
QB · SOUTHERN MISS · SUN BELT
Braylon Braxton
- 4
- #1
- 6-2 | 230 lb
- Frisco, TX
Heisman Heat
#107
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
5 seasons on the ladder
2021
Tulsa · QB
—
2022
Tulsa · QB
—
2023
Tulsa · QB
—
★
2024
Marshall · QB
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
2025
Southern Miss · QB
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2022–2025+169%
Up 169% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
3 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 3-star | 0.8578 | No. 969 recruit | HighSchool |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Marshall -> Southern Miss | 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate |
| 2024 | Tulsa -> Marshall | 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate |
| 2023 | Tulsa -> -- | 3-star | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Volume King 1.3% Volume King 2,500+ passing yards, 1,200+ rushing yards, or 900+ receiving yards in a single season (position-appropriate threshold). Held by 1.3% of the 2025 pool. 3053 passing yards — clears the 2,500-QB volume bar.
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in passing yards (3053).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to —
Composite
0.8578
#969 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Braylon Braxton
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=1
- National · n=2
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Braylon Braxton
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
Through 12g
3,053Pass yards
24Pass TDs
8INT
Per game
254.4Pass yards
2Pass TDs
1INT
Projected (13g)
3,307Pass yards
26Pass TDs
9INT
✓ Hit 3,000-yard season · finished with 3,053.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 3,053): needs 947/game over remaining 1.
To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 24): needs 1/game over remaining 1.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 24): needs 6/game over remaining 1.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 24): needs 11/game over remaining 1.
Why the honors trail matters
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Braylon Braxton already has 2 loaded recognition items, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
High-volume passer | Dual-threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
254 92nd
ATT
400 94th
CMP%
63.5% 61st
Y/A
7.6 69th
Passing Production
YDS
3,053 91st
TD
24 94th
INT
8 17th
Rushing
CAR
98 87th
YDS
215 80th
YPC
2.2 41st
TD
1 63rd
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 17-34vs Mississippi State | 26/39 | 199 | 2 | 1 | 5.1 | 52.3 | |
| Wk 2 | W 38-20vs Jackson State | 20/30 | 214 | 3 | 0 | 7.1 | 43.5 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 3 | W 38-22vs App State | 22/30 | 279 | 2 | 1 | 9.3 | 68.5 | |
| Wk 4 | L 20-30@ Louisiana Tech | 28/47 | 392 | 2 | 1 | 8.3 | 55.5 | |
| Wk 5 | W 42-25vs Jacksonville State | 13/22 | 152 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 | 41.0 | |
| Wk 7 | W 38-35@ Georgia Southern | 19/28 | 237 | 2 | 0 | 8.5 | 63.9 | |
| Wk 8 | W 22-10@ Louisiana | 13/18 | 237 | 1 | 1 | 13.2 | 48.4 | |
| Wk 9 | W 49-21vs UL Monroe | 18/23 | 248 | 4 | 0 | 10.8 | 65.4 | 4 TD passes |
| Wk 11 | W 27-21@ Arkansas State | 20/29 | 228 | 1 | 1 | 7.9 | 38.4 | |
| Wk 13 | L 35-42@ South Alabama | 31/52 | 400 | 3 | 1 | 7.7 | 30.8 | Season-high 400 yds |
| Wk 14 | L 18-28vs Troy | 20/35 | 209 | 1 | 1 | 6.0 | 43.2 | |
| Bowl | L 16-27vs Western Kentucky | 24/47 | 258 | 1 | 1 | 5.5 | 39.5 | |
| Total | 254/400 | 3053 | 24 | 8 | 8.0 | 49.2 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021Tulsa6-6HC: Philip Montgomery · Run-leaning, fast tempo
2022Tulsa5-7HC: Philip Montgomery · Balanced
2023Tulsa4-8HC: Kevin Wilson · Run-heavy
2024Marshall10-3HC: Charles Huff · Run-leaning
2025Southern Miss7-6HC: Charles Huff · Balanced
| Season | Team | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Southern Miss | 254 | 400 | 63.5% | 3,053 | 7.6 | 24 | 8 | 143.4 | -- | -- |
| 2024 | Marshall | 124 | 206 | 60.2% | 1,624 | 7.9 | 19 | 2 | 154.9 | -- | -- |
| 2023 | Tulsa | 22 | 50 | 44.0% | 212 | 4.2 | 2 | 6 | 68.8 | -- | -- |
| 2022 | Tulsa | 92 | 164 | 56.1% | 1,133 | 6.9 | 10 | 2 | 131.8 | -- | -- |
| 2021 | Tulsa | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Career | 5 loaded seasons | 492 | 820 | 60.0% | 6,022 | 7.3 | 55 | 18 | 139.4 | -- | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Southern Miss | 98 | 215 | 2.2 | 1 | -- |
| 2024 | Marshall | 134 | 610 | 4.6 | 4 | -- |
| 2023 | Tulsa | 40 | 174 | 4.3 | 0 | -- |
| 2022 | Tulsa | 55 | 145 | 2.6 | 5 | -- |
| 2021 | Tulsa | 9 | 38 | 4.2 | 1 | -- |
| Career | 5 loaded seasons | 336 | 1,182 | 3.5 | 11 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 3,053 | #34/382 | 91st pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 24 | #24/407 | 94th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 254 | #30/383 | 92nd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 63.5% | #152/383 | 61st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 7.6 | #118/382 | 69th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 215 | #81/408 | 80th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.27 | #99/200 | 51st pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 377 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 57.3% | #26/428 | 94th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 400 | #26/407 | 94th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 8 | #339/407 | 17th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 98 | #56/408 | 87th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 21 | #167/391 | 58th pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 2.2 | #240/407 | 41st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 1 | #151/408 | 63rd pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 95.4% | #20/428 | 96th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 71.0% | #36/428 | 92nd pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 69.2% | #51/428 | 88th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 56.0% | #40/428 | 91st pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 51.3% | #24/428 | 95th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 50.7% | #29/428 | 93rd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 18.3% | #76/428 | 82nd pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.19 | #96/140 | 32nd pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 69 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #69/258 | 74th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
ALL-CONF HM
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16
Why he’s here
All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.
What moves him up
A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.
What moves him down
A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 223 | 2.1 | 7.2 | 0.6 |
| Road5g | 299 | 1.8 | 9.1 | 0.8 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins7g | 228 | 2.1 | 9.1 | 0.4 |
| Losses5g | 292 | 1.8 | 6.5 | 1.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 247 | 2.0 | 7.2 | 0.6 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 264 | 2.0 | 9.1 | 0.8 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
63Solid starter
Elite: pass tds (85th). Strength: pass yards (81st). Concern: rush tds (25th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Pass Profile · Completion depth (PBP)
Where the throws are landing
Short
0–9 yds54%of completions
69 comp4.8 yds avg3 TD
Middle
10–19 yds22%of completions
28 comp12.9 yds avg3 TD
Deep
20+ yds24%of completions
30 comp32.7 yds avg5 TD
Overall 64.8% completion on 196 attempts · 30 deep completions averaging 32.7 yds.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Reads as a mid-tier profile across the board..
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_passing0.27Low (p25–p50) (n=94)
wepa_rushing0.19Low (p25–p50) (n=72)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Braylon BraxtonSouthern MissNoah FifitaArizona· 87% simMicah AlejadoHawai'i· 85% simJC FrenchGeorgia Southern· 82% sim
Pass TDs
Pass yards
Yards / att
Fumbles lost
Rush yards
Completion %
Interceptions
Rush TDs
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Pocket Passer
Balanced passer who operates within the system. Profile sits near league average across dimensions.
QB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Chase Brice’s 2022 season.
Chase Brice
73%match
All-Sun Belt
#2
Ben Wooldridge
All-Sun Belt
70%
#3
Byrum Brown
69%
#4
Anthony Brown
68%
#5
Maverick McIvor
68%
Matches Chase on
Total pass EPA (college ability)
Height
Yards / attempt
Differs from Chase on
Recruiting rating (lower)
TD rate (lower)
Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Bryson Barnes’s path through Utah State.
Bryson Barnes
94%match
All-Mountain West
#2
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson
90%
#3
Noah Kim
89%
#4
Jake Constantine
88%
#5
Ben Wooldridge
All-Sun Belt
88%
Matches Bryson on
Height
Yards per attempt
Completion %
As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Tucker Gleason's graduate season at Toledo (2025).
Tucker Gleason
60%match
All-MAC
#2
Blake Shapen
52%
#3
Grayson James
All-ACC
48%
#4
Brendon Lewis
46%
#5
Preston Stone
All-Big Ten
45%
Matches Tucker on
Height
Differs from Tucker on
Weight (lower)
EPA / dropback (adj) (lower)
Rush usage (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Charles Huff
Pass share
49.9%
454 pass / 456 run
Plays / game
70.0
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.3%
315 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
3 coaches2021
Will Hall
Southern Miss
2022
Will Hall
Southern Miss
2023
Will Hall
Southern Miss
2024era →
Reed Stringer
Southern Miss
2025era →
Charles Huff
Southern Miss
Played under 3 different head coaches: Will Hall, Reed Stringer, and Charles Huff. Multi-era developmental context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownFrisco, TX
Height6'2"
Weight230 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey1
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamSouthern Miss
ConferenceSun Belt
Joined2025
Career arc5 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2025)
All-Sun Belt
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
2 all-conference honors
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | All-Sun Belt | all_conference | Southern Miss | Sun Belt | QB |
| 2024 | All-Sun Belt | all_conference | Marshall | Sun Belt | QB |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Marshall | QB4 | #107 | #187 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Sun Belt |
| 2023 | Tulsa | QB4 | #1975 | #2452 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | American Athletic |
| 2022 | Tulsa | QB4 | #399 | #568 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | American Athletic |
| 2021 | Tulsa | QB4 | #1903 | #1975 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | American Athletic |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Southern Miss | Sun Belt | QB | 4 | No. 1 | 6-2 | 230 lb | Frisco, TX |
| 2024 | Marshall | Sun Belt | QB | 4 | No. 1 | 6-2 | 230 lb | Frisco, TX |
| 2023 | Tulsa | American Athletic | QB | 4 | No. 1 | 6-2 | 230 lb | Frisco, TX |
| 2022 | Tulsa | American Athletic | QB | 4 | No. 1 | 6-2 | 230 lb | Frisco, TX |
| 2021 | Tulsa | American Athletic | QB | 4 | No. 1 | 6-2 | 230 lb | Frisco, TX |