cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Zion Turner /Marshall

Zion Turner

QB · Marshall · Jr · #1

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

409 PASS YDS · 1 PASS TD · 135 RUSH YDS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Marshall for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Marshall for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Quarterback · Marshall

Returning around him

  • 100% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: +5 net (27 in / 22 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Marshall · Last season: 5-7 · Talent rank #89 · 2026 recruiting class #120

QB · MARSHALL · SUN BELT

Zion Turner

  • 3
  • #1
  • 6-1 | 205 lb
  • Miami, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

45

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by completion % at the 89th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1863

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2022–2025
1,4082022
8.02023
4092025

-71%

Sharp dropoff (-71%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1483 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class3
Jersey1
Measurements6-1 | 205 lb
HometownMiami, FL
Primary teamMarshall

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1483 recruit
Composite rating 0.8396 HighSchool
Signed with UConn 2021
Origin Gonzaga Washington, DC, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8396 No. 1483 recruit | HighSchool | UConn

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Marshall 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 6, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 Jacksonville State -> Marshall 3-star | 0.8200 | Immediate
2024 UConn -> Jacksonville State 3-star | 0.8200 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1863Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2185Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to UConn

Composite

0.8396

#1483 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Zion Turner

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Zion Turner

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the passing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 5g
409Pass yards
1Pass TDs
1INT
Per game
81.8Pass yards
0Pass TDs
0INT
Projected (13g)
1,063Pass yards
3Pass TDs
3INT

To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 409): needs 323.9/game over remaining 8.

To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 409): needs 448.9/game over remaining 8.

To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 1): needs 3/game over remaining 8.

To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 1): needs 3.6/game over remaining 8.

To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 1): needs 4.2/game over remaining 8.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Zion Turner's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Marshall, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #1863 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 22.7% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 2 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 409 1 TD | 1 INT | #189/382 (51st pct)
Completion rate 67.8% 40/59 completions | #84/383 (78th pct)
Yards/attempt 6.9 Explosiveness through the air | #186/382 (52nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Efficient against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

Efficient

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
40 52nd
ATT
59 53rd
CMP%
67.8% 78th
Y/A
6.9 52nd

Passing Production

YDS
409 51st
TD
1 44th
INT
1 63rd

Rushing

CAR
21 51st
YDS
135 73rd
YPC
6.4 89th
TD
1 63rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 5 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 1L 7-45@ Georgia6/71000014.399.7
Wk 2L 20-21vs Missouri State13/2483013.516.6
Wk 3W 38-7vs Eastern Kentucky
Wk 13L 24-26@ App State8/954006.044.9
Wk 14L 19-24vs Georgia Southern13/19172109.144.9Season-high 172 yds
Total40/59409118.251.5
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022UConn6-7HC: Jim Mora · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2023UConn3-9HC: Jim Mora · Balanced
2025Marshall5-7HC: Tony Gibson · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Marshall405967.8%4096.911128.2----
2023UConn2540.0%81.60053.4----
2022UConn14925857.8%1,4085.5910107.4----
Career3 loaded seasons19132259.3%1,8255.71011110.3----
SeasonTeam
2025Marshall211356.41--
2023UConn----------
2022UConn902622.91--
Career3 loaded seasons1113973.62--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 135 1 rush TD | #113/408 (73rd pct)
Usage 22.7% 42.1% pass share | 9.9% rush share | #205/428 (52nd pct)
Passing WEPA -- Adjusted value feed still loading
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 409 #189/382 51st pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 1 #228/407 44th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 40 #185/383 52nd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 67.8% #84/383 78th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 6.9 #186/382 52nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 135 #113/408 73rd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Usage Role share 22.7% #205/428 52nd pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 59 #194/407 53rd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 1 #153/407 63rd pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 26 #127/391 68th pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 21 #201/408 51st pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 6.4 #47/407 89th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 1 #151/408 63rd pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 42.1% #197/428 54th pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 34.3% #196/428 54th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 28.6% #208/428 52nd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 19.9% #202/428 53rd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 19.8% #213/428 50th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 18.3% #207/428 52nd pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 9.9% #159/428 63rd pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 2 #163/258 37th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 5 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Home3g85.00.36.30.3
Road2g77.00.010.20.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Wins1g
Losses4g1020.28.20.2

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-73g61.00.08.90.3
Weeks 8+2g1130.57.50.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

45Mid-pack
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: interceptions (97th). Strength: completion % (88th). Concern: pass tds (1st).

Interceptions#4 / 183 · 97th pct
1pass
Completion %#21 / 183 · 89th pct
67.8%pass
Rush yards#87 / 183 · 53rd pct
135rush
Yards / att#103 / 183 · 42nd pct
6.9pass
Fumbles lost#87 / 174 · 38th pct
2fumb
Rush TDs#123 / 183 · 26th pct
1rush
Pass yards#181 / 183 · 2nd pct
409pass
Pass TDs#180 / 183 · 1st pct
1pass

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Zion TurnerMarshallCade KlubnikClemson· 58% simNick VattiatoMiddle Tennessee· 57% simRyan BrownePurdue· 55% sim
Interceptions
97
Turner
56
Klubnik
44
Vattiato
14
Browne
Completion %
89
Turner
73
Klubnik
41
Vattiato
29
Browne
Rush yards
53
Turner
42
Klubnik
27
Vattiato
61
Browne
Yards / att
42
Turner
63
Klubnik
13
Vattiato
23
Browne
Fumbles lost
38
Turner
66
Klubnik
66
Vattiato
18
Browne
Rush TDs
26
Turner
59
Klubnik
39
Vattiato
59
Browne
Pass yards
2
Turner
78
Klubnik
57
Vattiato
56
Browne
Pass TDs
1
Turner
64
Klubnik
64
Vattiato
33
Browne

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Tony Gibson

Pass share

40.4%

335 pass / 495 run

Plays / game

69.2

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.0%

244 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Charles Huff
Marshall
2023
Charles Huff
Marshall
2025
Tony Gibson
Marshall
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Charles Huff → Tony Gibson. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMiami, FL
Height6'1"
Weight205 lb
Class3
PositionQB
Jersey1

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Jacksonville State QB3 #1863 #2185 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Conference USA
2023 UConn QB3 #1707 #1899 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | FBS Independents
2022 UConn QB3 #510 #691 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | FBS Independents
2021 UConn QB3 #2085 #2420 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | FBS Independents

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Marshall Sun Belt QB 3 No. 1 | 6-1 | 205 lb | Miami, FL
2024 Jacksonville State Conference USA QB 3 No. 1 | 6-1 | 205 lb | Miami, FL
2023 UConn FBS Independents QB 3 No. 1 | 6-1 | 205 lb | Miami, FL
2022 UConn FBS Independents QB 3 No. 1 | 6-1 | 205 lb | Miami, FL
2021 UConn FBS Independents QB 3 No. 1 | 6-1 | 205 lb | Miami, FL