CFB Zeitgeist Score
47
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by completion % at the 99th percentile.
Ethan Hampton
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
27 PASS YDS · 0 PASS TD
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to Southern Miss
2025Illinois
2026Southern Miss
QB · ILLINOIS · BIG TEN
Ethan Hampton
- 4
- #10
- 6-3 | 220 lb
- Elburn, IL
Heisman Heat
#1431
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2021–2025+17%
Modest growth (17%) across the multi-season window.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 3-star | 0.8315 | No. 1704 recruit | HighSchool | Northern Illinois |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Illinois -> Southern Miss | 3-star | Immediate |
| 2025 | Northern Illinois -> Illinois | 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Northern Illinois
Composite
0.8315
#1704 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Ethan Hampton
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=2
- National · n=2
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Ethan Hampton
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
Through 2g
27Pass yards
0Pass TDs
1INT
Per game
13.5Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT
Projected (13g)
175.5Pass yards
0Pass TDs
6INT
To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 27): needs 270.3/game over remaining 11.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 27): needs 361.2/game over remaining 11.
To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 2.3/game over remaining 11.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 2.7/game over remaining 11.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 0): needs 3.2/game over remaining 11.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Ethan Hampton's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Illinois, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Highly efficient | Pocket-leaning against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
3 16th
ATT
4 17th
CMP%
75.0% 91st
Y/A
6.8 48th
Passing Production
YDS
27 13th
TD
0 30th
INT
1 63rd
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 2 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 52-3vs Western Illinois | 1/1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 14.0 | 100.0 | Season-high 14 yds |
| Wk 4 | L 10-63@ Indiana | 2/3 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 4.3 | 2.8 | |
| Total | 3/4 | 27 | 0 | 1 | 9.2 | 51.4 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021Northern Illinois9-4HC: Thomas Hammock · Run-heavy, fast tempo
2022Northern Illinois3-9HC: Thomas Hammock · Run-leaning
2023Northern Illinois7-6HC: Thomas Hammock · Run-leaning
2025Illinois9-4HC: Bret Bielema · Run-leaning
| Season | Team | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Illinois | 3 | 4 | 75.0% | 27 | 6.8 | 0 | 1 | 81.7 | -- | -- |
| 2023 | Northern Illinois | 19 | 33 | 57.6% | 147 | 4.5 | 2 | 2 | 102.9 | -- | -- |
| 2022 | Northern Illinois | 72 | 122 | 59.0% | 798 | 6.5 | 7 | 6 | 123.1 | -- | -- |
| 2021 | Northern Illinois | 4 | 10 | 40.0% | 23 | 2.3 | 0 | 0 | 59.3 | -- | -- |
| Career | 4 loaded seasons | 98 | 169 | 58.0% | 995 | 5.9 | 9 | 9 | 114.4 | -- | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Illinois | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 2023 | Northern Illinois | 4 | 6 | 1.5 | 0 | -- |
| 2022 | Northern Illinois | 12 | -6 | -0.5 | 0 | -- |
| 2021 | Northern Illinois | 5 | -10 | -2.0 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 4 loaded seasons | 21 | -10 | -0.5 | 0 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 27 | #333/382 | 13th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 0 | #285/407 | 30th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 3 | #321/383 | 16th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 75.0% | #37/383 | 91st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 6.8 | #199/382 | 48th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 3.8% | #363/428 | 15th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 4 | #339/407 | 17th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 1 | #153/407 | 63rd pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 7.0% | #326/428 | 24th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 6.3% | #299/428 | 30th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 4.1% | #348/428 | 19th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 3.1% | #372/428 | 13th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 0.0% | #396/428 | 8th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 0.0% | #400/428 | 7th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.0% | #391/428 | 9th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 2 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home1g | 14.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 0.0 |
| Road1g | 13.0 | 0.0 | 4.3 | 1.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins1g | 14.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 0.0 |
| Losses1g | 13.0 | 0.0 | 4.3 | 1.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-72g | 13.5 | 0.0 | 9.2 | 0.5 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
47Mid-pack
Elite: completion % (99th). Strength: interceptions (97th). Concern: pass tds (0th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Ethan HamptonIllinoisBrendon LewisMemphis· 50% simDrake LindseyMinnesota· 49% simHaynes KingGeorgia Tech· 49% sim
Completion %
Interceptions
Yards / att
Pass yards
Pass TDs
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Bret Bielema
Pass share
45.6%
372 pass / 444 run
Plays / game
62.8
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
11.0%
292 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
1 coach2021
Bret Bielema
Illinois
2022
Bret Bielema
Illinois
2023
Bret Bielema
Illinois
2025
Bret Bielema
Illinois
Played his entire career under Bret Bielema.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownElburn, IL
Height6'3"
Weight220 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey10
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamIllinois
ConferenceBig Ten
Joined2025
Career arc5 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Northern Illinois | QB4 | #1431 | #1611 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mid-American |
| 2023 | Northern Illinois | QB4 | #1499 | #1592 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Mid-American |
| 2022 | Northern Illinois | QB4 | #1401 | #1963 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Mid-American |
| 2021 | Northern Illinois | QB4 | #1605 | #1658 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Mid-American |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Illinois | Big Ten | QB | 4 | No. 10 | 6-3 | 220 lb | Elburn, IL |
| 2024 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | QB | 4 | No. 10 | 6-3 | 220 lb | Elburn, IL |
| 2023 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | QB | 4 | No. 10 | 6-3 | 220 lb | Elburn, IL |
| 2022 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | QB | 4 | No. 10 | 6-3 | 220 lb | Elburn, IL |
| 2021 | Northern Illinois | Mid-American | QB | 4 | No. 10 | 6-3 | 220 lb | Elburn, IL |